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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Mississippi

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:77.0
Current RPI:77
Expected SOS:69
Current SOS:69
Current Record:20-13
Expected Record:20-13
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:92
Expected OOC SOS:71



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
20-1377.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Tennessee Martin (164.0)OVCH86-83W100%0.0
11-14Massachusetts (195.0)A10H90-88W100%0.0
11-18Oral Roberts (292.0)SumN95-88W100%0.0
11-20Saint Joseph's (197.0)A10N81-68W100%0.0
11-21Creighton (26.0)BEN86-77L0%0.0
11-24Montana (221.0)BSkyH86-81W100%0.0
11-30Middle Tennessee (34.0)CUSAH62-77L0%0.0
12-3Memphis (120.0)AmerH85-77W100%0.0
12-11Virginia Tech (48.0)ACCA80-75L0%0.0
12-15Murray St. (230.0)OVCH78-73W100%0.0
12-19Bradley (220.0)MVCH66-49W100%0.0
12-22South Alabama (231.0)SBH92-58W100%0.0
12-29Kentucky (3.0)SECH76-99L0%0.0
1-3Florida (10.0)SECA70-63L0%0.0
1-7Auburn (113.0)SECA85-88W100%0.0
1-11Georgia (52.0)SECH47-69L0%0.0
1-14South Carolina (42.0)SECA67-56L0%0.0
1-17Tennessee (82.0)SECH80-69W100%0.0
1-21Missouri (257.0)SECA71-75W100%0.0
1-25Texas A&M (92.0)SECH76-80L0%0.0
1-28Baylor (11.0)B12H75-78L0%0.0
1-31Mississippi St. (150.0)SECH88-61W100%0.0
2-4Vanderbilt (44.0)SECA74-81W100%0.0
2-8Tennessee (82.0)SECA75-66L0%0.0
2-11Auburn (113.0)SECH90-84W100%0.0
2-14LSU (193.0)SECH96-76W100%0.0
2-18Arkansas (28.0)SECA98-80L0%0.0
2-21Mississippi St. (150.0)SECA82-87W100%0.0
2-25Missouri (257.0)SECH80-77W100%0.0
3-1Alabama (78.0)SECA70-55L0%0.0
3-4South Carolina (42.0)SECH75-70W100%0.0
3-9Missouri (257.0)SECN86-74W100%0.0
3-10Arkansas (28.0)SECN73-72L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Mississippi's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Mississippi.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
MississippiSEC26.1626.1656.5556.553.433.43
MissouriSEC5.135.1327.5927.59-2.30-2.30
ArkansasSEC3.673.6771.8871.881.601.60
AuburnSEC3.673.6760.0060.000.730.73
Mississippi St.SEC3.653.6553.3353.330.240.24
South CarolinaSEC3.643.6468.9768.971.381.38
TennesseeSEC3.623.6248.2848.28-0.12-0.12
AlabamaSEC2.302.3056.2556.250.290.29
VanderbiltSEC2.242.2457.5857.580.340.34
KentuckySEC2.222.2284.8584.851.551.55
GeorgiaSEC2.202.2054.8454.840.210.21
LSUSEC2.202.2033.3333.33-0.73-0.73
Texas A&MSEC2.192.1950.0050.000.000.00
FloridaSEC2.152.1574.1974.191.041.04
Murray St.OVC1.611.6146.6746.67-0.11-0.11
Tennessee MartinOVC1.611.6163.3363.330.430.43
MassachusettsA101.591.5946.8846.88-0.10-0.10
Middle TennesseeCUSA1.591.5987.5087.501.191.19
Oral RobertsSum1.591.5922.2222.22-0.88-0.88
Saint Joseph'sA101.581.5836.6736.67-0.42-0.42
MemphisAmer1.561.5661.2961.290.350.35
BaylorB121.541.5476.6776.670.820.82
CreightonBE1.541.5471.8871.880.670.67
MontanaBSky1.541.5451.6151.610.050.05
Virginia TechACC1.541.5467.7467.740.550.55
South AlabamaSB1.541.5441.3841.38-0.27-0.27
BradleyMVC1.521.5238.7138.71-0.34-0.34
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.220.2244.4444.44-0.02-0.02
Georgia St.SB0.190.1960.0060.000.040.04
OklahomaB120.170.1735.4835.48-0.05-0.05
XavierBE0.160.1661.7661.760.040.04
ClemsonACC0.140.1453.1253.120.010.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.140.1436.0036.00-0.04-0.04
Austin PeayOVC0.140.1432.1432.14-0.05-0.05
St. BonaventureA100.140.1462.5062.500.040.04
UCFAmer0.140.1465.6265.620.040.04
Southern IllinoisMVC0.140.1450.0050.000.000.00
TexasB120.140.1433.3333.33-0.05-0.05
North FloridaASun0.140.1436.6736.67-0.04-0.04
Kansas St.B120.120.1260.6160.610.030.03
Tennessee TechOVC0.120.1233.3333.33-0.04-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.120.1241.9441.94-0.02-0.02
Coastal CarolinaSB0.120.1245.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Illinois St.MVC0.120.1281.2581.250.080.08
Morehead St.OVC0.120.1242.8642.86-0.02-0.02
Texas TechB120.120.1256.2556.250.020.02
FIUCUSA0.120.1217.2417.24-0.08-0.08
Southern MissCUSA0.120.1224.1424.14-0.06-0.06
OregonP120.120.1284.8584.850.080.08
LipscombASun0.120.1256.6756.670.020.02
TCUB120.120.1254.5554.550.010.01
VCUA100.120.1276.4776.470.060.06
UMKCWAC0.120.1246.6746.67-0.01-0.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.120.1274.1974.190.060.06
Seton HallBE0.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
DavidsonA100.120.1253.1253.120.010.01
TulaneAmer0.120.1219.3519.35-0.07-0.07
BelmontOVC0.120.1277.7877.780.070.07
UABCUSA0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
Western KentuckyCUSA0.120.1246.8846.88-0.01-0.01
HoustonAmer0.120.1267.7467.740.040.04
