The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Hartford page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Hartford

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		304.0
Current RPI:		305
Expected SOS:		260
Current SOS:		259
Current Record:		8-22
Expected Record:		8-22
Current Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-8
Current OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC RPI:		332
Expected OOC SOS:		280

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
8-22		304.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hartford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Quinnipiac (148.9)	NEC	N	74-85	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Baylor (8.3)	B12	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Marist (334.6)	MAAC	H	75-38	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Fordham (303.3)	A10	H	70-62	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Lafayette (212.2)	Pat	A	82-86	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Dartmouth (334.9)	Ivy	A	56-68	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Yale (267.5)	Ivy	H	46-48	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	A	56-89	L	0%	0.0
12-6	La Salle (173.2)	A10	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
12-8	St. Francis NY (292.9)	NEC	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Sacred Heart (263.5)	NEC	H	65-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Kentucky (3.7)	SEC	A	61-104	L	0%	0.0
1-2	St. Francis PA (286.7)	NEC	A	52-64	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Stony Brook (141.8)	AE	A	59-70	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Boston University (133.3)	AE	H	70-84	L	0%	0.0
1-14	MD Baltimore County (332.8)	AE	A	74-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	New Hampshire (242.9)	AE	H	56-53	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Vermont (126.1)	AE	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Binghamton (227.6)	AE	H	64-63	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Maine (150.6)	AE	H	69-77	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Albany (300.9)	AE	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Stony Brook (141.8)	AE	H	44-54	L	0%	0.0
2-6	New Hampshire (242.9)	AE	A	57-54	W	100%	0.0
2-11	MD Baltimore County (332.8)	AE	H	70-78	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Boston University (133.3)	AE	A	55-58	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Vermont (126.1)	AE	H	56-74	L	0%	0.0
2-21	Maine (150.6)	AE	A	52-66	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Binghamton (227.6)	AE	A	53-66	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Albany (300.9)	AE	H	85-79	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Boston University (133.3)	AE	H	46-87	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Hartford's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Hartford's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Hartford.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hartford	AE	26.38	26.37	26.47	26.47	-12.41	-12.41
Boston University	AE	5.86	5.90	57.14	56.48	0.84	0.76
Vermont	AE	4.39	4.46	70.97	70.69	1.84	1.85
Stony Brook	AE	4.35	4.34	67.86	67.86	1.55	1.55
New Hampshire	AE	4.32	4.31	44.44	44.44	-0.48	-0.48
Maine	AE	4.27	4.26	59.26	59.26	0.79	0.79
Albany	AE	4.25	4.24	23.33	23.33	-2.26	-2.26
Binghamton	AE	4.21	4.20	37.04	37.04	-1.09	-1.09
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.21	4.20	10.71	10.71	-3.30	-3.30
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.95	1.95	70.97	70.97	0.82	0.82
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.92	1.92	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Marist	MAAC	1.91	1.91	3.45	3.45	-1.78	-1.78
Yale	Ivy	1.89	1.88	34.48	34.48	-0.59	-0.58
Dartmouth	Ivy	1.88	1.88	11.54	11.54	-1.45	-1.45
Fordham	A10	1.84	1.84	7.41	7.41	-1.56	-1.56
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.83	1.83	35.71	35.71	-0.52	-0.52
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.81	1.81	34.48	34.48	-0.56	-0.56
La Salle	A10	1.78	1.78	37.93	37.93	-0.43	-0.43
Lafayette	Pat	1.78	1.78	60.00	60.00	0.36	0.36
Baylor	B12	1.67	1.67	78.57	77.33	0.95	0.91
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.33	93.33	1.44	1.44
Seton Hall	BE	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.36	0.36	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.34	0.34	39.29	39.29	-0.07	-0.07
Colgate	Pat	0.34	0.34	34.48	34.48	-0.11	-0.11
Bucknell	Pat	0.31	0.30	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.31	0.31	16.13	16.13	-0.21	-0.21
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.28	0.28	21.43	21.43	-0.16	-0.16
Brown	Ivy	0.26	0.26	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.26	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.25	0.25	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.74	0.09	0.09
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.25	0.25	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.25	0.25	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.23	70.37	70.37	0.09	0.09
Rider	MAAC	0.22	0.22	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.21	-0.21
Cornell	Ivy	0.22	0.22	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
George Washington	A10	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.22	0.22	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
Iona	MAAC	0.22	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.20	0.19	36.67	35.83	-0.05	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.19	25.93	26.48	-0.09	-0.09
Army	Pat	0.17	0.17	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	73.33	72.97	0.08	0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	77.42	76.84	0.09	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.17	0.17	90.32	89.58	0.13	0.13
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.09	-0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.31	0.08	0.08
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	64.52	63.57	0.04	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	73.53	73.53	0.06	0.06
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.11	0.11	83.87	83.98	0.08	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.11	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.11	79.31	79.09	0.06	0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.11	33.33	32.99	-0.04	-0.04
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.09	-0.08
Drexel	CAA	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.76	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.09	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.08	70.97	69.60	0.04	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.13	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.16	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.79	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.59	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	56.00	56.08	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.82	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.06	0.08	75.00	74.46	0.03	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.70	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.05	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.08	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.85	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.82	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.67	77.26	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.10	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.05	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	56.25	55.05	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	67.74	66.97	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	73.08	73.18	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hartford	AE	26.38	26.37	26.47	26.47	-12.41	-12.41
