The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Texas page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Texas

Conference:		B12
Expected RPI:		15.2
Current RPI:		21
Expected SOS:		34
Current SOS:		54
Current Record:		19-4
Expected Record:		24-7
Current Conf Record:		5-3
Expected Conf Record:		10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		14-1
Expected OOC Record:		14-1
Expected OOC RPI:		19
Expected OOC SOS:		168

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
27-4	6.6	3.11%
26-5	8.4	15.51%
25-6	11.3	29.74%
24-7	16.1	30.03%
23-8	22.6	16.24%
22-9	31.9	4.60%
21-10	42.5	0.73%
20-11	52.7	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	UC Irvine (277.0)	BW	H	89-42	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Western Carolina (101.2)	SC	H	73-41	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Iowa (199.8)	B10	N	85-60	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	N	78-62	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	A	77-59	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	69-50	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	H	107-74	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	H	87-54	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Texas Pan American (326.2)	GWC	H	104-42	W	100%	0.0
12-19	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	N	103-90	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	H	79-68	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Gardner Webb (308.9)	BSth	H	95-63	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	H	76-70	W	100%	0.0
1-5	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	96-85	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Colorado (136.4)	B12	H	103-86	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Iowa St. (110.1)	B12	A	90-83	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	H	72-67	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	A	62-71	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	A	74-88	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	H	95-83	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Baylor (23.2)	B12	H	77-80	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	A	72-60	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	71-80	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Kansas (1.8)	B12	H	0-0		48%	-0.4
2-13	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	H	0-0		93%	15.8
2-17	Missouri (39.0)	B12	A	0-0		43%	-2.0
2-20	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	0-0		73%	6.7
2-24	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	H	0-0		87%	12.3
2-27	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	A	0-0		56%	1.8
3-1	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	H	0-0		93%	15.9
3-6	Baylor (23.2)	B12	A	0-0		49%	-0.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Texas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Texas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Texas.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas	B12	26.14	26.12	83.16	79.45	17.33	15.39
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.52	3.82	72.73	67.62	1.15	1.35
Baylor	B12	2.52	3.85	75.00	72.52	1.26	1.73
Texas A&M	B12	2.47	3.82	76.19	70.19	1.30	1.54
Texas Tech	B12	2.47	3.85	71.43	62.57	1.06	0.97
Iowa St.	B12	2.47	2.18	59.09	52.15	0.45	0.09
Oklahoma	B12	2.47	3.85	57.14	50.96	0.35	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	2.42	2.15	80.95	78.87	1.50	1.24
Colorado	B12	2.42	2.15	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.34
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.37	1.78	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.16
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.35	1.76	12.50	19.44	-1.76	-1.07
Iowa	B10	2.31	1.69	34.78	31.85	-0.70	-0.61
Michigan St.	B10	2.31	1.69	82.61	79.16	1.51	0.99
UC Irvine	BW	2.28	1.67	38.10	41.51	-0.54	-0.28
Arkansas	SEC	2.28	1.72	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	2.27	1.70	38.89	38.29	-0.51	-0.40
North Carolina	ACC	2.27	1.67	59.09	53.69	0.41	0.12
Gardner Webb	BSth	2.27	1.67	21.05	24.52	-1.32	-0.85
Long Beach St.	BW	2.27	1.67	45.00	47.35	-0.23	-0.09
Western Carolina	SC	2.23	1.64	75.00	72.08	1.11	0.73
Connecticut	BE	2.22	1.64	59.09	55.04	0.40	0.17
Pittsburgh	BE	2.22	1.64	77.27	73.16	1.21	0.76
Rice	CUSA	2.17	1.61	33.33	31.43	-0.72	-0.60
Southern California	P10	2.17	1.64	63.64	61.67	0.59	0.38
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.34	0.28	55.56	58.32	0.04	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.34	2.18	73.91	71.05	0.16	0.92
Nebraska	B12	0.34	2.21	56.52	51.86	0.04	0.08
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.27	0.20	47.06	43.53	-0.02	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.26	0.17	39.13	43.30	-0.06	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.26	0.23	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.25	2.15	95.65	92.64	0.23	1.84
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.21	0.17	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.19	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.20	0.17	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.20	0.16	82.61	82.33	0.13	0.11
Clemson	ACC	0.20	0.14	69.57	66.88	0.08	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.20	0.16	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.20	0.16	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.16	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.19	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.18	0.08
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.19	0.16	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.19	0.16	63.64	64.66	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.18	0.16	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.18	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.16	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.05
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.17	23.53	26.10	-0.08	-0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.11	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.15	0.17	28.57	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.15	0.14	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.14	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.08	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.14	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.16	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.07
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.11	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.11	-0.06
North Texas	SB	0.15	0.14	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.04
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.06
Washington	P10	0.15	0.16	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.14	0.14	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.06
California	P10	0.14	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.13	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.05	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.08	-0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.07	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.06
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.04
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.09	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.09	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.09	12.50	15.31	-0.08	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.11	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.11	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.11	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.05	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.05	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.08	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.06
