The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated California page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

California

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		24.1
Current RPI:		26
Expected SOS:		11
Current SOS:		3
Current Record:		15-8
Expected Record:		21-9
Current Conf Record:		7-4
Expected Conf Record:		13-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		12-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		2-0
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		11
Expected OOC SOS:		1

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
22-8	13.3	19.08%
21-9	19.6	35.55%
20-10	27.7	28.84%
19-11	37.5	12.86%
18-12	48.2	3.14%
17-13	58.6	0.48%
16-14	67.0	0.03%
15-15	80.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for California.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-9	Murray St. (68.0)	OVC	H	75-70	W	100%	0.0
11-11	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	95-61	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	N	73-95	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	N	70-76	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	H	79-47	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	H	81-60	W	100%	0.0
12-2	New Mexico (14.3)	MWC	A	78-86	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Iowa St. (110.1)	B12	H	82-63	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Pacific (115.6)	BW	A	79-54	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Kansas (1.8)	B12	A	69-84	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Utah Valley (329.2)	GWC	H	85-51	W	100%	0.0
12-29	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	H	87-66	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	92-66	W	100%	0.0
1-6	UCLA (146.7)	P10	H	75-76	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	67-59	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	A	93-88	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	69-84	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Oregon (152.1)	P10	H	89-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	65-61	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	78-70	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	72-76	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	63-66	L	0%	0.0
2-6	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	72-58	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Washington (50.4)	P10	H	0-0		73%	6.6
2-13	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	H	0-0		90%	13.9
2-18	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	A	0-0		83%	10.3
2-20	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	0-0		76%	7.8
2-25	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	0-0		85%	11.5
2-27	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	H	0-0		72%	6.2
3-6	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	0-0		74%	6.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

