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Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Clemson

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:131.0
Current RPI:131
Expected SOS:96
Current SOS:96
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:264
Expected OOC SOS:330



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
17-14131.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Clemson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACH74-40W100%0.0
11-15UTSA (347.0)CUSAH78-45W100%0.0
11-19Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH76-56W100%0.0
11-23Massachusetts (171.0)A10N82-65L0%0.0
11-25Rutgers (294.0)B10N58-76W100%0.0
11-30Minnesota (257.0)B10A89-83L0%0.0
12-2USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH76-56W100%0.0
12-6Wofford (199.0)SCH66-51W100%0.0
12-13Alabama (73.0)SECH50-51L0%0.0
12-15Presbyterian (319.0)BSthH69-41W100%0.0
12-18South Carolina (65.0)SECH59-65L0%0.0
12-22Georgia (62.0)SECA71-48L0%0.0
12-30North Carolina (5.0)ACCA80-69L0%0.0
1-2Florida St. (82.0)ACCH84-75W100%0.0
1-5Syracuse (72.0)ACCA73-74W100%0.0
1-10Louisville (17.0)ACCH66-62W100%0.0
1-13Duke (20.0)ACCH68-63W100%0.0
1-16Miami FL (9.0)ACCH76-65W100%0.0
1-19Virginia (3.0)ACCA69-62L0%0.0
1-27Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCH73-60W100%0.0
1-30Florida St. (82.0)ACCA76-65L0%0.0
2-2Wake Forest (159.0)ACCA62-76W100%0.0
2-6Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA60-57L0%0.0
2-8Notre Dame (31.0)ACCH83-89L0%0.0
2-13Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCH66-52W100%0.0
2-17Boston College (250.0)ACCH65-54W100%0.0
2-20North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA77-74L0%0.0
2-23Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA75-73L0%0.0
3-1Virginia (3.0)ACCH57-64L0%0.0
3-5Boston College (250.0)ACCA50-66W100%0.0
3-9Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCN85-88L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Clemson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Clemson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Clemson.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
ClemsonACC26.0926.0951.1851.180.620.62
Georgia TechACC5.425.4256.6756.670.720.72
VirginiaACC3.853.8577.4277.422.112.11
Florida St.ACC3.803.8060.0060.000.760.76
Boston CollegeACC3.773.7723.3323.33-2.01-2.01
North CarolinaACC2.312.3181.8281.821.471.47
Notre DameACC2.312.3164.5264.520.670.67
Miami FLACC2.282.2880.6580.651.401.40
Virginia TechACC2.262.2656.2556.250.280.28
SyracuseACC2.262.2661.2961.290.510.51
PittsburghACC2.262.2666.6766.670.750.75
North Carolina St.ACC2.242.2446.8846.88-0.14-0.14
LouisvilleACC2.232.2376.6776.671.191.19
DukeACC2.212.2171.8871.880.970.97
Wake ForestACC2.212.2136.6736.67-0.59-0.59
GeorgiaSEC1.791.7958.0658.060.290.29
South CarolinaSEC1.741.7473.3373.330.810.81
WoffordSC1.741.7444.8344.83-0.18-0.18
AlabamaSEC1.721.7254.8454.840.170.17
RutgersB101.691.6920.0020.00-1.01-1.01
PresbyterianBSth1.671.6729.6329.63-0.68-0.68
Texas SouthernSWAC1.661.6658.0658.060.270.27
MinnesotaB101.661.6623.3323.33-0.89-0.89
USC UpstateASun1.641.6425.9325.93-0.79-0.79
UTSACUSA1.641.6413.7913.79-1.19-1.19
MassachusettsA101.611.6141.9441.94-0.26-0.26
North Carolina CentralMEAC1.611.6135.7135.71-0.46-0.46
Mississippi St.SEC0.280.2845.1645.16-0.03-0.03
KentuckySEC0.200.2076.4776.470.110.11
VCUA100.200.2070.5970.590.080.08
MissouriSEC0.180.1832.2632.26-0.06-0.06
FloridaSEC0.180.1857.5857.580.030.03
ArkansasSEC0.180.1850.0050.000.000.00
TennesseeSEC0.180.1844.1244.12-0.02-0.02
WinthropBSth0.160.1668.9768.970.060.06
IllinoisB100.160.1644.1244.12-0.02-0.02
East Tennessee St.SC0.150.1565.6265.620.050.05
Michigan St.B100.150.1585.2985.290.110.11
IndianaB100.150.1578.1278.120.090.09
LSUSEC0.150.1557.5857.580.020.02
MississippiSEC0.150.1562.5062.500.040.04
Western CarolinaSC0.130.1343.3343.33-0.02-0.02
HowardMEAC0.130.1333.3333.33-0.04-0.04
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.130.1322.5822.58-0.07-0.07
Texas A&MSEC0.130.1376.4776.470.070.07
VanderbiltSEC0.130.1359.3859.380.020.02
NebraskaB100.130.1347.0647.06-0.01-0.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.130.1337.9337.93-0.03-0.03
IowaB100.130.1367.7467.740.050.05
Ohio St.B100.130.1360.6160.610.030.03
AuburnSEC0.130.1335.4835.48-0.04-0.04
NorthwesternB100.130.1362.5062.500.030.03
CornellIvy0.120.1233.3333.33-0.04-0.04
DuquesneA100.120.1248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.120.1232.2632.26-0.04-0.04
VillanovaBE0.120.1285.2985.290.090.09
North FloridaASun0.110.1163.3363.330.030.03
The CitadelSC0.110.1124.1424.14-0.06-0.06
