The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Siena page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Siena

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		31.0
Current RPI:		31
Expected SOS:		123
Current SOS:		123
Current Record:		27-6
Expected Record:		27-6
Current Conf Record:		20-1
Expected Conf Record:		20-1
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-0
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		95
Expected OOC SOS:		70

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
27-6		31.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Siena.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	A	85-69	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Northeastern (75.0)	CAA	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Temple (9.0)	A10	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Delaware (239.0)	CAA	H	90-56	W	100%	0.0
11-27	St. John's (82.0)	BE	N	68-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Brown (257.0)	Ivy	N	99-79	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Albany (302.0)	AE	H	83-54	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	A	73-60	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Northern Iowa (17.0)	MVC	A	65-82	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	H	84-62	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Saint Joseph's (180.0)	A10	H	92-75	W	100%	0.0
12-31	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	H	64-53	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Mount St. Mary's (172.0)	NEC	H	79-76	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	A	76-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	H	83-65	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	H	82-70	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	A	81-73	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	H	83-68	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	H	67-61	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	A	66-58	W	100%	0.0
1-28	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	A	66-58	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	A	79-60	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	H	88-68	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	A	74-87	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	A	74-57	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Butler (11.0)	Horz	A	53-70	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	A	80-54	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	H	76-51	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	H	78-61	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	H	72-62	W	100%	0.0
3-8	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	H	72-65	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Siena's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Siena's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Siena.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.51	26.51	85.61	85.61	18.88	18.88
Fairfield	MAAC	5.51	5.51	75.86	75.86	2.85	2.85
Rider	MAAC	5.50	5.50	56.67	56.67	0.73	0.73
Manhattan	MAAC	5.46	5.46	39.29	39.29	-1.17	-1.17
Niagara	MAAC	4.10	4.10	54.84	54.84	0.40	0.40
Canisius	MAAC	4.07	4.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.04	4.04	46.43	46.43	-0.29	-0.29
Iona	MAAC	4.02	4.02	72.41	72.41	1.80	1.80
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.01	4.01	57.14	57.14	0.57	0.57
Marist	MAAC	3.99	3.99	3.57	3.57	-3.71	-3.71
Saint Joseph's	A10	1.63	1.63	36.67	36.67	-0.43	-0.43
Temple	A10	1.61	1.61	84.85	84.85	1.12	1.12
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.61	1.61	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Delaware	CAA	1.58	1.58	23.33	23.33	-0.85	-0.85
Albany	AE	1.56	1.56	22.58	22.58	-0.86	-0.86
Northeastern	CAA	1.56	1.56	64.52	64.52	0.45	0.45
St. John's	BE	1.56	1.56	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Brown	Ivy	1.54	1.54	32.14	32.14	-0.55	-0.55
Butler	Horz	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.52	1.52	62.50	62.50	0.38	0.38
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.52	1.52	29.03	29.03	-0.64	-0.64
Hofstra	CAA	0.36	0.36	56.25	56.25	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.27	0.27	73.53	73.53	0.13	0.13
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.24	0.24	59.38	59.38	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.24	0.24	71.88	71.88	0.10	0.10
American	Pat	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.21	0.21	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Fordham	A10	0.21	0.21	7.14	7.14	-0.18	-0.18
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.21	0.21	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.19	0.19	37.93	37.93	-0.05	-0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Towson	CAA	0.17	0.17	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.17	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.17	0.17	13.33	13.33	-0.12	-0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.15	0.15	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.13	0.13	16.13	16.13	-0.09	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.12	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.02	0.02	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.51	26.51	85.61	85.61	18.88	18.88
Fairfield	MAAC	5.51	5.51	75.86	75.86	2.85	2.85
Rider	MAAC	5.50	5.50	56.67	56.67	0.73	0.73
Manhattan	MAAC	5.46	5.46	39.29	39.29	-1.17	-1.17
Niagara	MAAC	4.10	4.10	54.84	54.84	0.40	0.40
Canisius	MAAC	4.07	4.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.04	4.04	46.43	46.43	-0.29	-0.29
Iona	MAAC	4.02	4.02	72.41	72.41	1.80	1.80
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.01	4.01	57.14	57.14	0.57	0.57
Marist	MAAC	3.99	3.99	3.57	3.57	-3.71	-3.71
Saint Joseph's	A10	1.63	1.63	36.67	36.67	-0.43	-0.43
Temple	A10	1.61	1.61	84.85	84.85	1.12	1.12
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.61	1.61	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Delaware	CAA	1.58	1.58	23.33	23.33	-0.85	-0.85
Albany	AE	1.56	1.56	22.58	22.58	-0.86	-0.86
Northeastern	CAA	1.56	1.56	64.52	64.52	0.45	0.45
St. John's	BE	1.56	1.56	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Brown	Ivy	1.54	1.54	32.14	32.14	-0.55	-0.55
Butler	Horz	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.52	1.52	62.50	62.50	0.38	0.38
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.52	1.52	29.03	29.03	-0.64	-0.64
Hofstra	CAA	0.36	0.36	56.25	56.25	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.27	0.27	73.53	73.53	0.13	0.13
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.24	0.24	59.38	59.38	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.24	0.24	71.88	71.88	0.10	0.10
American	Pat	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.21	0.21	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Fordham	A10	0.21	0.21	7.14	7.14	-0.18	-0.18
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.21	0.21	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.19	0.19	37.93	37.93	-0.05	-0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Towson	CAA	0.17	0.17	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.17	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.17	0.17	13.33	13.33	-0.12	-0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.15	0.15	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.13	0.13	16.13	16.13	-0.09	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.12	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.02	0.02	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.51	26.51	85.61	85.61	18.88	18.88
Fairfield	MAAC	5.51	5.51	75.86	75.86	2.85	2.85
Iona	MAAC	4.02	4.02	72.41	72.41	1.80	1.80
Butler	Horz	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Temple	A10	1.61	1.61	84.85	84.85	1.12	1.12
Rider	MAAC	5.50	5.50	56.67	56.67	0.73	0.73
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.01	4.01	57.14	57.14	0.57	0.57
Northeastern	CAA	1.56	1.56	64.52	64.52	0.45	0.45
Niagara	MAAC	4.10	4.10	54.84	54.84	0.40	0.40
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.52	1.52	62.50	62.50	0.38	0.38
Vermont	AE	0.27	0.27	73.53	73.53	0.13	0.13
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.61	1.61	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Rhode Island	A10	0.24	0.24	71.88	71.88	0.10	0.10
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.12	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
St. John's	BE	1.56	1.56	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.24	0.24	59.38	59.38	0.05	0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.36	0.36	56.25	56.25	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.