The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Siena page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Siena

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		34.4
Current RPI:		34
Expected SOS:		136
Current SOS:		137
Current Record:		20-4
Expected Record:		24-6
Current Conf Record:		13-0
Expected Conf Record:		17-1
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-0
Current OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		91
Expected OOC SOS:		86

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
26-4	23.5	9.68%
25-5	29.7	37.69%
24-6	36.8	36.18%
23-7	45.3	14.22%
22-8	54.1	2.10%
21-9	63.3	0.12%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Siena.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	A	85-69	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Temple (24.9)	A10	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Delaware (226.0)	CAA	H	90-56	W	100%	0.0
11-27	St. John's (101.2)	BE	N	68-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Brown (266.3)	Ivy	N	99-79	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	83-54	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Iona (79.9)	MAAC	A	73-60	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	A	65-82	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Rider (159.5)	MAAC	H	84-62	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	H	92-75	W	100%	0.0
12-31	St. Peter's (145.2)	MAAC	H	64-53	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Mount St. Mary's (186.5)	NEC	H	79-76	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	A	76-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	H	83-65	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Canisius (202.7)	MAAC	H	82-70	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Fairfield (108.8)	MAAC	A	81-73	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Manhattan (240.2)	MAAC	H	83-68	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	H	67-61	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Manhattan (240.2)	MAAC	A	66-58	W	100%	0.0
1-28	St. Peter's (145.2)	MAAC	A	66-58	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Marist (330.1)	MAAC	A	79-60	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Iona (79.9)	MAAC	H	88-68	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Fairfield (108.8)	MAAC	H	0-0		88%	12.6
2-12	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	A	0-0		66%	4.5
2-14	Canisius (202.7)	MAAC	A	0-0		79%	8.7
2-20	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	0-0		26%	-7.1
2-26	Rider (159.5)	MAAC	A	0-0		80%	9.0
2-28	Marist (330.1)	MAAC	H	0-0		100%	29.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Siena's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Siena's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Siena.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.40	26.34	86.54	85.37	19.29	18.63
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.85	4.26	54.55	55.37	0.44	0.46
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.85	4.23	63.64	63.30	1.32	1.12
Manhattan	MAAC	4.85	4.23	36.36	37.94	-1.32	-1.02
Iona	MAAC	4.85	4.26	78.26	75.61	2.74	2.18
Rider	MAAC	2.94	4.26	54.17	52.04	0.25	0.17
Canisius	MAAC	2.94	4.23	45.83	47.62	-0.25	-0.20
Niagara	MAAC	2.94	4.26	54.17	54.24	0.25	0.36
Marist	MAAC	2.94	4.23	4.35	5.06	-2.69	-3.80
Fairfield	MAAC	2.85	4.23	72.73	68.83	1.30	1.59
Temple	A10	2.22	1.78	78.26	76.82	1.26	0.95
Delaware	CAA	2.21	1.75	27.27	27.88	-1.01	-0.77
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.21	1.78	40.91	49.35	-0.40	-0.02
St. John's	BE	2.18	1.72	52.38	47.49	0.10	-0.09
Northeastern	CAA	2.17	1.72	69.57	70.46	0.85	0.71
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.17	1.77	40.91	37.84	-0.39	-0.43
Albany	AE	2.17	1.72	24.00	26.63	-1.13	-0.80
Brown	Ivy	2.13	1.69	25.00	28.28	-1.07	-0.74
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.08	1.67	71.43	66.99	0.89	0.57
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.08	1.67	90.91	87.79	1.70	1.26
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.08	1.67	20.83	24.84	-1.22	-0.84
Long Island	NEC	0.39	0.25	39.13	41.53	-0.09	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.34	0.28	54.17	57.70	0.03	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.30	0.28	68.00	67.20	0.11	0.10
Fordham	A10	0.27	0.20	9.52	8.87	-0.22	-0.16
Hofstra	CAA	0.27	0.31	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
American	Pat	0.27	0.20	30.43	32.39	-0.10	-0.07
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.23	0.20	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.23	0.20	86.36	81.50	0.17	0.12
Wagner	NEC	0.23	0.14	16.00	21.62	-0.15	-0.08
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.20	70.59	70.98	0.09	0.08
Providence	BE	0.22	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.22	0.17	16.67	19.94	-0.15	-0.10
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.22	0.22	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.22	0.20	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.22	0.19	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.22	0.22	25.00	26.64	-0.11	-0.10
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.07
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.19	0.14	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.18	0.17	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.06
Villanova	BE	0.18	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.15	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.14	72.00	73.54	0.08	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.18	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.18	0.14	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.17	0.14	68.18	68.72	0.06	0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.11	22.22	27.56	-0.10	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.17	0.14	33.33	33.00	-0.06	-0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.17	0.16	8.70	11.46	-0.14	-0.13
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.16	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.11	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.08
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	71.78	0.05	0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.14	0.08	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.14	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.07	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.10	0.05
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.17	22.73	23.47	-0.07	-0.09
Lafayette	Pat	0.13	0.09	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.13	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.07	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.25	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.08
Connecticut	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.13	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.13	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.11	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.11	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.08	31.82	42.24	-0.05	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.13	0.14	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.11	23.81	27.28	-0.07	-0.05
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.08
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.08	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Maine	AE	0.09	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.08	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.11	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.09	0.11	15.79	17.64	-0.06	-0.07
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.11	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.14	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.08	0.11	30.43	32.48	-0.03	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.08	0.17	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.08	0.11	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.04	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.17	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.06	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.05	5.00	8.59	-0.07	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.14	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.05	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.04	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.04	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.04	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.04	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.04	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.05	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.04	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.04	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.04	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.04	0.05	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.04	0.05	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.05	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.04	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.05	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.05	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.00	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.04	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.00	1.67	83.33	84.25	0.00	1.14
