The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Stetson page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Stetson

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		326.1
Current RPI:		326
Expected SOS:		268
Current SOS:		268
Current Record:		5-22
Expected Record:		5-22
Current Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-11
Current OOC Record:		0-7
Expected OOC Record:		0-7
Expected OOC RPI:		340
Expected OOC SOS:		204

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
5-22		326.1		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stetson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Florida (53.9)	SEC	A	46-74	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Florida St. (34.2)	ACC	A	38-80	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Charleston Southern (282.8)	BSth	A	64-80	L	0%	0.0
11-30	South Carolina Upstate (306.6)	ASun	A	56-78	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Louisville (38.1)	BE	A	48-80	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Miami FL (117.2)	ACC	H	49-69	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Savannah St. (316.7)	ind	A	46-57	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Florida Gulf Coast (320.8)	ASun	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Lipscomb (207.4)	ASun	A	63-84	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Belmont (135.9)	ASun	A	71-85	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Jacksonville (140.2)	ASun	H	70-80	L	0%	0.0
1-10	North Florida (235.9)	ASun	H	44-54	L	0%	0.0
1-14	East Tennessee St. (121.6)	ASun	A	54-52	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	A	55-81	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Mercer (219.7)	ASun	H	76-69	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Kennesaw St. (284.5)	ASun	H	59-75	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Florida Gulf Coast (320.8)	ASun	A	53-64	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Mercer (219.7)	ASun	A	57-91	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Kennesaw St. (284.5)	ASun	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	47-65	L	0%	0.0
2-6	East Tennessee St. (121.6)	ASun	H	60-75	L	0%	0.0
2-11	North Florida (235.9)	ASun	A	71-60	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Jacksonville (140.2)	ASun	A	54-69	L	0%	0.0
2-15	Savannah St. (316.7)	ind	H	68-82	L	0%	0.0
2-18	Belmont (135.9)	ASun	H	70-79	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Lipscomb (207.4)	ASun	H	71-85	L	0%	0.0
2-27	South Carolina Upstate (306.6)	ASun	H	65-60	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Stetson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Stetson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Stetson.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stetson	ASun	26.55	26.55	18.40	18.40	-16.78	-16.78
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
East Tennessee St.	ASun	5.04	5.04	58.06	58.06	0.81	0.81
Mercer	ASun	5.02	5.02	44.83	44.83	-0.52	-0.52
North Florida	ASun	4.95	4.95	39.29	39.29	-1.06	-1.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.93	4.93	31.03	31.03	-1.87	-1.87
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84
Lipscomb	ASun	4.86	4.86	51.85	51.85	0.18	0.18
Campbell	ASun	4.86	4.86	57.69	57.69	0.75	0.75
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.84	4.84	25.93	25.93	-2.33	-2.33
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.84	4.84	18.52	18.52	-3.05	-3.04
Savannah St.	ind	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Florida St.	ACC	2.07	2.06	72.41	72.41	0.93	0.92
Miami FL	ACC	2.04	2.04	57.14	56.60	0.29	0.27
Florida	SEC	1.94	1.94	63.33	63.72	0.52	0.53
Louisville	BE	1.91	1.91	61.29	61.29	0.43	0.43
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.85	1.85	32.00	32.00	-0.67	-0.67
Longwood	ind	0.30	0.30	29.63	29.63	-0.12	-0.12
North Carolina Central	ind	0.26	0.26	12.00	12.73	-0.20	-0.20
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.21	0.21	62.07	62.16	0.05	0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.19	76.67	76.67	0.10	0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.18	75.86	75.86	0.09	0.09
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.17	0.17	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.15	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.16	0.16	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.15	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.15	68.75	67.91	0.06	0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	75.86	75.86	0.07	0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.13	0.12	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	56.25	55.05	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	67.74	66.97	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	65.52	64.59	0.04	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.12	0.11	76.67	77.26	0.06	0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	70.00	68.82	0.05	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.12	46.67	45.96	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.12	67.86	67.54	0.03	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	70.00	70.31	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.86	76.36	0.05	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.08	0.08
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	90.32	89.58	0.07	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	70.97	71.30	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	32.99	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.56	54.66	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	28.57	27.67	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	76.84	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.26	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stetson	ASun	26.55	26.55	18.40	18.40	-16.78	-16.78
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
East Tennessee St.	ASun	5.04	5.04	58.06	58.06	0.81	0.81
Mercer	ASun	5.02	5.02	44.83	44.83	-0.52	-0.52
