The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Oregon page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Oregon

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		152.1
Current RPI:		146
Expected SOS:		92
Current SOS:		109
Current Record:		12-10
Expected Record:		15-15
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-1
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		119
Expected OOC SOS:		138

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-10	71.0	0.01%
19-11	83.4	0.07%
18-12	97.1	1.19%
17-13	111.7	6.11%
16-14	128.4	16.71%
15-15	146.6	29.38%
14-16	164.2	29.21%
13-17	179.8	14.61%
12-18	194.4	2.70%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oregon.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Winston Salem St. (314.2)	ind	H	94-43	W	100%	0.0
11-14	UC Davis (285.3)	BW	H	95-64	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Colorado St. (113.5)	MWC	H	68-55	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Portland (84.3)	WCC	A	81-88	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Montana (102.5)	BSky	H	55-68	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Montana St. (192.5)	BSky	H	89-66	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Missouri (39.0)	B12	A	69-106	L	0%	0.0
12-12	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	H	76-81	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	79-51	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	H	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	77-71	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	73-53	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	A	91-89	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	90-79	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	57-64	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	H	57-76	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	60-74	L	0%	0.0
1-21	California (24.1)	P10	A	57-89	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	69-84	L	0%	0.0
1-28	UCLA (146.7)	P10	H	71-66	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	67-57	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	A	42-62	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	0-0		22%	-8.3
2-13	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	0-0		11%	-13.6
2-18	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	0-0		61%	3.1
2-20	California (24.1)	P10	H	0-0		24%	-7.8
2-25	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	0-0		19%	-9.7
2-27	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	0-0		39%	-3.1
3-4	Washington (50.4)	P10	H	0-0		31%	-5.2
3-6	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	H	0-0		58%	2.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oregon's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Oregon's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Oregon.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Oregon	P10	26.24	26.36	46.81	42.51	-1.68	-3.95
Oregon St.	P10	4.99	4.25	40.00	36.01	-1.00	-1.19
UCLA	P10	2.93	4.28	50.00	44.72	0.00	-0.45
Washington	P10	2.92	4.29	72.73	71.33	1.33	1.83
Southern California	P10	2.92	4.28	63.64	60.97	0.80	0.94
Arizona St.	P10	2.88	4.25	65.22	65.88	0.88	1.35
Stanford	P10	2.88	4.25	40.91	41.22	-0.52	-0.75
Washington St.	P10	2.87	4.25	66.67	61.58	0.96	0.98
Arizona	P10	2.82	4.22	50.00	51.14	0.00	0.10
California	P10	2.82	4.22	63.64	67.00	0.77	1.44
Montana	BSky	2.54	1.88	66.67	69.17	0.85	0.72
Idaho St.	BSky	2.53	1.85	20.00	24.92	-1.52	-0.93
Colorado St.	MWC	2.50	1.82	61.90	54.73	0.59	0.17
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.48	1.84	23.81	28.23	-1.30	-0.80
UC Davis	BW	2.44	1.78	36.84	34.44	-0.64	-0.56
Montana St.	BSky	2.43	1.79	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.42	1.80	35.00	48.48	-0.73	-0.05
Portland	WCC	2.42	1.84	60.00	64.36	0.48	0.53
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.38	1.73	31.25	30.82	-0.89	-0.66
St. Mary's	WCC	2.38	1.78	86.36	84.05	1.73	1.22
Missouri	B12	2.33	1.70	72.73	69.63	1.06	0.67
Oakland	Sum	2.27	1.67	69.57	71.89	0.89	0.73
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.42	0.33	30.43	29.01	-0.17	-0.14
Portland St.	BSky	0.41	0.42	38.10	39.65	-0.10	-0.09
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.37	0.27	45.00	45.40	-0.04	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.36	0.29	31.82	32.31	-0.13	-0.10
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.32	0.22	79.17	78.03	0.19	0.12
Seattle	ind	0.31	0.23	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.31	0.22	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.27	0.18	36.36	36.06	-0.07	-0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.27	0.28	18.18	19.18	-0.17	-0.17
Weber St.	BSky	0.27	0.19	61.90	65.04	0.06	0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.26	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.26	0.15	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.26	0.21	81.82	83.61	0.17	0.14
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.26	0.24	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Denver	SB	0.21	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.21	0.17	22.73	21.40	-0.11	-0.10
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.23	33.33	33.43	-0.07	-0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.50	87.42	0.15	0.15
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.16	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.20	0.19	95.65	91.32	0.18	0.16
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.08	0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.16	0.14	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.16	0.14	35.00	30.59	-0.05	-0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.11	28.57	36.52	-0.07	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.16	0.12	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.16	0.12	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.16	0.15	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.11	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.02
