The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Manhattan page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

Manhattan

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		226.9
Current RPI:		227
Expected SOS:		164
Current SOS:		164
Current Record:		11-20
Expected Record:		11-20
Current Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-4
Current OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC RPI:		160
Expected OOC SOS:		222

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
11-20		226.9		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Manhattan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	NJ Inst of Technology (341.4)	GWC	H	70-58	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Princeton (132.7)	Ivy	A	54-61	L	0%	0.0
11-21	William & Mary (58.0)	CAA	H	70-75	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	H	73-66	W	100%	0.0
11-25	American (294.0)	Pat	A	69-62	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Fordham (301.6)	A10	H	68-44	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Niagara (129.1)	MAAC	A	64-88	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Canisius (206.6)	MAAC	A	71-57	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Hofstra (144.3)	CAA	A	39-44	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Morgan St. (104.3)	MEAC	A	74-83	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Long Island (241.5)	NEC	A	71-61	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Vanderbilt (21.3)	SEC	A	48-86	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Marist (334.5)	MAAC	A	66-72	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Rider (141.4)	MAAC	H	64-65	L	0%	0.0
1-8	St. Peter's (180.5)	MAAC	H	76-53	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Fairfield (81.2)	MAAC	A	85-88	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Canisius (206.6)	MAAC	H	61-63	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Siena (33.7)	MAAC	A	68-83	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	H	53-56	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Siena (33.7)	MAAC	H	58-66	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Rider (141.4)	MAAC	A	71-74	L	0%	0.0
1-31	St. Peter's (180.5)	MAAC	A	44-72	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Marist (334.5)	MAAC	H	72-47	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Loyola MD (218.5)	MAAC	H	56-62	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	A	66-60	W	100%	0.0
2-15	Fairfield (81.2)	MAAC	H	56-74	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Towson (265.6)	CAA	H	78-62	W	100%	0.0
2-26	Niagara (129.1)	MAAC	H	72-74	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Loyola MD (218.5)	MAAC	A	59-71	L	0%	0.0
3-5	Loyola MD (218.5)	MAAC	N	94-79	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Siena (33.7)	MAAC	A	61-78	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Manhattan's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Manhattan's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Manhattan.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Manhattan	MAAC	26.48	26.48	35.66	35.66	-7.59	-7.59
Siena	MAAC	5.82	5.82	80.00	80.00	3.49	3.49
Loyola MD	MAAC	5.73	5.73	40.74	40.74	-1.06	-1.06
Fairfield	MAAC	4.40	4.40	66.67	66.67	1.47	1.47
Rider	MAAC	4.30	4.30	48.39	48.39	-0.14	-0.14
Niagara	MAAC	4.25	4.25	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Canisius	MAAC	4.25	4.25	46.67	46.67	-0.28	-0.28
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Iona	MAAC	4.25	4.25	68.97	68.97	1.61	1.61
Marist	MAAC	4.22	4.22	0.00	0.00	-4.22	-4.22
Hofstra	CAA	1.85	1.85	54.84	54.84	0.18	0.18
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.75	1.75	71.88	71.88	0.76	0.76
Long Island	NEC	1.74	1.74	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
William & Mary	CAA	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Towson	CAA	1.71	1.71	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
American	Pat	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.67	1.67	24.00	24.00	-0.87	-0.87
Princeton	Ivy	1.67	1.67	68.00	69.08	0.60	0.64
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.66	1.66	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Fordham	A10	1.66	1.66	7.41	7.41	-1.42	-1.42
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.61	1.61	75.00	75.00	0.81	0.81
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.28	0.28	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.28	0.28	22.58	22.60	-0.15	-0.15
James Madison	CAA	0.23	0.23	39.39	39.39	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.23	0.23	22.58	22.58	-0.12	-0.12
Northeastern	CAA	0.23	0.23	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.22	0.22	46.67	45.74	-0.01	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.40	0.10	0.10
Lehigh	Pat	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.21	0.21	36.67	35.73	-0.06	-0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.21	13.33	13.33	-0.15	-0.15
Albany	AE	0.20	0.20	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.20	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.20	0.20	16.13	16.13	-0.13	-0.13
Lafayette	Pat	0.19	0.19	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.18	0.18	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Buffalo	MAC	0.18	0.18	60.71	60.18	0.04	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.16	0.16	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.16	0.16	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.16	0.16	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.16	0.16	43.33	44.09	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.16	46.43	47.09	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.77	-0.04	-0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.14	0.14	14.81	14.81	-0.10	-0.10
Navy	Pat	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	19.23	20.52	-0.08	-0.08
Georgia St.	CAA	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.11	62.07	62.11	0.03	0.03
Army	Pat	0.11	0.11	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	72.41	73.08	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.11	61.29	60.58	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.11	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	93.55	93.55	0.09	0.09
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.10	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.10	83.87	83.87	0.07	0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.09	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.08	55.17	53.74	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.09	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	44.83	45.21	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.02	-0.03	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.15	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	53.85	54.82	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.08	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	79.31	79.31	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.10	86.86	0.05	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.61	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.33	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.06	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.06	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	76.67	77.24	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.49	-0.03	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.70	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	40.00	39.90	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	25.93	26.38	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.04	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	25.00	26.79	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	72.00	72.78	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.41	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.06	22.22	21.56	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	34.48	33.79	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.06	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	72.41	71.68	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.26	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	53.33	54.26	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.88	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.66	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.16	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.61	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Manhattan	MAAC	26.48	26.48	35.66	35.66	-7.59	-7.59
