The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Connecticut page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Connecticut

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		54.2
Current RPI:		57
Expected SOS:		4
Current SOS:		6
Current Record:		14-9
Expected Record:		18-13
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		8-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		2-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		16
Expected OOC SOS:		12

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
22-9	14.3	0.03%
21-10	20.4	0.75%
20-11	28.0	5.10%
19-12	38.4	16.38%
18-13	49.2	27.99%
17-14	59.5	28.43%
16-15	70.3	16.03%
15-16	81.9	4.76%
14-17	94.0	0.52%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Connecticut.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	William & Mary (56.7)	CAA	H	75-66	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	H	77-63	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Hofstra (177.3)	CAA	H	76-67	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	N	81-55	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Duke (3.7)	ACC	N	59-68	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Boston University (152.4)	AE	H	92-64	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	H	79-73	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	N	61-64	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	H	60-51	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Iona (79.9)	MAAC	H	93-74	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	H	82-70	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	H	71-63	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	A	69-72	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	H	57-67	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	63-68	L	0%	0.0
1-20	St. John's (101.2)	BE	H	75-59	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Texas (15.2)	B12	H	88-74	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	66-81	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Marquette (55.4)	BE	H	68-70	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Louisville (36.4)	BE	A	69-82	L	0%	0.0
2-6	DePaul (180.2)	BE	H	64-57	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	0-0		11%	-13.2
2-13	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	H	0-0		70%	5.7
2-15	Villanova (6.2)	BE	A	0-0		19%	-9.5
2-20	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	A	0-0		74%	7.0
2-22	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	H	0-0		36%	-3.8
2-28	Louisville (36.4)	BE	H	0-0		54%	1.0
3-3	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	0-0		44%	-1.7
3-6	South Florida (64.9)	BE	A	0-0		42%	-2.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Connecticut's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Connecticut's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Connecticut.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Connecticut	BE	26.11	25.99	53.01	51.71	1.57	0.89
Pittsburgh	BE	2.57	2.17	72.73	69.83	1.17	0.86
St. John's	BE	2.55	2.22	57.14	50.94	0.36	0.04
Providence	BE	2.55	2.17	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.23
Georgetown	BE	2.52	2.20	76.19	72.41	1.32	0.99
Cincinnati	BE	2.51	3.73	59.09	54.86	0.46	0.36
DePaul	BE	2.51	2.15	36.36	35.06	-0.68	-0.64
Louisville	BE	2.46	3.73	63.64	61.31	0.67	0.84
Marquette	BE	2.46	2.17	63.64	64.92	0.67	0.65
Notre Dame	BE	2.41	3.76	73.91	65.83	1.15	1.19
Seton Hall	BE	2.41	2.15	60.00	59.52	0.48	0.41
Boston University	AE	2.32	1.73	56.52	59.76	0.30	0.34
Hofstra	CAA	2.32	1.70	47.83	49.42	-0.10	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	2.32	1.75	71.43	69.03	1.00	0.67
Harvard	Ivy	2.32	1.70	77.78	78.31	1.29	0.96
Duke	ACC	2.27	1.67	81.82	81.74	1.45	1.06
Maine	AE	2.27	1.72	66.67	64.15	0.76	0.49
Kentucky	SEC	2.27	1.69	95.45	88.29	2.06	1.30
Iona	MAAC	2.27	1.72	75.00	73.09	1.13	0.80
Colgate	Pat	2.22	1.69	28.57	32.23	-0.95	-0.60
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.22	1.64	40.91	36.60	-0.40	-0.44
Michigan	B10	2.22	1.64	42.86	42.00	-0.32	-0.26
Texas	B12	2.22	1.64	86.36	81.39	1.62	1.03
Central Florida	CUSA	2.22	1.69	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.13
Syracuse	BE	0.48	2.23	95.83	91.46	0.44	1.85
Villanova	BE	0.43	2.15	90.91	82.57	0.36	1.40
South Florida	BE	0.43	2.23	65.22	62.34	0.13	0.55
Rutgers	BE	0.38	2.18	47.83	43.48	-0.02	-0.28
New Hampshire	AE	0.34	0.22	35.00	38.23	-0.10	-0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.34	2.15	86.36	82.84	0.24	1.41
Boston College	ACC	0.30	0.17	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.24	0.17	68.18	68.72	0.09	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.24	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.04
Albany	AE	0.24	0.19	23.08	25.77	-0.13	-0.09
Rice	CUSA	0.20	0.14	31.82	30.34	-0.07	-0.05
Hartford	AE	0.19	0.17	30.43	32.48	-0.08	-0.06
Old Dominion	CAA	0.19	0.11	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.19	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.11	0.06
Drexel	CAA	0.19	0.19	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.19	0.14	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.03
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.17	68.00	67.20	0.07	0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.19	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.16	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.16	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.16	0.09	15.79	17.64	-0.11	-0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.14	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.10
Army	Pat	0.16	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.15	0.14	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.08
Temple	A10	0.15	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.06
George Washington	A10	0.15	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.11	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.16	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.07
American	Pat	0.15	0.11	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.15	0.14	23.81	27.31	-0.08	-0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.08	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.11	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.14	0.14	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.16	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.16	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.14	0.11	8.70	11.46	-0.12	-0.09
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.10	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.11	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.09	0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.13	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.13	0.11	4.17	4.73	-0.12	-0.10
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.09	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.11	0.12	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.11	16.67	19.94	-0.07	-0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.07