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.05	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.07
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.07
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.05	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.05	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.08	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.05	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.14	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.05	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.11	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.05	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.06
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.05	4.76	9.78	-0.08	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.05	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.05	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.05
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.08	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.08	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.07
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.04	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.05	22.22	27.56	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.04	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.04	0.05	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.00	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.00	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.00	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.00	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.05	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.00	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.00	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.00	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.05	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas	B12	26.14	26.12	83.16	79.45	17.33	15.39
Texas Tech	B12	2.47	3.85	71.43	62.57	1.06	0.97
Oklahoma	B12	2.47	3.85	57.14	50.96	0.35	0.07
Baylor	B12	2.52	3.85	75.00	72.52	1.26	1.73
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.52	3.82	72.73	67.62	1.15	1.35
Texas A&M	B12	2.47	3.82	76.19	70.19	1.30	1.54
Nebraska	B12	0.34	2.21	56.52	51.86	0.04	0.08
Iowa St.	B12	2.47	2.18	59.09	52.15	0.45	0.09
Missouri	B12	0.34	2.18	73.91	71.05	0.16	0.92
Kansas	B12	0.25	2.15	95.65	92.64	0.23	1.84
Kansas St.	B12	2.42	2.15	80.95	78.87	1.50	1.24
Colorado	B12	2.42	2.15	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.34
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.37	1.78	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.16
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.35	1.76	12.50	19.44	-1.76	-1.07
Arkansas	SEC	2.28	1.72	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	2.27	1.70	38.89	38.29	-0.51	-0.40
Iowa	B10	2.31	1.69	34.78	31.85	-0.70	-0.61
Michigan St.	B10	2.31	1.69	82.61	79.16	1.51	0.99
UC Irvine	BW	2.28	1.67	38.10	41.51	-0.54	-0.28
North Carolina	ACC	2.27	1.67	59.09	53.69	0.41	0.12
Long Beach St.	BW	2.27	1.67	45.00	47.35	-0.23	-0.09
Gardner Webb	BSth	2.27	1.67	21.05	24.52	-1.32	-0.85
Western Carolina	SC	2.23	1.64	75.00	72.08	1.11	0.73
Connecticut	BE	2.22	1.64	59.09	55.04	0.40	0.17
Pittsburgh	BE	2.22	1.64	77.27	73.16	1.21	0.76
Southern California	P10	2.17	1.64	63.64	61.67	0.59	0.38
Rice	CUSA	2.17	1.61	33.33	31.43	-0.72	-0.60
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.34	0.28	55.56	58.32	0.04	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.26	0.23	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.27	0.20	47.06	43.53	-0.02	-0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.21	0.19	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.21	0.17	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.26	0.17	39.13	43.30	-0.06	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.17	23.53	26.10	-0.08	-0.08
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.06
Samford	SC	0.15	0.17	28.57	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.20	0.17	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.20	0.16	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.16	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.20	0.16	82.61	82.33	0.13	0.11
South Dakota	GWC	0.20	0.16	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Washington	P10	0.15	0.16	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.16	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.10
Stanford	P10	0.19	0.16	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.19	0.16	63.64	64.66	0.05	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.18	0.16	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.06
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.16	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.14	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.14	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.20	0.14	69.57	66.88	0.08	0.05
North Texas	SB	0.15	0.14	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.14	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.15	0.14	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.14	0.14	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.14	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.13	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.06
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.18	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.11	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.11	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.11	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.11	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.11	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.11	-0.06
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.07
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.11	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.07
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.19	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.18	0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
California	P10	0.14	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.04	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.08	-0.06
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.07
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.09	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.09	12.50	15.31	-0.08	-0.06
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.09	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.07	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.09	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.08	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.08	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.08	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.08	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.04
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.08	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.05	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.04
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.05	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.05	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.05	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.05	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.05	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.05	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.05	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.05	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.05	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.05	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.05	22.22	27.56	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.05	4.76	9.78	-0.08	-0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
St. Louis