North Florida	ASun	4.95	4.95	39.29	39.29	-1.06	-1.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.93	4.93	31.03	31.03	-1.87	-1.87
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84
Lipscomb	ASun	4.86	4.86	51.85	51.85	0.18	0.18
Campbell	ASun	4.86	4.86	57.69	57.69	0.75	0.75
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.84	4.84	25.93	25.93	-2.33	-2.33
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.84	4.84	18.52	18.52	-3.05	-3.04
Savannah St.	ind	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Florida St.	ACC	2.07	2.06	72.41	72.41	0.93	0.92
Miami FL	ACC	2.04	2.04	57.14	56.60	0.29	0.27
Florida	SEC	1.94	1.94	63.33	63.72	0.52	0.53
Louisville	BE	1.91	1.91	61.29	61.29	0.43	0.43
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.85	1.85	32.00	32.00	-0.67	-0.67
Longwood	ind	0.30	0.30	29.63	29.63	-0.12	-0.12
North Carolina Central	ind	0.26	0.26	12.00	12.73	-0.20	-0.20
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.21	0.21	62.07	62.16	0.05	0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.19	76.67	76.67	0.10	0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.18	75.86	75.86	0.09	0.09
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.17	0.17	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.16	0.16	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.15	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.15	68.75	67.91	0.06	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.15	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	75.86	75.86	0.07	0.07
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.12	46.67	45.96	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.13	0.12	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.12	67.86	67.54	0.03	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	56.25	55.05	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	67.74	66.97	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	65.52	64.59	0.04	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.12	0.11	76.67	77.26	0.06	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	70.00	68.82	0.05	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.86	76.36	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	70.00	70.31	0.04	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.08	0.08
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	90.32	89.58	0.07	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	70.97	71.30	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	32.99	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.56	54.66	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	28.57	27.67	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	76.84	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.26	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.02	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	2.07	2.06	72.41	72.41	0.93	0.92
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84
East Tennessee St.	ASun	5.04	5.04	58.06	58.06	0.81	0.81
Campbell	ASun	4.86	4.86	57.69	57.69	0.75	0.75
Florida	SEC	1.94	1.94	63.33	63.72	0.52	0.53
Louisville	BE	1.91	1.91	61.29	61.29	0.43	0.43
Miami FL	ACC	2.04	2.04	57.14	56.60	0.29	0.27
Lipscomb	ASun	4.86	4.86	51.85	51.85	0.18	0.18
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.19	76.67	76.67	0.10	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.18	75.86	75.86	0.09	0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.16	0.16	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.08	0.08
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	90.32	89.58	0.07	0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	75.86	75.86	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.12	0.11	76.67	77.26	0.06	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.15	68.75	67.91	0.06	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.21	0.21	62.07	62.16	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.86	76.36	0.05	0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	70.00	68.82	0.05	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	67.74	66.97	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	83.87	83.87	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	70.00	70.31	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	65.52	64.59	0.04	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.12	67.86	67.54	0.03	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	70.97	71.30	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.26	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	76.84	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	56.25	55.05	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.56	54.66	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.13	0.12	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.15	0.15	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.12	46.67	45.96	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.15	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	28.57	27.67	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	32.99	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.17	0.17	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
Longwood	ind	0.30	0.30	29.63	29.63	-0.12	-0.12
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
North Carolina Central	ind	0.26	0.26	12.00	12.73	-0.20	-0.20
Mercer	ASun	5.02	5.02	44.83	44.83	-0.52	-0.52
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.85	1.85	32.00	32.00	-0.67	-0.67
North Florida	ASun	4.95	4.95	39.29	39.29	-1.06	-1.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.93	4.93	31.03	31.03	-1.87	-1.87
Savannah St.	ind	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.84	4.84	25.93	25.93	-2.33	-2.33
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.84	4.84	18.52	18.52	-3.05	-3.04
Stetson	ASun	26.55	26.55	18.40	18.40	-16.78	-16.78

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	2.07	2.06	72.41	72.41	0.93	0.92
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84