The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Tulsa page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Tulsa

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		63.1
Current RPI:		63
Expected SOS:		110
Current SOS:		148
Current Record:		17-5
Expected Record:		21-9
Current Conf Record:		7-2
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC RPI:		92
Expected OOC SOS:		162

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
25-5	27.7	0.13%
24-6	34.7	2.27%
23-7	44.5	12.15%
22-8	54.8	27.59%
21-9	65.5	32.41%
20-10	76.9	18.72%
19-11	89.1	6.02%
18-12	102.9	0.66%
17-13	121.5	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tulsa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	81-49	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	H	59-45	W	100%	0.0
11-21	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	84-62	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	H	79-65	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	75-83	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	H	86-65	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	81-80	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	H	92-39	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Chicago St. (342.9)	GWC	H	86-49	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	N	70-74	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Nevada (64.6)	WAC	N	68-99	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Colorado (136.4)	B12	H	84-59	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	H	73-59	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	A	86-80	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	A	63-56	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	H	90-70	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	A	57-52	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	H	62-58	W	100%	0.0
1-26	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	A	55-65	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	A	55-50	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	H	73-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	A	59-73	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	H	0-0		78%	8.5
2-13	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	H	0-0		55%	1.4
2-17	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	0-0		40%	-2.7
2-20	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	H	0-0		54%	1.1
2-25	Duke (3.7)	ACC	A	0-0		6%	-17.2
2-27	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	A	0-0		84%	10.9
3-3	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	H	0-0		83%	10.6
3-6	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	A	0-0		27%	-6.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Tulsa's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Tulsa's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Tulsa.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tulsa	CUSA	26.25	26.15	77.91	70.90	14.65	10.93
Central Florida	CUSA	4.81	3.89	52.63	47.76	0.25	-0.17
Rice	CUSA	2.69	2.34	33.33	31.43	-0.90	-0.87
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.65	3.89	76.19	75.89	1.39	2.01
Houston	CUSA	2.64	2.39	50.00	52.64	0.00	0.13
Tulane	CUSA	2.59	2.28	33.33	30.64	-0.86	-0.88
UAB	CUSA	2.59	2.36	81.82	77.82	1.65	1.32
Marshall	CUSA	2.59	3.91	70.00	68.29	1.04	1.43
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.59	3.91	47.37	46.69	-0.14	-0.26
South Alabama	SB	2.47	1.84	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.46	1.83	25.00	29.48	-1.23	-0.75
Nebraska	B12	2.44	1.81	54.55	48.77	0.22	-0.04
Florida International	SB	2.38	1.76	25.00	24.55	-1.19	-0.89
Colorado	B12	2.37	1.75	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.28
Missouri St.	MVC	2.33	1.73	65.22	63.40	0.71	0.46
Nevada	WAC	2.33	1.72	55.00	59.13	0.23	0.31
Ohio	MAC	2.33	1.73	52.38	52.72	0.11	0.09
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.33	1.72	72.73	65.74	1.06	0.54
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.33	1.70	56.52	60.57	0.30	0.36
Chicago St.	GWC	2.32	1.69	21.05	21.36	-1.34	-0.97
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.32	1.75	50.00	51.13	0.00	0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.27	1.67	50.00	45.97	0.00	-0.13
Memphis	CUSA	0.43	3.95	69.57	70.75	0.17	1.64
East Carolina	CUSA	0.42	2.31	20.00	22.18	-0.25	-1.28
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.37	2.33	55.56	57.21	0.04	0.34
Troy	SB	0.36	0.32	47.62	50.38	-0.02	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.35	0.23	61.90	63.69	0.08	0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.30	0.26	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.30	0.26	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.27	0.23	22.73	24.05	-0.15	-0.12
Iowa St.	B12	0.21	0.23	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.18	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.21	0.17	72.73	66.85	0.10	0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.21	0.14	0.00	5.15	-0.21	-0.13
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.21	0.17	33.33	46.80	-0.07	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.21	0.14	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.21	0.17	25.00	34.68	-0.10	-0.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.21	0.21	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.20	0.20	59.09	51.13	0.04	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.20	0.18	22.73	22.86	-0.11	-0.10
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.17	73.91	70.60	0.10	0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.15	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.20	0.11	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.17	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.11	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.17	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.11	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.16	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.12	-0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.11	0.06
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.12	19.05	20.58	-0.10	-0.07
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.14	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.17	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.11	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.16	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.12	0.08
Texas	B12	0.16	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.15	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.19	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.16
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.15	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.06	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.17	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.03
Denver	SB	0.15	0.15	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.15	0.20	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.09	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.11	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Samford	SC	0.11	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.17	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.11
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.04	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.12	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.10
