


| Conference: | WCC |
| Expected RPI: | 250.7 |
| Current RPI: | 239 |
| Expected SOS: | 182 |
| Current SOS: | 139 |
| Current Record: | 7-15 |
| Expected Record: | 9-18 |
| Current Conf Record: | 2-10 |
| Expected Conf Record: | 4-12 |
| Probability of Auto Bid: | 0.02% |
| Expected Record vs RPI 1-25: | 0-3 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 26-50: | 0-3 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 51-100: | 0-1 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 101-200: | 3-5 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 200+: | 6-6 |
| Current OOC Record: | 5-5 |
| Expected OOC Record: | 5-6 |
| Expected OOC RPI: | 260 |
| Expected OOC SOS: | 329 |
| Final Record | Expected RPI | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 12-15 | 201.0 | 0.21% |
| 11-16 | 217.3 | 7.38% |
| 10-17 | 235.8 | 27.75% |
| 9-18 | 254.0 | 38.64% |
| 8-19 | 269.6 | 21.75% |
| 7-20 | 281.7 | 4.26% |
| Date | Opponent (Expected RPI) | Conf | Loc | Score | Outcome | Prob(W) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-15 | Arizona St. (241.2) | P12 | A | 60-66 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 11-19 | Cal St. Bakersfield (210.9) | ind | A | 79-70 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-21 | Central Michigan (271.4) | MAC | H | 57-67 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-26 | Texas San Antonio (169.2) | Slnd | A | 64-70 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 11-28 | UCLA (109.2) | P12 | A | 62-39 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-3 | Hawaii (184.5) | WAC | H | 73-67 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-7 | Northern Arizona (328.5) | BSky | A | 40-49 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-10 | Cal St. Northridge (309.6) | BW | H | 70-73 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-18 | Montana St. (261.8) | BSky | H | 59-36 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-22 | Washington St. (164.6) | P12 | N | 67-56 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-29 | San Francisco (152.1) | WCC | H | 77-61 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-31 | St. Mary's (16.3) | WCC | H | 45-74 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-5 | Gonzaga (27.9) | WCC | A | 73-45 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-7 | Portland (215.5) | WCC | A | 53-43 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-12 | Loyola Marymount (107.0) | WCC | H | 58-68 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-14 | San Francisco (152.1) | WCC | A | 78-63 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-19 | St. Mary's (16.3) | WCC | A | 61-47 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-21 | Brigham Young (44.9) | WCC | H | 64-77 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-26 | San Diego (210.6) | WCC | A | 65-56 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-28 | Santa Clara (271.9) | WCC | H | 74-62 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 2-2 | Loyola Marymount (107.0) | WCC | A | 67-57 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-4 | Gonzaga (27.9) | WCC | H | 60-72 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-9 | San Diego (210.6) | WCC | H | 0-0 | 62% | 3.5 | |
| 2-11 | Brigham Young (44.9) | WCC | A | 0-0 | 3% | -20.6 | |
| 2-16 | Seattle (288.1) | ind | A | 0-0 | 39% | -3.2 | |
| 2-18 | Portland (215.5) | WCC | H | 0-0 | 67% | 4.9 | |
| 2-23 | Santa Clara (271.9) | WCC | A | 0-0 | 42% | -2.2 |

| Team | Conf | Curr Wgt | Fut Wgt | Curr W/L | Exp W/L | Curr Impact | Exp Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine | WCC | 26.56 | 26.43 | 31.73 | 34.15 | -9.70 | -8.38 |
| San Francisco | WCC | 5.26 | 4.70 | 57.14 | 54.06 | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Gonzaga | WCC | 5.21 | 4.70 | 80.00 | 80.12 | 3.13 | 2.83 |
| Loyola Marymount | WCC | 5.31 | 4.70 | 55.00 | 54.51 | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| Santa Clara | WCC | 3.05 | 4.69 | 30.00 | 26.09 | -1.22 | -2.24 |
| Brigham Young | WCC | 3.15 | 4.67 | 73.91 | 74.34 | 1.51 | 2.27 |
| Portland | WCC | 3.14 | 4.66 | 18.18 | 18.26 | -2.00 | -2.96 |
| San Diego | WCC | 3.04 | 4.66 | 30.00 | 31.02 | -1.21 | -1.77 |
| St. Mary's | WCC | 5.16 | 4.63 | 90.00 | 86.80 | 4.13 | 3.41 |
| Northern Arizona | BSky | 2.68 | 2.18 | 14.29 | 16.76 | -1.91 | -1.45 |
| Washington St. | P12 | 2.58 | 2.17 | 47.62 | 46.31 | -0.12 | -0.16 |
| Cal St. Bakersfield | ind | 2.50 | 2.06 | 45.45 | 45.87 | -0.23 | -0.17 |
| Arizona St. | P12 | 2.48 | 2.05 | 31.82 | 32.52 | -0.90 | -0.72 |
| UCLA | P12 | 2.48 | 2.04 | 52.38 | 55.30 | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| Montana St. | BSky | 2.42 | 2.02 | 47.37 | 43.43 | -0.13 | -0.27 |
| Cal St. Northridge | BW | 2.48 | 2.02 | 16.67 | 19.36 | -1.65 | -1.24 |
| Seattle | ind | 0.16 | 1.95 | 23.53 | 32.06 | -0.08 | -0.70 |
| Hawaii | WAC | 2.44 | 1.95 | 60.00 | 55.09 | 0.49 | 0.20 |
| Central Michigan | MAC | 2.27 | 1.85 | 25.00 | 31.85 | -1.14 | -0.67 |
