The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Xavier page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Xavier

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		26.6
Current RPI:		27
Expected SOS:		36
Current SOS:		16
Current Record:		16-7
Expected Record:		21-9
Current Conf Record:		8-2
Expected Conf Record:		13-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-6
Expected OOC RPI:		51
Expected OOC SOS:		14

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-7	15.6	13.02%
22-8	21.2	35.99%
21-9	29.1	34.24%
20-10	39.5	13.91%
19-11	50.7	2.61%
18-12	61.0	0.20%
17-13	74.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Xavier.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	H	83-57	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	101-57	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	H	105-65	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Marquette (55.4)	BE	N	61-71	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	N	80-67	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Baylor (23.2)	B12	N	64-69	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	77-61	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	A	56-71	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	H	83-79	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	68-69	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	70-67	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	H	89-65	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Wake Forest (25.2)	ACC	A	92-96	L	0%	0.0
1-7	La Salle (138.5)	A10	A	68-62	W	100%	0.0
1-10	George Washington (136.9)	A10	A	76-69	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	H	86-74	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Dayton (32.1)	A10	H	78-74	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Temple (24.9)	A10	A	72-77	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	72-61	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	H	86-50	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Fordham (296.2)	A10	H	108-60	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Massachusetts (194.2)	A10	A	87-79	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Dayton (32.1)	A10	A	65-90	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Florida (50.5)	SEC	A	0-0		44%	-1.6
2-17	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	H	0-0		96%	19.2
2-20	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	A	0-0		62%	3.3
2-24	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	A	0-0		73%	6.7
2-28	Richmond (38.1)	A10	H	0-0		78%	8.2
3-3	Fordham (296.2)	A10	A	0-0		98%	21.6
3-6	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	H	0-0		93%	15.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Xavier's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Xavier's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Xavier.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Xavier	A10	26.22	26.02	71.26	74.21	11.15	12.60
Dayton	A10	4.69	3.87	75.00	73.47	2.34	1.82
Fordham	A10	2.61	3.84	10.00	9.47	-2.09	-3.12
Temple	A10	2.57	2.24	78.26	76.82	1.45	1.20
Rhode Island	A10	2.57	2.21	90.48	84.41	2.08	1.52
Massachusetts	A10	2.47	2.20	33.33	32.77	-0.82	-0.76
La Salle	A10	2.47	2.18	50.00	47.95	0.00	-0.09
George Washington	A10	2.47	2.20	57.14	57.03	0.35	0.31
Miami OH	MAC	2.46	1.89	45.45	49.32	-0.22	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	2.42	3.79	81.82	75.49	1.54	1.93
Duquesne	A10	2.42	2.21	52.38	51.56	0.12	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	2.37	1.89	50.00	47.38	0.00	-0.10
Kent St.	MAC	2.32	1.81	72.73	72.71	1.06	0.82
Kansas St.	B12	2.32	1.75	80.95	78.87	1.44	1.01
Baylor	B12	2.27	1.72	75.00	71.76	1.14	0.75
Creighton	MVC	2.27	1.72	52.17	52.43	0.10	0.08
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.27	1.75	30.00	28.79	-0.91	-0.74
Butler	Horz	2.23	1.73	82.61	83.36	1.45	1.15
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.23	1.73	54.55	55.77	0.20	0.20
Cincinnati	BE	2.22	1.72	63.64	57.45	0.61	0.26
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.17	1.69	40.91	36.60	-0.40	-0.45
Marquette	BE	2.17	1.69	63.64	64.92	0.59	0.51
Wake Forest	ACC	2.17	1.69	75.00	70.08	1.09	0.68
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.34	2.18	39.13	37.70	-0.07	-0.54
Richmond	A10	0.34	2.26	75.00	72.85	0.17	1.03
Villanova	BE	0.34	0.28	90.91	82.52	0.28	0.18
St. Louis	A10	0.30	2.23	61.90	57.16	0.07	0.32
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.29	2.21	40.00	43.95	-0.06	-0.27
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.29	0.20	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.29	0.20	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.25	0.17	22.73	23.47	-0.13	-0.09
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.24	0.15	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Providence	BE	0.24	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.18	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.17	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.20	0.14	30.43	32.48	-0.08	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.17	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.14	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.20	0.11	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.20	0.20	69.57	66.00	0.08	0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.20	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.20	0.14	73.91	70.80	0.09	0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.20	0.14	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.20	0.17	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.08
Detroit	Horz	0.19	0.15	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.18	0.12
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.19	0.11	69.57	71.78	0.08	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.11	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.19	0.11	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.19	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.14	0.07
Wright St.	Horz	0.19	0.15	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.18	0.11	22.73	22.60	-0.10	-0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.12	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.15	0.11	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.12	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.12	68.18	68.72	0.05	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.15	0.12	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.15	0.17	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.17	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.16	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.09
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.08
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.17	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.08	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.11	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.11	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.11	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.14	0.11	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.10	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.06
