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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.


Mississippi

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:94.0
Current RPI:94
Expected SOS:90
Current SOS:90
Current Record:19-14
Expected Record:19-14
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-1
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:93
Expected OOC SOS:114



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
19-1494.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-8Troy (285.0)SBH69-54W100%0.0
11-16Coastal Carolina (196.0)BSthA70-72W100%0.0
11-22Mississippi Valley St. (342.0)SWACH111-82W100%0.0
11-26North Carolina A&T (336.0)MEACH84-50W100%0.0
11-29Georgia Tech (157.0)ACCN67-77W100%0.0
11-30Penn St. (114.0)B10N79-76W100%0.0
12-5Kansas St. (51.0)B12A61-58L0%0.0
12-8Oregon (28.0)P12H105-115L0%0.0
12-14Middle Tennessee (64.0)CUSAH72-63W100%0.0
12-18Louisiana Monroe (244.0)SBH75-62W100%0.0
12-22Mercer (81.0)ASunH76-79L0%0.0
12-30Western Kentucky (125.0)SBA74-79W100%0.0
1-4Dayton (43.0)A10H80-83L0%0.0
1-9Auburn (169.0)SECH65-62W100%0.0
1-11Mississippi St. (245.0)SECA76-72L0%0.0
1-15LSU (83.0)SECH88-74W100%0.0
1-18South Carolina (140.0)SECA74-75W100%0.0
1-22Vanderbilt (120.0)SECA52-63W100%0.0
1-25Mississippi St. (245.0)SECH82-63W100%0.0
1-29Tennessee (42.0)SECA86-70L0%0.0
2-1South Carolina (140.0)SECH75-71W100%0.0
2-4Kentucky (17.0)SECA80-64L0%0.0
2-8Missouri (49.0)SECH91-88W100%0.0
2-11Alabama (124.0)SECA67-64L0%0.0
2-15Georgia (74.0)SECA61-60L0%0.0
2-18Kentucky (17.0)SECH70-84L0%0.0
2-22Florida (1.0)SECH71-75L0%0.0
2-26Alabama (124.0)SECH79-67W100%0.0
3-1Texas A&M (148.0)SECA71-60L0%0.0
3-5Arkansas (77.0)SECA110-80L0%0.0
3-8Vanderbilt (120.0)SECH65-62W100%0.0
3-13Mississippi St. (245.0)SECN78-66W100%0.0
3-14Georgia (74.0)SECN75-73L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Mississippi's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Mississippi.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
MississippiSEC26.1626.1655.2455.242.742.74
Mississippi St.SEC5.165.1643.3343.33-0.69-0.69
GeorgiaSEC3.703.7056.6756.670.490.49
KentuckySEC3.693.6968.7568.751.381.38
South CarolinaSEC3.653.6543.7543.75-0.46-0.46
VanderbiltSEC3.643.6451.7251.720.130.13
AlabamaSEC3.573.5737.9337.93-0.86-0.86
LSUSEC2.272.2761.2961.290.510.51
FloridaSEC2.262.2693.9493.941.991.99
Texas A&MSEC2.222.2251.6151.610.070.07
AuburnSEC2.212.2148.2848.28-0.08-0.08
MissouriSEC2.202.2068.7568.750.820.82
ArkansasSEC2.192.1964.5264.520.640.64
TennesseeSEC2.172.1761.2961.290.490.49
Georgia TechACC1.681.6850.0050.000.000.00
TroySB1.651.6532.1432.14-0.59-0.59
Louisiana MonroeSB1.641.6436.0036.00-0.46-0.46
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC1.631.6321.4321.43-0.93-0.93
Western KentuckySB1.631.6363.3363.330.430.43
Kansas St.B121.541.5461.2961.290.350.35
DaytonA101.541.5468.7568.750.580.58
North Carolina A&TMEAC1.541.5426.6726.67-0.72-0.72
Middle TennesseeCUSA1.541.5473.3373.330.720.72
Coastal CarolinaBSth1.521.5262.0762.070.370.37
MercerASun1.521.5273.3373.330.710.71
OregonP121.521.5270.9770.970.640.64
Penn St.B101.521.5248.3948.39-0.05-0.05
Georgia St.SB0.260.2674.1974.190.120.12
UT ArlingtonSB0.230.2343.3343.33-0.03-0.03
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.230.2364.5264.520.070.07
Arkansas Little RockSB0.230.2343.3343.33-0.03-0.03
South AlabamaSB0.210.2128.5728.57-0.09-0.09
ClemsonACC0.190.1962.5062.500.050.05
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.170.1730.3030.30-0.07-0.07
MarshallCUSA0.170.1729.0329.03-0.07-0.07
BaylorB120.160.1666.6766.670.050.05
Arkansas St.SB0.160.1656.6756.670.020.02
Texas St.SB0.160.1620.6920.69-0.09-0.09
LipscombASun0.150.1548.2848.28-0.01-0.01
North FloridaASun0.140.1446.6746.67-0.01-0.01
OklahomaB120.140.1471.8871.880.060.06
LongwoodBSth0.140.1414.2914.29-0.10-0.10
South Carolina St.MEAC0.140.1425.0025.00-0.07-0.07
Florida A&MMEAC0.140.1440.0040.00-0.03-0.03
UCLAP120.140.1476.4776.470.080.08
IllinoisB100.140.1457.5857.580.020.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.140.1462.5062.500.040.04
USC UpstateASun0.140.1454.8454.840.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.140.1413.7913.79-0.10-0.10
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.140.1430.7730.77-0.05-0.05
AkronMAC0.140.1463.6463.640.040.04
Charleston SouthernBSth0.120.1233.3333.33-0.04-0.04
Jackson St.SWAC0.120.1235.4835.48-0.04-0.04
Gardner WebbBSth0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
TexasB120.120.1269.7069.700.050.05
MinnesotaB100.120.1259.3859.380.020.02
Texas TechB120.120.1243.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.120.1280.6580.650.070.07
Oklahoma St.B120.120.1263.6463.640.030.03
South FloridaAmer0.120.1237.5037.50-0.03-0.03
TCUB120.120.1224.1424.14-0.06-0.06
Alcorn St.SWAC0.100.1032.1432.14-0.04-0.04
