The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Belmont page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Belmont

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		135.9
Current RPI:		136
Expected SOS:		219
Current SOS:		219
Current Record:		19-12
Expected Record:		19-12
Current Conf Record:		14-7
Expected Conf Record:		14-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		12-6
Current OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC RPI:		102
Expected OOC SOS:		37

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-12		135.9		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Belmont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Portland St. (222.0)	BSky	N	74-67	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Washington (50.0)	P10	A	78-96	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Wright St. (81.5)	Horz	N	73-82	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Alabama St. (274.8)	SWAC	H	78-42	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Eastern Illinois (169.3)	OVC	A	95-62	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Tennessee St. (259.6)	OVC	H	69-60	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Kennesaw St. (284.5)	ASun	A	75-70	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Mercer (219.7)	ASun	A	94-90	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Middle Tennessee (180.3)	SB	A	83-71	W	100%	0.0
12-16	St. Louis (80.5)	A10	A	67-75	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Eastern Illinois (169.3)	OVC	H	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Kansas (1.0)	B12	A	51-81	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Florida Gulf Coast (320.8)	ASun	H	63-66	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Stetson (326.1)	ASun	H	85-71	W	100%	0.0
1-7	South Carolina Upstate (306.6)	ASun	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Lipscomb (207.4)	ASun	A	53-64	L	0%	0.0
1-14	North Florida (235.9)	ASun	A	43-45	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Jacksonville (140.2)	ASun	A	66-82	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	66-55	W	100%	0.0
1-23	East Tennessee St. (121.6)	ASun	H	100-89	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Lipscomb (207.4)	ASun	H	72-78	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	A	75-50	W	100%	0.0
2-1	East Tennessee St. (121.6)	ASun	A	74-67	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Jacksonville (140.2)	ASun	H	73-70	W	100%	0.0
2-7	North Florida (235.9)	ASun	H	70-56	W	100%	0.0
2-13	South Carolina Upstate (306.6)	ASun	A	70-57	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Stetson (326.1)	ASun	A	79-70	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Florida Gulf Coast (320.8)	ASun	A	80-85	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Mercer (219.7)	ASun	H	77-73	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Kennesaw St. (284.5)	ASun	H	74-42	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Mercer (219.7)	ASun	A	81-87	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Belmont's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Belmont's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Belmont.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.54	26.54	64.54	64.54	7.72	7.72
Mercer	ASun	5.92	5.92	46.43	46.43	-0.42	-0.42
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.45	4.45	61.29	61.29	1.01	1.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.42	4.42	37.93	37.93	-1.07	-1.07
Jacksonville	ASun	4.39	4.39	62.07	62.07	1.06	1.06
North Florida	ASun	4.31	4.31	39.29	39.29	-0.92	-0.92
Lipscomb	ASun	4.30	4.30	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Campbell	ASun	4.30	4.30	65.38	65.38	1.32	1.32
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
Stetson	ASun	4.24	4.24	20.00	20.00	-2.55	-2.55
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.30	3.30	59.26	59.26	0.61	0.61
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.78	1.78	29.03	29.03	-0.74	-0.74
St. Louis	A10	1.72	1.72	64.29	63.37	0.49	0.46
Wright St.	Horz	1.67	1.67	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Portland St.	BSky	1.66	1.66	37.93	37.93	-0.40	-0.40
Washington	P10	1.66	1.66	68.97	69.60	0.63	0.65
Alabama St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	48.00	48.89	-0.06	-0.04
Kansas	B12	1.61	1.61	93.33	93.41	1.40	1.40
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.61	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Murray St.	OVC	0.29	0.29	87.50	87.50	0.22	0.22
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.24	0.24	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.23	0.23	31.82	31.82	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.22	0.22	60.00	60.00	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.19	73.33	73.33	0.09	0.09
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	75.86	75.86	0.10	0.10
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.17	58.62	58.05	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.14	0.14	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.13	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	67.91	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.13	0.13	70.00	70.65	0.05	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	62.07	62.16	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.12	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.85	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	70.97	71.30	0.05	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.62	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	76.67	77.26	0.05	0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.07
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.11	36.36	36.04	-0.02	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.08	0.08	43.33	42.53	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
UCLA	P10	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.79	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.44	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.05	64.52	63.57	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	32.99	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.73	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.05	77.42	77.79	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	67.74	66.97	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.08	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.56	54.66	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.08	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.23	0.01	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	79.31	79.09	0.03	0.03