| Texas San Antonio | Slnd | 2.27 | 1.85 | 60.00 | 62.92 | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| Eastern Washington | BSky | 0.58 | 0.40 | 40.91 | 44.03 | -0.11 | -0.05 |
| Montana | BSky | 0.31 | 0.37 | 70.00 | 73.28 | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| San Jose St. | WAC | 0.42 | 0.34 | 27.27 | 26.95 | -0.19 | -0.16 |
| Pacific | BW | 0.42 | 0.34 | 35.00 | 37.47 | -0.13 | -0.09 |
| UC Santa Barbara | BW | 0.32 | 0.34 | 55.56 | 58.01 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Washington | P12 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 69.57 | 66.54 | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Utah | P12 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 18.18 | 15.01 | -0.19 | -0.20 |
| Arizona | P12 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 66.67 | 68.55 | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Idaho St. | BSky | 0.37 | 0.27 | 33.33 | 33.88 | -0.12 | -0.09 |
| Weber St. | BSky | 0.26 | 0.27 | 80.00 | 76.84 | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Nevada | WAC | 0.20 | 0.26 | 80.95 | 76.42 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Portland St. | BSky | 0.27 | 0.25 | 42.86 | 45.80 | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| Idaho | WAC | 0.21 | 0.25 | 47.62 | 51.08 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| UC Irvine | BW | 0.22 | 0.24 | 35.00 | 35.26 | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| New Mexico St. | WAC | 0.31 | 0.23 | 69.57 | 68.90 | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Stanford | P12 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 69.57 | 68.29 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Southern California | P12 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 25.00 | 25.13 | -0.11 | -0.11 |
| UC Davis | BW | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 5.37 | -0.17 | -0.19 |
| Utah St. | WAC | 0.10 | 0.21 | 50.00 | 52.93 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Sacramento St. | BSky | 0.26 | 0.21 | 30.00 | 33.20 | -0.10 | -0.07 |
| Cal Poly | BW | 0.26 | 0.21 | 50.00 | 56.76 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Longwood | ind | 0.05 | 0.20 | 30.00 | 27.84 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Fresno St. | WAC | 0.16 | 0.20 | 39.13 | 44.52 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Oregon | P12 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 69.57 | 64.53 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Cal St. Fullerton | BW | 0.16 | 0.18 | 65.00 | 66.70 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| UC Riverside | BW | 0.22 | 0.17 | 42.86 | 39.66 | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| New Mexico | MWC | 0.21 | 0.17 | 81.82 | 81.03 | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| Oregon St. | P12 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 63.64 | 63.16 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Colorado | P12 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 66.67 | 62.65 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Northern Colorado | BSky | 0.16 | 0.14 | 30.00 | 31.54 | -0.06 | -0.05 |
| Eastern Michigan | MAC | 0.11 | 0.13 | 40.91 | 38.38 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| Stephen F. Austin | Slnd | 0.11 | 0.13 | 47.06 | 50.75 | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| Morgan St. | MEAC | 0.20 | 0.13 | 25.00 | 37.58 | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| Murray St. | OVC | 0.10 | 0.13 | 100.00 | 94.55 | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| St. Louis | A10 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 77.27 | 77.67 | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| North Dakota St. | Sum | 0.20 | 0.13 | 61.90 | 63.52 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Baylor | B12 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 90.91 | 83.85 | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Western Michigan | MAC | 0.16 | 0.13 | 40.91 | 42.96 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| California | P12 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 75.00 | 74.61 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Harvard | Ivy | 0.10 | 0.10 | 90.48 | 87.91 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Boise St. | MWC | 0.11 | 0.10 | 42.86 | 41.13 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| Oklahoma | B12 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 59.09 | 54.70 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Louisiana Lafayette | SB | 0.15 | 0.10 | 54.17 | 54.75 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| North Carolina A&T | MEAC | 0.16 | 0.10 | 33.33 | 37.25 | -0.05 | -0.03 |
| Sam Houston St. | Slnd | 0.16 | 0.10 | 26.32 | 29.79 | -0.08 | -0.04 |
| Dartmouth | Ivy | 0.15 | 0.10 | 14.29 | 17.17 | -0.11 | -0.06 |
