The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Belmont page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Belmont

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		135.0
Current RPI:		135
Expected SOS:		218
Current SOS:		218
Current Record:		19-12
Expected Record:		19-12
Current Conf Record:		14-7
Expected Conf Record:		14-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		12-6
Current OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC RPI:		99
Expected OOC SOS:		35

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-12		135.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Belmont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	N	74-67	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Washington (41.0)	P10	A	78-96	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Wright St. (80.0)	Horz	N	73-82	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Alabama St. (275.0)	SWAC	H	78-42	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	A	95-62	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	69-60	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	A	75-70	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	A	94-90	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Middle Tennessee (178.0)	SB	A	83-71	W	100%	0.0
12-16	St. Louis (86.0)	A10	A	67-75	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	H	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Kansas (1.0)	B12	A	51-81	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	H	63-66	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Stetson (326.0)	ASun	H	85-71	W	100%	0.0
1-7	South Carolina Upstate (307.0)	ASun	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	A	53-64	L	0%	0.0
1-14	North Florida (236.0)	ASun	A	43-45	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	A	66-82	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	66-55	W	100%	0.0
1-23	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	H	100-89	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	H	72-78	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	A	75-50	W	100%	0.0
2-1	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	A	74-67	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	H	73-70	W	100%	0.0
2-7	North Florida (236.0)	ASun	H	70-56	W	100%	0.0
2-13	South Carolina Upstate (307.0)	ASun	A	70-57	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Stetson (326.0)	ASun	A	79-70	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	A	80-85	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	H	77-73	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	H	74-42	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	A	81-87	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Belmont's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Belmont's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Belmont.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.54	26.54	64.54	64.54	7.72	7.72
Mercer	ASun	5.92	5.92	46.43	46.43	-0.42	-0.42
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.45	4.45	61.29	61.29	1.01	1.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.42	4.42	37.93	37.93	-1.07	-1.07
Jacksonville	ASun	4.39	4.39	62.07	62.07	1.06	1.06
North Florida	ASun	4.31	4.31	39.29	39.29	-0.92	-0.92
Lipscomb	ASun	4.30	4.30	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Campbell	ASun	4.30	4.30	65.38	65.38	1.32	1.32
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
Stetson	ASun	4.24	4.24	20.00	20.00	-2.55	-2.55
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.30	3.30	59.26	59.26	0.61	0.61
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.78	1.78	29.03	29.03	-0.74	-0.74
St. Louis	A10	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.07	0.42	0.42
Washington	P10	1.66	1.66	71.88	71.88	0.73	0.73
Wright St.	Horz	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Portland St.	BSky	1.66	1.66	37.93	37.93	-0.40	-0.40
Alabama St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	48.15	48.15	-0.06	-0.06
Kansas	B12	1.61	1.61	93.94	93.94	1.42	1.42
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.61	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Murray St.	OVC	0.29	0.29	87.50	87.50	0.22	0.22
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.24	0.24	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.23	0.23	31.82	31.82	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.22	0.22	60.00	60.00	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.19	70.97	70.97	0.08	0.08
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.15	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.14	0.14	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.13	0.13	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Montana St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.02	0.02	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.54	26.54	64.54	64.54	7.72	7.72
Mercer	ASun	5.92	5.92	46.43	46.43	-0.42	-0.42
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.45	4.45	61.29	61.29	1.01	1.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.42	4.42	37.93	37.93	-1.07	-1.07
Jacksonville	ASun	4.39	4.39	62.07	62.07	1.06	1.06
North Florida	ASun	4.31	4.31	39.29	39.29	-0.92	-0.92
Lipscomb	ASun	4.30	4.30	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Campbell	ASun	4.30	4.30	65.38	65.38	1.32	1.32
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
Stetson	ASun	4.24	4.24	20.00	20.00	-2.55	-2.55
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.30	3.30	59.26	59.26	0.61	0.61
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.78	1.78	29.03	29.03	-0.74	-0.74
St. Louis	A10	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.07	0.42	0.42
Washington	P10	1.66	1.66	71.88	71.88	0.73	0.73
Wright St.	Horz	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Portland St.	BSky	1.66	1.66	37.93	37.93	-0.40	-0.40
Alabama St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	48.15	48.15	-0.06	-0.06
Kansas	B12	1.61	1.61	93.94	93.94	1.42	1.42
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.61	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Murray St.	OVC	0.29	0.29	87.50	87.50	0.22	0.22
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.24	0.24	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.23	0.23	31.82	31.82	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.22	0.22	60.00	60.00	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.19	70.97	70.97	0.08	0.08
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.15	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.14	0.14	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.13	0.13	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Montana St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.02	0.02	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.02	0.02	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.54	26.54	64.54	64.54	7.72	7.72
Kansas	B12	1.61	1.61	93.94	93.94	1.42	1.42
Campbell	ASun	4.30	4.30	65.38	65.38	1.32	1.32
Jacksonville	ASun	4.39	4.39	62.07	62.07	1.06	1.06
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.45	4.45	61.29	61.29	1.01	1.01
Washington	P10	1.66	1.66	71.88	71.88	0.73	0.73
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.30	3.30	59.26	59.26	0.61	0.61
St. Louis	A10	1.72	1.72	62.07	62.07	0.42	0.42
Wright St.	Horz	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.61	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Murray St.	OVC	0.29	0.29	87.50	87.50	0.22	0.22
Lipscomb	ASun	4.30	4.30	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.19	70.97	70.97	0.08	0.08
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
California	P10	0.15	0.15	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.22	0.22	60.00	60.00	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02