The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Vermont page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Vermont

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		145.4
Current RPI:		163
Expected SOS:		296
Current SOS:		319
Current Record:		17-8
Expected Record:		21-10
Current Conf Record:		8-3
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-4
Current OOC Record:		9-5
Expected OOC Record:		10-5
Expected OOC RPI:		150
Expected OOC SOS:		294

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-8	115.8	4.79%
22-9	128.6	22.40%
21-10	142.8	36.72%
20-11	157.8	25.98%
19-12	172.4	8.92%
18-13	186.6	1.12%
17-14	202.5	0.06%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Vermont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	A	66-79	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	A	58-57	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	A	77-71	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	64-106	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Drexel (105.7)	CAA	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	N	59-67	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	N	82-49	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	A	63-58	W	100%	0.0
12-5	NJ Inst of Technology (333.3)	GWC	A	88-49	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Yale (255.8)	Ivy	A	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Quinnipiac (138.6)	NEC	H	80-77	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Delaware (226.0)	CAA	H	50-56	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Marist (330.1)	MAAC	A	72-62	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Mount St. Mary's (186.5)	NEC	A	71-69	W	100%	0.0
1-2	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	H	73-58	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Maine (154.9)	AE	A	64-56	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	71-54	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Boston University (152.4)	AE	H	78-58	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Hartford (284.9)	AE	H	78-66	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	60-65	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	67-73	L	0%	0.0
1-27	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	A	56-75	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	64-46	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	64-51	W	100%	0.0
2-5	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	A	79-60	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	0-0		38%	-3.5
2-14	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	0-0		85%	11.4
2-17	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	0-0		70%	5.7
2-20	Fairfield (108.8)	MAAC	H	0-0		61%	3.0
2-24	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	A	0-0		41%	-2.5
2-28	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	0-0		88%	13.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Vermont's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Vermont's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Vermont.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vermont	AE	26.37	26.32	73.23	71.92	12.25	11.54
Albany	AE	4.53	4.05	25.00	27.55	-2.27	-1.82
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.52	4.07	9.52	12.31	-3.66	-3.07
Maine	AE	4.47	4.04	70.00	66.62	1.79	1.34
Boston University	AE	2.78	4.10	56.52	59.66	0.36	0.79
Hartford	AE	2.71	4.13	31.82	33.77	-0.99	-1.34
Binghamton	AE	2.64	4.04	36.36	37.36	-0.72	-1.02
New Hampshire	AE	2.61	4.09	31.58	36.70	-0.96	-1.09
Stony Brook	AE	2.57	4.04	66.67	67.89	0.86	1.45
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.32	1.84	72.73	74.35	1.05	0.90
Yale	Ivy	2.31	1.92	38.10	39.43	-0.55	-0.41
Marist	MAAC	2.31	1.98	4.35	4.90	-2.10	-1.78
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.27	1.90	47.83	49.83	-0.10	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.23	1.89	16.67	18.32	-1.48	-1.20
Toledo	MAC	2.22	1.75	9.09	10.44	-1.82	-1.39
Cornell	Ivy	2.18	1.78	85.00	85.06	1.53	1.25
Rutgers	BE	2.18	1.72	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.19
Drexel	CAA	2.18	1.75	54.17	54.44	0.18	0.16
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.17	1.75	40.91	49.35	-0.39	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.13	1.72	23.53	28.66	-1.13	-0.74
Providence	BE	2.09	1.67	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.17
Buffalo	MAC	2.04	1.64	57.89	54.00	0.32	0.13
Delaware	CAA	2.04	1.72	22.73	24.30	-1.11	-0.88
Columbia	Ivy	0.37	0.31	40.00	39.13	-0.07	-0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.36	0.28	37.50	39.23	-0.09	-0.06
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.35	0.33	16.67	19.94	-0.23	-0.20
Rider	MAAC	0.34	0.30	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.33	0.23	16.00	21.62	-0.22	-0.13
Colgate	Pat	0.33	0.26	27.27	31.08	-0.15	-0.10
Brown	Ivy	0.32	0.28	23.81	27.31	-0.17	-0.13
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.31	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.30	0.22	95.83	91.37	0.28	0.18
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.30	0.28	39.13	41.19	-0.07	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.29	0.27	83.33	81.25	0.19	0.17
Iona	MAAC	0.29	0.30	72.00	70.73	0.13	0.12
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.20	65.22	65.74	0.09	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.27	0.28	70.59	70.98	0.11	0.12
Towson	CAA	0.26	0.19	22.73	23.47	-0.14	-0.10
Niagara	MAAC	0.26	0.25	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.25	0.19	66.67	68.11	0.08	0.07
Harvard	Ivy	0.24	0.28	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.14
Boston College	ACC	0.24	0.15	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.23	0.31	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.06
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.16	0.00	4.18	-0.22	-0.15
American	Pat	0.21	0.16	30.43	32.39	-0.08	-0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.06
