The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Hartford page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Hartford

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		284.9
Current RPI:		283
Expected SOS:		264
Current SOS:		268
Current Record:		7-16
Expected Record:		9-20
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-7
Current OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC RPI:		338
Expected OOC SOS:		282

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
13-16	232.6	0.08%
12-17	248.6	2.01%
11-18	261.9	11.72%
10-19	276.5	30.88%
9-20	291.4	37.00%
8-21	303.5	16.11%
7-22	312.0	2.19%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hartford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Quinnipiac (138.6)	NEC	N	74-85	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Baylor (23.2)	B12	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Marist (330.1)	MAAC	H	75-38	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Fordham (296.2)	A10	H	70-62	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Lafayette (203.7)	Pat	A	82-86	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	A	56-68	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Yale (255.8)	Ivy	H	46-48	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	A	56-89	L	0%	0.0
12-6	La Salle (138.5)	A10	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
12-8	St. Francis NY (275.6)	NEC	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	H	65-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	A	61-104	L	0%	0.0
1-2	St. Francis PA (312.5)	NEC	A	52-64	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	A	59-70	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Boston University (152.4)	AE	H	70-84	L	0%	0.0
1-14	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	A	74-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	56-53	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Vermont (145.4)	AE	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	64-63	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	69-77	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	44-54	L	0%	0.0
2-6	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	A	57-54	W	100%	0.0
2-11	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	H	0-0		82%	10.1
2-13	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	0-0		11%	-13.2
2-17	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	0-0		30%	-5.7
2-21	Maine (154.9)	AE	A	0-0		20%	-9.3
2-24	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	0-0		33%	-4.7
2-28	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	0-0		65%	4.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Hartford's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Hartford's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Hartford.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hartford	AE	26.33	26.34	32.04	33.34	-9.46	-8.78
Stony Brook	AE	4.88	4.34	65.00	66.31	1.46	1.42
New Hampshire	AE	4.87	4.34	38.89	41.29	-1.08	-0.76
Boston University	AE	2.95	4.31	52.17	54.98	0.13	0.43
Vermont	AE	2.95	4.41	66.67	65.97	0.98	1.41
Albany	AE	2.80	4.32	24.00	26.36	-1.46	-2.04
Maine	AE	2.80	4.34	61.90	59.68	0.67	0.84
Binghamton	AE	2.79	4.34	40.91	39.02	-0.51	-0.95
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.70	4.28	9.09	11.66	-2.21	-3.28
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.52	1.99	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.47	2.02	68.18	70.78	0.90	0.84
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.42	1.96	11.11	14.48	-1.88	-1.39
Marist	MAAC	2.42	1.96	4.35	4.90	-2.21	-1.77
Fordham	A10	2.42	1.91	10.00	9.20	-1.93	-1.55
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.37	1.90	40.91	41.77	-0.43	-0.31
Lafayette	Pat	2.36	1.84	59.09	57.70	0.43	0.28
Yale	Ivy	2.35	1.96	33.33	35.98	-0.78	-0.55
La Salle	A10	2.32	1.84	45.45	44.51	-0.21	-0.20
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.32	1.87	27.27	27.78	-1.05	-0.83
Baylor	B12	2.17	1.72	75.00	71.76	1.09	0.75
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.72	95.45	88.29	1.98	1.32
Seton Hall	BE	2.17	1.72	55.00	55.95	0.22	0.21
Wagner	NEC	0.48	0.33	16.00	21.62	-0.32	-0.19
Colgate	Pat	0.46	0.34	27.27	31.08	-0.21	-0.13
Columbia	Ivy	0.44	0.36	40.00	39.13	-0.09	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.43	0.39	39.13	41.19	-0.09	-0.07
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.42	0.35	39.13	47.65	-0.09	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.39	0.27	65.22	65.74	0.12	0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.34	0.30	37.50	39.23	-0.08	-0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.30	0.21	31.82	31.64	-0.11	-0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.29	0.21	22.22	27.56	-0.16	-0.09
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.29	0.29	16.67	19.94	-0.19	-0.18
Brown	Ivy	0.29	0.27	23.81	27.31	-0.15	-0.12
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.24	39.13	41.53	-0.06	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.29	0.18	26.09	31.05	-0.14	-0.07
Bryant	ind	0.29	0.24	0.00	4.18	-0.29	-0.22
Rider	MAAC	0.28	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.27	0.24	73.68	75.41	0.13	0.12
Army	Pat	0.26	0.18	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.26	0.18	73.91	70.80	0.12	0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.25	0.24	85.71	85.57	0.18	0.17
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.24	70.59	70.98	0.10	0.10
Rhode Island	A10	0.25	0.18	86.36	81.50	0.18	0.11
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.24	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.24	0.24	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.24	0.27	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.06
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.24	0.24	33.33	33.00	-0.08	-0.08
Robert Morris	NEC	0.23	0.23	66.67	64.02	0.08	0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.23	0.20	72.00	70.73	0.10	0.08
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.15	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.18	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.19	0.18	95.83	91.37	0.17	0.15
American	Pat	0.18	0.20	30.43	32.39	-0.07	-0.07
Hofstra	CAA	0.16	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.06
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.12	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.15	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.12	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.11	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.09	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.07