ProvidenceBE0.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
DenverSum0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
Little RockSB0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
Fort WayneSum0.100.1057.1457.140.010.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.100.1060.7160.710.020.02
Arkansas St.SB0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.100.1017.8617.86-0.06-0.06
East Tennessee St.SC0.100.1078.1278.120.050.05
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.100.1034.4834.48-0.03-0.03
Georgia TechACC0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
South FloridaAmer0.100.1023.3323.33-0.05-0.05
Alabama A&MSWAC0.100.106.906.90-0.08-0.08
ArizonaP120.100.1088.2488.240.070.07
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.100.1073.3373.330.040.04
Wichita St.MVC0.100.1087.8887.880.070.07
KansasB120.090.0987.5087.500.070.07
North CarolinaACC0.090.0978.7978.790.050.05
La SalleA100.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Rhode IslandA100.090.0972.7372.730.040.04
EvansvilleMVC0.090.0945.1645.16-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
TempleAmer0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Boston CollegeACC0.090.0928.1228.12-0.04-0.04
ConnecticutAmer0.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
DuquesneA100.090.0931.2531.25-0.04-0.04
Tennessee St.OVC0.090.0953.5753.570.010.01
George MasonA100.090.0959.3859.380.020.02
Oklahoma St.B120.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
VillanovaBE0.090.0991.1891.180.080.08
UTEPCUSA0.090.0945.1645.16-0.01-0.01
DaytonA100.090.0976.6776.670.050.05
MarquetteBE0.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
South Dakota St.Sum0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
South DakotaSum0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
RichmondA100.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
Missouri St.MVC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
TulsaAmer0.070.0746.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Appalachian St.SB0.070.0725.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Michigan St.B100.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
West VirginiaB120.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
GonzagaWCC0.070.0796.9796.970.070.07
MichiganB100.070.0768.5768.570.030.03
MonmouthMAAC0.070.0781.8281.820.050.05
SyracuseACC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
FordhamA100.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Holy CrossPat0.070.0746.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.070.0767.7467.740.030.03
WisconsinB100.070.0773.5373.530.030.03
Wake ForestACC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
ChattanoogaSC0.070.0758.6258.620.010.01
Iowa St.B120.070.0769.7069.700.030.03
George WashingtonA100.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
DrakeMVC0.070.0720.6920.69-0.04-0.04
Florida St.ACC0.070.0775.7675.760.040.04
IdahoBSky0.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
IllinoisB100.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
MercerSC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Miami FLACC0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
Miami OHMAC0.070.0730.0030.00-0.03-0.03
LouisvilleACC0.070.0775.0075.000.040.04
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.070.0728.5728.57-0.03-0.03
Saint LouisA100.070.0736.3636.36-0.02-0.02
ToledoMAC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Charleston SouthernBSth0.070.0732.1432.14-0.03-0.03
USC UpstateASun0.070.0746.4346.43-0.01-0.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.070.0748.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
MarshallCUSA0.070.0755.8855.880.010.01
ButlerBE0.070.0774.1974.190.030.03
MinnesotaB100.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.070.0751.7251.720.000.00
IUPUISum0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.050.0554.8454.840.010.01
Western IllinoisSum0.050.0523.0823.08-0.03-0.03
OaklandHorz0.050.0573.3373.330.020.02
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Texas St.SB0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
TroySB0.050.0558.8258.820.010.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
PresbyterianBSth0.050.0510.7110.71-0.04-0.04
Texas SouthernSWAC0.050.0567.6567.650.020.02
VermontAE0.050.0584.8584.850.030.03
StetsonASun0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
USCP120.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.02-0.02
WoffordSC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Boise St.MWC0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