| Georgia St. | CAA | 0.05 | 0.10 | 66.67 | 69.69 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Ohio | MAC | 0.10 | 0.10 | 81.82 | 77.20 | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Middle Tennessee | SB | 0.15 | 0.10 | 83.33 | 84.76 | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Xavier | A10 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 65.22 | 63.74 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Buffalo | MAC | 0.05 | 0.10 | 68.42 | 66.45 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Oral Roberts | Sum | 0.16 | 0.10 | 80.77 | 80.75 | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| Texas A&M Corpus Chris | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.10 | 18.18 | 21.13 | -0.03 | -0.06 |
| Arkansas St. | SB | 0.00 | 0.08 | 37.50 | 38.33 | -0.00 | -0.02 |
| Utah Valley | GWC | 0.00 | 0.08 | 54.55 | 57.69 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Long Beach St. | BW | 0.12 | 0.07 | 71.43 | 73.35 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Alcorn St. | SWAC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 16.67 | 23.02 | -0.04 | -0.04 |
| Houston Baptist | GWC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 25.00 | 28.52 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| Maine | AE | 0.05 | 0.07 | 50.00 | 49.73 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| NJ Inst of Technology | GWC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 33.33 | 38.38 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| San Diego St. | MWC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 85.71 | 78.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| South Alabama | SB | 0.05 | 0.07 | 52.38 | 52.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Texas Pan American | GWC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 19.05 | 24.61 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| Tulane | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.07 | 61.90 | 58.59 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Villanova | BE | 0.05 | 0.07 | 45.45 | 46.08 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Wagner | NEC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 82.61 | 84.57 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Nevada Las Vegas | MWC | 0.10 | 0.07 | 82.61 | 81.44 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Bethune Cookman | MEAC | 0.10 | 0.07 | 38.10 | 42.78 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Columbia | Ivy | 0.10 | 0.07 | 55.00 | 54.80 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Denver | SB | 0.10 | 0.07 | 70.83 | 72.23 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Florida Atlantic | SB | 0.05 | 0.07 | 36.36 | 39.72 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Florida St. | ACC | 0.10 | 0.07 | 72.73 | 71.71 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Holy Cross | Pat | 0.10 | 0.07 | 40.91 | 42.05 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Jackson St. | SWAC | 0.10 | 0.07 | 19.05 | 25.52 | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| Kennesaw St. | ASun | 0.10 | 0.07 | 8.70 | 11.67 | -0.09 | -0.05 |
| Kentucky | SEC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 95.83 | 92.57 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Louisiana Tech | WAC | 0.05 | 0.07 | 42.86 | 43.45 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Missouri St. | MVC | 0.10 | 0.07 | 54.17 | 57.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| North Texas | SB | 0.10 | 0.07 | 50.00 | 50.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Northern Iowa | MVC | 0.10 | 0.07 | 62.50 | 61.50 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Valparaiso | Horz | 0.00 | 0.07 | 65.22 | 63.61 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Air Force | MWC | 0.10 | 0.06 | 47.37 | 42.16 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Ball St. | MAC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 55.00 | 57.41 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Bowling Green | MAC | 0.11 | 0.06 | 47.62 | 48.82 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Butler | Horz | 0.10 | 0.06 | 50.00 | 50.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Illinois | B10 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 72.73 | 64.43 | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| Michigan St. | B10 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 76.19 | 72.91 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Northern Illinois | MAC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 5.26 | 7.30 | -0.05 | -0.05 |
| Notre Dame | BE | 0.10 | 0.06 | 65.22 | 62.65 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Prairie View A&M | SWAC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 35.00 | 40.78 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Texas Arlington | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.06 | 76.19 | 75.94 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Texas St. | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.06 | 22.22 | 27.62 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| Toledo | MAC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 38.10 | 40.81 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Virginia Tech | ACC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 56.52 | 55.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Wisconsin | B10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 75.00 | 73.97 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Virginia | ACC | 0.00 | 0.04 | 81.82 | 76.80 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Drake | MVC | 0.06 | 0.04 | 52.17 | 50.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Texas Tech | B12 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 31.82 | 25.98 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| Auburn | SEC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 56.52 | 48.81 | 0.01 | -0.00 |
