The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Akron page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Akron

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		113.3
Current RPI:		133
Expected SOS:		170
Current SOS:		218
Current Record:		16-7
Expected Record:		20-10
Current Conf Record:		7-3
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		10-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-1
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		9-5
Expected OOC RPI:		151
Expected OOC SOS:		204

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-7	75.7	0.58%
22-8	85.0	7.20%
21-9	95.9	21.64%
20-10	109.2	32.08%
19-11	124.7	25.03%
18-12	142.5	10.51%
17-13	160.2	2.72%
16-14	175.3	0.23%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Akron.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Austin Peay (129.7)	OVC	H	77-80	L	0%	0.0
11-20	North Carolina St. (110.7)	ACC	N	45-66	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Drake (179.5)	MVC	N	63-59	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Howard (313.9)	MEAC	N	69-52	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	H	80-68	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	A	62-74	L	0%	0.0
12-18	NC Greensboro (263.1)	SC	H	83-59	W	100%	0.0
12-20	St. Francis PA (312.5)	NEC	H	80-51	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	77-65	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	H	77-57	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	A	85-76	W	100%	0.0
1-5	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	63-68	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	71-45	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	67-62	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	A	65-78	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	69-49	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	A	79-70	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	H	59-45	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	H	59-62	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	90-76	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	75-70	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	0-0		54%	1.1
2-14	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	0-0		70%	5.6
2-17	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	A	0-0		44%	-1.7
2-20	Virginia Commonwealth (43.2)	CAA	A	0-0		14%	-11.6
2-24	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	H	0-0		81%	9.4
2-27	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	0-0		63%	3.6
3-5	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	0-0		55%	1.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Akron's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Akron's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Akron.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Akron	MAC	26.12	26.15	66.02	64.10	8.37	7.37
Toledo	MAC	2.68	2.31	9.09	10.44	-2.19	-1.83
Ball St.	MAC	2.62	2.27	55.00	53.54	0.26	0.16
Ohio	MAC	2.62	4.00	52.38	53.52	0.12	0.28
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.62	2.28	38.10	38.71	-0.62	-0.51
Buffalo	MAC	2.61	3.99	52.63	51.38	0.14	0.11
Miami OH	MAC	2.58	3.97	45.45	49.08	-0.23	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.28	57.14	58.64	0.37	0.39
Kent St.	MAC	2.57	3.97	68.18	70.13	0.94	1.60
Bowling Green	MAC	2.57	3.99	50.00	47.78	0.00	-0.18
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.24	45.00	44.82	-0.26	-0.23
Austin Peay	OVC	2.36	1.80	50.00	53.43	0.00	0.12
Valparaiso	Horz	2.32	1.84	42.86	44.98	-0.33	-0.19
Niagara	MAAC	2.32	1.78	54.17	53.57	0.19	0.13
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.32	1.81	23.81	23.41	-1.22	-0.96
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.27	1.72	56.52	52.79	0.30	0.10
Drake	MVC	2.22	1.70	45.83	44.64	-0.19	-0.18
NC Greensboro	SC	2.22	1.69	22.73	25.73	-1.21	-0.82
Howard	MEAC	2.22	1.69	26.09	27.53	-1.06	-0.76
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.17	1.67	35.00	48.48	-0.65	-0.05
Rhode Island	A10	2.17	1.70	85.71	80.84	1.55	1.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.17	1.67	31.82	31.35	-0.79	-0.62
Texas A&M	B12	2.17	1.67	71.43	65.66	0.93	0.52
Wyoming	MWC	2.17	1.67	35.00	31.86	-0.65	-0.60
Central Michigan	MAC	0.50	2.27	50.00	52.52	0.00	0.11
Temple	A10	0.30	0.26	79.17	77.57	0.17	0.14
Detroit	Horz	0.30	0.27	56.52	58.43	0.04	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.29	0.29	62.50	65.32	0.07	0.09
Canisius	MAAC	0.29	0.23	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.25	0.24	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.25	0.26	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.01
Samford	SC	0.24	0.17	28.57	31.03	-0.10	-0.07
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.24	0.20	28.57	27.72	-0.10	-0.09
Illinois St.	MVC	0.23	0.20	66.67	63.46	0.08	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.14	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.06
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.20	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.19	0.17	66.67	64.02	0.06	0.05
Drexel	CAA	0.19	0.17	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.19	0.17	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.04
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.15	86.36	81.80	0.11	0.10
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.21	22.73	23.47	-0.08	-0.11
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.15	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.10
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.15	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.14	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.10
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.17	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.08
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.15	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.17	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.11	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.09
Holy Cross	Pat	0.14	0.08	26.09	31.05	-0.07	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.14	0.14	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.11	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.08	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Elon	SC	0.14	0.14	19.05	23.26	-0.09	-0.07
