The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Xavier page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 13, 2010.

Xavier

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		19.4
Current RPI:		19
Expected SOS:		41
Current SOS:		39
Current Record:		24-8
Expected Record:		24-8
Current Conf Record:		15-3
Expected Conf Record:		15-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		9-5
Expected OOC Record:		9-5
Expected OOC RPI:		46
Expected OOC SOS:		20

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
24-8		19.4		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Xavier.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Youngstown St. (271.0)	Horz	H	83-57	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Bowling Green (189.4)	MAC	H	101-57	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Sacred Heart (262.8)	NEC	H	105-65	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Marquette (50.2)	BE	N	61-71	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Creighton (115.4)	MVC	N	80-67	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Baylor (8.0)	B12	N	64-69	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Kent St. (47.2)	MAC	H	77-61	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Kansas St. (6.0)	B12	A	56-71	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Cincinnati (64.5)	BE	H	83-79	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Butler (10.6)	Horz	A	68-69	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Miami OH (144.1)	MAC	H	70-67	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	H	89-65	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Wake Forest (39.5)	ACC	A	92-96	L	0%	0.0
1-7	La Salle (175.0)	A10	A	68-62	W	100%	0.0
1-10	George Washington (147.7)	A10	A	76-69	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Charlotte (77.0)	A10	H	86-74	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Dayton (53.6)	A10	H	78-74	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Temple (11.2)	A10	A	72-77	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Rhode Island (39.5)	A10	H	72-61	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Duquesne (111.0)	A10	H	86-50	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Fordham (306.0)	A10	H	108-60	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Massachusetts (176.0)	A10	A	87-79	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Dayton (53.6)	A10	A	65-90	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Florida (56.4)	SEC	A	76-64	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Saint Joseph's (179.9)	A10	H	88-52	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Charlotte (77.0)	A10	A	81-67	W	100%	0.0
2-24	St. Louis (85.3)	A10	A	73-71	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Richmond (22.1)	A10	H	78-76	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Fordham (306.0)	A10	A	82-56	W	100%	0.0
3-6	St. Bonaventure (155.4)	A10	H	93-72	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Dayton (53.6)	A10	N	78-73	W	100%	0.0
3-13	Richmond (22.1)	A10	N	85-89	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Xavier's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Xavier's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Xavier.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Xavier	A10	26.11	26.11	77.61	77.61	14.42	14.42
Dayton	A10	5.22	5.22	65.52	65.52	1.62	1.62
Richmond	A10	3.71	3.73	80.65	79.27	2.27	2.19
Fordham	A10	3.63	3.63	7.69	7.69	-3.07	-3.07
Charlotte	A10	3.63	3.63	65.52	65.52	1.13	1.13
Massachusetts	A10	2.19	2.19	36.67	36.67	-0.58	-0.58
St. Louis	A10	2.19	2.19	65.52	65.52	0.68	0.68
George Washington	A10	2.19	2.19	55.17	55.17	0.23	0.23
Rhode Island	A10	2.17	2.17	74.19	74.19	1.05	1.05
Temple	A10	2.17	2.22	84.38	83.74	1.49	1.50
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.15	2.15	48.28	48.28	-0.07	-0.07
Duquesne	A10	2.14	2.14	51.72	51.72	0.07	0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.09	2.09	36.67	36.67	-0.56	-0.56
La Salle	A10	2.07	2.06	41.38	41.38	-0.36	-0.36
Miami OH	MAC	1.79	1.79	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Bowling Green	MAC	1.77	1.77	46.43	46.43	-0.13	-0.13
Kent St.	MAC	1.69	1.69	73.33	73.33	0.79	0.79
Kansas St.	B12	1.69	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.92	0.92
Baylor	B12	1.64	1.64	76.67	76.67	0.87	0.87
Youngstown St.	Horz	1.64	1.64	22.22	22.22	-0.91	-0.91
Creighton	MVC	1.64	1.64	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Florida	SEC	1.64	1.63	65.62	65.62	0.51	0.51
Butler	Horz	1.62	1.62	87.10	87.10	1.20	1.20
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.62	1.62	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	1.61	1.61	56.25	56.25	0.20	0.20
Wake Forest	ACC	1.61	1.61	64.29	64.29	0.46	0.46