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	44.83	45.22	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.83	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.05	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	70.00	68.82	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.82	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.75	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.20	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	46.01	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	69.60	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	75.00	74.46	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	31.86	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.08	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	73.08	73.18	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.54	26.54	64.54	64.54	7.72	7.72
Mercer	ASun	5.92	5.92	46.43	46.43	-0.42	-0.42
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.45	4.45	61.29	61.29	1.01	1.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.42	4.42	37.93	37.93	-1.07	-1.07
Jacksonville	ASun	4.39	4.39	62.07	62.07	1.06	1.06
North Florida	ASun	4.31	4.31	39.29	39.29	-0.92	-0.92
Lipscomb	ASun	4.30	4.30	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Campbell	ASun	4.30	4.30	65.38	65.38	1.32	1.32
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.25	4.25	22.22	22.22	-2.36	-2.36
Stetson	ASun	4.24	4.24	20.00	20.00	-2.55	-2.55
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.30	3.30	59.26	59.26	0.61	0.61
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.78	1.78	29.03	29.03	-0.74	-0.74
St. Louis	A10	1.72	1.72	64.29	63.37	0.49	0.46
Wright St.	Horz	1.67	1.67	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Washington	P10	1.66	1.66	68.97	69.60	0.63	0.65
Portland St.	BSky	1.66	1.66	37.93	37.93	-0.40	-0.40
Alabama St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	48.00	48.89	-0.06	-0.04
Kansas	B12	1.61	1.61	93.33	93.41	1.40	1.40
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.61	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Murray St.	OVC	0.29	0.29	87.50	87.50	0.22	0.22
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.24	0.24	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.23	0.23	31.82	31.82	-0.08	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.22	0.22	60.00	60.00	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.19	73.33	73.33	0.09	0.09
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	75.86	75.86	0.10	0.10
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.17	58.62	58.05	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.14	0.14	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.13	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	67.91	0.05	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	62.07	62.16	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.13	0.13	70.00	70.65	0.05	0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.12	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.11	36.36	36.04	-0.02	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.85	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.68	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	70.97	71.30	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.62	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	76.67	77.26	0.05	0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.07
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.07	-0.07
Montana St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.79	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.08	0.08	43.33	42.53	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.08	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.08	54.84	53.26	0.01	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.44	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	32.99	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.73	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.05	64.52	63.57	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	67.74	66.97	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.05	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.05	77.42	77.79	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.56	54.66	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.23	0.01	0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	79.31	79.09	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	44.83	45.22	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.82	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.83	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	70.00	68.82	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.75	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	31.86	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.08	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.20	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	46.01	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	69.60	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	73.08	73.18	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	75.00	74.46	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	26.54	26.54	64.54	64.54	7.72	7.72
Kansas	B12	1.61	1.61	93.33	93.41	1.40	1.40
Campbell	ASun	4.30	4.30	65.38	65.38	1.32	1.32
Jacksonville	ASun	4.39	4.39	62.07	62.07	1.06	1.06
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.45	4.45	61.29	61.29	1.01	1.01
Washington	P10	1.66	1.66	68.97	69.60	0.63	0.65
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.30	3.30	59.26	59.26	0.61	0.61
St. Louis	A10	1.72	1.72	64.29	63.37	0.49	0.46
Wright St.	Horz	1.67	1.67	61.29	61.29	0.38	0.38
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.61	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Murray St.	OVC	0.29	0.29	87.50	87.50	0.22	0.22
Lipscomb	ASun	4.30	4.30	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	75.86	75.86	0.10	0.10
Florida St.	ACC	0.19	0.19	73.33	73.33	0.09	0.09
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	76.67	77.26	0.05	0.06
California	P10	0.13	0.13	70.00	70.65	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	67.91	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	70.97	71.30	0.05	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.22	0.22	60.00	60.00	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.44	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.85	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	62.07	62.16	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.06	0.05	77.42	77.79	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	79.31	79.09	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.17	58.62	58.05	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02