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.14	0.11	69.57	64.51	0.05	0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.17	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.09
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	23.81	27.28	-0.07	-0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.13	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Denver	SB	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.12	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.10
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	1.72	77.27	76.81	0.05	0.92
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.11	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.09	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.09	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.11	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.08
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.09	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.11	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.08	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.04	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.04	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.04	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.00	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Akron	MAC	26.12	26.15	66.02	64.10	8.37	7.37
Ohio	MAC	2.62	4.00	52.38	53.52	0.12	0.28
Bowling Green	MAC	2.57	3.99	50.00	47.78	0.00	-0.18
Buffalo	MAC	2.61	3.99	52.63	51.38	0.14	0.11
Kent St.	MAC	2.57	3.97	68.18	70.13	0.94	1.60
Miami OH	MAC	2.58	3.97	45.45	49.08	-0.23	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	2.68	2.31	9.09	10.44	-2.19	-1.83
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.62	2.28	38.10	38.71	-0.62	-0.51
Western Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.28	57.14	58.64	0.37	0.39
Ball St.	MAC	2.62	2.27	55.00	53.54	0.26	0.16
Central Michigan	MAC	0.50	2.27	50.00	52.52	0.00	0.11
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.24	45.00	44.82	-0.26	-0.23
Valparaiso	Horz	2.32	1.84	42.86	44.98	-0.33	-0.19
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.32	1.81	23.81	23.41	-1.22	-0.96
Austin Peay	OVC	2.36	1.80	50.00	53.43	0.00	0.12
Niagara	MAAC	2.32	1.78	54.17	53.57	0.19	0.13
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.27	1.72	56.52	52.79	0.30	0.10
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	1.72	77.27	76.81	0.05	0.92
Rhode Island	A10	2.17	1.70	85.71	80.84	1.55	1.05
Drake	MVC	2.22	1.70	45.83	44.64	-0.19	-0.18
Howard	MEAC	2.22	1.69	26.09	27.53	-1.06	-0.76
NC Greensboro	SC	2.22	1.69	22.73	25.73	-1.21	-0.82
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.17	1.67	35.00	48.48	-0.65	-0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.17	1.67	31.82	31.35	-0.79	-0.62
Texas A&M	B12	2.17	1.67	71.43	65.66	0.93	0.52
Wyoming	MWC	2.17	1.67	35.00	31.86	-0.65	-0.60
Wright St.	Horz	0.29	0.29	62.50	65.32	0.07	0.09
Detroit	Horz	0.30	0.27	56.52	58.43	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.25	0.26	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.30	0.26	79.17	77.57	0.17	0.14
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.25	0.24	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.29	0.23	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.21	22.73	23.47	-0.08	-0.11
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.24	0.20	28.57	27.72	-0.10	-0.09
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.20	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.09
Illinois St.	MVC	0.23	0.20	66.67	63.46	0.08	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.17	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.06
Drexel	CAA	0.19	0.17	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.24	0.17	28.57	31.03	-0.10	-0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.17	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.08
Georgia St.	CAA	0.19	0.17	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.19	0.17	66.67	64.02	0.06	0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.17	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.09
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.15	86.36	81.80	0.11	0.10
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.15	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.10
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.15	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.14	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.10
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.14	0.14	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.14	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.06
Elon	SC	0.14	0.14	19.05	23.26	-0.09	-0.07
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	23.81	27.28	-0.07	-0.06
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.12	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.10
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.15	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.11	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.11	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.11	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.11	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.09
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.11	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.14	0.11	69.57	64.51	0.05	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.08
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.09	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.09	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.14	0.08	26.09	31.05	-0.07	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.08	15.79	27.84	-0.10	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.08	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.08	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.13	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Denver	SB	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.09	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
American	Pat	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.04	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.04	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.04	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount