The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Portland page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Portland

Conference:		WCC
Expected RPI:		79.0
Current RPI:		79
Expected SOS:		124
Current SOS:		124
Current Record:		19-10
Expected Record:		19-10
Current Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-1
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		97
Expected OOC SOS:		80

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-10		79.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Portland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Eastern Washington (279.0)	BSky	A	64-58	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Seattle (192.0)	ind	H	98-81	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Oregon (138.0)	P10	H	88-81	W	100%	0.0
11-26	UCLA (137.0)	P10	N	74-47	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	N	61-56	W	100%	0.0
11-29	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	N	66-84	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	H	82-86	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	A	48-68	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Denver (165.0)	SB	H	72-62	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Washington (41.0)	P10	A	54-89	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	H	82-52	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Nevada (73.0)	WAC	A	69-78	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Army (247.0)	Pat	H	67-57	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	H	78-81	L	0%	0.0
1-14	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	A	63-54	W	100%	0.0
1-16	St. Mary's (35.0)	WCC	A	72-77	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	H	79-39	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Pepperdine (303.0)	WCC	H	80-64	W	100%	0.0
1-28	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	A	74-58	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Santa Clara (233.0)	WCC	A	74-52	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	A	49-76	L	0%	0.0
2-11	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	H	70-56	W	100%	0.0
2-13	St. Mary's (35.0)	WCC	H	80-75	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Pepperdine (303.0)	WCC	A	83-62	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
2-25	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	H	70-59	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Santa Clara (233.0)	WCC	H	68-55	W	100%	0.0
3-6	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	N	72-57	W	100%	0.0
3-7	St. Mary's (35.0)	WCC	N	55-69	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Portland's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Portland's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Portland.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Portland	WCC	26.51	26.51	66.40	66.40	8.69	8.69
St. Mary's	WCC	6.03	6.03	85.19	85.19	4.24	4.24
San Diego	WCC	5.98	5.98	35.71	35.71	-1.71	-1.71
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.46	4.46	53.33	53.33	0.30	0.30
Gonzaga	WCC	4.42	4.42	79.31	79.31	2.59	2.59
Pepperdine	WCC	4.35	4.35	22.22	22.22	-2.42	-2.42
Santa Clara	WCC	4.33	4.33	32.14	32.14	-1.55	-1.55
San Francisco	WCC	4.32	4.32	38.46	38.46	-1.00	-1.00
Idaho	WAC	3.62	3.62	44.44	44.44	-0.40	-0.40
Seattle	ind	2.07	2.07	56.67	56.67	0.28	0.28
Portland St.	BSky	2.01	2.01	34.48	34.48	-0.62	-0.62
Eastern Washington	BSky	1.98	1.98	25.93	25.93	-0.95	-0.95
Washington	P10	1.95	1.95	71.88	71.88	0.85	0.85
Nevada	WAC	1.93	1.93	60.00	60.00	0.39	0.39
Oregon	P10	1.92	1.92	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
UCLA	P10	1.89	1.89	45.16	45.16	-0.18	-0.18
Denver	SB	1.75	1.75	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
Army	Pat	1.72	1.72	48.15	48.15	-0.06	-0.06
Minnesota	B10	1.72	1.72	63.64	63.64	0.47	0.47
West Virginia	BE	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.08	1.08
Washington St.	P10	0.44	0.44	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	43.33	43.33	-0.06	-0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	0.40	0.40	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.37	0.37	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Pacific	BW	0.37	0.37	64.52	64.52	0.11	0.11
Boise St.	WAC	0.37	0.37	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.34	24.14	24.14	-0.17	-0.17
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Southern California	P10	0.30	0.30	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.30	0.30	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	25.00	25.00	-0.14	-0.14
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Hawaii	WAC	0.26	0.26	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.26	0.26	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
