The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated UAB page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

UAB

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		40.3
Current RPI:		40
Expected SOS:		96
Current SOS:		94
Current Record:		23-7
Expected Record:		23-7
Current Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		9-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		20
Expected OOC SOS:		89

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
23-7		40.3		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UAB.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Wisconsin Green Bay (107.7)	Horz	N	68-56	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Kent St. (42.3)	MAC	A	65-72	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Samford (262.0)	SC	N	55-52	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Jacksonville St. (297.0)	OVC	A	87-62	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Georgia (103.1)	SEC	H	72-56	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Troy (102.3)	SB	H	77-59	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Florida A&M (317.8)	MEAC	H	90-59	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Middle Tennessee (179.1)	SB	H	65-64	W	100%	0.0
12-4	East Tennessee St. (121.8)	ASun	H	74-52	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Cincinnati (65.1)	BE	H	64-47	W	100%	0.0
12-19	South Alabama (209.5)	SB	A	72-54	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Butler (15.7)	Horz	H	67-57	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Virginia (138.3)	ACC	A	63-72	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Arkansas (144.9)	SEC	A	73-72	W	100%	0.0
1-6	East Carolina (227.5)	CUSA	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Tulane (277.2)	CUSA	A	58-49	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Southern Methodist (199.9)	CUSA	A	63-62	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Southern Mississippi (123.1)	CUSA	H	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Marshall (61.4)	CUSA	A	61-59	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Tulsa (71.5)	CUSA	H	65-55	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Texas El Paso (40.5)	CUSA	H	65-74	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Memphis (51.2)	CUSA	A	75-85	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Rice (309.2)	CUSA	A	76-65	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Marshall (61.4)	CUSA	H	74-81	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Southern Mississippi (123.1)	CUSA	A	59-54	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Houston (161.1)	CUSA	H	75-66	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Central Florida (195.9)	CUSA	A	53-49	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Tulane (277.2)	CUSA	H	76-55	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Memphis (51.2)	CUSA	H	65-70	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Texas El Paso (40.5)	CUSA	A	50-52	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