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.09	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.05	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.16	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.05	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.11	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.08
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.07
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.14	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.13	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.05	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.08	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.16	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.11	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.08	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.08	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.05	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.08	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.08	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.03	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.05	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.05	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.04	0.05	33.33	33.00	-0.01	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.00	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.00	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.00	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.00	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.00	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.00	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Connecticut	BE	26.11	25.99	53.01	51.71	1.57	0.89
Notre Dame	BE	2.41	3.76	73.91	65.83	1.15	1.19
Louisville	BE	2.46	3.73	63.64	61.31	0.67	0.84
Cincinnati	BE	2.51	3.73	59.09	54.86	0.46	0.36
Syracuse	BE	0.48	2.23	95.83	91.46	0.44	1.85
South Florida	BE	0.43	2.23	65.22	62.34	0.13	0.55
St. John's	BE	2.55	2.22	57.14	50.94	0.36	0.04
Georgetown	BE	2.52	2.20	76.19	72.41	1.32	0.99
Rutgers	BE	0.38	2.18	47.83	43.48	-0.02	-0.28
Marquette	BE	2.46	2.17	63.64	64.92	0.67	0.65
Pittsburgh	BE	2.57	2.17	72.73	69.83	1.17	0.86
Providence	BE	2.55	2.17	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.23
Villanova	BE	0.43	2.15	90.91	82.57	0.36	1.40
West Virginia	BE	0.34	2.15	86.36	82.84	0.24	1.41
DePaul	BE	2.51	2.15	36.36	35.06	-0.68	-0.64
Seton Hall	BE	2.41	2.15	60.00	59.52	0.48	0.41
William & Mary	CAA	2.32	1.75	71.43	69.03	1.00	0.67
Boston University	AE	2.32	1.73	56.52	59.76	0.30	0.34
Maine	AE	2.27	1.72	66.67	64.15	0.76	0.49
Iona	MAAC	2.27	1.72	75.00	73.09	1.13	0.80
Harvard	Ivy	2.32	1.70	77.78	78.31	1.29	0.96
Hofstra	CAA	2.32	1.70	47.83	49.42	-0.10	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	2.22	1.69	28.57	32.23	-0.95	-0.60
Central Florida	CUSA	2.22	1.69	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.13
Kentucky	SEC	2.27	1.69	95.45	88.29	2.06	1.30
Duke	ACC	2.27	1.67	81.82	81.74	1.45	1.06
Michigan	B10	2.22	1.64	42.86	42.00	-0.32	-0.26
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.22	1.64	40.91	36.60	-0.40	-0.44
Texas	B12	2.22	1.64	86.36	81.39	1.62	1.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.34	0.22	35.00	38.23	-0.10	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.24	0.19	23.08	25.77	-0.13	-0.09
Drexel	CAA	0.19	0.19	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.24	0.17	68.18	68.72	0.09	0.06
Hartford	AE	0.19	0.17	30.43	32.48	-0.08	-0.06
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.17	68.00	67.20	0.07	0.06
Boston College	ACC	0.30	0.17	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.16	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.16	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.16	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.16	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.16	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.16	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.16	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.14	0.14	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.15	0.14	23.81	27.31	-0.08	-0.06
Columbia	Ivy	0.15	0.14	40.00	39.13	-0.03	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.14	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.10
Binghamton	AE	0.19	0.14	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.20	0.14	31.82	30.34	-0.07	-0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.14	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.24	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.19	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.13	0.13	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.13	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.11	0.12	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.14	0.11	8.70	11.46	-0.12	-0.09
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.11	16.67	19.94	-0.07	-0.07
American	Pat	0.15	0.11	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.19	0.11	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.05
Temple	A10	0.15	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.19	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.11	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.11	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.14	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.11	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.13	0.11	4.17	4.73	-0.12	-0.10
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.11	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.11	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.11	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.10	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.16	0.09	15.79	17.64	-0.11	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.16	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.09	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.09	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.15	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.08
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.07
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.08	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.08	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.08	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.07
Long Island	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.08	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.08	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.09	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.08	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.08	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.08	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.05	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.05	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.05	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.00	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.05	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.04	0.05	33.33	33.00	-0.01	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.05	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.05	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00