Mississippi

Conference:	SEC
Expected RPI:	141.0
Current RPI:	141
Expected SOS:	17
Current SOS:	17
Current Record:	12-20
Expected Record:	12-20
Current Conf Record:	5-14
Expected Conf Record:	5-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	3-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	4-0
Current OOC Record:	7-6
Expected OOC Record:	7-6
Expected OOC RPI:	143
Expected OOC SOS:	50

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
12-20	141.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-10	Louisiana Lafayette (63.0)	SB	H	94-76	W	100%
11-13	Eastern Kentucky (271.0)	OVC	H	85-75	W	100%
11-17	Georgia St. (120.0)	SB	H	77-72	W	100%
11-20	Utah (59.0)	P12	N	83-74	L	0%
11-22	Rice (328.0)	CUSA	N	79-62	W	100%
11-28	South Dakota St. (37.0)	Sum	H	97-99	L	0%
12-2	Virginia Tech (61.0)	ACC	H	80-83	L	0%
12-9	Middle Tennessee (33.0)	CUSA	A	77-58	L	0%
12-13	Sam Houston St. (206.0)	Slnd	H	82-69	W	100%
12-16	Illinois St. (85.0)	MVC	H	97-101	L	0%
12-19	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (326.0)	Slnd	H	85-63	W	100%
12-22	Bradley (105.0)	MVC	H	82-59	W	100%
12-31	South Carolina (90.0)	SEC	H	74-69	W	100%
1-3	Georgia (79.0)	SEC	A	71-60	L	0%
1-6	Mississippi St. (73.0)	SEC	H	64-58	W	100%
1-9	Auburn (15.0)	SEC	A	85-70	L	0%
1-13	Florida (46.0)	SEC	H	78-72	W	100%
1-16	Texas A&M (29.0)	SEC	A	71-69	L	0%
1-20	Arkansas (30.0)	SEC	A	97-93	L	0%
1-23	Alabama (42.0)	SEC	H	78-66	W	100%
1-27	Texas (51.0)	B12	A	85-72	L	0%
1-30	Auburn (15.0)	SEC	H	70-79	L	0%
2-3	Tennessee (8.0)	SEC	A	94-61	L	0%
2-6	Missouri (43.0)	SEC	H	69-75	L	0%
2-10	LSU (95.0)	SEC	A	82-66	L	0%
2-13	Arkansas (30.0)	SEC	H	64-75	L	0%
2-17	Mississippi St. (73.0)	SEC	A	79-62	L	0%
2-20	Missouri (43.0)	SEC	A	87-90	W	100%
2-24	Tennessee (8.0)	SEC	H	65-73	L	0%
2-28	Kentucky (10.0)	SEC	A	96-78	L	0%
3-3	Vanderbilt (132.0)	SEC	H	69-82	L	0%
3-7	South Carolina (90.0)	SEC	N	85-84	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Mississippi's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Mississippi.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Mississippi	SEC	26.08	26.08	30.43	30.43	-10.21	-10.21
Arkansas	SEC	3.81	3.81	65.62	65.62	1.19	1.19
South Carolina	SEC	3.80	3.80	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	3.77	3.77	74.19	74.19	1.83	1.83
Mississippi St.	SEC	3.75	3.75	66.67	66.67	1.25	1.25
Auburn	SEC	3.72	3.72	76.67	76.67	1.99	1.99
Missouri	SEC	3.72	3.72	62.07	62.07	0.90	0.90
Georgia	SEC	2.32	2.32	53.12	53.12	0.14	0.14
Alabama	SEC	2.29	2.29	57.58	57.58	0.35	0.35
Kentucky	SEC	2.29	2.29	69.70	69.70	0.90	0.90
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.21	2.21	35.48	35.48	-0.64	-0.64
LSU	SEC	2.21	2.21	53.33	53.33	0.15	0.15
Texas A&M	SEC	2.19	2.19	61.29	61.29	0.49	0.49
Florida	SEC	2.19	2.19	64.52	64.52	0.63	0.63
Middle Tennessee	CUSA	1.66	1.66	75.86	75.86	0.86	0.86
Illinois St.	MVC	1.66	1.66	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	1.65	1.65	53.57	53.57	0.12	0.12
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	1.64	1.64	32.00	32.00	-0.59	-0.59
Rice	CUSA	1.64	1.64	17.86	17.86	-1.05	-1.05
Georgia St.	SB	1.61	1.61	70.97	70.97	0.68	0.68
Utah	P12	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Bradley	MVC	1.61	1.61	61.29	61.29	0.36	0.36
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.59	1.59	32.14	32.14	-0.57	-0.57
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	1.59	1.59	83.33	83.33	1.06	1.06
Texas	B12	1.59	1.59	56.25	56.25	0.20	0.20
Virginia Tech	ACC	1.59	1.59	64.52	64.52	0.46	0.46
South Dakota St.	Sum	1.56	1.56	79.31	79.31	0.92	0.92
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.24	80.00	80.00	0.14	0.14
Little Rock	SB	0.20	0.20	20.00	20.00	-0.12	-0.12
UT Arlington	SB	0.20	0.20	60.61	60.61	0.04	0.04
Troy	SB	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	SB	0.18	0.18	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	MVC	0.17	0.17	84.38	84.38	0.12	0.12
New Orleans	Slnd	0.17	0.17	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.17	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.16	0.16	10.71	10.71	-0.13	-0.13
Southern Miss	CUSA	0.15	0.15	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
West Virginia	B12	0.15	0.15	70.59	70.59	0.06	0.06
UTSA	CUSA	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	8.00	8.00	-0.11	-0.11
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
FIU	CUSA	0.13	0.13	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
UTEP	CUSA	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.13	0.13	58.06	58.06	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
USC	P12	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	82.76	82.76	0.08	0.08