Boston University	AE	5.86	5.90	57.14	56.48	0.84	0.76
Vermont	AE	4.39	4.46	70.97	70.69	1.84	1.85
Stony Brook	AE	4.35	4.34	67.86	67.86	1.55	1.55
New Hampshire	AE	4.32	4.31	44.44	44.44	-0.48	-0.48
Maine	AE	4.27	4.26	59.26	59.26	0.79	0.79
Albany	AE	4.25	4.24	23.33	23.33	-2.26	-2.26
Binghamton	AE	4.21	4.20	37.04	37.04	-1.09	-1.09
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.21	4.20	10.71	10.71	-3.30	-3.30
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.95	1.95	70.97	70.97	0.82	0.82
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.92	1.92	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Marist	MAAC	1.91	1.91	3.45	3.45	-1.78	-1.78
Yale	Ivy	1.89	1.88	34.48	34.48	-0.59	-0.58
Dartmouth	Ivy	1.88	1.88	11.54	11.54	-1.45	-1.45
Fordham	A10	1.84	1.84	7.41	7.41	-1.56	-1.56
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.83	1.83	35.71	35.71	-0.52	-0.52
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.81	1.81	34.48	34.48	-0.56	-0.56
La Salle	A10	1.78	1.78	37.93	37.93	-0.43	-0.43
Lafayette	Pat	1.78	1.78	60.00	60.00	0.36	0.36
Baylor	B12	1.67	1.67	78.57	77.33	0.95	0.91
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.33	93.33	1.44	1.44
Seton Hall	BE	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.36	0.36	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.34	0.34	39.29	39.29	-0.07	-0.07
Colgate	Pat	0.34	0.34	34.48	34.48	-0.11	-0.11
Wagner	NEC	0.31	0.31	16.13	16.13	-0.21	-0.21
Bucknell	Pat	0.31	0.30	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.28	0.28	21.43	21.43	-0.16	-0.16
Brown	Ivy	0.26	0.26	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.26	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.74	0.09	0.09
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.25	0.25	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.25	0.25	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.25	0.25	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.23	70.37	70.37	0.09	0.09
Rider	MAAC	0.22	0.22	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.21	-0.21
Cornell	Ivy	0.22	0.22	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.22	0.22	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.22	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.20	0.19	36.67	35.83	-0.05	-0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.19	25.93	26.48	-0.09	-0.09
Army	Pat	0.17	0.17	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	73.33	72.97	0.08	0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	77.42	76.84	0.09	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.17	0.17	90.32	89.58	0.13	0.13
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.09	-0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.31	0.08	0.08
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	64.52	63.57	0.04	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	73.53	73.53	0.06	0.06
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.11	0.11	83.87	83.98	0.08	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.11	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.11	79.31	79.09	0.06	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.11	33.33	32.99	-0.04	-0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.09	-0.08
Drexel	CAA	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.09	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.76	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.13	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.06	0.08	75.00	74.46	0.03	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.08	70.97	69.60	0.04	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.16	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.79	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.59	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	56.00	56.08	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.82	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.08	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.70	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.05	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.85	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.82	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.67	77.26	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.10	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.05	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	56.25	55.05	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	67.74	66.97	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	73.08	73.18	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vermont	AE	4.39	4.46	70.97	70.69	1.84	1.85
Stony Brook	AE	4.35	4.34	67.86	67.86	1.55	1.55
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.33	93.33	1.44	1.44
Baylor	B12	1.67	1.67	78.57	77.33	0.95	0.91
Boston University	AE	5.86	5.90	57.14	56.48	0.84	0.76
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.95	1.95	70.97	70.97	0.82	0.82
Maine	AE	4.27	4.26	59.26	59.26	0.79	0.79
Lafayette	Pat	1.78	1.78	60.00	60.00	0.36	0.36
Seton Hall	BE	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Cornell	Ivy	0.22	0.22	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Syracuse	BE	0.17	0.17	90.32	89.58	0.13	0.13
Harvard	Ivy	0.26	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.23	70.37	70.37	0.09	0.09
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	77.42	76.84	0.09	0.09
Lehigh	Pat	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.74	0.09	0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.25	0.25	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	73.33	72.97	0.08	0.08
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.31	0.08	0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.22	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Temple	A10	0.11	0.11	83.87	83.98	0.08	0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	73.53	73.53	0.06	0.06
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.11	79.31	79.09	0.06	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	64.52	63.57	0.04	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.09	0.08	70.97	69.60	0.04	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.10	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.79	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.06	0.08	75.00	74.46	0.03	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	76.67	77.26	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.41	72.70	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.82	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.82	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.16	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.59	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.85	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	73.08	73.18	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.05	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.09	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	67.74	66.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	56.00	56.08	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.22	0.22	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.05	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	56.25	55.05	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.11	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.53	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.17	0.17	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01