The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Stetson page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Stetson

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		326.0
Current RPI:		326
Expected SOS:		267
Current SOS:		267
Current Record:		5-22
Expected Record:		5-22
Current Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-11
Current OOC Record:		0-7
Expected OOC Record:		0-7
Expected OOC RPI:		341
Expected OOC SOS:		204

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
5-22		326.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stetson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Florida (56.0)	SEC	A	46-74	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Florida St. (42.0)	ACC	A	38-80	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Charleston Southern (285.0)	BSth	A	64-80	L	0%	0.0
11-30	South Carolina Upstate (307.0)	ASun	A	56-78	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Louisville (37.0)	BE	A	48-80	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	H	49-69	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Savannah St. (316.0)	ind	A	46-57	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	A	63-84	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Belmont (135.0)	ASun	A	71-85	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	H	70-80	L	0%	0.0
1-10	North Florida (236.0)	ASun	H	44-54	L	0%	0.0
1-14	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	A	54-52	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	A	55-81	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	H	76-69	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	H	59-75	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	A	53-64	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	A	57-91	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	47-65	L	0%	0.0
2-6	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	H	60-75	L	0%	0.0
2-11	North Florida (236.0)	ASun	A	71-60	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	A	54-69	L	0%	0.0
2-15	Savannah St. (316.0)	ind	H	68-82	L	0%	0.0
2-18	Belmont (135.0)	ASun	H	70-79	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	H	71-85	L	0%	0.0
2-27	South Carolina Upstate (307.0)	ASun	H	65-60	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Stetson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Stetson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Stetson.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stetson	ASun	26.55	26.55	18.40	18.40	-16.78	-16.78
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
East Tennessee St.	ASun	5.04	5.04	58.06	58.06	0.81	0.81
Mercer	ASun	5.02	5.02	44.83	44.83	-0.52	-0.52
North Florida	ASun	4.95	4.95	39.29	39.29	-1.06	-1.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.93	4.93	31.03	31.03	-1.87	-1.87
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84
Lipscomb	ASun	4.86	4.86	51.85	51.85	0.18	0.18
Campbell	ASun	4.86	4.86	57.69	57.69	0.75	0.75
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.83	4.83	25.93	25.93	-2.33	-2.33
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.83	4.83	18.52	18.52	-3.04	-3.04
Savannah St.	ind	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Florida St.	ACC	2.06	2.06	70.00	70.00	0.82	0.82
Miami FL	ACC	2.04	2.04	58.06	58.06	0.33	0.33
Florida	SEC	1.94	1.94	62.50	62.50	0.49	0.49
Louisville	BE	1.91	1.91	61.29	61.29	0.43	0.43
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.85	1.85	32.00	32.00	-0.67	-0.67
Longwood	ind	0.30	0.30	29.63	29.63	-0.12	-0.12
North Carolina Central	ind	0.26	0.26	12.00	12.00	-0.20	-0.20
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.21	0.21	63.64	63.64	0.06	0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.17	0.17	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.16	0.16	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.15	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.12	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.12	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stetson	ASun	26.55	26.55	18.40	18.40	-16.78	-16.78
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
East Tennessee St.	ASun	5.04	5.04	58.06	58.06	0.81	0.81
Mercer	ASun	5.02	5.02	44.83	44.83	-0.52	-0.52
North Florida	ASun	4.95	4.95	39.29	39.29	-1.06	-1.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.93	4.93	31.03	31.03	-1.87	-1.87
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84
Lipscomb	ASun	4.86	4.86	51.85	51.85	0.18	0.18
Campbell	ASun	4.86	4.86	57.69	57.69	0.75	0.75
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.83	4.83	25.93	25.93	-2.33	-2.33
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.83	4.83	18.52	18.52	-3.04	-3.04
Savannah St.	ind	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Florida St.	ACC	2.06	2.06	70.00	70.00	0.82	0.82
Miami FL	ACC	2.04	2.04	58.06	58.06	0.33	0.33
Florida	SEC	1.94	1.94	62.50	62.50	0.49	0.49
Louisville	BE	1.91	1.91	61.29	61.29	0.43	0.43
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.85	1.85	32.00	32.00	-0.67	-0.67
Longwood	ind	0.30	0.30	29.63	29.63	-0.12	-0.12
North Carolina Central	ind	0.26	0.26	12.00	12.00	-0.20	-0.20
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.21	0.21	63.64	63.64	0.06	0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.17	0.17	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.16	0.16	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.15	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.12	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.12	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84
Florida St.	ACC	2.06	2.06	70.00	70.00	0.82	0.82
East Tennessee St.	ASun	5.04	5.04	58.06	58.06	0.81	0.81
Campbell	ASun	4.86	4.86	57.69	57.69	0.75	0.75
Florida	SEC	1.94	1.94	62.50	62.50	0.49	0.49
Louisville	BE	1.91	1.91	61.29	61.29	0.43	0.43
Miami FL	ACC	2.04	2.04	58.06	58.06	0.33	0.33
Lipscomb	ASun	4.86	4.86	51.85	51.85	0.18	0.18
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.11
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.16	0.16	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.12	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.21	0.21	63.64	63.64	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.12	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.14	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.15	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.09	0.09	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.17	0.17	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.06	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
Longwood	ind	0.30	0.30	29.63	29.63	-0.12	-0.12
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
North Carolina Central	ind	0.26	0.26	12.00	12.00	-0.20	-0.20
Mercer	ASun	5.02	5.02	44.83	44.83	-0.52	-0.52
Charleston Southern	BSth	1.85	1.85	32.00	32.00	-0.67	-0.67
North Florida	ASun	4.95	4.95	39.29	39.29	-1.06	-1.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.93	4.93	31.03	31.03	-1.87	-1.87
Savannah St.	ind	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.83	4.83	25.93	25.93	-2.33	-2.33
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.83	4.83	18.52	18.52	-3.04	-3.04
Stetson	ASun	26.55	26.55	18.40	18.40	-16.78	-16.78

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Jacksonville	ASun	5.08	5.08	58.62	58.62	0.88	0.88
Belmont	ASun	4.87	4.87	58.62	58.62	0.84	0.84
Florida St.	ACC	2.06	2.06	70.00	70.00	0.82	0.82