Coastal CarolinaBSth0.110.1157.6957.690.020.02
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.110.1132.2632.26-0.04-0.04
Kennesaw St.ASun0.110.1131.0331.03-0.04-0.04
Charleston SouthernBSth0.110.1122.2222.22-0.06-0.06
JacksonvilleASun0.110.1142.8642.86-0.02-0.02
High PointBSth0.110.1164.2964.290.030.03
VMISC0.110.1122.2222.22-0.06-0.06
Norfolk St.MEAC0.110.1148.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Central ArkansasSlnd0.100.1025.0025.00-0.05-0.05
SouthernSWAC0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
CreightonBE0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
HarvardIvy0.100.1042.8642.86-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.100.1063.6463.640.030.03
Penn St.B100.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
UMass LowellAE0.100.1035.7135.71-0.03-0.03
FordhamA100.100.1055.1755.170.010.01
George WashingtonA100.100.1069.7069.700.040.04
ColgatePat0.100.1041.3841.38-0.02-0.02
TulaneAmer0.100.1035.2935.29-0.03-0.03
LipscombASun0.080.0832.2632.26-0.03-0.03
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.080.0855.1755.170.010.01
LibertyBSth0.080.0834.4834.48-0.03-0.03
FurmanSC0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
RadfordBSth0.080.0848.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.080.0870.0070.000.030.03
UMKCWAC0.080.0832.1432.14-0.03-0.03
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.080.0829.0329.03-0.03-0.03
UABCUSA0.080.0880.6580.650.050.05
RichmondA100.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
SamfordSC0.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
ChattanoogaSC0.080.0884.3884.380.050.05
Southern MissCUSA0.080.0825.9325.93-0.04-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.080.0822.8622.86-0.04-0.04
PurdueB100.080.0876.4776.470.040.04
CharlotteCUSA0.080.0842.4242.42-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.080.0822.5822.58-0.04-0.04
WisconsinB100.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
Morgan St.MEAC0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
Central ConnecticutNEC0.080.0813.7913.79-0.06-0.06
DePaulBE0.080.0829.0329.03-0.03-0.03
HofstraCAA0.080.0871.8871.880.030.03
St. Francis NYNEC0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
MarylandB100.080.0875.0075.000.040.04
Alabama A&MSWAC0.080.0835.7135.71-0.02-0.02
La SalleA100.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
ProvidenceBE0.080.0869.7069.700.030.03
Rhode IslandA100.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
St. BonaventureA100.080.0873.3373.330.040.04
DavidsonA100.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.070.0724.2424.24-0.04-0.04
Grambling St.SWAC0.070.0714.2914.29-0.05-0.05
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0779.4179.410.040.04
George MasonA100.070.0734.3834.38-0.02-0.02
LehighPat0.070.0751.6151.610.000.00
OaklandHorz0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
Green BayHorz0.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
Long Beach St.BW0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
West VirginiaB120.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
William & MaryCAA0.070.0762.0762.070.020.02
CampbellBSth0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Gardner WebbBSth0.060.0646.6746.67-0.00-0.00
LongwoodBSth0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
NavyPat0.060.0656.2556.250.010.01
NJITASun0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
StetsonASun0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
UNC AshevilleBSth0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Florida A&MMEAC0.060.0622.2222.22-0.03-0.03
Savannah St.MEAC0.060.0648.2848.28-0.00-0.00
MarshallCUSA0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
FIUCUSA0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
MercerSC0.050.0554.8454.840.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
Utah ValleyWAC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Western KentuckyCUSA0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
MonmouthMAAC0.050.0579.4179.410.030.03
Saint LouisA100.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Seton HallBE0.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
XavierBE0.050.0584.3884.380.040.04
TexasB120.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
BucknellPat0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.050.0524.2424.24-0.03-0.03
Alcorn St.SWAC0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
BaylorB120.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
DaytonA100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
DelawareCAA0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