DukeACC0.050.0577.1477.140.030.03
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Idaho St.BSky0.050.0513.3313.33-0.03-0.03
Indiana St.MVC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
LehighPat0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.050.0529.4129.41-0.02-0.02
Montana St.BSky0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Oregon St.P120.050.0512.9012.90-0.04-0.04
Portland St.BSky0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
Sacramento St.BSky0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
SMUAmer0.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
VirginiaACC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
Weber St.BSky0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
WyomingMWC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
CanisiusMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
UCLAP120.050.0587.8887.880.040.04
Ball St.MAC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
NebraskaB100.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Washington St.P120.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
High PointBSth0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
HofstraCAA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
DePaulBE0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
GeorgetownBE0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
UTSACUSA0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Arizona St.P120.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
ValparaisoHorz0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.040.0455.8855.880.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
UNLVMWC0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
AmericanPat0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.020.0220.0020.00-0.01-0.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.020.0235.7135.71-0.01-0.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
ColumbiaIvy0.020.0238.4638.46-0.01-0.01
DetroitHorz0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
DrexelCAA0.020.0225.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Green BayHorz0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
LafayettePat0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
PennIvy0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
PrincetonIvy0.020.0278.5778.570.010.01
SouthernSWAC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
St. Francis PANEC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.020.0260.7160.710.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
Chicago St.WAC0.020.0210.3410.34-0.02-0.02
CincinnatiAmer0.020.0285.2985.290.020.02
DelawareCAA0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
FurmanSC0.020.0263.3363.330.010.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
Incarnate WordSlnd0.020.0232.0032.00-0.01-0.01
IowaB100.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
MaineAE0.020.0219.3519.35-0.01-0.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.020.0219.2319.23-0.01-0.01
NevadaMWC0.020.0282.3582.350.020.02
New MexicoMWC0.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
North DakotaBSky0.020.0267.8667.860.010.01
Northern ArizonaBSky0.020.0225.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Northern ColoradoBSky0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Notre DameACC0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
PepperdineWCC0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
PittsburghACC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
San Jose St.MWC0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Savannah St.MEAC0.020.0240.7440.74-0.00-0.00
Southern UtahBSky0.020.0212.9012.90-0.02-0.02
The CitadelSC0.020.0230.0030.00-0.01-0.01
UC RiversideBW0.020.0222.2222.22-0.01-0.01
UMBCAE0.020.0257.1457.140.000.00
UNC AshevilleBSth0.020.0270.0070.000.010.01
VMISC0.020.0214.2914.29-0.02-0.02
AkronMAC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
BuffaloMAC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
HarvardIvy0.020.0261.5461.540.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
LongwoodBSth0.020.0214.2914.29-0.02-0.02
Loyola MDPat0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.020.023.333.33-0.02-0.02
North TexasCUSA0.020.0221.4321.43-0.01-0.01
PacificWCC0.020.0231.2531.25-0.01-0.01
RiceCUSA0.020.0264.5264.520.010.01
RiderMAAC0.020.0254.5554.550.000.00
UMass LowellAE0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.020.0284.3884.380.020.02
WagnerNEC0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00
BucknellPat0.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00