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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.


Clemson

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:79.0
Current RPI:79
Expected SOS:91
Current SOS:91
Current Record:20-12
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:115
Expected OOC SOS:270



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
20-1279.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Clemson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-8Stetson (333.0)ASunH71-51W100%0.0
11-13Delaware St. (329.0)MEACH58-37W100%0.0
11-17South Carolina (140.0)SECH71-57W100%0.0
11-21Temple (175.0)AmerN72-58W100%0.0
11-22Davidson (126.0)SCN85-54W100%0.0
11-24Massachusetts (23.0)A10N56-62L0%0.0
11-29Coastal Carolina (196.0)BSthH69-40W100%0.0
12-3South Carolina St. (331.0)MEACH65-49W100%0.0
12-7Arkansas (77.0)SECA74-68L0%0.0
12-14Furman (339.0)SCH71-35W100%0.0
12-19Auburn (169.0)SECA66-64L0%0.0
12-30VMI (211.0)BSthH80-50W100%0.0
1-4Boston College (207.0)ACCA60-62W100%0.0
1-9Florida St. (54.0)ACCH41-56L0%0.0
1-11Duke (9.0)ACCH72-59W100%0.0
1-15Virginia Tech (246.0)ACCA49-56W100%0.0
1-18Wake Forest (113.0)ACCH61-53W100%0.0
1-21Pittsburgh (39.0)ACCA76-43L0%0.0
1-26North Carolina (25.0)ACCA80-61L0%0.0
2-1Florida St. (54.0)ACCA49-53W100%0.0
2-4Georgia Tech (157.0)ACCH45-41W100%0.0
2-9Syracuse (16.0)ACCA57-44L0%0.0
2-11Notre Dame (136.0)ACCA68-64L0%0.0
2-15Virginia (8.0)ACCH58-63L0%0.0
2-18North Carolina St. (55.0)ACCH73-56W100%0.0
2-22Georgia Tech (157.0)ACCA55-63W100%0.0
2-25Wake Forest (113.0)ACCA62-57L0%0.0
3-2Maryland (78.0)ACCH77-73W100%0.0
3-4Miami FL (110.0)ACCH58-54W100%0.0
3-8Pittsburgh (39.0)ACCH78-83L0%0.0
3-13Georgia Tech (157.0)ACCN69-65W100%0.0
3-14Duke (9.0)ACCN63-62L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Clemson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Clemson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Clemson.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
ClemsonACC26.1226.1261.1961.195.855.85
Georgia TechACC5.245.2453.3353.330.350.35
DukeACC3.793.7978.1278.122.132.13
Wake ForestACC3.753.7551.6151.610.120.12
PittsburghACC3.723.7271.8871.881.631.63
Florida St.ACC3.703.7060.0060.000.740.74
VirginiaACC2.312.3181.8281.821.471.47
Boston CollegeACC2.282.2823.3323.33-1.22-1.22
North Carolina St.ACC2.252.2563.6463.640.610.61
Notre DameACC2.232.2345.1645.16-0.22-0.22
North CarolinaACC2.232.2370.9770.970.930.93
MarylandACC2.212.2153.3353.330.150.15
Virginia TechACC2.192.1930.0030.00-0.88-0.88
Miami FLACC2.192.1953.1253.120.140.14
SyracuseACC2.182.1883.8783.871.481.48
DavidsonSC1.741.7463.3363.330.460.46
South CarolinaSEC1.721.7242.4242.42-0.26-0.26
VMIBSth1.691.6957.6957.690.260.26
AuburnSEC1.681.6844.8344.83-0.17-0.17
Coastal CarolinaBSth1.681.6862.0762.070.400.40
South Carolina St.MEAC1.671.6725.9325.93-0.80-0.80
Delaware St.MEAC1.661.6625.9325.93-0.80-0.80
FurmanSC1.641.6426.9226.92-0.76-0.76
MassachusettsA101.641.6474.1974.190.790.79
ArkansasSEC1.631.6364.5264.520.470.47
StetsonASun1.611.6123.3323.33-0.86-0.86
TempleAmer1.561.5630.0030.00-0.62-0.62
GeorgiaSEC0.240.2459.3859.380.050.05
PresbyterianBSth0.230.2313.3313.33-0.17-0.17
UNC GreensboroSC0.220.2237.9337.93-0.05-0.05
TennesseeSEC0.220.2262.5062.500.050.05
Gardner WebbBSth0.210.2150.0050.000.000.00
Savannah St.MEAC0.210.2136.6736.67-0.05-0.05
MississippiSEC0.190.1957.5857.580.030.03
Georgia SouthernSC0.190.1938.7138.71-0.04-0.04
The CitadelSC0.180.1813.7913.79-0.13-0.13
ElonSC0.180.1855.1755.170.020.02
JacksonvilleASun0.170.1735.7135.71-0.05-0.05
UCFAmer0.170.1737.9337.93-0.04-0.04
FloridaSEC0.170.1794.1294.120.150.15
AlabamaSEC0.170.1738.7138.71-0.04-0.04
Florida A&MMEAC0.160.1640.0040.00-0.03-0.03
Charleston SouthernBSth0.160.1633.3333.33-0.05-0.05
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.150.1525.8125.81-0.07-0.07
VCUA100.150.1576.4776.470.080.08
CharlotteCUSA0.150.1554.8454.840.010.01
VanderbiltSEC0.140.1448.3948.39-0.00-0.00
LibertyBSth0.140.1427.5927.59-0.06-0.06
CampbellBSth0.130.1332.1432.14-0.05-0.05
High PointBSth0.130.1350.0050.000.000.00
WinthropBSth0.130.1356.6756.670.020.02
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.130.1383.8783.870.090.09
Western CarolinaSC0.130.1351.6151.610.000.00
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.130.1362.5062.500.030.03