Elon	SC	0.10	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.11	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.15	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.09	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.08	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.06
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.14	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.08
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.11	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.14	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.09	0.08	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.08	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.05
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.11	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.05
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	1.72	73.91	68.12	0.02	0.62
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.05
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
American	Pat	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.00	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.00	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.00	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.00	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.00	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.00	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.00	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.00	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.02
Troy	SB	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.00	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Xavier	A10	26.22	26.02	71.26	74.21	11.15	12.60
Dayton	A10	4.69	3.87	75.00	73.47	2.34	1.82
Fordham	A10	2.61	3.84	10.00	9.47	-2.09	-3.12
Charlotte	A10	2.42	3.79	81.82	75.49	1.54	1.93
Richmond	A10	0.34	2.26	75.00	72.85	0.17	1.03
Temple	A10	2.57	2.24	78.26	76.82	1.45	1.20
St. Louis	A10	0.30	2.23	61.90	57.16	0.07	0.32
Rhode Island	A10	2.57	2.21	90.48	84.41	2.08	1.52
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.29	2.21	40.00	43.95	-0.06	-0.27
Duquesne	A10	2.42	2.21	52.38	51.56	0.12	0.07
Massachusetts	A10	2.47	2.20	33.33	32.77	-0.82	-0.76
George Washington	A10	2.47	2.20	57.14	57.03	0.35	0.31
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.34	2.18	39.13	37.70	-0.07	-0.54
La Salle	A10	2.47	2.18	50.00	47.95	0.00	-0.09
Bowling Green	MAC	2.37	1.89	50.00	47.38	0.00	-0.10
Miami OH	MAC	2.46	1.89	45.45	49.32	-0.22	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	2.32	1.81	72.73	72.71	1.06	0.82
Kansas St.	B12	2.32	1.75	80.95	78.87	1.44	1.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.27	1.75	30.00	28.79	-0.91	-0.74
Butler	Horz	2.23	1.73	82.61	83.36	1.45	1.15
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.23	1.73	54.55	55.77	0.20	0.20
Baylor	B12	2.27	1.72	75.00	71.76	1.14	0.75
Cincinnati	BE	2.22	1.72	63.64	57.45	0.61	0.26
Creighton	MVC	2.27	1.72	52.17	52.43	0.10	0.08
Florida	SEC	0.05	1.72	73.91	68.12	0.02	0.62
Marquette	BE	2.17	1.69	63.64	64.92	0.59	0.51
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.17	1.69	40.91	36.60	-0.40	-0.45
Wake Forest	ACC	2.17	1.69	75.00	70.08	1.09	0.68
Villanova	BE	0.34	0.28	90.91	82.52	0.28	0.18
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.29	0.20	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.20	0.20	69.57	66.00	0.08	0.06
Ball St.	MAC	0.29	0.20	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.18	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.17	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.17	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.15	0.17	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.17	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.17	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.25	0.17	22.73	23.47	-0.13	-0.09
Old Dominion	CAA	0.20	0.17	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.16	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.19	0.15	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.15	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.24	0.15	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.19	0.15	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.04
Hartford	AE	0.20	0.14	30.43	32.48	-0.08	-0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.20	0.14	73.91	70.80	0.09	0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.20	0.14	26.09	31.05	-0.09	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.14	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.14	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.18	0.12
Providence	BE	0.24	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.20	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.14	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.07
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.12	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.12	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.12	68.18	68.72	0.05	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.15	0.12	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.19	0.11	69.57	71.78	0.08	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.15	0.11	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.06
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.09
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.20	0.11	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.19	0.11	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.14	0.11	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.11	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.11	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.11	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.11	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.11	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.11	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.18	0.11	22.73	22.60	-0.10	-0.06
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.11	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.19	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.14	0.07
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.05
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.11	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.08
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.09	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.10	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.08	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.08	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.09	0.08	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.08	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.10	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.09	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.00	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.00	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.00	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01