Missouri St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Georgia Southern	SB	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Temple	Amer	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.12	0.12	71.43	71.43	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.12	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.12	0.12	58.06	58.06	0.02	0.02
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.11	0.11	44.44	44.44	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.11	0.11	53.57	53.57	0.01	0.01
Incarnate Word	Slnd	0.11	0.11	12.50	12.50	-0.08	-0.08
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Belmont	OVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P12	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.10	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	SB	0.10	0.10	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	MVC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	40.62	40.62	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	Amer	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.08	0.08	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	CUSA	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	P12	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	Sum	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P12	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Washington	P12	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P12	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	ACC	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
BYU	WCC	0.07	0.07	70.59	70.59	0.03	0.03
UCF	Amer	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	Amer	0.07	0.07	88.24	88.24	0.06	0.06
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	93.94	93.94	0.06	0.06
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	24.24	24.24	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	57.14	57.14	0.01	0.01
Louisville	ACC	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
TCU	B12	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	Amer	0.07	0.07	78.79	78.79	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Mercer	SC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	CUSA	0.05	0.05	17.86	17.86	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Oregon St.	P12	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UNLV	MWC	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Denver	Sum	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P12	0.05	0.05	64.71	64.71	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P12	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Kentucky	Horz	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P12	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Butler	BE	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SB	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
George Mason	A10	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	Amer	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Memphis	Amer	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	88.24	88.24	0.04	0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	82.35	82.35	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	88.24	88.24	0.04	0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	CAA	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Idaho	BSky	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
California	P12	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	BW	0.03	0.03	53.57	53.57	0.00	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	12.50	12.50	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	BSky	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
UMKC	WAC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	Amer	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
UNC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.02	0.02	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.02	0.02	20.00	20.00	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Horz	0.02	0.02	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.02	0.02	16.67	16.67	-0.02	-0.02
Montana	BSky	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Nevada	MWC	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.02	0.02	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Louis	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	ACC	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	Amer	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.02	0.02	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
UNC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Bryant	NEC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.02	0.02	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
USC Upstate	ASun	0.02	0.02	10.71	10.71	-0.02	-0.02
VCU	A10	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Monmouth	MAAC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01