The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Connecticut page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Connecticut

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		64.0
Current RPI:		64
Expected SOS:		4
Current SOS:		4
Current Record:		17-15
Expected Record:		17-15
Current Conf Record:		7-12
Expected Conf Record:		7-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		12
Expected OOC SOS:		10

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-15		64.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Connecticut.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	William & Mary (59.0)	CAA	H	75-66	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	H	77-63	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Hofstra (145.0)	CAA	H	76-67	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	N	81-55	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Duke (3.0)	ACC	N	59-68	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Boston University (140.0)	AE	H	92-64	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Harvard (100.0)	Ivy	H	79-73	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	N	61-64	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	H	60-51	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Maine (153.0)	AE	H	71-54	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	H	93-74	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	H	82-70	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	H	71-63	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	A	69-72	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Pittsburgh (15.0)	BE	H	57-67	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Michigan (132.0)	B10	A	63-68	L	0%	0.0
1-20	St. John's (82.0)	BE	H	75-59	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Texas (29.0)	B12	H	88-74	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Providence (141.0)	BE	A	66-81	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Marquette (50.0)	BE	H	68-70	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Louisville (37.0)	BE	A	69-82	L	0%	0.0
2-6	DePaul (212.0)	BE	H	64-57	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	A	67-72	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	H	48-60	L	0%	0.0
2-15	Villanova (14.0)	BE	A	84-75	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	A	76-58	W	100%	0.0
2-22	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	H	73-62	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Louisville (37.0)	BE	H	76-78	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	A	50-58	L	0%	0.0
3-6	South Florida (71.0)	BE	A	68-75	L	0%	0.0
3-9	St. John's (82.0)	BE	A	51-73	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Connecticut's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Connecticut's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Connecticut.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Connecticut	BE	25.98	25.98	48.41	48.41	-0.82	-0.82
Notre Dame	BE	3.71	3.71	68.75	68.75	1.39	1.39
Cincinnati	BE	3.71	3.71	51.61	51.61	0.12	0.12
St. John's	BE	3.71	3.71	53.33	53.33	0.25	0.25
Louisville	BE	3.68	3.68	60.00	60.00	0.74	0.74
Georgetown	BE	2.22	2.22	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Marquette	BE	2.20	2.20	65.62	65.62	0.69	0.69
South Florida	BE	2.19	2.19	61.29	61.29	0.49	0.49
West Virginia	BE	2.19	2.19	84.38	84.38	1.51	1.51
Syracuse	BE	2.17	2.17	87.10	87.10	1.61	1.61
Pittsburgh	BE	2.17	2.17	74.19	74.19	1.05	1.05
Rutgers	BE	2.15	2.15	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Seton Hall	BE	2.14	2.14	63.33	63.33	0.57	0.57
Providence	BE	2.12	2.12	36.67	36.67	-0.57	-0.57
DePaul	BE	2.12	2.12	26.67	26.67	-0.99	-0.99
Villanova	BE	2.09	2.09	80.00	80.00	1.26	1.26
Boston University	AE	1.67	1.67	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
William & Mary	CAA	1.67	1.67	70.00	70.00	0.67	0.67
Maine	AE	1.66	1.66	64.29	64.29	0.48	0.48
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	58.06	58.06	0.27	0.27
Colgate	Pat	1.64	1.64	35.71	35.71	-0.47	-0.47
Iona	MAAC	1.64	1.64	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Kentucky	SEC	1.64	1.64	93.94	93.94	1.44	1.44
Harvard	Ivy	1.64	1.64	76.92	76.92	0.88	0.88
Duke	ACC	1.64	1.64	84.85	84.85	1.14	1.14
Central Florida	CUSA	1.63	1.63	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Texas	B12	1.59	1.59	75.00	75.00	0.79	0.79
Michigan	B10	1.59	1.59	43.33	43.33	-0.21	-0.21
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.59	1.59	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
New Hampshire	AE	0.23	0.23	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Albany	AE	0.18	0.18	21.88	21.88	-0.10	-0.10
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	73.53	73.53	0.08	0.08
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.16	0.16	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.16	86.21	86.21	0.11	0.11
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.15	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.14	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.13	0.13	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Binghamton	AE	0.13	0.13	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.12	0.12	29.03	29.03	-0.05	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.12	0.12	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.12	0.12	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Indiana	B10	0.12	0.12	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.11	0.11	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.10	3.33	3.33	-0.10	-0.10
American	Pat	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.08	-0.08
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.10	3.33	3.33	-0.09	-0.09
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.08	0.08	14.81	14.81	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.02	0.02	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.02	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Connecticut	BE	25.98	25.98	48.41	48.41	-0.82	-0.82
Notre Dame	BE	3.71	3.71	68.75	68.75	1.39	1.39
Cincinnati	BE	3.71	3.71	51.61	51.61	0.12	0.12
St. John's	BE	3.71	3.71	53.33	53.33	0.25	0.25
Louisville	BE	3.68	3.68	60.00	60.00	0.74	0.74
Georgetown	BE	2.22	2.22	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Marquette	BE	2.20	2.20	65.62	65.62	0.69	0.69
South Florida	BE	2.19	2.19	61.29	61.29	0.49	0.49
West Virginia	BE	2.19	2.19	84.38	84.38	1.51	1.51
Syracuse	BE	2.17	2.17	87.10	87.10	1.61	1.61
Pittsburgh	BE	2.17	2.17	74.19	74.19	1.05	1.05
Rutgers	BE	2.15	2.15	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Seton Hall	BE	2.14	2.14	63.33	63.33	0.57	0.57
Providence	BE	2.12	2.12	36.67	36.67	-0.57	-0.57
DePaul	BE	2.12	2.12	26.67	26.67	-0.99	-0.99
Villanova	BE	2.09	2.09	80.00	80.00	1.26	1.26
Boston University	AE	1.67	1.67	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
William & Mary	CAA	1.67	1.67	70.00	70.00	0.67	0.67
Maine	AE	1.66	1.66	64.29	64.29	0.48	0.48
Hofstra	CAA	1.66	1.66	58.06	58.06	0.27	0.27
Colgate	Pat	1.64	1.64	35.71	35.71	-0.47	-0.47
Iona	MAAC	1.64	1.64	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Kentucky	SEC	1.64	1.64	93.94	93.94	1.44	1.44
Harvard	Ivy	1.64	1.64	76.92	76.92	0.88	0.88
Duke	ACC	1.64	1.64	84.85	84.85	1.14	1.14
Central Florida	CUSA	1.63	1.63	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Texas	B12	1.59	1.59	75.00	75.00	0.79	0.79
Michigan	B10	1.59	1.59	43.33	43.33	-0.21	-0.21
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.59	1.59	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
New Hampshire	AE	0.23	0.23	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Albany	AE	0.18	0.18	21.88	21.88	-0.10	-0.10
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	73.53	73.53	0.08	0.08
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Northeastern	CAA	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.16	0.16	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.16	86.21	86.21	0.11	0.11
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.15	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.14	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.13	0.13	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Binghamton	AE	0.13	0.13	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.12	0.12	29.03	29.03	-0.05	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.12	0.12	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.12	0.12	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Indiana	B10	0.12	0.12	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.11	0.11	70.37	70.37	0.04	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.10	3.33	3.33	-0.10	-0.10
American	Pat	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.08	-0.08
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.10	3.33	3.33	-0.09	-0.09
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.08	0.08	14.81	14.81	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.06	0.06
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01