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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.


Mississippi

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:47.0
Current RPI:47
Expected SOS:120
Current SOS:120
Current Record:26-8
Expected Record:26-8
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-2
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:77
Expected OOC SOS:271



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
26-847.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Mississippi Valley St. (344.0)SWACH93-57W100%0.0
11-13Coastal Carolina (259.0)BSthH90-72W100%0.0
11-16Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBH92-52W100%0.0
11-20McNeese St. (246.0)SlndH76-50W100%0.0
11-23Lipscomb (237.0)ASunH91-45W100%0.0
12-1Rutgers (109.0)BEH80-67W100%0.0
12-8Middle Tennessee (28.0)SBA65-62L0%0.0
12-14East Tennessee St. (275.0)ASunH77-55W100%0.0
12-19Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCA70-73W100%0.0
12-22Indiana St. (74.0)MVCN87-85L0%0.0
12-23San Francisco (167.0)WCCN78-85W100%0.0
12-25Hawaii (210.0)BWA66-81W100%0.0
1-4Fordham (228.0)A10H95-68W100%0.0
1-9Tennessee (59.0)SECA74-92W100%0.0
1-12Missouri (36.0)SECH64-49W100%0.0
1-15Vanderbilt (120.0)SECA79-89W100%0.0
1-19Arkansas (89.0)SECH76-64W100%0.0
1-24Tennessee (59.0)SECH62-56W100%0.0
1-26Auburn (252.0)SECA61-63W100%0.0
1-29Kentucky (56.0)SECH74-87L0%0.0
2-2Florida (7.0)SECA78-64L0%0.0
2-6Mississippi St. (232.0)SECH93-75W100%0.0
2-9Missouri (36.0)SECA98-79L0%0.0
2-13Texas A&M (102.0)SECA69-67L0%0.0
2-16Georgia (140.0)SECH84-74W100%0.0
2-20South Carolina (222.0)SECA63-62L0%0.0
2-23Auburn (252.0)SECH88-55W100%0.0
2-27Texas A&M (102.0)SECH82-73W100%0.0
3-2Mississippi St. (232.0)SECA73-67L0%0.0
3-5Alabama (60.0)SECH87-83W100%0.0
3-9Louisiana St. (86.0)SECA67-81W100%0.0
3-15Missouri (36.0)SECN64-62W100%0.0
3-16Vanderbilt (120.0)SECA52-64W100%0.0
3-17Florida (7.0)SECN63-66W100%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Mississippi's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Mississippi.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
MississippiSEC26.2026.2078.8778.8715.1315.13
MissouriSEC4.984.9873.3373.332.322.32
FloridaSEC3.623.6280.6580.652.222.22
VanderbiltSEC3.603.6051.6151.610.120.12
Texas A&MSEC3.583.5854.8454.840.350.35
Mississippi St.SEC3.563.5630.0030.00-1.42-1.42
TennesseeSEC3.553.5566.6766.671.181.18
AuburnSEC3.533.5330.0030.00-1.41-1.41
Louisiana St.SEC2.252.2563.3363.330.600.60
KentuckySEC2.222.2264.5264.520.640.64
ArkansasSEC2.222.2261.2961.290.500.50
AlabamaSEC2.202.2064.5264.520.640.64
South CarolinaSEC2.202.2041.9441.94-0.35-0.35
GeorgiaSEC2.152.1548.3948.39-0.07-0.07
Middle TennesseeSB1.611.6184.3884.381.101.10
East Tennessee St.ASun1.591.5930.0030.00-0.64-0.64
San FranciscoWCC1.561.5646.4346.43-0.11-0.11
Loyola MarymountWCC1.551.5532.2632.26-0.55-0.55
LipscombASun1.541.5439.2939.29-0.33-0.33
Arkansas Little RockSB1.541.5453.3353.330.100.10
HawaiiBW1.491.4955.1755.170.150.15
McNeese St.Slnd1.491.4940.7440.74-0.28-0.28
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC1.491.4918.5218.52-0.94-0.94
Coastal CarolinaBSth1.471.4744.0044.00-0.18-0.18
FordhamA101.471.4723.3323.33-0.78-0.78
Indiana St.MVC1.471.4753.3353.330.100.10
RutgersBE1.471.4750.0050.000.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.190.1930.0030.00-0.08-0.08
Alcorn St.SWAC0.190.1928.1228.12-0.08-0.08
TroySB0.180.1836.3636.36-0.05-0.05
MercerASun0.170.1765.6265.620.050.05
JacksonvilleASun0.170.1740.0040.00-0.03-0.03
Florida InternationalSB0.170.1756.2556.250.020.02
Alabama A&MSWAC0.170.1731.0331.03-0.06-0.06
Kennesaw St.ASun0.140.1410.0010.00-0.12-0.12
Northwestern St.Slnd0.140.1470.3770.370.060.06
PortlandWCC0.140.1430.0030.00-0.06-0.06
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.140.1437.5037.50-0.04-0.04
MarquetteBE0.140.1474.1974.190.070.07
Florida AtlanticSB0.140.1441.9441.94-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.140.1463.6463.640.040.04
Virginia CommonwealthA100.140.1476.4776.470.070.07
Charleston SouthernBSth0.130.1357.1457.140.020.02
WinthropBSth0.130.1339.2939.29-0.03-0.03
PresbyterianBSth0.130.1317.2417.24-0.08-0.08
Northern KentuckyASun0.120.1240.7440.74-0.02-0.02
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.120.1237.9337.93-0.03-0.03
Tennessee TechOVC0.120.1237.0437.04-0.03-0.03
StetsonASun0.120.1246.6746.67-0.01-0.01
PepperdineWCC0.120.1237.9337.93-0.03-0.03
CincinnatiBE0.120.1266.6766.670.040.04
GonzagaWCC0.120.1293.7593.750.100.10
Santa ClaraWCC0.120.1263.3363.330.030.03
St. John'sBE0.120.1251.6151.610.000.00
Alabama St.SWAC0.120.1229.0329.03-0.05-0.05
Louisiana TechWAC0.120.1280.6580.650.070.07
