The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Hartford page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Hartford

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		304.0
Current RPI:		304
Expected SOS:		261
Current SOS:		261
Current Record:		8-22
Expected Record:		8-22
Current Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-8
Current OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC RPI:		331
Expected OOC SOS:		278

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
8-22		304.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hartford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Quinnipiac (147.0)	NEC	N	74-85	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Baylor (8.0)	B12	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	H	75-38	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Fordham (306.0)	A10	H	70-62	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	A	82-86	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Dartmouth (335.0)	Ivy	A	56-68	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Yale (267.0)	Ivy	H	46-48	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	A	56-89	L	0%	0.0
12-6	La Salle (175.0)	A10	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
12-8	St. Francis NY (294.0)	NEC	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Sacred Heart (263.0)	NEC	H	65-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	61-104	L	0%	0.0
1-2	St. Francis PA (287.0)	NEC	A	52-64	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Stony Brook (142.0)	AE	A	59-70	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Boston University (140.0)	AE	H	70-84	L	0%	0.0
1-14	MD Baltimore County (333.0)	AE	A	74-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	New Hampshire (242.0)	AE	H	56-53	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Vermont (119.0)	AE	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Binghamton (229.0)	AE	H	64-63	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Maine (153.0)	AE	H	69-77	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Albany (302.0)	AE	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Stony Brook (142.0)	AE	H	44-54	L	0%	0.0
2-6	New Hampshire (242.0)	AE	A	57-54	W	100%	0.0
2-11	MD Baltimore County (333.0)	AE	H	70-78	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Boston University (140.0)	AE	A	55-58	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Vermont (119.0)	AE	H	56-74	L	0%	0.0
2-21	Maine (153.0)	AE	A	52-66	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Binghamton (229.0)	AE	A	53-66	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Albany (302.0)	AE	H	85-79	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Boston University (140.0)	AE	H	46-87	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Hartford's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Hartford's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Hartford.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hartford	AE	26.36	26.36	26.47	26.47	-12.41	-12.41
Boston University	AE	5.90	5.90	55.17	55.17	0.61	0.61
Vermont	AE	4.46	4.46	71.88	71.88	1.95	1.95
Stony Brook	AE	4.34	4.34	67.86	67.86	1.55	1.55
New Hampshire	AE	4.31	4.31	44.44	44.44	-0.48	-0.48
Maine	AE	4.26	4.26	59.26	59.26	0.79	0.79
Albany	AE	4.24	4.24	23.33	23.33	-2.26	-2.26
Binghamton	AE	4.20	4.20	37.04	37.04	-1.09	-1.09
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.20	4.20	10.71	10.71	-3.30	-3.30
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.95	1.95	70.97	70.97	0.82	0.82
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.91	1.91	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Marist	MAAC	1.91	1.91	3.45	3.45	-1.78	-1.78
Yale	Ivy	1.88	1.88	34.48	34.48	-0.58	-0.58
Dartmouth	Ivy	1.88	1.88	11.54	11.54	-1.45	-1.45
Fordham	A10	1.84	1.84	7.41	7.41	-1.56	-1.56
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.83	1.83	35.71	35.71	-0.52	-0.52
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.80	1.80	34.48	34.48	-0.56	-0.56
La Salle	A10	1.78	1.78	37.93	37.93	-0.43	-0.43
Lafayette	Pat	1.78	1.78	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Baylor	B12	1.67	1.67	76.67	76.67	0.89	0.89
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Seton Hall	BE	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.36	0.36	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.34	0.34	39.29	39.29	-0.07	-0.07
Colgate	Pat	0.34	0.34	34.48	34.48	-0.10	-0.10
Wagner	NEC	0.30	0.30	16.13	16.13	-0.21	-0.21
Bucknell	Pat	0.30	0.30	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.28	0.28	21.43	21.43	-0.16	-0.16
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.27	68.75	68.75	0.10	0.10