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.100.1037.9337.93-0.02-0.02
SouthernSWAC0.100.1055.1755.170.010.01
KansasB120.100.1072.7372.730.040.04
WinthropBSth0.100.1056.6756.670.010.01
UABCUSA0.100.1055.1755.170.010.01
Murray St.OVC0.100.1059.2659.260.020.02
Morgan St.MEAC0.100.1048.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Wichita St.MVC0.100.10100.00100.000.100.10
Iowa St.B120.100.1078.7978.790.060.06
Western CarolinaSC0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
East Tennessee St.ASun0.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
XavierBE0.100.1062.5062.500.020.02
JacksonvilleASun0.100.1035.7135.71-0.03-0.03
CharlotteCUSA0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.100.1048.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Utah St.MWC0.090.0954.8454.840.010.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.090.0936.6736.67-0.03-0.03
DukeACC0.090.0976.4776.470.050.05
NebraskaB100.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
Boston CollegeACC0.090.0922.5822.58-0.05-0.05
Rhode IslandA100.090.0941.9441.94-0.02-0.02
George WashingtonA100.090.0975.0075.000.050.05
Northern KentuckyASun0.090.0930.0030.00-0.04-0.04
ProvidenceBE0.090.0967.6567.650.030.03
Robert MorrisNEC0.090.0961.7661.760.020.02
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.090.0917.8617.86-0.06-0.06
Saint Joseph'sA100.090.0972.7372.730.040.04
Michigan St.B100.090.0976.4776.470.050.05
Boise St.MWC0.090.0959.3859.380.020.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.080.0857.1457.140.010.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.080.0848.1548.15-0.00-0.00
Ohio St.B100.080.0873.5373.530.040.04
MonmouthMAAC0.070.0734.3834.38-0.02-0.02
WashingtonP120.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
Washington St.P120.070.0730.0030.00-0.03-0.03
PresbyterianBSth0.070.0713.3313.33-0.05-0.05
Tennessee St.OVC0.070.0713.7913.79-0.05-0.05
NorthwesternB100.070.0742.4242.42-0.01-0.01
ButlerBE0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
ColoradoP120.070.0767.6567.650.030.03
Oregon St.P120.070.0751.6151.610.000.00
Delaware St.MEAC0.070.0725.0025.00-0.04-0.04
CaliforniaP120.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.070.0781.8281.820.040.04
Long Beach St.BW0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
USCP120.070.0732.2632.26-0.02-0.02
West VirginiaB120.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
BelmontOVC0.070.0771.8871.880.030.03
FIUCUSA0.070.0746.4346.43-0.00-0.00
LouisvilleAmer0.070.0785.2985.290.050.05
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
UNLVMWC0.070.0760.6160.610.010.01
RichmondA100.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
North CarolinaACC0.070.0771.8871.880.030.03
Louisiana TechCUSA0.050.0578.7978.790.030.03
SamfordSC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.050.0514.8114.81-0.04-0.04
Texas SouthernSWAC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0546.1546.15-0.00-0.00
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
VMIBSth0.050.0555.5655.560.010.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.0524.0024.00-0.03-0.03
RadfordBSth0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
High PointBSth0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Austin PeayOVC0.050.0535.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.050.0516.6716.67-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
East CarolinaCUSA0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
HowardMEAC0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Loyola MarymountWCC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0583.8783.870.030.03
NortheasternCAA0.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Old DominionCUSA0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
StetsonASun0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
TulsaCUSA0.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
St. Francis NYNEC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
North TexasCUSA0.050.0544.8344.83-0.00-0.00
RiceCUSA0.050.0517.8617.86-0.03-0.03
TulaneCUSA0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Utah ValleyWAC0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
UTSACUSA0.050.0522.2222.22-0.03-0.03
Southern IllinoisMVC0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Appalachian St.SC0.050.0519.2319.23-0.03-0.03
ArizonaP120.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
Arizona St.P120.050.0565.6265.620.010.01
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
DavidsonSC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
IndianaB100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.050.0525.9325.93-0.02-0.02
PurdueB100.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
SMUAmer0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
