The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Navy page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Navy

Conference:		Pat
Expected RPI:		265.0
Current RPI:		265
Expected SOS:		305
Current SOS:		305
Current Record:		13-17
Expected Record:		13-17
Current Conf Record:		7-8
Expected Conf Record:		7-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-11
Current OOC Record:		6-9
Expected OOC Record:		6-9
Expected OOC RPI:		277
Expected OOC SOS:		294

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
13-17		265.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Navy.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Radford (169.0)	BSth	A	65-76	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Longwood (286.0)	ind	A	79-76	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	H	53-63	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Long Island (240.0)	NEC	A	72-83	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Towson (264.0)	CAA	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Mount St. Mary's (172.0)	NEC	H	56-65	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Quinnipiac (147.0)	NEC	H	65-62	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Pennsylvania (300.0)	Ivy	H	73-67	W	100%	0.0
12-6	George Washington (148.0)	A10	N	69-81	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	A	72-80	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Wofford (69.0)	SC	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	A	56-94	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Coppin St. (337.0)	MEAC	H	78-75	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Elon (269.0)	SC	H	79-73	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Howard (330.0)	MEAC	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	A	69-67	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	H	94-83	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	H	77-90	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	A	60-79	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Army (247.0)	Pat	H	62-56	W	100%	0.0
1-27	American (295.0)	Pat	A	59-69	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	H	100-91	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	H	81-79	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	A	85-78	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	A	77-83	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	H	83-80	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Army (247.0)	Pat	A	50-69	L	0%	0.0
2-24	American (295.0)	Pat	H	77-80	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	A	73-85	L	0%	0.0
3-3	American (295.0)	Pat	A	60-62	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Navy's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Navy's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Navy.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Navy	Pat	26.31	26.31	42.50	42.50	-3.95	-3.95
American	Pat	5.79	5.79	28.57	28.57	-2.48	-2.48
Lehigh	Pat	4.30	4.30	73.33	73.33	2.01	2.01
Lafayette	Pat	4.27	4.27	56.67	56.67	0.57	0.57
Holy Cross	Pat	4.18	4.18	27.59	27.59	-1.87	-1.87
Army	Pat	4.14	4.14	46.15	46.15	-0.32	-0.32
Colgate	Pat	4.12	4.12	33.33	33.33	-1.37	-1.37
Bucknell	Pat	4.10	4.10	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Long Island	NEC	1.91	1.91	43.33	43.33	-0.25	-0.25
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.89	1.89	32.26	32.26	-0.67	-0.67
Howard	MEAC	1.86	1.86	19.35	19.35	-1.14	-1.14
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.85	1.85	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.83	1.83	74.19	74.19	0.88	0.88
Longwood	ind	1.78	1.78	30.77	30.77	-0.68	-0.68
George Washington	A10	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Coppin St.	MEAC	1.77	1.77	19.23	19.23	-1.09	-1.09
Buffalo	MAC	1.75	1.75	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
Towson	CAA	1.72	1.72	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.72	75.00	75.00	0.86	0.86
Pennsylvania	Ivy	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.95	-0.95
Elon	SC	1.72	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
Seton Hall	BE	1.69	1.69	60.00	60.00	0.34	0.34
Radford	BSth	1.67	1.67	57.14	57.14	0.24	0.24
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.40	0.40	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
Columbia	Ivy	0.36	0.36	39.29	39.29	-0.08	-0.08
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.31	0.31	14.81	14.81	-0.22	-0.22
Yale	Ivy	0.28	0.28	36.67	36.67	-0.08	-0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.28	0.28	31.03	31.03	-0.11	-0.11
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.28	0.28	34.38	34.38	-0.09	-0.09
Wagner	NEC	0.27	0.27	16.13	16.13	-0.18	-0.18
Bryant	ind	0.25	0.25	3.33	3.33	-0.23	-0.23
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.24	0.24	37.93	37.93	-0.06	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.24	0.24	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.24	0.24	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.20	0.20	74.07	74.07	0.10	0.10
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.20	0.20	13.33	13.33	-0.14	-0.14
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.19	0.19	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.19	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.19	0.19	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.19	0.19	22.58	22.58	-0.10	-0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.19	0.19	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.19	0.19	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	0.19	0.19	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	0.17	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.17	0.17	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.16	0.16	3.33	3.33	-0.15	-0.15
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.15	12.00	12.00	-0.11	-0.11
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.14	0.14	24.00	24.00	-0.07	-0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.14	86.21	86.21	0.10	0.10
