The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Baylor page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Baylor

Conference:		B12
Expected RPI:		23.8
Current RPI:		28
Expected SOS:		26
Current SOS:		28
Current Record:		16-5
Expected Record:		21-8
Current Conf Record:		4-4
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		12-1
Expected OOC Record:		12-1
Expected OOC RPI:		21
Expected OOC SOS:		152

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-5	7.7	2.49%
23-6	10.5	11.77%
22-7	15.7	24.47%
21-8	22.7	29.08%
20-9	32.1	20.21%
19-10	42.7	9.10%
18-11	52.9	2.54%
17-12	63.2	0.31%
16-13	73.0	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Baylor.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Norfolk St. (315.1)	MEAC	H	86-58	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Hartford (284.6)	AE	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Southern (342.9)	SWAC	H	61-45	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Alabama (105.9)	SEC	N	76-79	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Iona (80.5)	MAAC	N	72-62	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Xavier (26.5)	A10	N	69-64	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Arizona St. (70.9)	P10	A	64-61	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	H	90-60	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Texas Arlington (264.4)	Slnd	H	94-63	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Arkansas (127.2)	SEC	N	70-47	W	100%	0.0
1-2	South Carolina (73.2)	SEC	A	85-74	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Morgan St. (104.2)	MEAC	H	79-63	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	H	91-60	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Colorado (134.3)	B12	A	71-78	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	H	83-70	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Kansas (1.4)	B12	A	75-81	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Massachusetts (194.1)	A10	H	71-45	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Kansas St. (6.8)	B12	H	74-76	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Texas (19.1)	B12	A	80-77	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Iowa St. (110.5)	B12	H	84-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	A	71-78	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Nebraska (125.3)	B12	A	0-0		65%	4.1
2-13	Missouri (38.8)	B12	H	0-0		58%	2.3
2-16	Texas Tech (54.7)	B12	H	0-0		84%	11.0
2-20	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	A	0-0		52%	0.6
2-24	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	H	0-0		71%	6.1
2-27	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	A	0-0		65%	4.2
3-2	Texas Tech (54.7)	B12	A	0-0		61%	3.0
3-6	Texas (19.1)	B12	H	0-0		52%	0.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Baylor's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Baylor's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Baylor.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Baylor	B12	26.11	26.13	75.86	72.18	13.51	11.59
Texas	B12	2.80	4.11	82.61	80.68	1.83	2.52
Kansas St.	B12	2.80	2.35	80.95	78.82	1.73	1.36
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.70	4.11	72.73	66.37	1.23	1.35
Colorado	B12	2.69	2.29	40.00	38.37	-0.54	-0.53
Texas A&M	B12	2.65	4.08	71.43	67.02	1.13	1.39
Iowa St.	B12	2.65	2.30	59.09	52.12	0.48	0.10
Oklahoma	B12	2.64	4.11	61.90	53.55	0.63	0.29
Kansas	B12	2.59	2.30	95.65	92.85	2.37	1.97
Arkansas	SEC	2.58	1.95	54.55	50.04	0.23	0.00
Alabama	SEC	2.54	1.87	54.55	52.56	0.23	0.10
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.54	1.84	52.38	51.30	0.12	0.05
Southern	SWAC	2.54	1.84	19.05	21.08	-1.57	-1.06
Xavier	A10	2.49	1.78	72.73	73.91	1.13	0.85
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.49	1.81	75.00	76.16	1.24	0.95
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.48	1.80	23.81	26.41	-1.30	-0.85
Iona	MAAC	2.44	1.75	75.00	73.03	1.22	0.81
Massachusetts	A10	2.43	1.75	33.33	32.77	-0.81	-0.60
Arizona St.	P10	2.38	1.72	69.57	69.99	0.93	0.69
Hartford	AE	2.38	1.72	31.82	33.64	-0.87	-0.56
South Carolina	SEC	2.38	1.78	61.90	56.32	0.57	0.23
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.38	1.72	50.00	45.36	0.00	-0.16
Nebraska	B12	0.42	2.33	56.52	50.99	0.06	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.36	4.08	68.18	61.60	0.13	0.95
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.32	0.29	36.36	47.14	-0.09	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.32	2.30	73.91	71.55	0.15	0.99
La Salle	A10	0.31	0.23	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.28	0.21	68.42	67.05	0.10	0.07
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.26	0.17	0.00	4.36	-0.26	-0.16
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.26	0.20	39.13	35.39	-0.06	-0.06
Texas St.	Slnd	0.24	0.15	36.84	36.81	-0.06	-0.04
North Texas	SB	0.23	0.18	61.90	63.68	0.05	0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.22	0.15	27.78	26.81	-0.10	-0.07
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.21	0.24	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.17	73.91	72.54	0.10	0.08
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.21	0.17	21.74	24.91	-0.12	-0.09
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.21	0.20	15.79	22.91	-0.14	-0.11
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.20	0.14	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.12	15.79	27.70	-0.12	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.17	0.12	79.17	76.61	0.10	0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.15	45.00	54.22	-0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.16	0.15	77.27	70.95	0.09	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.15	33.33	39.81	-0.05	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.15	31.58	39.01	-0.06	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.14	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.16	0.09	69.57	70.01	0.06	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.14	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.16	0.12	72.73	71.93	0.07	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.14	73.91	67.69	0.08	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.16	0.12	9.52	8.90	-0.13	-0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.14	95.65	88.68	0.14	0.11
Rhode Island	A10	0.16	0.15	86.36	81.53	0.11	0.09
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.17	30.43	32.84	-0.06	-0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.09	85.71	85.58	0.11	0.06