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.21	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.04	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.09	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.07	-0.09
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.12	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.15	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.00	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hartford	AE	26.33	26.34	32.04	33.34	-9.46	-8.78
Vermont	AE	2.95	4.41	66.67	65.97	0.98	1.41
Binghamton	AE	2.79	4.34	40.91	39.02	-0.51	-0.95
Maine	AE	2.80	4.34	61.90	59.68	0.67	0.84
Stony Brook	AE	4.88	4.34	65.00	66.31	1.46	1.42
New Hampshire	AE	4.87	4.34	38.89	41.29	-1.08	-0.76
Albany	AE	2.80	4.32	24.00	26.36	-1.46	-2.04
Boston University	AE	2.95	4.31	52.17	54.98	0.13	0.43
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.70	4.28	9.09	11.66	-2.21	-3.28
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.47	2.02	68.18	70.78	0.90	0.84
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.52	1.99	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
Marist	MAAC	2.42	1.96	4.35	4.90	-2.21	-1.77
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.42	1.96	11.11	14.48	-1.88	-1.39
Yale	Ivy	2.35	1.96	33.33	35.98	-0.78	-0.55
Fordham	A10	2.42	1.91	10.00	9.20	-1.93	-1.55
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.37	1.90	40.91	41.77	-0.43	-0.31
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.32	1.87	27.27	27.78	-1.05	-0.83
La Salle	A10	2.32	1.84	45.45	44.51	-0.21	-0.20
Lafayette	Pat	2.36	1.84	59.09	57.70	0.43	0.28
Baylor	B12	2.17	1.72	75.00	71.76	1.09	0.75
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.72	95.45	88.29	1.98	1.32
Seton Hall	BE	2.17	1.72	55.00	55.95	0.22	0.21
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.43	0.39	39.13	41.19	-0.09	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.44	0.36	40.00	39.13	-0.09	-0.08
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.42	0.35	39.13	47.65	-0.09	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.46	0.34	27.27	31.08	-0.21	-0.13
Wagner	NEC	0.48	0.33	16.00	21.62	-0.32	-0.19
Bucknell	Pat	0.34	0.30	37.50	39.23	-0.08	-0.06
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.29	0.29	16.67	19.94	-0.19	-0.18
Brown	Ivy	0.29	0.27	23.81	27.31	-0.15	-0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.39	0.27	65.22	65.74	0.12	0.09
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.24	0.27	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.27	0.24	73.68	75.41	0.13	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.24	70.59	70.98	0.10	0.10
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.24	0.24	33.33	33.00	-0.08	-0.08
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.24	39.13	41.53	-0.06	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.24	0.24	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.29	0.24	0.00	4.18	-0.29	-0.22
Cornell	Ivy	0.25	0.24	85.71	85.57	0.18	0.17
Rider	MAAC	0.28	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.23	0.23	66.67	64.02	0.08	0.07
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.21	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.30	0.21	31.82	31.64	-0.11	-0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.29	0.21	22.22	27.56	-0.16	-0.09
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.06
American	Pat	0.18	0.20	30.43	32.39	-0.07	-0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.23	0.20	72.00	70.73	0.10	0.08
Army	Pat	0.26	0.18	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.26	0.18	73.91	70.80	0.12	0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.25	0.18	86.36	81.50	0.18	0.11
Holy Cross	Pat	0.29	0.18	26.09	31.05	-0.14	-0.07
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.24	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.18	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.19	0.18	95.83	91.37	0.17	0.15
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.15	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.15	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.07
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.12	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.05
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.12	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.12	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.07	-0.09
Providence	BE	0.09	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.11	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.16	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.09	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.15	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.04	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.00	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.72	95.45	88.29	1.98	1.32
Stony Brook	AE	4.88	4.34	65.00	66.31	1.46	1.42
Baylor	B12	2.17	1.72	75.00	71.76	1.09	0.75
Vermont	AE	2.95	4.41	66.67	65.97	0.98	1.41
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.47	2.02	68.18	70.78	0.90	0.84
Maine	AE	2.80	4.34	61.90	59.68	0.67	0.84
Lafayette	Pat	2.36	1.84	59.09	57.70	0.43	0.28
Seton Hall	BE	2.17	1.72	55.00	55.95	0.22	0.21
Rhode Island	A10	0.25	0.18	86.36	81.50	0.18	0.11
Cornell	Ivy	0.25	0.24	85.71	85.57	0.18	0.17
Syracuse	BE	0.19	0.18	95.83	91.37	0.17	0.15
Boston University	AE	2.95	4.31	52.17	54.98	0.13	0.43
Harvard	Ivy	0.27	0.24	73.68	75.41	0.13	0.12
Pittsburgh	BE	0.26	0.18	73.91	70.80	0.12	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.39	0.27	65.22	65.74	0.12	0.09
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.24	70.59	70.98	0.10	0.10
Iona	MAAC	0.23	0.20	72.00	70.73	0.10	0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Temple	A10	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Charlotte	A10	0.15	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.15	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.23	0.23	66.67	64.02	0.08	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.12	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.18	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.24	0.18	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Army	Pat	0.26	0.18	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.11	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.12	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.21	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.28	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.09	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.24	0.27	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.52	1.99	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.00	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.15	0.12	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.15	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01