Clemson

Conference:	ACC
Expected RPI:	185.0
Current RPI:	185
Expected SOS:	117
Current SOS:	117
Current Record:	13-18
Expected Record:	13-18
Current Conf Record:	5-14
Expected Conf Record:	5-14
Probability of Auto Bid:	0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	7-1
Current OOC Record:	8-4
Expected OOC Record:	8-4
Expected OOC RPI:	206
Expected OOC SOS:	323

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
13-18	185.0	100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Clemson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-12	Presbyterian (340.0)	BSth	H	77-44	W	100%
11-16	Furman (343.0)	SC	A	55-72	W	100%
11-22	Gonzaga (6.0)	WCC	N	57-49	L	0%
11-23	Texas El Paso (95.0)	CUSA	N	69-48	W	100%
11-25	Marist (262.0)	MAAC	N	59-44	W	100%
11-28	Purdue (136.0)	B10	H	61-73	L	0%
12-2	South Carolina (222.0)	SEC	A	55-64	W	100%
12-8	Arizona (16.0)	P12	H	54-66	L	0%
12-15	Florida A&M (331.0)	MEAC	H	80-57	W	100%
12-19	Coastal Carolina (259.0)	BSth	A	69-46	L	0%
12-23	South Carolina St. (342.0)	MEAC	H	77-41	W	100%
1-1	The Citadel (330.0)	SC	H	92-51	W	100%
1-5	Florida St. (85.0)	ACC	H	66-71	L	0%
1-8	Duke (1.0)	ACC	A	68-40	L	0%
1-12	Virginia (76.0)	ACC	H	59-44	W	100%
1-15	Wake Forest (170.0)	ACC	H	60-44	W	100%
1-20	North Carolina St. (33.0)	ACC	A	66-62	L	0%
1-24	Florida St. (85.0)	ACC	A	60-57	L	0%
1-27	Virginia Tech (177.0)	ACC	H	77-70	W	100%
1-29	Georgia Tech (149.0)	ACC	H	63-60	W	100%
2-2	Boston College (113.0)	ACC	A	75-68	L	0%
2-7	Virginia (76.0)	ACC	A	78-41	L	0%
2-10	North Carolina St. (33.0)	ACC	H	57-58	L	0%
2-14	Georgia Tech (149.0)	ACC	A	53-56	W	100%
2-17	Miami FL (4.0)	ACC	H	43-45	L	0%
2-23	Maryland (73.0)	ACC	A	72-59	L	0%
2-28	North Carolina (17.0)	ACC	H	59-68	L	0%
3-2	Virginia Tech (177.0)	ACC	A	69-61	L	0%
3-5	Boston College (113.0)	ACC	H	61-68	L	0%
3-9	Miami FL (4.0)	ACC	A	62-49	L	0%
3-14	Florida St. (85.0)	ACC	N	73-69	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Clemson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Clemson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Clemson.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Clemson	ACC	26.24	26.24	39.01	39.01	-5.77	-5.77
Florida St.	ACC	5.48	5.48	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	4.07	4.07	80.65	80.65	2.49	2.49
North Carolina St.	ACC	4.05	4.05	68.75	68.75	1.52	1.52
Georgia Tech	ACC	4.00	4.00	55.17	55.17	0.41	0.41
Boston College	ACC	3.97	3.97	45.16	45.16	-0.38	-0.38
Virginia	ACC	3.97	3.97	66.67	66.67	1.32	1.32
Virginia Tech	ACC	3.92	3.92	40.00	40.00	-0.78	-0.78
North Carolina	ACC	2.53	2.53	68.75	68.75	0.95	0.95
Maryland	ACC	2.46	2.46	63.64	63.64	0.67	0.67
Wake Forest	ACC	2.43	2.43	43.33	43.33	-0.32	-0.32
Duke	ACC	2.35	2.35	83.87	83.87	1.59	1.59
Presbyterian	BSth	1.84	1.84	17.86	17.86	-1.18	-1.18
The Citadel	SC	1.75	1.75	22.22	22.22	-0.97	-0.97
Furman	SC	1.72	1.72	17.86	17.86	-1.11	-1.11
South Carolina St.	MEAC	1.72	1.72	14.81	14.81	-1.21	-1.21
Florida A&M	MEAC	1.70	1.70	21.43	21.43	-0.97	-0.97
Arizona	P12	1.69	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.93	0.93
South Carolina	SEC	1.67	1.67	45.16	45.16	-0.16	-0.16
Coastal Carolina	BSth	1.67	1.67	40.00	40.00	-0.33	-0.33
Texas El Paso	CUSA	1.64	1.64	58.06	58.06	0.26	0.26
Gonzaga	WCC	1.61	1.61	93.55	93.55	1.40	1.40
Marist	MAAC	1.61	1.61	33.33	33.33	-0.54	-0.54
Purdue	B10	1.61	1.61	45.16	45.16	-0.16	-0.16
College of Charleston	SC	0.22	0.22	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
NC Greensboro	SC	0.21	0.21	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Appalachian St.	SC	0.19	0.19	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.19	0.19	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.18	0.18	28.12	28.12	-0.08	-0.08
Brigham Young	WCC	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.17	0.17	57.14	57.14	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.17	0.17	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.17	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.16	39.29	39.29	-0.04	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Wofford	SC	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.15	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.14	0.14	52.94	52.94	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.14	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Elon	SC	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.13	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.13	0.13	81.25	81.25	0.08	0.08
Mercer	ASun	0.13	0.13	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	B12	0.13	0.13	40.62	40.62	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.12	0.12	78.79	78.79	0.07	0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.11	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.11	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	MEAC	0.11	0.11	67.86	67.86	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.11	0.11	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Campbell	BSth	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	13.79	13.79	-0.07	-0.07
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B10	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	17.86	17.86	-0.06	-0.06
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.06	0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.09	37.50	37.50	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	BSth	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
High Point	BSth	0.08	0.08	53.57	53.57	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	SEC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P12	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
California	P12	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	P12	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.08	0.08	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
UCLA	P12	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P12	0.08	0.08	40.62	40.62	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	40.62	40.62	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.07	0.07	37.50	37.50	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	14.81	14.81	-0.05	-0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	57.14	57.14	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P12	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.59	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	48.00	48.00	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	38.46	38.46	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	16.67	16.67	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Slnd	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P12	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Oregon St.	P12	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	WAC	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P12	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	P12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P12	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Butler	A10	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	NEC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Hawaii	BW	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	53.57	53.57	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	10.00	10.00	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	57.69	57.69	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	88.24	88.24	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	Sum	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	BSky	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	SEC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00