MaineAE0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
New HampshireAE0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0525.8125.81-0.02-0.02
OhioMAC0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
UC IrvineBW0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
TempleAmer0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
UCLAP120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
ElonCAA0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
GeorgetownBE0.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Jacksonville St.OVC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
NortheasternCAA0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
UtahP120.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
Kansas St.B120.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
BradleyMVC0.050.0512.9012.90-0.04-0.04
CaliforniaP120.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
East CarolinaAmer0.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
MarquetteBE0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.030.0316.6716.67-0.02-0.02
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
HamptonMEAC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
HoustonAmer0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
QuinnipiacMAAC0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Austin PeayOVC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Cal PolyBW0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
ColumbiaIvy0.030.0365.5265.520.010.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.030.0362.8662.860.010.01
RiceCUSA0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Southern UtahBSky0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.030.0376.6776.670.010.01
Texas St.SB0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Chicago St.WAC0.030.033.453.45-0.02-0.02
DetroitHorz0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
DrexelCAA0.030.0320.0020.00-0.02-0.02
Eastern MichiganMAC0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Grand CanyonWAC0.030.0379.3179.310.020.02
HartfordAE0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
MemphisAmer0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
Missouri St.MVC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Morehead St.OVC0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
Nebraska OmahaSum0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
Oklahoma St.B120.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Oral RobertsSum0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
South DakotaSum0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0377.4277.420.010.01
Texas TechB120.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
TulsaAmer0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
UMBCAE0.030.0321.8821.88-0.01-0.01
Boston UniversityPat0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
ButlerBE0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
College of CharlestonCAA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
ConnecticutAmer0.030.0370.5970.590.010.01
IonaMAAC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
Montana St.BSky0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Murray St.OVC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
New MexicoMWC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
New OrleansSlnd0.030.0325.9325.93-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.030.0381.8281.820.020.02
PrincetonIvy0.030.0377.7877.780.010.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.030.0331.2531.25-0.01-0.01
St. Francis PANEC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.030.0382.1482.140.020.02
Stony BrookAE0.030.0380.0080.000.020.02
UCFAmer0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.030.0318.5218.52-0.02-0.02
Washington St.P120.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Arizona St.P120.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
BryantNEC0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
BuffaloMAC0.020.0257.5857.580.000.00
Iowa St.B120.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
IUPUISum0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
LamarSlnd0.020.0226.9226.92-0.01-0.01
SienaMAAC0.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
South AlabamaSB0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Utah St.MWC0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
YaleIvy0.020.0277.7877.780.010.01
Appalachian St.SB0.020.0229.0329.03-0.01-0.01
FairfieldMAAC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
Northern IowaMVC0.020.0263.6463.640.010.01