UAB's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

UAB's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against UAB.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UAB	CUSA	26.15	26.13	76.76	76.76	14.00	13.99
Marshall	CUSA	3.97	3.96	73.08	73.08	1.83	1.83
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	3.96	4.01	58.33	59.20	0.66	0.74
Tulane	CUSA	3.93	3.98	29.63	29.29	-1.60	-1.65
Memphis	CUSA	3.90	3.88	72.41	72.41	1.75	1.74
Texas El Paso	CUSA	3.89	3.88	81.48	81.48	2.45	2.44
Tulsa	CUSA	2.36	2.38	68.97	69.74	0.90	0.94
East Carolina	CUSA	2.34	2.35	26.92	26.45	-1.08	-1.11
Houston	CUSA	2.33	2.35	50.00	51.24	0.00	0.06
Rice	CUSA	2.31	2.32	25.00	24.41	-1.15	-1.19
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.30	2.32	44.44	45.07	-0.26	-0.23
Central Florida	CUSA	2.28	2.30	46.43	46.14	-0.16	-0.18
South Alabama	SB	1.96	1.95	51.72	51.72	0.07	0.07
Troy	SB	1.95	1.95	62.96	62.49	0.51	0.49
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.84	1.84	58.62	58.62	0.32	0.32
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.78	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.47	0.47
Arkansas	SEC	1.75	1.78	46.67	46.57	-0.12	-0.12
Georgia	SEC	1.72	1.75	46.43	46.77	-0.12	-0.11
Kent St.	MAC	1.72	1.72	72.41	72.13	0.77	0.76
Samford	SC	1.72	1.72	29.63	29.63	-0.70	-0.70
Butler	Horz	1.72	1.72	90.00	89.66	1.38	1.36
Jacksonville St.	OVC	1.70	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.56
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Cincinnati	BE	1.67	1.67	55.17	56.07	0.17	0.20
Florida A&M	MEAC	1.67	1.67	28.57	28.56	-0.71	-0.71
Virginia	ACC	1.67	1.67	46.43	46.38	-0.12	-0.12
Western Kentucky	SB	0.29	0.28	61.76	61.76	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.27	0.26	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.26	0.26	21.43	21.43	-0.15	-0.15
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.26	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.10
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.23	0.23	25.00	26.79	-0.12	-0.11
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.23	0.22	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.23	0.22	19.35	19.35	-0.14	-0.14
Tennessee	SEC	0.22	0.22	76.67	77.24	0.12	0.12
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.20	75.86	75.86	0.11	0.10
Arkansas St.	SB	0.20	0.20	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.19	0.19	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.17	0.19	54.84	54.26	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.83	0.05	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.16	63.33	63.84	0.05	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.17	0.16	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.17	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.09
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	37.93	37.77	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Denver	SB	0.14	0.14	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.13	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.13	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.11	25.93	25.93	-0.06	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.12	0.11	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.06	0.02	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.11	0.11	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.14	72.41	71.68	0.05	0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.11	22.58	22.60	-0.06	-0.06
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.11	43.33	42.80	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	6.45	6.45	-0.10	-0.10
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	36.67	35.66	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	24.14	24.14	-0.06	-0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.13	64.52	63.14	0.03	0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.09	0.09	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.53	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.23	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.08	70.00	70.28	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.11	46.43	47.30	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	43.33	44.09	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.08	36.67	36.16	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	75.86	75.86	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.08	46.43	47.07	-0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	47.05	-0.01	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	54.17	54.17	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.08	0.08	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.08	0.08	34.48	33.79	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	60.71	60.18	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.84	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.08	90.32	90.32	0.07	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	74.19	73.13	0.04	0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.75	-0.05	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	46.43	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.41	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	42.31	42.12	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	32.00	31.07	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.10	87.42	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.33	42.55	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	33.41	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.05	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	62.71	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.05	53.33	53.19	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.05	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.06	0.05	74.19	74.49	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.05	70.00	70.04	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.62	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.05	0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	55.17	53.74	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.86	76.33	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.26	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.06	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	19.23	20.52	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.88	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.87	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.49	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.11	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.00	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	40.00	39.90	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.05	46.67	45.74	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.11	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.24	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.76	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	69.23	69.22	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.76	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UAB	CUSA	26.15	26.13	76.76	76.76	14.00	13.99
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	3.96	4.01	58.33	59.20	0.66	0.74
Tulane	CUSA	3.93	3.98	29.63	29.29	-1.60	-1.65
Marshall	CUSA	3.97	3.96	73.08	73.08	1.83	1.83
Memphis	CUSA	3.90	3.88	72.41	72.41	1.75	1.74
Texas El Paso	CUSA	3.89	3.88	81.48	81.48	2.45	2.44
Tulsa	CUSA	2.36	2.38	68.97	69.74	0.90	0.94
East Carolina	CUSA	2.34	2.35	26.92	26.45	-1.08	-1.11
Houston	CUSA	2.33	2.35	50.00	51.24	0.00	0.06
Rice	CUSA	2.31	2.32	25.00	24.41	-1.15	-1.19
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.30	2.32	44.44	45.07	-0.26	-0.23
Central Florida	CUSA	2.28	2.30	46.43	46.14	-0.16	-0.18
Troy	SB	1.95	1.95	62.96	62.49	0.51	0.49
South Alabama	SB	1.96	1.95	51.72	51.72	0.07	0.07
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.84	1.84	58.62	58.62	0.32	0.32
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	1.78	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.47	0.47
Arkansas	SEC	1.75	1.78	46.67	46.57	-0.12	-0.12
Georgia	SEC	1.72	1.75	46.43	46.77	-0.12	-0.11
Kent St.	MAC	1.72	1.72	72.41	72.13	0.77	0.76
Butler	Horz	1.72	1.72	90.00	89.66	1.38	1.36
Samford	SC	1.72	1.72	29.63	29.63	-0.70	-0.70
Jacksonville St.	OVC	1.70	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.56
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Cincinnati	BE	1.67	1.67	55.17	56.07	0.17	0.20
Florida A&M	MEAC	1.67	1.67	28.57	28.56	-0.71	-0.71
Virginia	ACC	1.67	1.67	46.43	46.38	-0.12	-0.12
Western Kentucky	SB	0.29	0.28	61.76	61.76	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.27	0.26	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.26	0.26	21.43	21.43	-0.15	-0.15
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.26	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.10
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.23	0.23	25.00	26.79	-0.12	-0.11
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.23	0.22	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.23	0.22	19.35	19.35	-0.14	-0.14
Tennessee	SEC	0.22	0.22	76.67	77.24	0.12	0.12
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.20	75.86	75.86	0.11	0.10
Arkansas St.	SB	0.20	0.20	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.17	0.19	54.84	54.26	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.19	0.19	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.83	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.17	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.09
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.16	63.33	63.84	0.05	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.17	0.16	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	37.93	37.77	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.14	72.41	71.68	0.05	0.06
Denver	SB	0.14	0.14	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.13	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.13	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.13	64.52	63.14	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.11	0.11	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.11	25.93	25.93	-0.06	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.12	0.11	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	6.45	6.45	-0.10	-0.10
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.11	43.33	42.80	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.11	46.43	47.30	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.11	22.58	22.60	-0.06	-0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.06	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	36.67	35.66	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	24.14	24.14	-0.06	-0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.09	0.09	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.23	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.53	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.08	46.43	47.07	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.08	70.00	70.28	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	43.33	44.09	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.08	36.67	36.16	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	75.86	75.86	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	47.05	-0.01	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	54.17	54.17	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.08	0.08	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.08	0.08	34.48	33.79	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	60.71	60.18	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.84	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	74.19	73.13	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.08	90.32	90.32	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.06	46.43	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.75	-0.05	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.41	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	32.00	31.07	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.06	87.10	87.42	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	42.31	42.12	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.06	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.33	42.55	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	33.41	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.05	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	62.71	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.05	53.33	53.19	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.05	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.06	0.05	74.19	74.49	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.05	70.00	70.04	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.62	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.05	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.05	46.67	45.74	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	55.17	53.74	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.26	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.86	76.33	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	19.23	20.52	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.88	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.87	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.49	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01