The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Belmont page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Belmont

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		139.8
Current RPI:		144
Expected SOS:		243
Current SOS:		210
Current Record:		15-10
Expected Record:		19-11
Current Conf Record:		10-5
Expected Conf Record:		14-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-5
Current OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC RPI:		135
Expected OOC SOS:		96

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-10	126.4	38.27%
19-11	142.1	41.87%
18-12	157.9	16.57%
17-13	173.5	2.96%
16-14	189.8	0.31%
15-15	201.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Belmont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	N	74-67	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	78-96	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	N	73-82	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	78-42	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	A	95-62	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	H	69-60	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	A	75-70	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	A	94-90	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	A	83-71	W	100%	0.0
12-16	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	A	67-75	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	H	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Kansas (1.8)	B12	A	51-81	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	H	63-66	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	H	85-71	W	100%	0.0
1-7	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	A	53-64	L	0%	0.0
1-14	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	A	43-45	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	A	66-82	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	H	66-55	W	100%	0.0
1-23	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	H	100-89	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	H	72-78	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	A	75-50	W	100%	0.0
2-1	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	A	74-67	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	H	73-70	W	100%	0.0
2-7	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	70-56	W	100%	0.0
2-13	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	A	0-0		73%	6.8
2-18	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	A	0-0		90%	14.2
2-20	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	A	0-0		79%	8.8
2-25	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	H	0-0		82%	9.9
2-27	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	0-0		90%	14.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Belmont's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Belmont's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Belmont.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.66	26.52	61.74	66.15	6.26	8.57
Lipscomb	ASun	4.93	4.39	47.62	53.13	-0.23	0.27
Jacksonville	ASun	4.80	4.39	57.14	60.62	0.69	0.93
North Florida	ASun	4.80	4.39	42.86	44.96	-0.69	-0.44
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.76	4.39	54.55	57.59	0.43	0.67
Campbell	ASun	4.75	4.38	63.16	63.46	1.25	1.18
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.09	3.42	47.37	49.00	-0.22	-0.07
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.94	4.39	26.09	26.51	-1.41	-2.06
Stetson	ASun	2.93	4.38	15.00	16.52	-2.05	-2.93
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.89	4.44	45.45	41.97	-0.26	-0.71
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.84	4.39	19.05	21.62	-1.76	-2.49
Mercer	ASun	2.75	4.39	45.00	45.03	-0.28	-0.44
St. Louis	A10	2.14	1.79	60.00	54.56	0.43	0.16
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.14	1.85	20.83	24.84	-1.25	-0.93
Wright St.	Horz	2.09	1.72	60.87	64.13	0.45	0.49
Washington	P10	2.09	1.72	68.18	67.78	0.76	0.61
Portland St.	BSky	2.09	1.72	40.00	41.11	-0.42	-0.31
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.00	1.67	35.29	40.96	-0.59	-0.30
Kansas	B12	2.00	1.67	95.45	91.03	1.82	1.37
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.00	1.67	54.55	56.91	0.18	0.23
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.36	0.26	45.45	44.03	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.35	0.23	86.96	85.47	0.26	0.17
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.28	0.21	27.27	25.82	-0.13	-0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.26	0.21	8.70	9.54	-0.22	-0.17
Morehead St.	OVC	0.26	0.23	68.18	67.88	0.09	0.08
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.23	0.18	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.22	0.24	30.00	31.19	-0.09	-0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.22	0.17	76.19	73.20	0.11	0.08
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.15	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.18	0.18	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
Nebraska	B12	0.18	0.14	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.18	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.18	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.18	0.18	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.18	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.16	-0.15
Alabama	SEC	0.17	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.17	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.17	0.14	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.05
New Orleans	SB	0.17	0.11	22.73	22.86	-0.09	-0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.11	0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.14	0.12	23.81	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.09	8.70	10.09	-0.11	-0.07
Austin Peay	OVC	0.14	0.18	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.13	0.18	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.12	73.91	67.72	0.06	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.13	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.13	0.11	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.13	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.08	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.08
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.12	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.09	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.07	-0.07
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.09	68.18	70.35	0.03	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.09	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.11	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.04	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.09	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.05	68.18	59.30	0.03	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.08	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.04	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.11	24.00	23.74	-0.04	-0.06
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.06	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.08	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.04	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.04	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.04	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.04	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.04	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.02	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.05	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.04	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.04	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.04	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.04	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.04	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.05	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.04	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.04	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.04	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.04	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.04	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.04	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.04	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.04	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.04	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.04	0.05	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.05	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.04	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.02	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.04	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.04	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.04	0.09	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.00	0.03