TempleAmer0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
WoffordSC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
DuquesneA100.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
MassachusettsA100.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
PittsburghACC0.050.0573.5373.530.020.02
St. John'sBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
VirginiaACC0.050.0582.3582.350.030.03
Wake ForestACC0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
MemphisAmer0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
WisconsinB100.050.0578.7978.790.030.03
FordhamA100.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Notre DameACC0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Florida St.ACC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.040.0463.3363.330.010.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.040.0456.2556.250.010.01
ManhattanMAAC0.040.0478.1278.120.030.03
Saint Mary'sWCC0.040.0465.6265.620.010.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.030.0367.8667.860.010.01
Western IllinoisSum0.030.0325.9325.93-0.01-0.01
CampbellBSth0.030.0332.1432.14-0.01-0.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
LibertyBSth0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
CincinnatiAmer0.020.0281.8281.820.020.02
Coppin St.MEAC0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
DenverSum0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.020.0232.1432.14-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
EvansvilleMVC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Georgia SouthernSC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.020.0246.1546.15-0.00-0.00
HamptonMEAC0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
MaineAE0.020.0217.8617.86-0.02-0.02
NJITind0.020.0236.0036.00-0.01-0.01
OhioMAC0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
Seton HallBE0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
ValparaisoHorz0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Wright St.Horz0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
YaleIvy0.020.0251.8551.850.000.00
BucknellPat0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
BuffaloMAC0.020.0264.2964.290.010.01
BYUWCC0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
Cal PolyBW0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
HoustonAmer0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
IowaB100.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
MichiganB100.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Missouri St.MVC0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Morehead St.OVC0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
New OrleansSlnd0.020.0236.3636.36-0.01-0.01
North DakotaBSky0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Northern ColoradoBSky0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
Oral RobertsSlnd0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
PacificWCC0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
PennIvy0.020.0228.5728.57-0.01-0.01
PrincetonIvy0.020.0270.3770.370.010.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.020.0268.9768.970.010.01
San FranciscoWCC0.020.0263.3363.330.010.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
South DakotaSum0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.020.0220.6920.69-0.01-0.01
Tennessee TechOVC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.020.0225.8125.81-0.01-0.01
The CitadelSC0.020.0213.7913.79-0.02-0.02
UC IrvineBW0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
UtahP120.020.0263.3363.330.010.01
WagnerNEC0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
Central MichiganMAC0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
George MasonA100.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
HawaiiBW0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
Illinois St.MVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
IonaMAAC0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
IPFWSum0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
IUPUISum0.020.0210.3410.34-0.02-0.02
MarylandACC0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
Miami FLACC0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
NevadaMWC0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
St. BonaventureA100.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
St. Francis PANEC0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
SyracuseACC0.020.0284.3884.380.020.02
VCUA100.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.020.0229.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Western MichiganMAC0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
ConnecticutAmer0.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
Fresno St.MWC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00