| Clemson | ACC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 48.36 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| South Carolina St. | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 10.00 | 14.93 | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| Akron | MAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 68.18 | 67.91 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Central Arkansas | Slnd | 0.00 | 0.03 | 27.78 | 29.87 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Charlotte | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 49.45 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Colorado St. | MWC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 66.67 | 60.80 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Grambling | SWAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 15.00 | 15.73 | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| Houston | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 47.62 | 44.63 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Illinois Chicago | Horz | 0.05 | 0.03 | 30.00 | 30.06 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Iowa St. | B12 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 73.91 | 68.43 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Kent St. | MAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 71.43 | 69.05 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Lamar | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.03 | 61.90 | 67.23 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| McNeese St. | Slnd | 0.00 | 0.03 | 41.18 | 42.61 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Miami OH | MAC | 0.00 | 0.03 | 30.00 | 34.15 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Minnesota | B10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 69.57 | 61.31 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Nebraska | B10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 52.38 | 46.68 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Nicholls St. | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.03 | 25.00 | 23.75 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Northwestern St. | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.03 | 55.00 | 54.48 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Oklahoma St. | B12 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 45.45 | 40.70 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Samford | SC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 33.33 | 35.26 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Southeastern Louisiana | Slnd | 0.00 | 0.03 | 27.78 | 29.58 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Temple | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 77.27 | 75.06 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Tennessee St. | OVC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 56.52 | 53.10 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Texas El Paso | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 43.48 | 43.31 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Troy | SB | 0.05 | 0.03 | 28.57 | 30.17 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Wright St. | Horz | 0.05 | 0.03 | 41.67 | 40.61 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| DePaul | BE | 0.05 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 42.83 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Fairfield | MAAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 54.55 | 54.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Kansas | B12 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 78.26 | 78.39 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Michigan | B10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 72.73 | 66.81 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Pennsylvania | Ivy | 0.05 | 0.03 | 54.55 | 56.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Richmond | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 48.49 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Southern Mississippi | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 85.71 | 82.18 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| St. John's | BE | 0.00 | 0.03 | 43.48 | 40.28 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Texas | B12 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 60.87 | 61.37 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Tulsa | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 60.87 | 59.05 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 47.83 | 43.66 | -0.00 | -0.00 |