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.14	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.05	-0.05
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.04	-0.03
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.05	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.08	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.08	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.09	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.03
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.11	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.00	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.05	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.00	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.00	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.00	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.00	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.00	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	1.67	82.61	81.93	0.00	1.06
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.00	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.00	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.05	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.00	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.00	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.00	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.00	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tulsa	CUSA	26.25	26.15	77.91	70.90	14.65	10.93
Memphis	CUSA	0.43	3.95	69.57	70.75	0.17	1.64
Marshall	CUSA	2.59	3.91	70.00	68.29	1.04	1.43
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.59	3.91	47.37	46.69	-0.14	-0.26
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.65	3.89	76.19	75.89	1.39	2.01
Central Florida	CUSA	4.81	3.89	52.63	47.76	0.25	-0.17
Houston	CUSA	2.64	2.39	50.00	52.64	0.00	0.13
UAB	CUSA	2.59	2.36	81.82	77.82	1.65	1.32
Rice	CUSA	2.69	2.34	33.33	31.43	-0.90	-0.87
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.37	2.33	55.56	57.21	0.04	0.34
East Carolina	CUSA	0.42	2.31	20.00	22.18	-0.25	-1.28
Tulane	CUSA	2.59	2.28	33.33	30.64	-0.86	-0.88
South Alabama	SB	2.47	1.84	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.46	1.83	25.00	29.48	-1.23	-0.75
Nebraska	B12	2.44	1.81	54.55	48.77	0.22	-0.04
Florida International	SB	2.38	1.76	25.00	24.55	-1.19	-0.89
Colorado	B12	2.37	1.75	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.28
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.32	1.75	50.00	51.13	0.00	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	2.33	1.73	65.22	63.40	0.71	0.46
Ohio	MAC	2.33	1.73	52.38	52.72	0.11	0.09
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.33	1.72	72.73	65.74	1.06	0.54
Nevada	WAC	2.33	1.72	55.00	59.13	0.23	0.31
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.33	1.70	56.52	60.57	0.30	0.36
Chicago St.	GWC	2.32	1.69	21.05	21.36	-1.34	-0.97
Duke	ACC	0.00	1.67	82.61	81.93	0.00	1.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.27	1.67	50.00	45.97	0.00	-0.13
Troy	SB	0.36	0.32	47.62	50.38	-0.02	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.30	0.26	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.30	0.26	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.27	0.23	22.73	24.05	-0.15	-0.12
North Texas	SB	0.35	0.23	61.90	63.69	0.08	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.21	0.23	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.21	0.21	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.15	0.20	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.20	0.20	59.09	51.13	0.04	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.19	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.16
New Orleans	SB	0.20	0.18	22.73	22.86	-0.11	-0.10
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.18	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.08
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.21	0.17	25.00	34.68	-0.10	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.21	0.17	33.33	46.80	-0.07	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.17	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.21	0.17	72.73	66.85	0.10	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.15	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.17	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.17	73.91	70.60	0.10	0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.17	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.11
Denver	SB	0.15	0.15	60.87	59.58	0.03	0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.15	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.21	0.14	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.21	0.14	0.00	5.15	-0.21	-0.13
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.14	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Baylor	B12	0.16	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Texas	B12	0.16	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.08
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.14	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.12	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.10
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.16	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.11	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.12	19.05	20.58	-0.10	-0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.11	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.20	0.11	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.16	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.12	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.11	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.09	22.73	21.40	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.16	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.12	-0.06
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.17	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.11	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.09	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.05
Wagner	NEC	0.17	0.09	16.00	21.62	-0.11	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.15	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.06	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.05	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.09	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.07
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.00	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.08	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.08	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.11	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.00	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.11	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.04	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.04	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.05	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.05	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.00	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.00	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.00	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.00	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.00	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.05	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.00	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Louisiana St.