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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Clemson

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:69.0
Current RPI:69
Expected SOS:28
Current SOS:28
Current Record:17-15
Expected Record:17-15
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:37
Expected OOC SOS:118



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
17-1569.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Clemson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Georgia (52.0)SECH74-64W100%0.0
11-17Davidson (93.0)A10N78-95W100%0.0
11-18Xavier (37.0)BEN83-77L0%0.0
11-20Oklahoma (168.0)B12N70-64L0%0.0
11-25High Point (236.0)BSthH83-74W100%0.0
11-30Nebraska (107.0)B10H60-58W100%0.0
12-4Coppin St. (336.0)MEACH85-43W100%0.0
12-10Mercer (192.0)SCH90-47W100%0.0
12-13South Carolina St. (299.0)MEACH93-65W100%0.0
12-18Alabama (78.0)SECN54-67W100%0.0
12-21South Carolina (42.0)SECA60-62W100%0.0
12-28UNC Wilmington (27.0)CAAH87-73W100%0.0
12-31Wake Forest (38.0)ACCA68-73W100%0.0
1-3North Carolina (5.0)ACCH86-89L0%0.0
1-7Notre Dame (23.0)ACCA75-70L0%0.0
1-12Georgia Tech (105.0)ACCA75-63L0%0.0
1-14Virginia (18.0)ACCH73-77L0%0.0
1-19Louisville (7.0)ACCA92-60L0%0.0
1-22Virginia Tech (48.0)ACCH81-82L0%0.0
1-28Pittsburgh (74.0)ACCA60-67W100%0.0
2-1Georgia Tech (105.0)ACCH74-62W100%0.0
2-5Florida St. (14.0)ACCA109-61L0%0.0
2-7Syracuse (84.0)ACCH81-82L0%0.0
2-11Duke (6.0)ACCA64-62L0%0.0
2-14Wake Forest (38.0)ACCH95-83W100%0.0
2-18Miami FL (41.0)ACCA71-65L0%0.0
2-21Virginia Tech (48.0)ACCA71-70L0%0.0
2-25Florida St. (14.0)ACCH74-76L0%0.0
3-1North Carolina St. (141.0)ACCH78-74W100%0.0
3-4Boston College (219.0)ACCH82-68W100%0.0
3-7North Carolina St. (141.0)ACCN75-61W100%0.0
3-8Duke (6.0)ACCN79-72L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Clemson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Clemson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Clemson.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
ClemsonACC26.0726.0749.2949.29-0.37-0.37
Virginia TechACC3.783.7866.6766.671.261.26
DukeACC3.783.7875.7675.761.951.95
Wake ForestACC3.773.7763.3363.331.011.01
Florida St.ACC3.723.7274.1974.191.801.80
North Carolina St.ACC3.703.7050.0050.000.000.00
Georgia TechACC3.703.7051.7251.720.130.13
Miami FLACC2.282.2864.5264.520.660.66
Notre DameACC2.282.2872.7372.731.041.04
North CarolinaACC2.262.2678.1278.121.271.27
SyracuseACC2.222.2254.8454.840.210.21
Boston CollegeACC2.212.2129.0329.03-0.93-0.93
PittsburghACC2.192.1950.0050.000.000.00
VirginiaACC2.192.1967.7467.740.780.78
LouisvilleACC2.162.1674.1974.191.041.04
GeorgiaSEC1.711.7158.0658.060.280.28
South CarolinaSEC1.711.7170.0070.000.680.68
South Carolina St.MEAC1.691.6932.1432.14-0.60-0.60
AlabamaSEC1.661.6659.3859.380.310.31
Coppin St.MEAC1.621.6224.1424.14-0.84-0.84
DavidsonA101.611.6154.8454.840.160.16
High PointBSth1.611.6144.4444.44-0.18-0.18
NebraskaB101.611.6137.9337.93-0.39-0.39
XavierBE1.611.6160.6160.610.340.34
MercerSC1.591.5944.8344.83-0.16-0.16
OklahomaB121.561.5633.3333.33-0.52-0.52
UNC WilmingtonCAA1.561.5687.1087.101.161.16
FloridaSEC0.290.2975.0075.000.150.15
Charleston SouthernBSth0.200.2032.1432.14-0.07-0.07
AuburnSEC0.200.2056.2556.250.020.02
TennesseeSEC0.200.2048.3948.39-0.01-0.01
KentuckySEC0.190.1985.2985.290.140.14
RadfordBSth0.180.1840.0040.00-0.04-0.04
Penn St.B100.170.1745.4545.45-0.02-0.02
KansasB120.170.1787.5087.500.130.13
Gardner WebbBSth0.160.1653.3353.330.010.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.150.1570.9770.970.060.06
Texas A&MSEC0.150.1551.6151.610.000.00
MississippiSEC0.150.1560.6160.610.030.03
College of CharlestonCAA0.150.1572.7372.730.070.07
Mississippi St.SEC0.150.1550.0050.000.000.00
LSUSEC0.150.1532.2632.26-0.05-0.05
George WashingtonA100.150.1557.5857.580.020.02
MissouriSEC0.140.1425.0025.00-0.07-0.07
CreightonBE0.140.1472.7372.730.070.07
William & MaryCAA0.140.1451.7251.720.000.00
VillanovaBE0.140.1491.1891.180.120.12
WoffordSC0.130.1343.3343.33-0.02-0.02
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.130.133.333.33-0.12-0.12
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.130.1337.5037.50-0.03-0.03
MichiganB100.130.1368.5768.570.050.05
NorthwesternB100.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
IllinoisB100.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
RichmondA100.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
