The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UAB page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

UAB

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		34.4
Current RPI:		29
Expected SOS:		101
Current SOS:		101
Current Record:		19-4
Expected Record:		24-6
Current Conf Record:		7-2
Expected Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		23
Expected OOC SOS:		98

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
26-4	16.4	3.40%
25-5	22.2	17.62%
24-6	29.8	33.25%
23-7	39.2	29.07%
22-8	49.6	13.18%
21-9	58.7	3.17%
20-10	69.1	0.29%
19-11	77.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UAB.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	N	68-56	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Samford (257.2)	SC	N	55-52	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Jacksonville St. (265.2)	OVC	A	87-62	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	H	72-56	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	77-59	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Florida A&M (325.5)	MEAC	H	90-59	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	65-64	W	100%	0.0
12-4	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	H	74-52	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	H	64-47	W	100%	0.0
12-19	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	A	72-54	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Butler (17.9)	Horz	H	67-57	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Virginia (92.0)	ACC	A	63-72	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	73-72	W	100%	0.0
1-6	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	A	58-49	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	A	63-62	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	H	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	61-59	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	H	65-55	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	H	65-74	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	A	75-85	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	A	76-65	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	H	0-0		71%	6.0
2-17	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	A	0-0		54%	1.2
2-20	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	H	0-0		76%	7.6
2-24	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	A	0-0		75%	7.5
2-27	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	H	0-0		95%	17.6
3-3	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	H	0-0		57%	2.0
3-6	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	A	0-0		28%	-6.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UAB's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UAB's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UAB.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UAB	CUSA	26.15	26.16	84.76	79.95	18.18	15.67
Marshall	CUSA	2.64	3.98	70.00	69.47	1.06	1.55
Tulane	CUSA	2.59	3.93	33.33	31.58	-0.86	-1.45
South Alabama	SB	2.53	1.94	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.53	3.97	58.82	58.60	0.45	0.68
Rice	CUSA	2.53	2.31	33.33	31.43	-0.84	-0.86
Memphis	CUSA	2.49	3.90	68.18	69.90	0.91	1.55
East Carolina	CUSA	2.48	2.34	21.05	22.79	-1.44	-1.27
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.48	2.30	47.37	45.58	-0.13	-0.20
Tulsa	CUSA	2.48	2.36	80.95	73.37	1.53	1.11
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.43	3.89	76.19	74.94	1.28	1.94
Troy	SB	2.42	1.93	50.00	52.40	0.00	0.09
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	2.36	1.78	63.64	59.77	0.64	0.35
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.32	1.85	54.55	56.91	0.21	0.26
Arkansas	SEC	2.32	1.75	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Georgia	SEC	2.27	1.72	50.00	47.06	0.00	-0.10
Kent St.	MAC	2.27	1.73	68.18	69.27	0.83	0.67
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.72	86.96	86.81	1.68	1.27
Samford	SC	2.27	1.72	30.00	32.23	-0.91	-0.61
Jacksonville St.	OVC	2.23	1.70	40.00	42.87	-0.45	-0.24
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.22	1.69	52.17	55.60	0.10	0.19
Cincinnati	BE	2.17	1.67	63.64	57.45	0.59	0.25
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.17	1.67	20.00	23.76	-1.30	-0.87
Virginia	ACC	2.17	1.67	65.00	55.77	0.65	0.19
Houston	CUSA	0.46	2.34	47.62	51.77	-0.02	0.08
Central Florida	CUSA	0.36	2.28	47.62	45.18	-0.02	-0.22
New Orleans	SB	0.36	0.27	22.73	22.86	-0.19	-0.15
Western Kentucky	SB	0.29	0.27	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.27	0.28	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.26	73.91	72.52	0.12	0.12
Florida	SEC	0.25	0.17	73.91	67.72	0.12	0.06
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.25	0.23	25.00	34.68	-0.12	-0.07
Florida International	SB	0.25	0.24	24.00	23.74	-0.13	-0.12
Tennessee	SEC	0.25	0.23	81.82	75.66	0.16	0.12
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.25	0.20	22.73	24.05	-0.13	-0.10
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.25	0.21	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.11	0.10
College of Charleston	SC	0.20	0.12	66.67	65.62	0.07	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.20	0.17	65.22	62.18	0.06	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.20	0.14	23.81	27.28	-0.10	-0.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.20	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.17	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.17	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.20	0.12	68.18	67.88	0.07	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.20	0.12	61.90	63.69	0.05	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.20	0.17	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.19	0.15	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.19	0.17	23.81	28.38	-0.10	-0.07
Arkansas St.	SB	0.19	0.20	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.08	-0.06
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.19	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.16	0.09	21.74	24.84	-0.09	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.16	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.08	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.17	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.06
