The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Oregon page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Oregon

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		138.0
Current RPI:		138
Expected SOS:		82
Current SOS:		82
Current Record:		16-16
Expected Record:		16-16
Current Conf Record:		8-12
Expected Conf Record:		8-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		10-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-0
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		116
Expected OOC SOS:		124

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
16-16		138.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oregon.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Winston Salem St. (293.0)	ind	H	94-43	W	100%	0.0
11-14	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	H	95-64	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	H	68-55	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Portland (79.0)	WCC	A	81-88	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Montana (97.0)	BSky	H	55-68	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Montana St. (200.0)	BSky	H	89-66	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Missouri (44.0)	B12	A	69-106	L	0%	0.0
12-12	St. Mary's (35.0)	WCC	H	76-81	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Mississippi Valley St. (325.0)	SWAC	H	79-51	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Oakland (52.0)	Sum	H	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	H	77-71	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Arkansas Pine Bluff (184.0)	SWAC	H	73-53	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	A	91-89	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Washington (41.0)	P10	A	90-79	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	H	57-64	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	H	57-76	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Arizona (96.0)	P10	H	60-74	L	0%	0.0
1-21	California (20.0)	P10	A	57-89	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Stanford (164.0)	P10	A	69-84	L	0%	0.0
1-28	UCLA (137.0)	P10	H	71-66	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Southern California (113.0)	P10	H	67-57	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	A	42-62	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Arizona (96.0)	P10	A	57-70	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	A	51-61	L	0%	0.0
2-18	Stanford (164.0)	P10	H	65-72	L	0%	0.0
2-20	California (20.0)	P10	H	49-64	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Southern California (113.0)	P10	A	54-44	W	100%	0.0
2-27	UCLA (137.0)	P10	A	70-68	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Washington (41.0)	P10	H	72-86	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	H	74-66	W	100%	0.0
3-10	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	N	82-80	W	100%	0.0
3-11	California (20.0)	P10	N	74-90	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oregon's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Oregon's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Oregon.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Oregon	P10	26.46	26.46	44.59	44.59	-2.86	-2.86
California	P10	5.63	5.63	66.67	66.67	1.88	1.88
Washington St.	P10	5.55	5.55	55.56	55.56	0.62	0.62
Washington	P10	4.25	4.25	74.19	74.19	2.05	2.05
UCLA	P10	4.19	4.19	46.67	46.67	-0.28	-0.28
Stanford	P10	4.14	4.14	40.00	40.00	-0.83	-0.83
Arizona St.	P10	4.09	4.09	66.67	66.67	1.36	1.36
Oregon St.	P10	4.09	4.09	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Southern California	P10	4.07	4.07	57.14	57.14	0.58	0.58
Arizona	P10	4.06	4.06	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.76	1.76	26.67	26.67	-0.82	-0.82
Montana	BSky	1.75	1.75	67.86	67.86	0.63	0.63
Portland	WCC	1.74	1.74	64.29	64.29	0.50	0.50
Idaho St.	BSky	1.73	1.73	19.23	19.23	-1.06	-1.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	1.71	1.71	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Colorado St.	MWC	1.70	1.70	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	1.70	1.70	82.76	82.76	1.11	1.11
Montana St.	BSky	1.67	1.67	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	1.67	1.67	41.38	41.38	-0.29	-0.29
Winston Salem St.	ind	1.61	1.61	33.33	33.33	-0.54	-0.54
Missouri	B12	1.59	1.59	67.74	67.74	0.56	0.56
Oakland	Sum	1.56	1.56	77.42	77.42	0.86	0.86
Portland St.	BSky	0.43	0.43	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.30	0.30	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.15
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.27	0.27	25.00	25.00	-0.14	-0.14
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.27	0.27	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.26	0.26	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
San Francisco	WCC	0.26	0.26	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.24	0.24	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.23	0.23	67.86	67.86	0.08	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.22	0.22	76.67	76.67	0.12	0.12
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.21	0.21	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Seattle	ind	0.20	0.20	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	64.29	64.29	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.19	94.12	94.12	0.17	0.17
Brigham Young	MWC	0.18	0.18	84.85	84.85	0.13	0.13
Nebraska	B12	0.18	0.18	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.17	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.16	0.16	24.14	24.14	-0.08	-0.08