Denver	SB	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.00	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.00	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.00	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.66	26.52	61.74	66.15	6.26	8.57
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.89	4.44	45.45	41.97	-0.26	-0.71
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.76	4.39	54.55	57.59	0.43	0.67
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.94	4.39	26.09	26.51	-1.41	-2.06
Jacksonville	ASun	4.80	4.39	57.14	60.62	0.69	0.93
North Florida	ASun	4.80	4.39	42.86	44.96	-0.69	-0.44
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.84	4.39	19.05	21.62	-1.76	-2.49
Lipscomb	ASun	4.93	4.39	47.62	53.13	-0.23	0.27
Mercer	ASun	2.75	4.39	45.00	45.03	-0.28	-0.44
Campbell	ASun	4.75	4.38	63.16	63.46	1.25	1.18
Stetson	ASun	2.93	4.38	15.00	16.52	-2.05	-2.93
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.09	3.42	47.37	49.00	-0.22	-0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.14	1.85	20.83	24.84	-1.25	-0.93
St. Louis	A10	2.14	1.79	60.00	54.56	0.43	0.16
Washington	P10	2.09	1.72	68.18	67.78	0.76	0.61
Wright St.	Horz	2.09	1.72	60.87	64.13	0.45	0.49
Portland St.	BSky	2.09	1.72	40.00	41.11	-0.42	-0.31
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.00	1.67	35.29	40.96	-0.59	-0.30
Kansas	B12	2.00	1.67	95.45	91.03	1.82	1.37
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.00	1.67	54.55	56.91	0.18	0.23
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.36	0.26	45.45	44.03	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.22	0.24	30.00	31.19	-0.09	-0.09
Morehead St.	OVC	0.26	0.23	68.18	67.88	0.09	0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.35	0.23	86.96	85.47	0.26	0.17
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.28	0.21	27.27	25.82	-0.13	-0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.26	0.21	8.70	9.54	-0.22	-0.17
Florida St.	ACC	0.18	0.18	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
Austin Peay	OVC	0.14	0.18	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.18	0.18	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.23	0.18	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.18	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.16	-0.15
Miami FL	ACC	0.13	0.18	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.22	0.17	76.19	73.20	0.11	0.08
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.15	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.17	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.18	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.18	0.14	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
California	P10	0.17	0.14	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.12	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.12	73.91	67.72	0.06	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.14	0.12	23.81	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.18	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.13	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.17	0.12	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.13	0.11	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.11	24.00	23.74	-0.04	-0.06
New Orleans	SB	0.17	0.11	22.73	22.86	-0.09	-0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.11	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.11	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.09	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.08
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.09	8.70	10.09	-0.11	-0.07
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.04	0.09	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.09	68.18	70.35	0.03	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.09	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.13	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.08	0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.08	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.04
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.04	0.03
Providence	BE	0.05	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.00	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.04	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.02	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.04	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.09	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.09	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.04	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.04	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.06	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.05	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.04	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.04	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.04	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.08	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.04	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.05	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.04	0.05	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.05	68.18	59.30	0.03	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.04	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.05	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.05	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.04	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.00	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.00	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.04	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.04	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.04	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.04	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.02	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.04	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.04	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.04	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.04	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.04	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.04	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.04	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.04	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.00	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.04	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.66	26.52	61.74	66.15	6.26	8.57
Kansas	B12	2.00	1.67	95.45	91.03	1.82	1.37
Campbell	ASun	4.75	4.38	63.16	63.46	1.25	1.18
Washington	P10	2.09	1.72	68.18	67.78	0.76	0.61
Jacksonville	ASun	4.80	4.39	57.14	60.62	0.69	0.93
Wright St.	Horz	2.09	1.72	60.87	64.13	0.45	0.49
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.76	4.39	54.55	57.59	0.43	0.67
St. Louis	A10	2.14	1.79	60.00	54.56	0.43	0.16
Murray St.	OVC	0.35	0.23	86.96	85.47	0.26	0.17
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.00	1.67	54.55	56.91	0.18	0.23
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.22	0.17	76.19	73.20	0.11	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.11	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.26	0.23	68.18	67.88	0.09	0.08
Florida St.	ACC	0.18	0.18	73.91	69.49	0.09	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.13	0.08	82.61	78.56	0.08	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.18	0.14	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.12	73.91	67.72	0.06	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.06	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.18	0.18	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.17	0.14	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.13	0.18	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.04	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.12	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.13	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.09	68.18	70.35	0.03	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.05	68.18	59.30	0.03	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03