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.14	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.14	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.14	-0.10
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.05	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.05
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.12	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.12	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.09	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Elon	SC	0.10	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.06
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.09	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.10	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.12	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.11	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.12	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.07
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.11	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.00	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.00	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.00	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.00	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UAB	CUSA	26.15	26.16	84.76	79.95	18.18	15.67
Marshall	CUSA	2.64	3.98	70.00	69.47	1.06	1.55
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.53	3.97	58.82	58.60	0.45	0.68
Tulane	CUSA	2.59	3.93	33.33	31.58	-0.86	-1.45
Memphis	CUSA	2.49	3.90	68.18	69.90	0.91	1.55
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.43	3.89	76.19	74.94	1.28	1.94
Tulsa	CUSA	2.48	2.36	80.95	73.37	1.53	1.11
East Carolina	CUSA	2.48	2.34	21.05	22.79	-1.44	-1.27
Houston	CUSA	0.46	2.34	47.62	51.77	-0.02	0.08
Rice	CUSA	2.53	2.31	33.33	31.43	-0.84	-0.86
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.48	2.30	47.37	45.58	-0.13	-0.20
Central Florida	CUSA	0.36	2.28	47.62	45.18	-0.02	-0.22
South Alabama	SB	2.53	1.94	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
Troy	SB	2.42	1.93	50.00	52.40	0.00	0.09
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.32	1.85	54.55	56.91	0.21	0.26
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	2.36	1.78	63.64	59.77	0.64	0.35
Arkansas	SEC	2.32	1.75	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	2.27	1.73	68.18	69.27	0.83	0.67
Georgia	SEC	2.27	1.72	50.00	47.06	0.00	-0.10
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.72	86.96	86.81	1.68	1.27
Samford	SC	2.27	1.72	30.00	32.23	-0.91	-0.61
Jacksonville St.	OVC	2.23	1.70	40.00	42.87	-0.45	-0.24
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.22	1.69	52.17	55.60	0.10	0.19
Cincinnati	BE	2.17	1.67	63.64	57.45	0.59	0.25
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.17	1.67	20.00	23.76	-1.30	-0.87
Virginia	ACC	2.17	1.67	65.00	55.77	0.65	0.19
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.27	0.28	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.36	0.27	22.73	22.86	-0.19	-0.15
Western Kentucky	SB	0.29	0.27	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.26	73.91	72.52	0.12	0.12
Florida International	SB	0.25	0.24	24.00	23.74	-0.13	-0.12
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.25	0.23	25.00	34.68	-0.12	-0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.25	0.23	81.82	75.66	0.16	0.12
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.25	0.21	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.11	0.10
Arkansas St.	SB	0.19	0.20	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.25	0.20	22.73	24.05	-0.13	-0.10
Florida	SEC	0.25	0.17	73.91	67.72	0.12	0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.17	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.19	0.17	23.81	28.38	-0.10	-0.07
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.17	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.20	0.17	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.20	0.17	65.22	62.18	0.06	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.17	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.19	0.15	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.20	0.14	23.81	27.28	-0.10	-0.07
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.08	-0.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.20	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.12	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.10	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.12	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.20	0.12	61.90	63.69	0.05	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.20	0.12	66.67	65.62	0.07	0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.12	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.20	0.12	68.18	67.88	0.07	0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.14	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.06
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.12	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.11	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.14	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.14	-0.10
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.11	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.19	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.06
NC Greensboro	SC	0.16	0.09	21.74	24.84	-0.09	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.11	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.16	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.08	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.09	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.09	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.09	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.05	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.07
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Elon	SC	0.10	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Furman	SC	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.00	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Albany	AE	0.00	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.00	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.00	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.00	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02