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.59	1.59	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
Marquette	BE	1.59	1.59	65.62	65.62	0.50	0.50
Villanova	BE	0.30	0.30	77.42	77.42	0.16	0.16
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.20	0.20	56.25	56.25	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.20	0.20	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.20	0.20	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Akron	MAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.18	0.18	65.62	64.03	0.06	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.18	0.18	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.17	0.17	69.70	68.35	0.07	0.06
South Carolina	SEC	0.17	0.17	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.15	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.15	75.76	75.76	0.08	0.08
Lehigh	Pat	0.15	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.13	0.13	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.13	0.13	29.03	29.03	-0.05	-0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.13	0.13	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.12	0.12	87.88	87.88	0.09	0.09
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	93.94	93.42	0.09	0.08
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.08	84.85	84.91	0.05	0.05
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.00	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.18	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.02	0.02	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.02	0.02	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.02	0.02	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Xavier	A10	26.11	26.11	77.61	77.61	14.42	14.42
Dayton	A10	5.22	5.22	65.52	65.52	1.62	1.62
Richmond	A10	3.71	3.73	80.65	79.27	2.27	2.19
Fordham	A10	3.63	3.63	7.69	7.69	-3.07	-3.07
Charlotte	A10	3.63	3.63	65.52	65.52	1.13	1.13
Temple	A10	2.17	2.22	84.38	83.74	1.49	1.50
Massachusetts	A10	2.19	2.19	36.67	36.67	-0.58	-0.58
St. Louis	A10	2.19	2.19	65.52	65.52	0.68	0.68
George Washington	A10	2.19	2.19	55.17	55.17	0.23	0.23
Rhode Island	A10	2.17	2.17	74.19	74.19	1.05	1.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.15	2.15	48.28	48.28	-0.07	-0.07
Duquesne	A10	2.14	2.14	51.72	51.72	0.07	0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.09	2.09	36.67	36.67	-0.56	-0.56
La Salle	A10	2.07	2.06	41.38	41.38	-0.36	-0.36
Miami OH	MAC	1.79	1.79	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Bowling Green	MAC	1.77	1.77	46.43	46.43	-0.13	-0.13
Kent St.	MAC	1.69	1.69	73.33	73.33	0.79	0.79
Kansas St.	B12	1.69	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.92	0.92
Baylor	B12	1.64	1.64	76.67	76.67	0.87	0.87
Youngstown St.	Horz	1.64	1.64	22.22	22.22	-0.91	-0.91
Creighton	MVC	1.64	1.64	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Florida	SEC	1.64	1.63	65.62	65.62	0.51	0.51
Butler	Horz	1.62	1.62	87.10	87.10	1.20	1.20
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.62	1.62	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	1.61	1.61	56.25	56.25	0.20	0.20
Wake Forest	ACC	1.61	1.61	64.29	64.29	0.46	0.46
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.59	1.59	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
Marquette	BE	1.59	1.59	65.62	65.62	0.50	0.50
Villanova	BE	0.30	0.30	77.42	77.42	0.16	0.16
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.20	0.20	56.25	56.25	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.20	0.20	58.82	58.82	0.04	0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.20	0.20	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Akron	MAC	0.18	0.18	69.70	69.70	0.07	0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.18	0.18	65.62	64.03	0.06	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.18	0.18	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.17	0.17	69.70	68.35	0.07	0.06
South Carolina	SEC	0.17	0.17	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.15	75.76	75.76	0.08	0.08
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.15	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Lehigh	Pat	0.15	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.13	0.13	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.13	0.13	29.03	29.03	-0.05	-0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.13	0.13	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.12	0.12	87.88	87.88	0.09	0.09
Providence	BE	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.10	24.14	24.14	-0.05	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	93.94	93.42	0.09	0.08
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.08	84.85	84.91	0.05	0.05
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.00	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00