Temple	A10	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.60	0.09	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.14	81.82	75.63	0.10	0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.14	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.12	54.17	57.60	0.01	0.02
Washington	P10	0.15	0.17	69.57	68.88	0.06	0.07
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.09	63.64	58.77	0.04	0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.11	65.22	68.43	0.05	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.15	0.11	34.78	43.27	-0.05	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.15	0.11	23.08	25.74	-0.08	-0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.15	0.09	4.17	4.75	-0.13	-0.08
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.14	0.07	22.73	24.06	-0.08	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.12	0.06	18.18	19.17	-0.08	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.15	23.53	26.11	-0.07	-0.07
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.12	0.13	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.18	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.11	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.09	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.12	75.00	71.22	0.05	0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.12	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.09	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.14	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.07
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.04	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.17	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.09	78.26	71.74	0.06	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.09	19.05	20.74	-0.07	-0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.14	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.09	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.11	0.09	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.85	0.04	0.03
Samford	SC	0.11	0.15	28.57	31.10	-0.05	-0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.50	0.02	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.11	0.06	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.14	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.09	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.09	21.05	24.99	-0.06	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.80	-0.04	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.09	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.06	35.00	38.20	-0.03	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.06	68.18	68.74	0.04	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.06	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.06	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.11	23.81	30.79	-0.05	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.11	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.05
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.06	82.61	82.34	0.07	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.17	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.05	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.05	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.09	8.33	10.42	-0.08	-0.07
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.14	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.08	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.08	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.06	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.05	39.13	41.52	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.10	0.08	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	35.30	-0.03	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.06	84.00	81.56	0.06	0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.13	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	70.59	73.00	0.03	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.06	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.03	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.03	59.09	52.86	0.01	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.04	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.08
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.09	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.09	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.63	-0.04	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.11	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.03	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.82	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.08	54.55	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.11	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.09	26.32	31.50	-0.00	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.69	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Baylor	B12	26.11	26.13	75.86	72.18	13.51	11.59
Texas	B12	2.80	4.11	82.61	80.68	1.83	2.52
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.70	4.11	72.73	66.37	1.23	1.35
Oklahoma	B12	2.64	4.11	61.90	53.55	0.63	0.29
Texas Tech	B12	0.36	4.08	68.18	61.60	0.13	0.95
Texas A&M	B12	2.65	4.08	71.43	67.02	1.13	1.39
Kansas St.	B12	2.80	2.35	80.95	78.82	1.73	1.36
Nebraska	B12	0.42	2.33	56.52	50.99	0.06	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	2.65	2.30	59.09	52.12	0.48	0.10
Kansas	B12	2.59	2.30	95.65	92.85	2.37	1.97
Missouri	B12	0.32	2.30	73.91	71.55	0.15	0.99
Colorado	B12	2.69	2.29	40.00	38.37	-0.54	-0.53
Arkansas	SEC	2.58	1.95	54.55	50.04	0.23	0.00
Alabama	SEC	2.54	1.87	54.55	52.56	0.23	0.10
Southern	SWAC	2.54	1.84	19.05	21.08	-1.57	-1.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.54	1.84	52.38	51.30	0.12	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.49	1.81	75.00	76.16	1.24	0.95
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.48	1.80	23.81	26.41	-1.30	-0.85
Xavier	A10	2.49	1.78	72.73	73.91	1.13	0.85
South Carolina	SEC	2.38	1.78	61.90	56.32	0.57	0.23
Iona	MAAC	2.44	1.75	75.00	73.03	1.22	0.81
Massachusetts	A10	2.43	1.75	33.33	32.77	-0.81	-0.60
Arizona St.	P10	2.38	1.72	69.57	69.99	0.93	0.69
Hartford	AE	2.38	1.72	31.82	33.64	-0.87	-0.56
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.38	1.72	50.00	45.36	0.00	-0.16
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.32	0.29	36.36	47.14	-0.09	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.21	0.24	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.31	0.23	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.28	0.21	68.42	67.05	0.10	0.07
