The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Michigan page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Michigan

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		143.6
Current RPI:		145
Expected SOS:		54
Current SOS:		61
Current Record:		10-12
Expected Record:		13-16
Current Conf Record:		4-7
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-1
Current OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC RPI:		155
Expected OOC SOS:		130

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-12	70.0	0.01%
16-13	89.1	0.63%
15-14	103.5	5.23%
14-15	120.1	19.16%
13-16	139.2	33.44%
12-17	157.9	28.62%
11-18	175.2	11.41%
10-19	191.4	1.49%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-20	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	H	77-55	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	N	83-76	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Marquette (55.4)	BE	N	65-79	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	N	66-68	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	H	58-62	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	67-53	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Utah (162.8)	MWC	A	52-68	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	75-64	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Kansas (1.8)	B12	A	64-75	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Coppin St. (332.1)	MEAC	H	76-46	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Indiana (206.6)	B10	A	65-71	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	H	73-64	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	A	64-55	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	H	62-68	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Indiana (206.6)	B10	H	69-45	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	H	68-63	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	48-54	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	59-69	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	H	56-57	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	60-46	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	52-67	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	H	44-62	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	A	0-0		16%	-10.6
2-16	Iowa (199.8)	B10	A	0-0		61%	3.1
2-20	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	H	0-0		76%	7.8
2-23	Illinois (76.5)	B10	H	0-0		54%	1.1
2-27	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	A	0-0		13%	-12.5
3-3	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	H	0-0		40%	-2.6
3-6	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	0-0		15%	-11.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Michigan's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Michigan's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Michigan.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan	B10	26.41	26.28	39.13	39.62	-5.74	-5.46
Wisconsin	B10	5.09	4.27	76.19	77.41	2.66	2.34
Northwestern	B10	4.94	4.27	66.67	65.72	1.65	1.34
Indiana	B10	4.84	4.24	40.00	33.75	-0.97	-1.38
Ohio St.	B10	2.87	4.24	78.26	75.80	1.62	2.19
Purdue	B10	2.87	2.66	85.71	81.17	2.05	1.66
Michigan St.	B10	2.76	4.24	78.26	75.52	1.56	2.16
Penn St.	B10	2.72	4.24	36.36	33.68	-0.74	-1.38
Iowa	B10	2.67	4.24	34.78	31.61	-0.81	-1.56
Marquette	BE	2.42	1.81	63.64	64.92	0.66	0.54
Alabama	SEC	2.32	1.75	54.55	52.55	0.21	0.09
Creighton	MVC	2.32	1.75	52.17	52.43	0.10	0.09
Connecticut	BE	2.32	1.75	63.64	58.37	0.63	0.29
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.32	1.75	23.81	24.88	-1.22	-0.88
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.27	1.72	35.00	48.48	-0.68	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.72	50.00	46.99	0.00	-0.10
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.27	1.72	11.76	21.77	-1.74	-0.97
Detroit	Horz	2.27	1.72	59.09	60.45	0.41	0.36
Kansas	B12	2.27	1.72	95.45	91.03	2.07	1.41
Utah	MWC	2.27	1.75	42.86	42.40	-0.32	-0.27
Illinois	B10	0.80	2.66	66.67	59.44	0.27	0.50
Minnesota	B10	0.59	4.27	63.64	64.16	0.16	1.21
Maryland	ACC	0.25	0.14	71.43	67.85	0.11	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.14	82.61	82.33	0.16	0.09
Providence	BE	0.25	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.24	0.23	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.15
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.24	0.17	20.00	24.04	-0.15	-0.09
West Virginia	BE	0.21	0.17	86.36	82.20	0.15	0.11
Grambling	SWAC	0.20	0.15	23.53	25.88	-0.11	-0.07
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.17	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.15
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.20	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.20	0.14	60.87	57.71	0.04	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.20	0.14	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.20	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.11	-0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.20	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.20	0.14	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.20	0.17	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.20	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.20	0.14	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.17	0.12	69.57	63.55	0.07	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.17	0.12	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.17	0.09	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.12	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	23.53	26.10	-0.08	-0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.07
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.14	0.09
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.15	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.15	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.04	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.11	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.09
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.11	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.04
California	P10	0.15	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.09
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.11	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.08	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.17	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.08
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.11
Texas	B12	0.14	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.10
Drake	MVC	0.14	0.11	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.10	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.09	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.05	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.14	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.08
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.12	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.11	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.14	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.09	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.11	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.07
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.08
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.07
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.14	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.06
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.03
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan	B10	26.41	26.28	39.13	39.62	-5.74	-5.46
Northwestern	B10	4.94	4.27	66.67	65.72	1.65	1.34
Wisconsin	B10	5.09	4.27	76.19	77.41	2.66	2.34
Minnesota	B10	0.59	4.27	63.64	64.16	0.16	1.21
Ohio St.	B10	2.87	4.24	78.26	75.80	1.62	2.19
Michigan St.	B10	2.76	4.24	78.26	75.52	1.56	2.16
Iowa	B10	2.67	4.24	34.78	31.61	-0.81	-1.56
Indiana	B10	4.84	4.24	40.00	33.75	-0.97	-1.38
Penn St.	B10	2.72	4.24	36.36	33.68	-0.74	-1.38
Illinois	B10	0.80	2.66	66.67	59.44	0.27	0.50
Purdue	B10	2.87	2.66	85.71	81.17	2.05	1.66
Marquette	BE	2.42	1.81	63.64	64.92	0.66	0.54
Alabama	SEC	2.32	1.75	54.55	52.55	0.21	0.09
Connecticut	BE	2.32	1.75	63.64	58.37	0.63	0.29
Creighton	MVC	2.32	1.75	52.17	52.43	0.10	0.09
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.32	1.75	23.81	24.88	-1.22	-0.88
Utah	MWC	2.27	1.75	42.86	42.40	-0.32	-0.27
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.27	1.72	35.00	48.48	-0.68	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.72	50.00	46.99	0.00	-0.10
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.27	1.72	11.76	21.77	-1.74	-0.97
Detroit	Horz	2.27	1.72	59.09	60.45	0.41	0.36
Kansas	B12	2.27	1.72	95.45	91.03	2.07	1.41
Butler	Horz	0.24	0.23	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.15
West Virginia	BE	0.21	0.17	86.36	82.20	0.15	0.11
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.17	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.15
Florida St.	ACC	0.20	0.17	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.17	81.82	72.57	0.09	0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.24	0.17	20.00	24.04	-0.15	-0.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.20	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Texas	B12	0.14	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.10
Grambling	SWAC	0.20	0.15	23.53	25.88	-0.11	-0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.25	0.14	71.43	67.85	0.11	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.20	0.14	60.87	57.71	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.20	0.14	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.14	82.61	82.33	0.16	0.09
Providence	BE	0.25	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.14	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.08
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.11
Valparaiso	Horz	0.20	0.14	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.14	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.09
Oakland	Sum	0.20	0.14	66.67	69.41	0.07	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.14	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.06
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.12	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.17	0.12	69.57	63.55	0.07	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.17	0.12	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.12	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.11	-0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.11	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.07
DePaul	BE	0.20	0.11	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.14	0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.20	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.15	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.14	0.11	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.11	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.15	0.11	4.76	9.78	-0.14	-0.09
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.20	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.11	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.11	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.08	0.06
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.08
California	P10	0.15	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.04	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.10	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.17	0.09	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.09	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.07
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.05
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.08
George Mason	CAA	0.15	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.04	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	23.53	26.10	-0.08	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.09	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Temple	A10	0.10	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.08	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.07
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.07	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.05	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02