California	P10	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.23	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Long Beach St.	BW	0.23	0.23	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.19	0.19	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.18	0.18	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.18	0.18	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.17	67.86	67.86	0.06	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.17	0.17	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	18.52	18.52	-0.09	-0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.15	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.14	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Colorado	B12	0.12	0.12	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.12	74.07	74.07	0.06	0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.09	21.88	21.88	-0.05	-0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.08	0.08	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.08	0.08	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.06	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Portland	WCC	26.51	26.51	66.40	66.40	8.69	8.69
St. Mary's	WCC	6.03	6.03	85.19	85.19	4.24	4.24
San Diego	WCC	5.98	5.98	35.71	35.71	-1.71	-1.71
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.46	4.46	53.33	53.33	0.30	0.30
Gonzaga	WCC	4.42	4.42	79.31	79.31	2.59	2.59
Pepperdine	WCC	4.35	4.35	22.22	22.22	-2.42	-2.42
Santa Clara	WCC	4.33	4.33	32.14	32.14	-1.55	-1.55
San Francisco	WCC	4.32	4.32	38.46	38.46	-1.00	-1.00
Idaho	WAC	3.62	3.62	44.44	44.44	-0.40	-0.40
Seattle	ind	2.07	2.07	56.67	56.67	0.28	0.28
Portland St.	BSky	2.01	2.01	34.48	34.48	-0.62	-0.62
Eastern Washington	BSky	1.98	1.98	25.93	25.93	-0.95	-0.95
Washington	P10	1.95	1.95	71.88	71.88	0.85	0.85
Nevada	WAC	1.93	1.93	60.00	60.00	0.39	0.39
Oregon	P10	1.92	1.92	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
UCLA	P10	1.89	1.89	45.16	45.16	-0.18	-0.18
Denver	SB	1.75	1.75	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
Army	Pat	1.72	1.72	48.15	48.15	-0.06	-0.06
Minnesota	B10	1.72	1.72	63.64	63.64	0.47	0.47
West Virginia	BE	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.08	1.08
Washington St.	P10	0.44	0.44	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	43.33	43.33	-0.06	-0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	0.40	0.40	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.37	0.37	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Pacific	BW	0.37	0.37	64.52	64.52	0.11	0.11
Boise St.	WAC	0.37	0.37	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.34	0.34	24.14	24.14	-0.17	-0.17
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Southern California	P10	0.30	0.30	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.30	0.30	43.75	43.75	-0.04	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	25.00	25.00	-0.14	-0.14
Montana St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Hawaii	WAC	0.26	0.26	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.26	0.26	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
California	P10	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.23	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Long Beach St.	BW	0.23	0.23	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.19	0.19	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.18	0.18	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.18	0.18	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.17	67.86	67.86	0.06	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.17	0.17	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	18.52	18.52	-0.09	-0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.15	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.14	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Colorado	B12	0.12	0.12	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.12	74.07	74.07	0.06	0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.09	21.88	21.88	-0.05	-0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.08	0.08	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.08	0.08	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.06	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Portland	WCC	26.51	26.51	66.40	66.40	8.69	8.69
St. Mary's	WCC	6.03	6.03	85.19	85.19	4.24	4.24
Gonzaga	WCC	4.42	4.42	79.31	79.31	2.59	2.59
West Virginia	BE	1.72	1.72	81.25	81.25	1.08	1.08
Washington	P10	1.95	1.95	71.88	71.88	0.85	0.85
Minnesota	B10	1.72	1.72	63.64	63.64	0.47	0.47
Denver	SB	1.75	1.75	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
Nevada	WAC	1.93	1.93	60.00	60.00	0.39	0.39
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.46	4.46	53.33	53.33	0.30	0.30
Seattle	ind	2.07	2.07	56.67	56.67	0.28	0.28
Utah St.	WAC	0.26	0.26	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.37	0.37	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	0.23	0.23	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Pacific	BW	0.37	0.37	64.52	64.52	0.11	0.11
California	P10	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Arizona St.	P10	0.22	0.22	68.75	68.75	0.08	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.15	76.67	76.67	0.08	0.08
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.17	0.17	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.08	0.08	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
Oregon	P10	1.92	1.92	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.17	0.17	67.86	67.86	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.12	74.07	74.07	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.18	0.18	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.30	0.30	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.19	0.19	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01