California's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

California's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against California.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
California	P10	26.31	26.34	65.59	68.67	8.20	9.84
UCLA	P10	4.87	4.25	47.62	43.34	-0.23	-0.57
Southern California	P10	4.82	4.22	61.90	60.30	1.15	0.87
Stanford	P10	2.84	4.22	45.45	45.24	-0.26	-0.40
Arizona St.	P10	2.80	4.26	69.57	71.43	1.10	1.82
Arizona	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	53.39	0.00	0.29
Washington	P10	2.74	4.22	68.18	69.23	1.00	1.62
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	66.67	62.77	0.91	1.08
Oregon	P10	2.70	4.22	57.14	51.45	0.39	0.12
Oregon St.	P10	2.70	4.22	47.62	42.54	-0.13	-0.63
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.32	1.78	63.16	62.02	0.61	0.43
Kansas	B12	2.32	1.78	95.45	91.03	2.11	1.46
Pacific	BW	2.28	1.73	71.43	70.45	0.98	0.71
Iowa St.	B12	2.22	1.72	59.09	52.15	0.40	0.07
Detroit	Horz	2.17	1.67	59.09	60.45	0.40	0.35
Jacksonville	ASun	2.17	1.67	59.09	62.03	0.40	0.40
Murray St.	OVC	2.17	1.67	90.91	88.53	1.78	1.28
New Mexico	MWC	2.17	1.67	86.96	82.97	1.61	1.10
Ohio St.	B10	2.17	1.67	73.91	72.85	1.04	0.76
Princeton	Ivy	2.17	1.67	75.00	73.71	1.09	0.79
Syracuse	BE	2.17	1.67	95.65	91.09	1.98	1.37
Utah Valley	GWC	2.17	1.67	38.89	40.65	-0.48	-0.31
UC Riverside	BW	0.30	0.20	33.33	36.45	-0.10	-0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.29	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.29	0.22	56.52	50.42	0.04	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.28	0.25	68.18	59.30	0.10	0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.26	0.21	22.73	21.40	-0.14	-0.12
UC Davis	BW	0.25	0.23	35.00	33.21	-0.08	-0.08
Butler	Horz	0.23	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.09
Cal Poly	BW	0.20	0.18	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.20	0.18	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.10
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.20	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.09
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.19	0.14	30.43	29.01	-0.08	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.19	0.14	86.96	84.62	0.14	0.10
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.17	33.33	33.43	-0.06	-0.06
Colorado	B12	0.19	0.22	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.19	0.14	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.07
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.19	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.14	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.19	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.11	-0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.19	0.16	81.82	80.91	0.12	0.10
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.14	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.19	0.14	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.14	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.07
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.15	0.18	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.09	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.12	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.18	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.18	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.09	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.15	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.14	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.14	0.16	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.10
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.08	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.14	0.17	38.10	39.65	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.04
Texas	B12	0.14	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.14	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.09	0.06
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.14	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.10	0.12
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.06
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.11	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.11	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.12	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.09	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.10	0.12	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.16	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.07
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.14	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.08	22.22	26.51	-0.05	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.12	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.08
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.08	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.08	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.14	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.05	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.03
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.06	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.04	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.09	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.05	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.00	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.04
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
California	P10	26.31	26.34	65.59	68.67	8.20	9.84
Arizona St.	P10	2.80	4.26	69.57	71.43	1.10	1.82
UCLA	P10	4.87	4.25	47.62	43.34	-0.23	-0.57
Oregon St.	P10	2.70	4.22	47.62	42.54	-0.13	-0.63
Arizona	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	53.39	0.00	0.29
Oregon	P10	2.70	4.22	57.14	51.45	0.39	0.12
Southern California	P10	4.82	4.22	61.90	60.30	1.15	0.87
Stanford	P10	2.84	4.22	45.45	45.24	-0.26	-0.40
Washington	P10	2.74	4.22	68.18	69.23	1.00	1.62
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	66.67	62.77	0.91	1.08
Kansas	B12	2.32	1.78	95.45	91.03	2.11	1.46
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.32	1.78	63.16	62.02	0.61	0.43
Pacific	BW	2.28	1.73	71.43	70.45	0.98	0.71
Iowa St.	B12	2.22	1.72	59.09	52.15	0.40	0.07
Detroit	Horz	2.17	1.67	59.09	60.45	0.40	0.35
Jacksonville	ASun	2.17	1.67	59.09	62.03	0.40	0.40
Murray St.	OVC	2.17	1.67	90.91	88.53	1.78	1.28
New Mexico	MWC	2.17	1.67	86.96	82.97	1.61	1.10
Ohio St.	B10	2.17	1.67	73.91	72.85	1.04	0.76
Princeton	Ivy	2.17	1.67	75.00	73.71	1.09	0.79
Syracuse	BE	2.17	1.67	95.65	91.09	1.98	1.37
Utah Valley	GWC	2.17	1.67	38.89	40.65	-0.48	-0.31
Texas Tech	B12	0.28	0.25	68.18	59.30	0.10	0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.25	0.23	35.00	33.21	-0.08	-0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.29	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.08
Colorado	B12	0.19	0.22	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.29	0.22	56.52	50.42	0.04	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.26	0.21	22.73	21.40	-0.14	-0.12
UC Riverside	BW	0.30	0.20	33.33	36.45	-0.10	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.20	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.09
Seattle	ind	0.15	0.18	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.20	0.18	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.20	0.18	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.18	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.18	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.14	0.17	38.10	39.65	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.19	0.17	33.33	33.43	-0.06	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.14	0.16	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.10
Colorado St.	MWC	0.19	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.19	0.16	81.82	80.91	0.12	0.10
Brigham Young	MWC	0.14	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.10	0.12
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.16	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.14	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.14	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.14	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.19	0.14	30.43	29.01	-0.08	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.19	0.14	86.96	84.62	0.14	0.10
Butler	Horz	0.23	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.09
Idaho St.	BSky	0.19	0.14	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.19	0.14	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.14	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.19	0.14	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.14	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.12	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.12	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.12	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.08
Fresno St.	WAC	0.10	0.12	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.10
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.19	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.11	-0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.06
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.14	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.09	0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.06
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas	B12	0.14	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.06
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.09	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.09	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.09	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.09	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.15	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.08	22.22	26.51	-0.05	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.08	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.08	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.14	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.08	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.11	0.07	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.11	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.05	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.05	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.06	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.04	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.00	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00