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.14	0.14	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.14	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.14	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.14	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
New Hampshire	AE	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.11	32.00	32.00	-0.04	-0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.11	0.11	21.88	21.88	-0.06	-0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.11	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.09	0.09	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.09	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.08	0.08	19.23	19.23	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Navy	Pat	26.31	26.31	42.50	42.50	-3.95	-3.95
American	Pat	5.79	5.79	28.57	28.57	-2.48	-2.48
Lehigh	Pat	4.30	4.30	73.33	73.33	2.01	2.01
Lafayette	Pat	4.27	4.27	56.67	56.67	0.57	0.57
Holy Cross	Pat	4.18	4.18	27.59	27.59	-1.87	-1.87
Army	Pat	4.14	4.14	46.15	46.15	-0.32	-0.32
Colgate	Pat	4.12	4.12	33.33	33.33	-1.37	-1.37
Bucknell	Pat	4.10	4.10	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Long Island	NEC	1.91	1.91	43.33	43.33	-0.25	-0.25
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.89	1.89	32.26	32.26	-0.67	-0.67
Howard	MEAC	1.86	1.86	19.35	19.35	-1.14	-1.14
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.85	1.85	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.83	1.83	74.19	74.19	0.88	0.88
Longwood	ind	1.78	1.78	30.77	30.77	-0.68	-0.68
George Washington	A10	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Coppin St.	MEAC	1.77	1.77	19.23	19.23	-1.09	-1.09
Buffalo	MAC	1.75	1.75	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
Towson	CAA	1.72	1.72	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.72	75.00	75.00	0.86	0.86
Pennsylvania	Ivy	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.95	-0.95
Elon	SC	1.72	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
Seton Hall	BE	1.69	1.69	60.00	60.00	0.34	0.34
Radford	BSth	1.67	1.67	57.14	57.14	0.24	0.24
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.40	0.40	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
Columbia	Ivy	0.36	0.36	39.29	39.29	-0.08	-0.08
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.31	0.31	14.81	14.81	-0.22	-0.22
Yale	Ivy	0.28	0.28	36.67	36.67	-0.08	-0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.28	0.28	31.03	31.03	-0.11	-0.11
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.28	0.28	34.38	34.38	-0.09	-0.09
Wagner	NEC	0.27	0.27	16.13	16.13	-0.18	-0.18
Bryant	ind	0.25	0.25	3.33	3.33	-0.23	-0.23
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.24	0.24	37.93	37.93	-0.06	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.24	0.24	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.24	0.24	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.20	0.20	74.07	74.07	0.10	0.10
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.20	0.20	13.33	13.33	-0.14	-0.14
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.19	0.19	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.19	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.19	0.19	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.19	0.19	22.58	22.58	-0.10	-0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.19	0.19	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.19	0.19	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	0.19	0.19	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	0.17	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.17	0.17	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.16	0.16	3.33	3.33	-0.15	-0.15
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.15	12.00	12.00	-0.11	-0.11
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.14	0.14	24.00	24.00	-0.07	-0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.14	86.21	86.21	0.10	0.10
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.14	0.14	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.14	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.14	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.14	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
New Hampshire	AE	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.11	32.00	32.00	-0.04	-0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.11	0.11	21.88	21.88	-0.06	-0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.11	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.09	0.09	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.09	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.08	0.08	19.23	19.23	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.08	0.08	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Lehigh	Pat	4.30	4.30	73.33	73.33	2.01	2.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.83	1.83	74.19	74.19	0.88	0.88
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.72	75.00	75.00	0.86	0.86
Lafayette	Pat	4.27	4.27	56.67	56.67	0.57	0.57
Seton Hall	BE	1.69	1.69	60.00	60.00	0.34	0.34
Buffalo	MAC	1.75	1.75	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
Radford	BSth	1.67	1.67	57.14	57.14	0.24	0.24
Richmond	A10	0.19	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.14	86.21	86.21	0.10	0.10
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.20	0.20	74.07	74.07	0.10	0.10
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
Stony Brook	AE	0.19	0.19	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.19	0.19	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.14	0.14	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	0.19	0.19	67.65	67.65	0.07	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
George Washington	A10	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.03	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.11	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.19	0.19	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01