Army	Pat	0.20	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.18	0.20	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.20	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.14	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.18	0.20	9.52	8.87	-0.15	-0.16
Hofstra	CAA	0.18	0.22	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.18	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	86.36	81.50	0.13	0.10
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.14	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.14	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.17	0.11	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.17	1.72	69.57	65.41	0.07	0.53
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.14	0.11	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.14	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.20	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.08
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.13	0.14	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.20	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.13	0.08	11.11	20.93	-0.10	-0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.17	30.43	30.27	-0.05	-0.07
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.07
William & Mary	CAA	0.12	0.11	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.12	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.09	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.11	26.09	31.05	-0.04	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.11	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.06	0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.04
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.05	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.05	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.05	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.04	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.04	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.04	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.04	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.08	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.04	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.01	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.04	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.04	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.04	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.04	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.04	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.04	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.04	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.04	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.04	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vermont	AE	26.37	26.32	73.23	71.92	12.25	11.54
Hartford	AE	2.71	4.13	31.82	33.77	-0.99	-1.34
Boston University	AE	2.78	4.10	56.52	59.66	0.36	0.79
New Hampshire	AE	2.61	4.09	31.58	36.70	-0.96	-1.09
MD Baltimore County	AE	4.52	4.07	9.52	12.31	-3.66	-3.07
Albany	AE	4.53	4.05	25.00	27.55	-2.27	-1.82
Binghamton	AE	2.64	4.04	36.36	37.36	-0.72	-1.02
Stony Brook	AE	2.57	4.04	66.67	67.89	0.86	1.45
Maine	AE	4.47	4.04	70.00	66.62	1.79	1.34
Marist	MAAC	2.31	1.98	4.35	4.90	-2.10	-1.78
Yale	Ivy	2.31	1.92	38.10	39.43	-0.55	-0.41
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.27	1.90	47.83	49.83	-0.10	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.23	1.89	16.67	18.32	-1.48	-1.20
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.32	1.84	72.73	74.35	1.05	0.90
Cornell	Ivy	2.18	1.78	85.00	85.06	1.53	1.25
Toledo	MAC	2.22	1.75	9.09	10.44	-1.82	-1.39
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.17	1.75	40.91	49.35	-0.39	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	2.18	1.75	54.17	54.44	0.18	0.16
Rutgers	BE	2.18	1.72	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.19
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.13	1.72	23.53	28.66	-1.13	-0.74
Fairfield	MAAC	0.17	1.72	69.57	65.41	0.07	0.53
Delaware	CAA	2.04	1.72	22.73	24.30	-1.11	-0.88
Providence	BE	2.09	1.67	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.17
Buffalo	MAC	2.04	1.64	57.89	54.00	0.32	0.13
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.35	0.33	16.67	19.94	-0.23	-0.20
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.23	0.31	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.06
Columbia	Ivy	0.37	0.31	40.00	39.13	-0.07	-0.07
Rider	MAAC	0.34	0.30	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.29	0.30	72.00	70.73	0.13	0.12
Harvard	Ivy	0.24	0.28	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.14
Brown	Ivy	0.32	0.28	23.81	27.31	-0.17	-0.13
Princeton	Ivy	0.27	0.28	70.59	70.98	0.11	0.12
Bucknell	Pat	0.36	0.28	37.50	39.23	-0.09	-0.06
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.31	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.30	0.28	39.13	41.19	-0.07	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.29	0.27	83.33	81.25	0.19	0.17
Colgate	Pat	0.33	0.26	27.27	31.08	-0.15	-0.10
Niagara	MAAC	0.26	0.25	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.33	0.23	16.00	21.62	-0.22	-0.13
Hofstra	CAA	0.18	0.22	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.30	0.22	95.83	91.37	0.28	0.18
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.20	65.22	65.74	0.09	0.06
Fordham	A10	0.18	0.20	9.52	8.87	-0.15	-0.16
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.20	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.20	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.13	0.20	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.18	0.20	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.26	0.19	22.73	23.47	-0.14	-0.10
Northeastern	CAA	0.25	0.19	66.67	68.11	0.08	0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.18	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	86.36	81.50	0.13	0.10
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.13	0.17	30.43	30.27	-0.05	-0.07