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.05	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.00	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.00	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.00	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.40	26.34	86.54	85.37	19.29	18.63
Niagara	MAAC	2.94	4.26	54.17	54.24	0.25	0.36
Rider	MAAC	2.94	4.26	54.17	52.04	0.25	0.17
Iona	MAAC	4.85	4.26	78.26	75.61	2.74	2.18
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.85	4.26	54.55	55.37	0.44	0.46
Canisius	MAAC	2.94	4.23	45.83	47.62	-0.25	-0.20
Fairfield	MAAC	2.85	4.23	72.73	68.83	1.30	1.59
Manhattan	MAAC	4.85	4.23	36.36	37.94	-1.32	-1.02
Marist	MAAC	2.94	4.23	4.35	5.06	-2.69	-3.80
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.85	4.23	63.64	63.30	1.32	1.12
Temple	A10	2.22	1.78	78.26	76.82	1.26	0.95
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.21	1.78	40.91	49.35	-0.40	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.17	1.77	40.91	37.84	-0.39	-0.43
Delaware	CAA	2.21	1.75	27.27	27.88	-1.01	-0.77
Northeastern	CAA	2.17	1.72	69.57	70.46	0.85	0.71
St. John's	BE	2.18	1.72	52.38	47.49	0.10	-0.09
Albany	AE	2.17	1.72	24.00	26.63	-1.13	-0.80
Brown	Ivy	2.13	1.69	25.00	28.28	-1.07	-0.74
Butler	Horz	0.00	1.67	83.33	84.25	0.00	1.14
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.08	1.67	71.43	66.99	0.89	0.57
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.08	1.67	90.91	87.79	1.70	1.26
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.08	1.67	20.83	24.84	-1.22	-0.84
Hofstra	CAA	0.27	0.31	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.30	0.28	68.00	67.20	0.11	0.10
Boston University	AE	0.34	0.28	54.17	57.70	0.03	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.39	0.25	39.13	41.53	-0.09	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.25	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.22	0.22	25.00	26.64	-0.11	-0.10
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.22	0.22	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.20	70.59	70.98	0.09	0.08
American	Pat	0.27	0.20	30.43	32.39	-0.10	-0.07
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.23	0.20	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.27	0.20	9.52	8.87	-0.22	-0.16
Rutgers	BE	0.22	0.20	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.23	0.20	86.36	81.50	0.17	0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.22	0.19	56.00	55.91	0.03	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.18	0.17	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.06
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.17	22.73	23.47	-0.07	-0.09
New Hampshire	AE	0.08	0.17	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.22	0.17	16.67	19.94	-0.15	-0.10
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.17	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.16	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.17	0.16	8.70	11.46	-0.14	-0.13
Bucknell	Pat	0.18	0.14	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.19	0.14	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.23	0.14	16.00	21.62	-0.15	-0.08
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.14	72.00	73.54	0.08	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.07
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.17	0.14	33.33	33.00	-0.06	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.13	0.14	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.13	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.17	0.14	68.18	68.72	0.06	0.05
Providence	BE	0.22	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.14	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.14	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.09	0.11	15.79	17.64	-0.06	-0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.11	22.22	27.56	-0.10	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.11	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.11	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.08
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.11	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.14	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.11	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.18	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.04
Hartford	AE	0.08	0.11	30.43	32.48	-0.03	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.11	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.07	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.18	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.15	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.08	0.11	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.11	23.81	27.28	-0.07	-0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.13	0.09	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	71.78	0.05	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.08
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.10	0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.08	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.14	0.08	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.08	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.13	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.07	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.08	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.08	31.82	42.24	-0.05	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.09	0.08	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.13	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.04	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.00	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.04	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.04	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.00	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.05	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.05	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.05	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.04	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.04	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.05	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.04	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.04	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.04	0.05	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.04	0.05	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.05	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.06	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.05	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.05	5.00	8.59	-0.07	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.04	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.00	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.04	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.00	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.04	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.04	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.04	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.04	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.40	26.34	86.54	85.37	19.29	18.63
Iona	MAAC	4.85	4.26	78.26	75.61	2.74	2.18
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.08	1.67	90.91	87.79	1.70	1.26
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.85	4.23	63.64	63.30	1.32	1.12
Fairfield	MAAC	2.85	4.23	72.73	68.83	1.30	1.59
Temple	A10	2.22	1.78	78.26	76.82	1.26	0.95
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.08	1.67	71.43	66.99	0.89	0.57
Northeastern	CAA	2.17	1.72	69.57	70.46	0.85	0.71
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.85	4.26	54.55	55.37	0.44	0.46
Rider	MAAC	2.94	4.26	54.17	52.04	0.25	0.17
Niagara	MAAC	2.94	4.26	54.17	54.24	0.25	0.36
Rhode Island	A10	0.23	0.20	86.36	81.50	0.17	0.12
Villanova	BE	0.18	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.15	0.07
Vermont	AE	0.30	0.28	68.00	67.20	0.11	0.10
St. John's	BE	2.18	1.72	52.38	47.49	0.10	-0.09
Cornell	Ivy	0.14	0.11	85.71	85.57	0.10	0.08
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.10	0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.20	70.59	70.98	0.09	0.08
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.18	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.14	72.00	73.54	0.08	0.07
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.07	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.13	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.07	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.17	0.14	68.18	68.72	0.06	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.06	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	71.78	0.05	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.08	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.25	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.08
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.04	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.04	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.08	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.13	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.04	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.04	0.05	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.04	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Purdue