Siena	MAAC	5.82	5.82	80.00	80.00	3.49	3.49
Loyola MD	MAAC	5.73	5.73	40.74	40.74	-1.06	-1.06
Fairfield	MAAC	4.40	4.40	66.67	66.67	1.47	1.47
Rider	MAAC	4.30	4.30	48.39	48.39	-0.14	-0.14
Niagara	MAAC	4.25	4.25	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Canisius	MAAC	4.25	4.25	46.67	46.67	-0.28	-0.28
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Iona	MAAC	4.25	4.25	68.97	68.97	1.61	1.61
Marist	MAAC	4.22	4.22	0.00	0.00	-4.22	-4.22
Hofstra	CAA	1.85	1.85	54.84	54.84	0.18	0.18
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.75	1.75	71.88	71.88	0.76	0.76
Long Island	NEC	1.74	1.74	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
William & Mary	CAA	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Towson	CAA	1.71	1.71	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
American	Pat	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.67	1.67	24.00	24.00	-0.87	-0.87
Princeton	Ivy	1.67	1.67	68.00	69.08	0.60	0.64
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.66	1.66	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Fordham	A10	1.66	1.66	7.41	7.41	-1.42	-1.42
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.61	1.61	75.00	75.00	0.81	0.81
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.28	0.28	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.28	0.28	22.58	22.60	-0.15	-0.15
James Madison	CAA	0.23	0.23	39.39	39.39	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.23	0.23	22.58	22.58	-0.12	-0.12
Northeastern	CAA	0.23	0.23	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.22	0.22	46.67	45.74	-0.01	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.40	0.10	0.10
Lehigh	Pat	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.21	0.21	36.67	35.73	-0.06	-0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.21	13.33	13.33	-0.15	-0.15
Albany	AE	0.20	0.20	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.20	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.20	0.20	16.13	16.13	-0.13	-0.13
Lafayette	Pat	0.19	0.19	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.18	0.18	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Buffalo	MAC	0.18	0.18	60.71	60.18	0.04	0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.16	0.16	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.16	0.16	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.16	0.16	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.16	0.16	43.33	44.09	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.16	46.43	47.09	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.77	-0.04	-0.04
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.14	0.14	14.81	14.81	-0.10	-0.10
Navy	Pat	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	19.23	20.52	-0.08	-0.08
Georgia St.	CAA	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.11	62.07	62.11	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	72.41	73.08	0.05	0.05
Army	Pat	0.11	0.11	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.11	61.29	60.58	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.11	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	93.55	93.55	0.09	0.09
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.10	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.10	83.87	83.87	0.07	0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.09	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.09	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.08	55.17	53.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	44.83	45.21	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.02	-0.03	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.15	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	53.85	54.82	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.08	0.08	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	79.31	79.31	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.74	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.10	86.86	0.05	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.61	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.06	22.22	21.56	-0.02	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.33	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.06	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.06	0.06	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	76.67	77.24	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.49	-0.03	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.70	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	40.00	39.90	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	25.93	26.38	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.04	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	25.00	26.79	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	72.00	72.78	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.41	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	34.48	33.79	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.06	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	72.41	71.68	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.26	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	53.33	54.26	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.88	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.66	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.16	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.61	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	5.82	5.82	80.00	80.00	3.49	3.49
Iona	MAAC	4.25	4.25	68.97	68.97	1.61	1.61
Fairfield	MAAC	4.40	4.40	66.67	66.67	1.47	1.47
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.61	1.61	75.00	75.00	0.81	0.81
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.75	1.75	71.88	71.88	0.76	0.76
Princeton	Ivy	1.67	1.67	68.00	69.08	0.60	0.64
William & Mary	CAA	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
St. Peter's	MAAC	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Hofstra	CAA	1.85	1.85	54.84	54.84	0.18	0.18
Niagara	MAAC	4.25	4.25	51.61	51.61	0.14	0.14
Vermont	AE	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.40	0.10	0.10
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	93.55	93.55	0.09	0.09
Lehigh	Pat	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.08	0.08
Temple	A10	0.10	0.10	83.87	83.87	0.07	0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.23	0.23	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.10	86.86	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	72.41	73.08	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Stony Brook	AE	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.08	0.08	79.31	79.31	0.04	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.19	0.19	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.18	0.18	60.71	60.18	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	76.67	77.24	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.11	62.07	62.11	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.11	0.11	61.29	60.58	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	72.00	72.78	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.09	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.04	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.15	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.02
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	72.41	71.68	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.33	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.86	67.53	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.28	0.28	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.08	55.17	53.74	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	53.85	54.82	0.01	0.01