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.15	0.18	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.15	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.14	0.11	30.00	31.79	-0.06	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.12	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.10
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.11	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.06	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.11	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.00	-0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Oregon	P10	26.24	26.36	46.81	42.51	-1.68	-3.95
Washington	P10	2.92	4.29	72.73	71.33	1.33	1.83
Southern California	P10	2.92	4.28	63.64	60.97	0.80	0.94
UCLA	P10	2.93	4.28	50.00	44.72	0.00	-0.45
Arizona St.	P10	2.88	4.25	65.22	65.88	0.88	1.35
Stanford	P10	2.88	4.25	40.91	41.22	-0.52	-0.75
Oregon St.	P10	4.99	4.25	40.00	36.01	-1.00	-1.19
Washington St.	P10	2.87	4.25	66.67	61.58	0.96	0.98
Arizona	P10	2.82	4.22	50.00	51.14	0.00	0.10
California	P10	2.82	4.22	63.64	67.00	0.77	1.44
Montana	BSky	2.54	1.88	66.67	69.17	0.85	0.72
Idaho St.	BSky	2.53	1.85	20.00	24.92	-1.52	-0.93
Portland	WCC	2.42	1.84	60.00	64.36	0.48	0.53
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.48	1.84	23.81	28.23	-1.30	-0.80
Colorado St.	MWC	2.50	1.82	61.90	54.73	0.59	0.17
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.42	1.80	35.00	48.48	-0.73	-0.05
Montana St.	BSky	2.43	1.79	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	2.38	1.78	86.36	84.05	1.73	1.22
UC Davis	BW	2.44	1.78	36.84	34.44	-0.64	-0.56
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.38	1.73	31.25	30.82	-0.89	-0.66
Missouri	B12	2.33	1.70	72.73	69.63	1.06	0.67
Oakland	Sum	2.27	1.67	69.57	71.89	0.89	0.73
Portland St.	BSky	0.41	0.42	38.10	39.65	-0.10	-0.09
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.42	0.33	30.43	29.01	-0.17	-0.14
San Francisco	WCC	0.36	0.29	31.82	32.31	-0.13	-0.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.27	0.28	18.18	19.18	-0.17	-0.17
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.37	0.27	45.00	45.40	-0.04	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.26	0.24	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.20	0.23	33.33	33.43	-0.07	-0.08
Seattle	ind	0.31	0.23	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.31	0.22	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.32	0.22	79.17	78.03	0.19	0.12
Gonzaga	WCC	0.26	0.21	81.82	83.61	0.17	0.14
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.26	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.50	87.42	0.15	0.15
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.20	0.19	95.65	91.32	0.18	0.16
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.27	0.19	61.90	65.04	0.06	0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.27	0.18	36.36	36.06	-0.07	-0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.15	0.18	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.09
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.21	0.17	22.73	21.40	-0.11	-0.10
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.10
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.16	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.16	0.15	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.26	0.15	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.16	0.14	35.00	30.59	-0.05	-0.06
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.16	0.14	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.16	0.12	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.21	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.06
Idaho	WAC	0.16	0.12	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.08	0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.15	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.12	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.11	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.11	28.57	36.52	-0.07	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.11	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.10
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.11	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.14	0.11	30.00	31.79	-0.06	-0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.07	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.06	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.00	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.00	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.00	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	2.38	1.78	86.36	84.05	1.73	1.22
Washington	P10	2.92	4.29	72.73	71.33	1.33	1.83
Missouri	B12	2.33	1.70	72.73	69.63	1.06	0.67
Washington St.	P10	2.87	4.25	66.67	61.58	0.96	0.98
Oakland	Sum	2.27	1.67	69.57	71.89	0.89	0.73
Arizona St.	P10	2.88	4.25	65.22	65.88	0.88	1.35
Montana	BSky	2.54	1.88	66.67	69.17	0.85	0.72
Southern California	P10	2.92	4.28	63.64	60.97	0.80	0.94
California	P10	2.82	4.22	63.64	67.00	0.77	1.44
Colorado St.	MWC	2.50	1.82	61.90	54.73	0.59	0.17
Portland	WCC	2.42	1.84	60.00	64.36	0.48	0.53
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.32	0.22	79.17	78.03	0.19	0.12
Kansas	B12	0.20	0.19	95.65	91.32	0.18	0.16
Gonzaga	WCC	0.26	0.21	81.82	83.61	0.17	0.14
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.20	87.50	87.42	0.15	0.15
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.17	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.10
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.15	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.08	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	66.67	67.74	0.07	0.07
Weber St.	BSky	0.27	0.19	61.90	65.04	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.03
Pacific	BW	0.16	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.06	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.26	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Denver	SB	0.21	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.05	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.16	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.07	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01