The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Tulsa page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Tulsa

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		68.0
Current RPI:		68
Expected SOS:		99
Current SOS:		99
Current Record:		22-11
Expected Record:		22-11
Current Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-0
Current OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC RPI:		80
Expected OOC SOS:		133

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
22-11		68.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tulsa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Florida International (296.0)	SB	H	81-49	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Arkansas Little Rock (301.0)	SB	H	59-45	W	100%	0.0
11-21	South Alabama (209.0)	SB	H	84-62	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	H	79-65	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Missouri St. (90.0)	MVC	A	75-83	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Oklahoma St. (32.0)	B12	H	86-65	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	H	81-80	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Jackson St. (199.0)	SWAC	H	92-39	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	H	86-49	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Nebraska (149.0)	B12	N	70-74	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Nevada (73.0)	WAC	N	68-99	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Colorado (121.0)	B12	H	84-59	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Tulane (282.0)	CUSA	H	73-59	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	A	86-80	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Southern Methodist (208.0)	CUSA	A	63-56	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	H	90-70	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Oral Roberts (126.0)	Sum	A	57-52	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	H	62-58	W	100%	0.0
1-26	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	A	55-65	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	A	55-50	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	H	73-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	A	59-73	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	H	60-52	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Memphis (58.0)	CUSA	H	86-93	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	A	58-64	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	H	70-78	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Duke (3.0)	ACC	A	52-70	L	0%	0.0
2-27	East Carolina (231.0)	CUSA	A	85-73	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Southern Methodist (208.0)	CUSA	H	58-55	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Memphis (58.0)	CUSA	A	53-75	L	0%	0.0
3-10	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	N	73-62	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	N	80-64	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	N	61-75	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Tulsa's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Tulsa's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Tulsa.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tulsa	CUSA	26.31	26.31	65.69	65.69	8.26	8.26
Texas El Paso	CUSA	5.15	5.15	79.31	79.31	3.02	3.02
Marshall	CUSA	5.09	5.09	73.08	73.08	2.35	2.35
Central Florida	CUSA	3.76	3.76	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.69	3.69	44.44	44.44	-0.41	-0.41
Memphis	CUSA	3.66	3.66	70.00	70.00	1.46	1.46
Rice	CUSA	3.66	3.66	25.00	25.00	-1.83	-1.83
Houston	CUSA	2.43	2.43	56.25	56.25	0.30	0.30
UAB	CUSA	2.26	2.26	73.33	73.33	1.06	1.06
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.26	2.26	57.14	57.14	0.32	0.32
East Carolina	CUSA	2.21	2.21	25.93	25.93	-1.07	-1.07
Tulane	CUSA	2.20	2.20	27.59	27.59	-0.98	-0.98
South Alabama	SB	1.69	1.69	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	1.66	1.66	22.22	22.22	-0.92	-0.92
Nebraska	B12	1.64	1.64	43.75	43.75	-0.21	-0.21
Ohio	MAC	1.59	1.59	60.61	60.61	0.34	0.34
Florida International	SB	1.59	1.59	20.00	20.00	-0.96	-0.96
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.59	1.59	62.07	62.07	0.38	0.38
Colorado	B12	1.58	1.58	46.43	46.43	-0.11	-0.11
Missouri St.	MVC	1.57	1.57	61.29	61.29	0.35	0.35
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.56	1.56	70.97	70.97	0.66	0.66
Nevada	WAC	1.56	1.56	60.00	60.00	0.31	0.31
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.54	1.54	61.29	61.29	0.35	0.35
Chicago St.	GWC	1.54	1.54	22.22	22.22	-0.85	-0.85
Duke	ACC	1.52	1.52	84.85	84.85	1.06	1.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.52	1.52	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
Troy	SB	0.36	0.36	58.62	58.62	0.06	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.27	0.27	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.26	0.26	36.36	36.36	-0.07	-0.07
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.25	0.25	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.23	0.23	73.33	73.33	0.11	0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.22	0.22	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Oklahoma	B12	0.21	0.21	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.19	0.19	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.18	0.18	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.18	0.18	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Western Kentucky	SB	0.17	0.17	61.76	61.76	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.17	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.17	0.17	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.17	94.12	94.12	0.15	0.15
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.17	80.65	80.65	0.10	0.10
New Orleans	SB	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Denver	SB	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	6.45	6.45	-0.13	-0.13
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.08	0.08
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.10	12.00	12.00	-0.08	-0.08
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.10	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.10	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.08	0.08	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.08	0.08	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.04	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.04	0.04	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.02	0.02	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.02	0.02	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.02	0.02	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.02	0.02	67.86	67.86	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.02	0.02	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.02	0.02	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tulsa	CUSA	26.31	26.31	65.69	65.69	8.26	8.26
Texas El Paso	CUSA	5.15	5.15	79.31	79.31	3.02	3.02
Marshall	CUSA	5.09	5.09	73.08	73.08	2.35	2.35
Central Florida	CUSA	3.76	3.76	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.69	3.69	44.44	44.44	-0.41	-0.41
Memphis	CUSA	3.66	3.66	70.00	70.00	1.46	1.46
Rice	CUSA	3.66	3.66	25.00	25.00	-1.83	-1.83
Houston	CUSA	2.43	2.43	56.25	56.25	0.30	0.30
UAB	CUSA	2.26	2.26	73.33	73.33	1.06	1.06
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.26	2.26	57.14	57.14	0.32	0.32
East Carolina	CUSA	2.21	2.21	25.93	25.93	-1.07	-1.07
Tulane	CUSA	2.20	2.20	27.59	27.59	-0.98	-0.98
South Alabama	SB	1.69	1.69	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	1.66	1.66	22.22	22.22	-0.92	-0.92
Nebraska	B12	1.64	1.64	43.75	43.75	-0.21	-0.21
Ohio	MAC	1.59	1.59	60.61	60.61	0.34	0.34
Florida International	SB	1.59	1.59	20.00	20.00	-0.96	-0.96
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.59	1.59	62.07	62.07	0.38	0.38
Colorado	B12	1.58	1.58	46.43	46.43	-0.11	-0.11
Missouri St.	MVC	1.57	1.57	61.29	61.29	0.35	0.35
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.56	1.56	70.97	70.97	0.66	0.66
Nevada	WAC	1.56	1.56	60.00	60.00	0.31	0.31
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.54	1.54	61.29	61.29	0.35	0.35
Chicago St.	GWC	1.54	1.54	22.22	22.22	-0.85	-0.85
Duke	ACC	1.52	1.52	84.85	84.85	1.06	1.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.52	1.52	54.84	54.84	0.15	0.15
Troy	SB	0.36	0.36	58.62	58.62	0.06	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.27	0.27	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.26	0.26	36.36	36.36	-0.07	-0.07
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.25	0.25	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.23	0.23	73.33	73.33	0.11	0.11
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.22	0.22	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Oklahoma	B12	0.21	0.21	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.19	0.19	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.19	0.19	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.18	0.18	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.18	0.18	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Western Kentucky	SB	0.17	0.17	61.76	61.76	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.17	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.17	0.17	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.17	94.12	94.12	0.15	0.15
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.17	80.65	80.65	0.10	0.10
New Orleans	SB	0.16	0.16	21.43	21.43	-0.09	-0.09
Denver	SB	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	6.45	6.45	-0.13	-0.13
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.15	78.12	78.12	0.08	0.08
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.12	0.12	84.85	84.85	0.08	0.08
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.10	12.00	12.00	-0.08	-0.08
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.10	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.10	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.10	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.08	0.08	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.08	0.08	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.04	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.04	0.04	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.