The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Siena page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Siena

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		31.1
Current RPI:		31
Expected SOS:		126
Current SOS:		127
Current Record:		27-6
Expected Record:		27-6
Current Conf Record:		20-1
Expected Conf Record:		20-1
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-0
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		98
Expected OOC SOS:		73

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
27-6		31.1		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Siena.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	A	85-69	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Northeastern (73.3)	CAA	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Temple (17.5)	A10	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Delaware (237.6)	CAA	H	90-56	W	100%	0.0
11-27	St. John's (82.3)	BE	N	68-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Brown (256.6)	Ivy	N	99-79	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Georgia Tech (40.1)	ACC	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Albany (301.9)	AE	H	83-54	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Iona (87.9)	MAAC	A	73-60	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Northern Iowa (18.0)	MVC	A	65-82	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Rider (142.4)	MAAC	H	84-62	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Saint Joseph's (178.4)	A10	H	92-75	W	100%	0.0
12-31	St. Peter's (179.9)	MAAC	H	64-53	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Mount St. Mary's (172.1)	NEC	H	79-76	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Loyola MD (217.9)	MAAC	A	76-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Niagara (130.5)	MAAC	H	83-65	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Canisius (204.6)	MAAC	H	82-70	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Fairfield (80.0)	MAAC	A	81-73	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Manhattan (225.9)	MAAC	H	83-68	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Loyola MD (217.9)	MAAC	H	67-61	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Manhattan (225.9)	MAAC	A	66-58	W	100%	0.0
1-28	St. Peter's (179.9)	MAAC	A	66-58	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Marist (334.1)	MAAC	A	79-60	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Iona (87.9)	MAAC	H	88-68	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Fairfield (80.0)	MAAC	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Niagara (130.5)	MAAC	A	74-87	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Canisius (204.6)	MAAC	A	74-57	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Butler (12.7)	Horz	A	53-70	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Rider (142.4)	MAAC	A	80-54	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Marist (334.1)	MAAC	H	76-51	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Manhattan (225.9)	MAAC	H	78-61	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Rider (142.4)	MAAC	H	72-62	W	100%	0.0
3-8	Fairfield (80.0)	MAAC	H	72-65	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Siena's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Siena's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Siena.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.52	26.52	85.61	85.61	18.89	18.89
Fairfield	MAAC	5.51	5.51	75.86	75.86	2.85	2.85
Rider	MAAC	5.50	5.50	56.67	56.67	0.73	0.73
Manhattan	MAAC	5.46	5.46	39.29	39.29	-1.17	-1.17
Niagara	MAAC	4.10	4.10	54.84	54.84	0.40	0.40
Canisius	MAAC	4.07	4.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.04	4.04	46.43	46.43	-0.29	-0.29
Iona	MAAC	4.02	4.02	72.41	72.41	1.80	1.80
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.01	4.01	57.14	57.14	0.57	0.57
Marist	MAAC	3.99	3.99	3.57	3.57	-3.71	-3.71
Saint Joseph's	A10	1.63	1.63	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Temple	A10	1.61	1.61	83.33	83.49	1.07	1.08
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.61	1.61	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Delaware	CAA	1.59	1.59	23.33	23.33	-0.85	-0.85
St. John's	BE	1.57	1.56	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Albany	AE	1.56	1.56	22.58	22.58	-0.86	-0.86
Northeastern	CAA	1.56	1.56	64.52	64.52	0.45	0.45
Brown	Ivy	1.54	1.54	32.14	32.14	-0.55	-0.55
Butler	Horz	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.52	1.52	62.07	61.12	0.37	0.34
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.52	1.52	29.03	29.03	-0.64	-0.64
Hofstra	CAA	0.36	0.36	56.25	56.25	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.27	0.27	72.73	72.42	0.12	0.12
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.24	0.24	61.29	60.55	0.06	0.05
American	Pat	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.22	0.22	73.33	72.98	0.10	0.10
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Fordham	A10	0.22	0.22	7.14	7.14	-0.19	-0.19
Howard	MEAC	0.21	0.21	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.19	0.19	37.93	37.93	-0.05	-0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.19	0.21	48.28	47.06	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Towson	CAA	0.17	0.17	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.17	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.17	0.17	13.33	13.33	-0.12	-0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.08
New Hampshire	AE	0.15	0.15	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	73.53	73.54	0.07	0.07
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.13	0.13	16.13	16.13	-0.09	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.12	0.12	25.93	26.48	-0.06	-0.06
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	76.67	76.05	0.05	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.42	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.97	0.05	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.12	75.86	75.54	0.05	0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.46	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.29	60.86	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	83.87	84.24	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	64.52	63.56	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	44.56	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	36.67	35.81	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	76.67	76.33	0.04	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.22	0.06	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.21	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.83	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	80.00	78.82	0.03	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.80	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	65.52	64.59	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.42	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.04	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	57.14	56.84	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.58	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.02	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.02	60.00	59.43	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.02	56.25	55.27	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.02	32.00	33.43	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	56.00	55.71	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	93.75	93.44	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.00	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.36	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	54.84	53.66	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	71.88	70.21	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	68.35	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.62	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	45.16	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	80.65	80.72	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.52	26.52	85.61	85.61	18.89	18.89
