


| Conference: | AE |
| Expected RPI: | 328.5 |
| Current RPI: | 325 |
| Expected SOS: | 319 |
| Current SOS: | 308 |
| Current Record: | 4-19 |
| Expected Record: | 6-23 |
| Current Conf Record: | 4-7 |
| Expected Conf Record: | 6-10 |
| Probability of Auto Bid: | 0.12% |
| Expected Record vs RPI 1-25: | 0-0 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 26-50: | 0-0 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 51-100: | 0-2 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 101-200: | 0-10 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 200+: | 6-11 |
| Current OOC Record: | 0-12 |
| Expected OOC Record: | 0-13 |
| Expected OOC RPI: | 343 |
| Expected OOC SOS: | 299 |
| Final Record | Expected RPI | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10-19 | 299.0 | 0.02% |
| 9-20 | 305.0 | 0.84% |
| 8-21 | 314.0 | 6.82% |
| 7-22 | 322.5 | 24.55% |
| 6-23 | 330.0 | 38.60% |
| 5-24 | 335.3 | 25.20% |
| 4-25 | 338.4 | 3.96% |
| Date | Opponent (Expected RPI) | Conf | Loc | Score | Outcome | Prob(W) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Sacred Heart (242.3) | NEC | N | 50-70 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-12 | Penn St. (163.2) | B10 | A | 70-55 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-16 | Mount St. Mary's (291.1) | NEC | H | 50-63 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-19 | Brown (305.2) | Ivy | A | 59-52 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-23 | Holy Cross (226.1) | Pat | A | 80-66 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-26 | Central Connecticut (236.3) | NEC | A | 92-58 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-29 | Yale (117.5) | Ivy | H | 69-74 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-3 | Central Florida (72.7) | CUSA | A | 67-48 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-6 | Quinnipiac (175.1) | NEC | H | 61-70 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-10 | Niagara (208.7) | MAAC | H | 76-79 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-21 | Marist (276.6) | MAAC | A | 89-86 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-31 | La Salle (69.1) | A10 | A | 73-55 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-2 | Albany (208.3) | AE | A | 88-63 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-5 | New Hampshire (315.8) | AE | H | 56-49 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-8 | Vermont (173.1) | AE | H | 59-72 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-15 | Binghamton (343.4) | AE | A | 57-69 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-17 | MD Baltimore County (332.6) | AE | H | 74-57 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-19 | Maine (261.2) | AE | A | 49-63 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-22 | Boston University (175.2) | AE | H | 46-65 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-25 | Stony Brook (154.7) | AE | A | 60-37 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-28 | Albany (208.3) | AE | H | 60-72 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-1 | New Hampshire (315.8) | AE | A | 52-51 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-4 | Vermont (173.1) | AE | A | 82-56 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-7 | MD Baltimore County (332.6) | AE | A | 0-0 | 50% | -0.1 | |
| 2-12 | Binghamton (343.4) | AE | H | 0-0 | 80% | 9.2 | |
| 2-15 | Maine (261.2) | AE | H | 0-0 | 34% | -4.5 | |
| 2-18 | St. Peter's (280.4) | MAAC | A | 0-0 | 23% | -8.0 | |
| 2-21 | Stony Brook (154.7) | AE | H | 0-0 | 13% | -12.2 | |
| 2-25 | Boston University (175.2) | AE | A | 0-0 | 8% | -15.7 |

| Team | Conf | Curr Wgt | Fut Wgt | Curr W/L | Exp W/L | Curr Impact | Exp Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartford | AE | 26.39 | 26.34 | 18.69 | 21.80 | -16.53 | -14.85 |
| Vermont | AE | 5.10 | 4.41 | 56.52 | 59.90 | 0.66 | 0.87 |
| New Hampshire | AE | 5.04 | 4.39 | 33.33 | 37.67 | -1.68 | -1.08 |
| Maine | AE | 2.84 | 4.36 | 52.63 | 51.08 | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| Albany | AE | 4.99 | 4.35 | 56.52 | 57.69 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| Boston University | AE | 2.94 | 4.35 | 45.83 | 48.82 | -0.24 | -0.10 |
| MD Baltimore County | AE | 2.89 | 4.34 | 14.29 | 15.70 | -2.06 | -2.98 |
| Binghamton | AE | 2.81 | 4.31 | 0.00 | 3.59 | -2.81 | -4.00 |
| Stony Brook | AE | 2.87 | 4.30 | 65.00 | 66.02 | 0.86 | 1.38 |
| Sacred Heart | NEC | 2.73 | 2.10 | 41.67 | 44.08 | -0.46 | -0.25 |
| Central Connecticut | NEC | 2.56 | 2.08 | 42.86 | 43.69 | -0.37 | -0.26 |
| Quinnipiac | NEC | 2.54 | 2.04 | 54.55 | 55.62 | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Brown | Ivy | 2.64 | 2.03 | 23.81 | 21.17 | -1.38 | -1.17 |
| Marist | MAAC | 2.41 | 2.02 | 31.82 | 31.05 | -0.88 | -0.77 |
| Niagara | MAAC | 2.37 | 2.02 | 34.78 | 39.59 | -0.72 | -0.42 |
| Yale | Ivy | 2.55 | 1.96 | 70.59 | 61.72 | 1.05 | 0.46 |
| Mount St. Mary's | NEC | 2.45 | 1.93 | 22.73 | 26.05 | -1.33 | -0.92 |
| Holy Cross | Pat | 2.44 | 1.91 | 38.10 | 39.91 | -0.58 | -0.39 |
| St. Peter's | MAAC | 0.14 | 1.90 | 21.74 | 22.78 | -0.08 | -1.03 |
| La Salle | A10 | 2.27 | 1.81 | 69.57 | 67.78 | 0.89 | 0.64 |
| Penn St. | B10 | 2.22 | 1.75 | 39.13 | 36.62 | -0.48 | -0.47 |
| Central Florida | CUSA | 2.17 | 1.72 | 70.00 | 65.37 | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| Cornell | Ivy | 0.27 | 0.39 | 36.84 | 41.45 | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| Loyola MD | MAAC | 0.34 | 0.38 | 77.27 | 73.45 | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| Rider | MAAC | 0.24 | 0.38 | 37.50 | 38.52 | -0.06 | -0.09 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | NEC | 0.41 | 0.35 | 8.70 | 12.13 | -0.34 | -0.27 |
| Dartmouth | Ivy | 0.44 | 0.33 | 14.29 | 17.17 | -0.32 | -0.22 |
| Long Island | NEC | 0.37 | 0.32 | 70.83 | 71.05 | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Siena | MAAC | 0.31 | 0.31 | 45.45 | 45.55 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| Colgate | Pat | 0.39 | 0.30 | 30.43 | 29.50 | -0.15 | -0.12 |