UNC AshevilleBSth0.130.1348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
George WashingtonA100.130.1375.0075.000.060.06
MinnesotaB100.120.1259.3859.380.020.02
DaytonA100.120.1269.7069.700.050.05
MichiganB100.120.1275.7675.760.060.06
KentuckySEC0.120.1270.5970.590.050.05
LSUSEC0.120.1259.3859.380.020.02
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.120.1226.6726.67-0.06-0.06
East Tennessee St.ASun0.120.1253.1253.120.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.120.1213.7913.79-0.09-0.09
MissouriSEC0.120.1266.6766.670.040.04
CincinnatiAmer0.120.1281.8281.820.080.08
RadfordBSth0.110.1160.0060.000.020.02
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.110.1116.6716.67-0.07-0.07
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.110.1117.8617.86-0.07-0.07
Morgan St.MEAC0.110.1148.3948.39-0.00-0.00
SamfordSC0.110.1133.3333.33-0.04-0.04
WoffordSC0.110.1158.6258.620.020.02
LongwoodBSth0.110.1114.2914.29-0.08-0.08
Norfolk St.MEAC0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
St. Francis NYNEC0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
HowardMEAC0.100.1019.3519.35-0.06-0.06
ConnecticutAmer0.100.1076.4776.470.050.05
Mississippi St.SEC0.100.1042.4242.42-0.02-0.02
USC UpstateASun0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
East CarolinaCUSA0.100.1044.8344.83-0.01-0.01
SMUAmer0.100.1071.8871.880.040.04
IllinoisB100.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
Texas A&MSEC0.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
RichmondA100.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
St. John'sBE0.100.1062.5062.500.020.02
Eastern MichiganMAC0.090.0956.2556.250.010.01
KansasB120.090.0972.7372.730.040.04
Coppin St.MEAC0.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
ChattanoogaSC0.080.0851.7251.720.000.00
HamptonMEAC0.080.0860.0060.000.020.02
College of CharlestonCAA0.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
CaliforniaP120.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
FordhamA100.080.0832.2632.26-0.03-0.03
Appalachian St.SC0.080.0819.2319.23-0.05-0.05
NebraskaB100.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
South FloridaAmer0.080.0837.5037.50-0.02-0.02
Jacksonville St.OVC0.070.0727.5927.59-0.03-0.03
LouisvilleAmer0.070.0785.2985.290.050.05
Northern KentuckyASun0.070.0730.0030.00-0.03-0.03
ProvidenceBE0.070.0767.6567.650.030.03
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
La SalleA100.070.0748.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Rhode IslandA100.070.0741.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
USCP120.070.0732.2632.26-0.03-0.03
AkronMAC0.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
ColgatePat0.070.0740.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
DuquesneA100.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.060.0648.1548.15-0.00-0.00
DelawareCAA0.050.0573.5373.530.020.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
MarshallCUSA0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Oklahoma St.B120.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
HoustonAmer0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
LipscombASun0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
MemphisAmer0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
MercerASun0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
North FloridaASun0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
RutgersAmer0.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Michigan St.B100.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
New MexicoMWC0.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
Ohio St.B100.050.0573.5373.530.020.02
TexasB120.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
UABCUSA0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
VillanovaBE0.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
Texas SouthernSWAC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
CornellIvy0.050.053.703.70-0.05-0.05
George MasonA100.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
IndianaB100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Miami OHMAC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
NortheasternCAA0.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
FIUCUSA0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
BaylorB120.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