Fairfield	MAAC	5.51	5.51	75.86	75.86	2.85	2.85
Rider	MAAC	5.50	5.50	56.67	56.67	0.73	0.73
Manhattan	MAAC	5.46	5.46	39.29	39.29	-1.17	-1.17
Niagara	MAAC	4.10	4.10	54.84	54.84	0.40	0.40
Canisius	MAAC	4.07	4.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	4.04	4.04	46.43	46.43	-0.29	-0.29
Iona	MAAC	4.02	4.02	72.41	72.41	1.80	1.80
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.01	4.01	57.14	57.14	0.57	0.57
Marist	MAAC	3.99	3.99	3.57	3.57	-3.71	-3.71
Saint Joseph's	A10	1.63	1.63	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Temple	A10	1.61	1.61	83.33	83.49	1.07	1.08
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.61	1.61	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Delaware	CAA	1.59	1.59	23.33	23.33	-0.85	-0.85
St. John's	BE	1.57	1.56	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Albany	AE	1.56	1.56	22.58	22.58	-0.86	-0.86
Northeastern	CAA	1.56	1.56	64.52	64.52	0.45	0.45
Brown	Ivy	1.54	1.54	32.14	32.14	-0.55	-0.55
Butler	Horz	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.52	1.52	62.07	61.12	0.37	0.34
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.52	1.52	29.03	29.03	-0.64	-0.64
Hofstra	CAA	0.36	0.36	56.25	56.25	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.27	0.27	72.73	72.42	0.12	0.12
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.24	0.24	61.29	60.55	0.06	0.05
American	Pat	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.22	0.22	73.33	72.98	0.10	0.10
Fordham	A10	0.22	0.22	7.14	7.14	-0.19	-0.19
Howard	MEAC	0.21	0.21	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.19	0.21	48.28	47.06	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.19	0.19	37.93	37.93	-0.05	-0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Towson	CAA	0.17	0.17	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.17	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.17	0.17	13.33	13.33	-0.12	-0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.08
New Hampshire	AE	0.15	0.15	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	73.53	73.54	0.07	0.07
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.13	0.13	16.13	16.13	-0.09	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.12	0.12	25.93	26.48	-0.06	-0.06
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.12	75.86	75.54	0.05	0.06
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.10	0.10	14.81	14.81	-0.07	-0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	76.67	76.05	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.42	0.05	0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.97	0.05	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.46	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.29	60.86	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	44.56	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	64.52	63.56	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	83.87	84.24	0.05	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	36.67	35.81	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	76.67	76.33	0.04	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.22	0.06	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.21	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	80.00	78.82	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.83	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.80	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	65.52	64.59	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.04	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	57.14	56.84	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.42	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.58	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.02	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	56.00	55.71	0.00	0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.02	60.00	59.43	0.01	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.02	56.25	55.27	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.36	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.02	32.00	33.43	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	54.84	53.66	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	93.75	93.44	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	71.88	70.21	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.00	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	68.35	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.62	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	45.16	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	80.65	80.72	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	26.52	26.52	85.61	85.61	18.89	18.89
Fairfield	MAAC	5.51	5.51	75.86	75.86	2.85	2.85
Iona	MAAC	4.02	4.02	72.41	72.41	1.80	1.80
Butler	Horz	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.52	1.52	87.10	87.10	1.12	1.12
Temple	A10	1.61	1.61	83.33	83.49	1.07	1.08
Rider	MAAC	5.50	5.50	56.67	56.67	0.73	0.73
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.01	4.01	57.14	57.14	0.57	0.57
Northeastern	CAA	1.56	1.56	64.52	64.52	0.45	0.45
Niagara	MAAC	4.10	4.10	54.84	54.84	0.40	0.40
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.52	1.52	62.07	61.12	0.37	0.34
Vermont	AE	0.27	0.27	72.73	72.42	0.12	0.12
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.61	1.61	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Rhode Island	A10	0.22	0.22	73.33	72.98	0.10	0.10
Princeton	Ivy	0.20	0.20	70.37	70.37	0.08	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.22	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	73.53	73.54	0.07	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	93.55	93.22	0.06	0.06
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Boston University	AE	0.24	0.24	61.29	60.55	0.06	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	76.67	76.05	0.05	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
St. John's	BE	1.57	1.56	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	83.87	84.24	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.97	0.05	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.12	75.86	75.54	0.05	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.42	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.36	0.36	56.25	56.25	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.46	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.07	0.07	76.67	76.33	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Baylor