Air Force	MWC	0.16	0.16	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Cal Poly	BW	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.15	0.15	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.13	0.13	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.13	0.13	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.12	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.12	0.12	87.88	87.88	0.09	0.09
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.07	0.07	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.02	0.02	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.02	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.02	0.02	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.02	0.02	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Oregon	P10	26.46	26.46	44.59	44.59	-2.86	-2.86
California	P10	5.63	5.63	66.67	66.67	1.88	1.88
Washington St.	P10	5.55	5.55	55.56	55.56	0.62	0.62
Washington	P10	4.25	4.25	74.19	74.19	2.05	2.05
UCLA	P10	4.19	4.19	46.67	46.67	-0.28	-0.28
Stanford	P10	4.14	4.14	40.00	40.00	-0.83	-0.83
Arizona St.	P10	4.09	4.09	66.67	66.67	1.36	1.36
Oregon St.	P10	4.09	4.09	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Southern California	P10	4.07	4.07	57.14	57.14	0.58	0.58
Arizona	P10	4.06	4.06	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.76	1.76	26.67	26.67	-0.82	-0.82
Montana	BSky	1.75	1.75	67.86	67.86	0.63	0.63
Portland	WCC	1.74	1.74	64.29	64.29	0.50	0.50
Idaho St.	BSky	1.73	1.73	19.23	19.23	-1.06	-1.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	1.71	1.71	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Colorado St.	MWC	1.70	1.70	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	1.70	1.70	82.76	82.76	1.11	1.11
Montana St.	BSky	1.67	1.67	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	1.67	1.67	41.38	41.38	-0.29	-0.29
Winston Salem St.	ind	1.61	1.61	33.33	33.33	-0.54	-0.54
Missouri	B12	1.59	1.59	67.74	67.74	0.56	0.56
Oakland	Sum	1.56	1.56	77.42	77.42	0.86	0.86
Portland St.	BSky	0.43	0.43	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.30	0.30	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.15
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.27	0.27	25.00	25.00	-0.14	-0.14
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.27	0.27	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.26	0.26	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
San Francisco	WCC	0.26	0.26	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.24	0.24	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.23	0.23	67.86	67.86	0.08	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.22	0.22	76.67	76.67	0.12	0.12
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.21	0.21	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Seattle	ind	0.20	0.20	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	64.29	64.29	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.19	94.12	94.12	0.17	0.17
Brigham Young	MWC	0.18	0.18	84.85	84.85	0.13	0.13
Nebraska	B12	0.18	0.18	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.17	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.16	0.16	24.14	24.14	-0.08	-0.08
Air Force	MWC	0.16	0.16	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Cal Poly	BW	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.15	0.15	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.13	0.13	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.13	0.13	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.12	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.12	0.12	87.88	87.88	0.09	0.09
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.07	0.07	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.06	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.02	0.02	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.02	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.02	0.02	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.02	0.02	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	4.25	4.25	74.19	74.19	2.05	2.05
California	P10	5.63	5.63	66.67	66.67	1.88	1.88
Arizona St.	P10	4.09	4.09	66.67	66.67	1.36	1.36
St. Mary's	WCC	1.70	1.70	82.76	82.76	1.11	1.11
Oakland	Sum	1.56	1.56	77.42	77.42	0.86	0.86
Montana	BSky	1.75	1.75	67.86	67.86	0.63	0.63
Washington St.	P10	5.55	5.55	55.56	55.56	0.62	0.62
Southern California	P10	4.07	4.07	57.14	57.14	0.58	0.58
Missouri	B12	1.59	1.59	67.74	67.74	0.56	0.56
Portland	WCC	1.74	1.74	64.29	64.29	0.50	0.50
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.19	94.12	94.12	0.17	0.17
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	1.71	1.71	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Gonzaga	WCC	0.24	0.24	80.65	80.65	0.14	0.14
Brigham Young	MWC	0.18	0.18	84.85	84.85	0.13	0.13
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.22	0.22	76.67	76.67	0.12	0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
New Mexico	MWC	0.12	0.12	87.88	87.88	0.09	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.23	0.23	67.86	67.86	0.08	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	1.70	1.70	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	64.29	64.29	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.07	0.07	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.20	0.20	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.02	0.02	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.21	0.21	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	1.67	1.67	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00