TulaneCUSA0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
XavierBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
AlbanyAE0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
ArizonaP120.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
Cal PolyBW0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Fresno St.MWC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
LehighPat0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Loyola MarymountWCC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Penn St.B100.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
StanfordP120.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
Texas TechB120.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
UCLAP120.050.0576.4776.470.020.02
VermontAE0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
Air ForceMWC0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
UC DavisBW0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
William & MaryCAA0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
BuffaloMAC0.030.0364.2964.290.010.01
NJITind0.030.0336.0036.00-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Iowa St.B120.030.0378.7978.790.010.01
Murray St.OVC0.030.0359.2659.260.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0346.1546.15-0.00-0.00
Northwestern St.Slnd0.030.0348.1548.15-0.00-0.00
Tennessee St.OVC0.030.0313.7913.79-0.02-0.02
Boston UniversityPat0.030.0370.5970.590.010.01
DrexelCAA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
HarvardIvy0.030.0386.2186.210.020.02
Kent St.MAC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
LIU BrooklynNEC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
MaristMAAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
NiagaraMAAC0.030.0321.2121.21-0.01-0.01
Oregon St.P120.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
PennIvy0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.030.0316.1316.13-0.02-0.02
Seton HallBE0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0340.6240.62-0.00-0.00
ToledoMAC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
TowsonCAA0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
TulsaCUSA0.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
WagnerNEC0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
WashingtonP120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
West VirginiaB120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
Wichita St.MVC0.030.03100.00100.000.030.03
ArmyPat0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
BelmontOVC0.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
BinghamtonAE0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
BryantNEC0.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
BYUWCC0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
CanisiusMAAC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.020.0281.8281.820.020.02
Holy CrossPat0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
Indiana St.MVC0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
IowaB100.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.020.0278.5778.570.010.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
OaklandHorz0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
OhioMAC0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
Saint LouisA100.020.0280.6580.650.010.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
South AlabamaSB0.020.0228.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.020.0230.7730.77-0.01-0.01
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
UTSACUSA0.020.0222.2222.22-0.01-0.01
Arizona St.P120.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Loyola MDPat0.020.0234.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Boise St.MWC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
DetroitHorz0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
Green BayHorz0.020.0277.7877.780.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
ManhattanMAAC0.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
Missouri St.MVC0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
NavyPat0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.020.0242.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Saint Mary'sWCC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
WisconsinB100.020.0278.7978.790.010.01