| Bryant | NEC | 0.35 | 0.30 | 8.33 | 10.86 | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| Harvard | Ivy | 0.34 | 0.30 | 90.48 | 87.91 | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Canisius | MAAC | 0.19 | 0.29 | 17.39 | 19.81 | -0.12 | -0.18 |
| St. Francis NY | NEC | 0.37 | 0.29 | 56.52 | 55.95 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Boston College | ACC | 0.34 | 0.27 | 30.43 | 26.44 | -0.13 | -0.13 |
| Fairfield | MAAC | 0.34 | 0.27 | 54.55 | 54.30 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Robert Morris | NEC | 0.23 | 0.26 | 68.00 | 70.03 | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| Manhattan | MAAC | 0.28 | 0.26 | 68.00 | 69.07 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Columbia | Ivy | 0.15 | 0.25 | 55.00 | 54.80 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Army | Pat | 0.30 | 0.24 | 40.91 | 41.72 | -0.05 | -0.04 |
| Pennsylvania | Ivy | 0.25 | 0.24 | 54.55 | 56.84 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Rhode Island | A10 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 20.83 | 20.60 | -0.18 | -0.14 |
| Bucknell | Pat | 0.23 | 0.23 | 73.91 | 75.00 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| St. Francis PA | NEC | 0.23 | 0.23 | 21.74 | 22.76 | -0.13 | -0.13 |
| Monmouth | NEC | 0.32 | 0.23 | 28.00 | 28.91 | -0.14 | -0.10 |
| Iona | MAAC | 0.22 | 0.23 | 79.17 | 80.10 | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| American | Pat | 0.24 | 0.21 | 65.22 | 63.79 | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Towson | CAA | 0.18 | 0.21 | 4.00 | 5.26 | -0.17 | -0.18 |
| Northeastern | CAA | 0.18 | 0.20 | 47.83 | 48.56 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Eastern Illinois | OVC | 0.16 | 0.19 | 33.33 | 34.47 | -0.05 | -0.06 |
| Indiana | B10 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 75.00 | 75.78 | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Wagner | NEC | 0.14 | 0.18 | 82.61 | 84.57 | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Navy | Pat | 0.23 | 0.18 | 9.52 | 13.19 | -0.19 | -0.13 |
| Rutgers | BE | 0.14 | 0.15 | 50.00 | 46.81 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Northwestern | B10 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 61.90 | 55.14 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Lafayette | Pat | 0.18 | 0.15 | 43.48 | 42.95 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| Connecticut | BE | 0.16 | 0.13 | 68.18 | 63.99 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Princeton | Ivy | 0.11 | 0.12 | 47.37 | 52.87 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| Providence | BE | 0.21 | 0.12 | 56.52 | 50.27 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lehigh | Pat | 0.15 | 0.12 | 73.91 | 74.91 | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Radford | BSth | 0.09 | 0.12 | 8.70 | 13.10 | -0.08 | -0.09 |
| Massachusetts | A10 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 73.91 | 68.58 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Hofstra | CAA | 0.09 | 0.12 | 32.00 | 35.39 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| South Florida | BE | 0.18 | 0.11 | 54.55 | 48.60 | 0.02 | -0.00 |
| Saint Joseph's | A10 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 62.50 | 62.49 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Notre Dame | BE | 0.10 | 0.09 | 65.22 | 62.65 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Drexel | CAA | 0.09 | 0.09 | 79.17 | 78.10 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Fordham | A10 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 40.91 | 34.50 | -0.01 | -0.03 |
| Missouri | B12 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 91.30 | 87.18 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Old Dominion | CAA | 0.14 | 0.09 | 60.00 | 58.29 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Minnesota | B10 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 69.57 | 61.31 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Maryland | ACC | 0.13 | 0.09 | 59.09 | 50.82 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| George Mason | CAA | 0.14 | 0.08 | 76.00 | 72.50 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Iowa | B10 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 54.17 | 49.44 | 0.01 | -0.00 |
| Delaware | CAA | 0.09 | 0.08 | 47.83 | 50.65 | -0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pittsburgh | BE | 0.13 | 0.08 | 60.87 | 58.16 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| St. Louis | A10 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 77.27 | 77.67 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Villanova | BE | 0.09 | 0.08 | 45.45 | 46.08 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Florida Gulf Coast | ASun | 0.05 | 0.06 | 50.00 | 48.90 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| San Diego | WCC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 33.33 | 33.82 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| Utah Valley | GWC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 54.55 | 57.69 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Seton Hall | BE | 0.06 | 0.06 | 65.22 | 63.74 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| College of Charleston | SC | 0.10 | 0.06 | 58.33 | 59.98 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| East Carolina | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.06 | 44.44 | 41.71 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Marshall | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.06 | 59.09 | 59.72 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Memphis | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.06 | 69.57 | 71.51 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Southern Mississippi | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.06 | 85.71 | 82.18 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| UAB | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.06 | 40.91 | 39.82 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Morehead St. | OVC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 45.45 | 46.99 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Morgan St. | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 25.00 | 37.58 