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.21	0.20	15.79	22.91	-0.14	-0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.26	0.20	39.13	35.39	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.18	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.23	0.18	61.90	63.68	0.05	0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.26	0.17	0.00	4.36	-0.26	-0.16
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.21	0.17	21.74	24.91	-0.12	-0.09
Washington	P10	0.15	0.17	69.57	68.88	0.06	0.07
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.17	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.17	73.91	72.54	0.10	0.08
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.17	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.17	30.43	32.84	-0.06	-0.06
Texas St.	Slnd	0.24	0.15	36.84	36.81	-0.06	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.15	23.53	26.11	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.15	45.00	54.22	-0.02	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.22	0.15	27.78	26.81	-0.10	-0.07
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.15	33.33	39.81	-0.05	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.16	0.15	31.58	39.01	-0.06	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.16	0.15	77.27	70.95	0.09	0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.16	0.15	86.36	81.53	0.11	0.09
Samford	SC	0.11	0.15	28.57	31.10	-0.05	-0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.14	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.14	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.14	95.65	88.68	0.14	0.11
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.14	73.91	67.69	0.08	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.14	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.14	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.14	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.14	81.82	75.63	0.10	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.14	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.14	60.87	59.64	0.02	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.20	0.14	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.13	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.12	0.13	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.12	15.79	27.70	-0.12	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.12	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.17	0.12	79.17	76.61	0.10	0.06
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.12	54.17	57.60	0.01	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.16	0.12	72.73	71.93	0.07	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.16	0.12	9.52	8.90	-0.13	-0.10
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.08
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.12	75.00	71.22	0.05	0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.11	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.15	0.11	23.08	25.74	-0.08	-0.06
Hampton	MEAC	0.15	0.11	34.78	43.27	-0.05	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.11	23.81	30.79	-0.05	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.11	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.05
California	P10	0.15	0.11	65.22	68.43	0.05	0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.11	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.07
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.09	21.05	24.99	-0.06	-0.05
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.09	26.32	31.50	-0.00	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.11	0.09	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.09	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.09	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.09	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.16	0.09	69.57	70.01	0.06	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.09	78.26	71.74	0.06	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.09	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.09	85.71	85.58	0.11	0.06
Temple	A10	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.60	0.09	0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.09	8.33	10.42	-0.08	-0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.09	87.50	87.42	0.08	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.09	19.05	20.74	-0.07	-0.05
Marist	MAAC	0.15	0.09	4.17	4.75	-0.13	-0.08
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.09	63.64	58.77	0.04	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.10	0.09	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.09	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.08	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.08	54.55	48.80	0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.08	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.10	0.08	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	35.30	-0.03	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.14	0.07	22.73	24.06	-0.08	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	70.59	73.00	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.12	0.06	18.18	19.17	-0.08	-0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.11	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.06	35.00	38.20	-0.03	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.85	0.04	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.50	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.11	0.06	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.10	0.06	68.18	68.74	0.04	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.04	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.80	-0.04	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.03	-0.06	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.06	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.06	44.00	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.06	82.61	82.34	0.07	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.06	84.00	81.56	0.06	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.69	0.00	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.05	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.05	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.05	39.13	41.52	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.06	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.03	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.03	59.09	52.86	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.63	-0.04	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.00