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.16	0.00	4.18	-0.22	-0.15
American	Pat	0.21	0.16	30.43	32.39	-0.08	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.20	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.24	0.15	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.14	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.13	0.14	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.14	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.14	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.14	0.11	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.11	26.09	31.05	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.11	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.17	0.11	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.12	0.11	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.09	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.14	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.08	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.13	0.08	11.11	20.93	-0.10	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.04	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.01	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.13	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.06	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.04	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.12	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.04	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.04	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.04	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.04	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.04	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.08	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.05	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.05	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.05	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.04	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Temple	A10	0.04	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.04	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.04	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.04	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.04	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.04	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.04	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vermont	AE	26.37	26.32	73.23	71.92	12.25	11.54
Maine	AE	4.47	4.04	70.00	66.62	1.79	1.34
Cornell	Ivy	2.18	1.78	85.00	85.06	1.53	1.25
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.32	1.84	72.73	74.35	1.05	0.90
Stony Brook	AE	2.57	4.04	66.67	67.89	0.86	1.45
Boston University	AE	2.78	4.10	56.52	59.66	0.36	0.79
Buffalo	MAC	2.04	1.64	57.89	54.00	0.32	0.13
Syracuse	BE	0.30	0.22	95.83	91.37	0.28	0.18
Siena	MAAC	0.29	0.27	83.33	81.25	0.19	0.17
Drexel	CAA	2.18	1.75	54.17	54.44	0.18	0.16
Iona	MAAC	0.29	0.30	72.00	70.73	0.13	0.12
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	86.36	81.50	0.13	0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.24	0.28	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.14
Princeton	Ivy	0.27	0.28	70.59	70.98	0.11	0.12
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.10	0.07
Lehigh	Pat	0.28	0.20	65.22	65.74	0.09	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.21	0.14	70.83	73.80	0.09	0.06
Northeastern	CAA	0.25	0.19	66.67	68.11	0.08	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Old Dominion	CAA	0.17	0.11	72.00	73.54	0.07	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.20	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.17	1.72	69.57	65.41	0.07	0.53
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.06	0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.12	0.11	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.18	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.23	0.31	58.33	58.93	0.04	0.06
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.04	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.14	0.11	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Army	Pat	0.20	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
Temple	A10	0.04	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.04	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.04	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.04	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.13	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.18	0.14	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.04	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.12	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.14	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.34	0.30	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.31	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.24	0.15	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.26	0.25	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.05	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.04	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.05	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	2.09	1.67	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.17
Rutgers	BE	2.18	1.72	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.19
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.04	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.08	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.05	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.09	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.04	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.13	0.14	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.14	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.04	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.04	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.04	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.04	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.04	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.03