Appalachian St.SB0.120.1225.0025.00-0.06-0.06
Rhode IslandA100.120.1272.7372.730.050.05
Morgan St.MEAC0.110.1144.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.110.1148.3948.39-0.00-0.00
HamptonMEAC0.110.1142.8642.86-0.02-0.02
Western CarolinaSC0.100.1023.3323.33-0.06-0.06
FurmanSC0.100.1063.3363.330.030.03
WinthropBSth0.100.1080.0080.000.060.06
East Tennessee St.SC0.100.1078.1278.120.060.06
VanderbiltSEC0.100.1055.8855.880.010.01
The CitadelSC0.100.1030.0030.00-0.04-0.04
VMISC0.100.1014.2914.29-0.07-0.07
MonmouthMAAC0.100.1081.8281.820.060.06
IowaB100.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
SamfordSC0.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
WisconsinB100.100.1073.5373.530.050.05
TulaneAmer0.100.1019.3519.35-0.06-0.06
VCUA100.100.1076.4776.470.050.05
Coastal CarolinaSB0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
DaytonA100.100.1076.6776.670.050.05
TexasB120.100.1033.3333.33-0.03-0.03
BaylorB120.100.1077.4277.420.050.05
Michigan St.B100.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.100.1043.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.100.1068.9768.970.040.04
Northern IowaMVC0.090.0944.8344.83-0.01-0.01
ProvidenceBE0.090.0962.5062.500.020.02
MarquetteBE0.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
ElonCAA0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
MaineAE0.090.0919.3519.35-0.06-0.06
Tennessee St.OVC0.090.0953.5753.570.010.01
CampbellBSth0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.080.0870.0070.000.030.03
Florida A&MMEAC0.080.0817.8617.86-0.05-0.05
Savannah St.MEAC0.080.0840.7440.74-0.01-0.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
HowardMEAC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
DrexelCAA0.080.0825.8125.81-0.04-0.04
Holy CrossPat0.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Wichita St.MVC0.080.0887.8887.880.060.06
Ohio St.B100.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
SouthernSWAC0.080.0843.3343.33-0.01-0.01
ChattanoogaSC0.080.0858.6258.620.010.01
TCUB120.080.0854.5554.550.010.01
East CarolinaAmer0.070.0745.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
HofstraCAA0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Iowa St.B120.070.0769.7069.700.030.03
Kansas St.B120.070.0760.6160.610.020.02
West VirginiaB120.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
IndianaB100.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
Oklahoma St.B120.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
PurdueB100.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
MinnesotaB100.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
ArkansasSEC0.070.0773.5373.530.030.03
Boston UniversityPat0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
DelawareCAA0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
FairfieldMAAC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
St. Francis NYNEC0.070.0710.0010.00-0.06-0.06
TowsonCAA0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
BuffaloMAC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.070.0737.0437.04-0.02-0.02
Seton HallBE0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
St. John'sBE0.070.0742.4242.42-0.01-0.01
ButlerBE0.070.0774.1974.190.030.03
DePaulBE0.070.0728.1228.12-0.03-0.03
LibertyBSth0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
LongwoodBSth0.060.0614.2914.29-0.04-0.04
PresbyterianBSth0.060.0610.7110.71-0.04-0.04
Delaware St.MEAC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0573.3373.330.020.02
AkronMAC0.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
JacksonvilleASun0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.050.0560.7160.710.010.01
George MasonA100.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
RutgersB100.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
MemphisAmer0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
OhioMAC0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Tennessee TechOVC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Texas TechB120.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Ball St.MAC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
MarylandB100.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
ValparaisoHorz0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
UtahP120.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
BucknellPat0.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
EvansvilleMVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
FordhamA100.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
HartfordAE0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
James MadisonCAA0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.050.0519.2319.23-0.03-0.03
MontanaBSky0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
New MexicoMWC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
North FloridaASun0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
NortheasternCAA0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
RiderMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
St. BonaventureA100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
UMBCAE0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
DuquesneA100.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Eastern MichiganMAC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.050.0536.3636.36-0.01-0.01
YaleIvy0.050.0560.7160.710.010.01
ColgatePat0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
DetroitHorz0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
IonaMAAC0.050.0564.7164.710.010.01
ManhattanMAAC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0524.1424.14-0.02-0.02
TempleAmer0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
ColoradoP120.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
MaristMAAC0.040.0425.0025.00-0.02-0.02
UNLVMWC0.040.0434.3834.38-0.01-0.01
NavyPat0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Saint Mary'sWCC0.030.0387.5087.500.020.02
BYUWCC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
Sacramento St.BSky0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
South DakotaSum0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
UCLAP120.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.030.0336.0036.00-0.01-0.01
FIUCUSA0.030.0317.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Northern ColoradoBSky0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.030.0336.0036.00-0.01-0.01
Oral RobertsSum0.030.0321.4321.43-0.01-0.01
South FloridaAmer0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
VermontAE0.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
Arizona St.P120.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
CaliforniaP120.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
ColumbiaIvy0.020.0238.4638.46-0.01-0.01
ConnecticutAmer0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
CornellIvy0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
DartmouthIvy0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.020.0228.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
HarvardIvy0.020.0261.5461.540.010.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
MassachusettsA100.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.020.0287.8887.880.020.02
OaklandHorz0.020.0273.3373.330.010.01
Old DominionCUSA0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
PennIvy0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.020.0242.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.020.0240.6240.62-0.00-0.00
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
StanfordP120.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Stony BrookAE0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Texas SouthernSWAC0.020.0267.6567.650.010.01
ToledoMAC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Western MichiganMAC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Arkansas St.SB0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
HawaiiBW0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
MarshallCUSA0.020.0255.8855.880.000.00
Morehead St.OVC0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Nebraska OmahaSum0.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
OregonP120.020.0284.8584.850.020.02
RiceCUSA0.020.0264.5264.520.010.01
SMUAmer0.020.0288.2488.240.020.02
StetsonASun0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
USC UpstateASun0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
BryantNEC0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Chicago St.WAC0.020.0210.3410.34-0.02-0.02
CincinnatiAmer0.020.0285.2985.290.020.02
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.020.0264.5264.520.010.01
Fort WayneSum0.020.0257.1457.140.000.00
LehighPat0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Loyola MDPat0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
SeattleWAC0.020.0237.0437.04-0.01-0.01