Brown	Ivy	0.26	0.26	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.25	0.25	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.25	0.25	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.25	0.25	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.23	70.37	70.37	0.09	0.09
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.21	-0.21
Cornell	Ivy	0.22	0.22	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Rider	MAAC	0.22	0.22	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.22	0.22	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
American	Pat	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Army	Pat	0.17	0.17	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.17	0.17	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.13	0.13	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.09	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Hartford	AE	26.36	26.36	26.47	26.47	-12.41	-12.41
Boston University	AE	5.90	5.90	55.17	55.17	0.61	0.61
Vermont	AE	4.46	4.46	71.88	71.88	1.95	1.95
Stony Brook	AE	4.34	4.34	67.86	67.86	1.55	1.55
New Hampshire	AE	4.31	4.31	44.44	44.44	-0.48	-0.48
Maine	AE	4.26	4.26	59.26	59.26	0.79	0.79
Albany	AE	4.24	4.24	23.33	23.33	-2.26	-2.26
Binghamton	AE	4.20	4.20	37.04	37.04	-1.09	-1.09
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.20	4.20	10.71	10.71	-3.30	-3.30
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.95	1.95	70.97	70.97	0.82	0.82
Sacred Heart	NEC	1.91	1.91	46.43	46.43	-0.14	-0.14
Marist	MAAC	1.91	1.91	3.45	3.45	-1.78	-1.78
Yale	Ivy	1.88	1.88	34.48	34.48	-0.58	-0.58
Dartmouth	Ivy	1.88	1.88	11.54	11.54	-1.45	-1.45
Fordham	A10	1.84	1.84	7.41	7.41	-1.56	-1.56
St. Francis NY	NEC	1.83	1.83	35.71	35.71	-0.52	-0.52
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.80	1.80	34.48	34.48	-0.56	-0.56
La Salle	A10	1.78	1.78	37.93	37.93	-0.43	-0.43
Lafayette	Pat	1.78	1.78	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Baylor	B12	1.67	1.67	76.67	76.67	0.89	0.89
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Seton Hall	BE	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.36	0.36	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.34	0.34	39.29	39.29	-0.07	-0.07
Colgate	Pat	0.34	0.34	34.48	34.48	-0.10	-0.10
Wagner	NEC	0.30	0.30	16.13	16.13	-0.21	-0.21
Bucknell	Pat	0.30	0.30	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.28	0.28	21.43	21.43	-0.16	-0.16
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.27	68.75	68.75	0.10	0.10
Brown	Ivy	0.26	0.26	31.03	31.03	-0.10	-0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.25	0.25	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.25	0.25	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.25	0.25	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.23	70.37	70.37	0.09	0.09
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.21	-0.21
Cornell	Ivy	0.22	0.22	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Rider	MAAC	0.22	0.22	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.22	0.22	34.38	34.38	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
American	Pat	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Army	Pat	0.17	0.17	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.17	0.17	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.13	0.13	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.09	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vermont	AE	4.46	4.46	71.88	71.88	1.95	1.95
Stony Brook	AE	4.34	4.34	67.86	67.86	1.55	1.55
Kentucky	SEC	1.67	1.67	93.94	93.94	1.46	1.46
Baylor	B12	1.67	1.67	76.67	76.67	0.89	0.89
Quinnipiac	NEC	1.95	1.95	70.97	70.97	0.82	0.82
Maine	AE	4.26	4.26	59.26	59.26	0.79	0.79
Boston University	AE	5.90	5.90	55.17	55.17	0.61	0.61
Seton Hall	BE	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Lafayette	Pat	1.78	1.78	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Cornell	Ivy	0.22	0.22	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Syracuse	BE	0.17	0.17	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.27	68.75	68.75	0.10	0.10
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.23	70.37	70.37	0.09	0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.25	0.25	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Temple	A10	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Kansas St.	B12	0.13	0.13	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.38	0.38	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.09	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.22	0.22	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.17	0.17	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01