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| St. John's | BE | 0.05 | 0.06 | 43.48 | 40.28 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Virginia Military Inst | BSth | 0.05 | 0.06 | 45.00 | 44.15 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Michigan St. | B10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 76.19 | 72.91 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Kentucky | SEC | 0.09 | 0.06 | 95.83 | 92.57 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Buffalo | MAC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 68.42 | 66.45 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Cleveland St. | Horz | 0.04 | 0.06 | 81.82 | 80.43 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Duquesne | A10 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 59.09 | 56.35 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| George Washington | A10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 34.78 | 32.08 | -0.01 | -0.02 |
| Michigan | B10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 72.73 | 66.81 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Nebraska | B10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 52.38 | 46.68 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Purdue | B10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 65.22 | 60.58 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Richmond | A10 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 50.00 | 48.49 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| St. Bonaventure | A10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 60.00 | 59.06 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Syracuse | BE | 0.09 | 0.06 | 95.83 | 92.01 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Temple | A10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 77.27 | 75.06 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Texas | B12 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 60.87 | 61.37 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Wisconsin | B10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 75.00 | 73.97 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Florida | SEC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 82.61 | 77.63 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 47.83 | 43.66 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Bethune Cookman | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 38.10 | 42.78 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Florida St. | ACC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 72.73 | 71.71 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| High Point | BSth | 0.05 | 0.03 | 31.82 | 32.75 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Houston | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 47.62 | 44.63 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Louisiana Lafayette | SB | 0.05 | 0.03 | 54.17 | 54.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| North Carolina A&T | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 33.33 | 37.25 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Rice | CUSA | 0.00 | 0.03 | 47.62 | 46.46 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| San Francisco | WCC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 56.52 | 53.77 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Southern Methodist | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 38.10 | 37.86 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Stetson | ASun | 0.05 | 0.03 | 31.82 | 31.31 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Texas El Paso | CUSA | 0.00 | 0.03 | 43.48 | 43.31 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
| Tulane | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 61.90 | 58.59 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Tulsa | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 60.87 | 59.05 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Marquette | BE | 0.05 | 0.03 | 79.17 | 75.98 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Savannah St. | MEAC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 52.38 | 57.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Kent St. | MAC | 0.00 | 0.03 | 71.43 | 69.05 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Longwood | ind | 0.05 | 0.03 | 30.00 | 27.84 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Texas Arlington | Slnd | 0.00 | 0.03 | 76.19 | 75.94 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Utah St. | WAC | 0.00 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 52.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Charlotte | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 49.45 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Dayton | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 60.87 | 60.96 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Hampton | MEAC | 0.04 | 0.03 | 36.36 | 38.48 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Illinois | B10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 72.73 | 64.43 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| James Madison | CAA | 0.05 | 0.03 | 40.00 | 40.18 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Lipscomb | ASun | 0.04 | 0.03 | 43.48 | 43.82 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Mercer | ASun | 0.05 | 0.03 | 70.83 | 71.64 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Mississippi | SEC | 0.05 | 0.03 | 63.64 | 56.71 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Ohio St. | B10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 86.96 | 85.46 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Sam Houston St. | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.03 | 26.32 | 29.79 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| South Dakota St. | Sum | 0.05 | 0.03 | 73.91 | 75.49 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Xavier | A10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 65.22 | 63.74 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Youngstown St. | Horz | 0.05 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 51.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 |