XavierA100.110.1154.8454.840.010.01
LouisvilleBE0.110.1185.2985.290.080.08
UCLAP120.110.1173.5373.530.050.05
NC AshevilleBSth0.100.1044.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.100.1039.2939.29-0.02-0.02
GramblingSWAC0.100.100.000.00-0.10-0.10
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
North FloridaASun0.100.1038.7138.71-0.02-0.02
South Carolina UpstateASun0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
UC IrvineBW0.100.1054.5554.550.010.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.100.1038.7138.71-0.02-0.02
SouthernSWAC0.100.1068.9768.970.040.04
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.100.1085.1985.190.070.07
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.100.1017.8617.86-0.06-0.06
Brigham YoungWCC0.100.1064.5264.520.030.03
San DiegoWCC0.100.1043.7543.75-0.01-0.01
St. Mary'sWCC0.100.1081.2581.250.060.06
North CarolinaACC0.100.1069.7069.700.040.04
DePaulBE0.090.0934.3834.38-0.03-0.03
GeorgetownBE0.090.0980.6580.650.060.06
Wichita St.MVC0.090.0976.4776.470.050.05
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Houston BaptistGWC0.090.0939.2939.29-0.02-0.02
DaytonA100.090.0954.8454.840.010.01
StanfordP120.090.0956.2556.250.010.01
Arkansas St.SB0.090.0960.0060.000.020.02
Louisiana MonroeSB0.090.0914.8114.81-0.06-0.06
North TexasSB0.090.0936.6736.67-0.02-0.02
South AlabamaSB0.090.0957.1457.140.010.01
Western KentuckySB0.090.0955.8855.880.010.01
St. LouisA100.090.0981.8281.820.060.06
VillanovaBE0.090.0959.3859.380.020.02
Florida St.ACC0.090.0954.5554.550.010.01
Appalachian St.SC0.090.0944.8344.83-0.01-0.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.090.0914.2914.29-0.06-0.06
Tennessee St.OVC0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.080.0860.0060.000.020.02
Boston UniversityAE0.080.0858.6258.620.010.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
LamarSlnd0.080.089.689.68-0.06-0.06
Oral RobertsSlnd0.080.0854.8454.840.010.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
PacificBW0.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
College of CharlestonSC0.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
Western CarolinaSC0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
BradleyMVC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
BelmontOVC0.070.0780.0080.000.040.04
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.070.0738.4638.46-0.02-0.02
VirginiaACC0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
Cal PolyBW0.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
Long Beach St.BW0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
MemphisCUSA0.070.0788.2488.240.050.05
Murray St.OVC0.070.0765.5265.520.020.02
CreightonMVC0.070.0779.4179.410.040.04
EvansvilleMVC0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
Seton HallBE0.070.0745.4545.45-0.01-0.01
George WashingtonA100.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
IonaMAAC0.070.0760.6160.610.010.01
Missouri St.MVC0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
Notre DameBE0.070.0773.5373.530.030.03
MassachusettsA100.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
ProvidenceBE0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
Rhode IslandA100.070.0727.5927.59-0.03-0.03
OaklandSum0.070.0746.6746.67-0.00-0.00
ArizonaP120.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
ButlerA100.070.0775.7675.760.040.04
OklahomaB120.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
WisconsinB100.070.0767.6567.650.020.02
Central FloridaCUSA0.070.0762.0762.070.020.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
BucknellPat0.070.0784.3884.380.050.05
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.070.0728.0028.00-0.03-0.03
LibertyBSth0.060.0637.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
High PointBSth0.050.0553.5753.570.000.00
ClemsonACC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
LongwoodBSth0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
AkronMAC0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
Virginia TechACC0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Texas TechB120.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
San Diego St.MWC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
Tennessee MartinOVC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
Cal St. FullertonBW0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
UC DavisBW0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
UC RiversideBW0.050.0514.2914.29-0.04-0.04
Miami FLACC0.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
Northern ArizonaBSky0.050.0534.3834.38-0.01-0.01
ConnecticutBE0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
DrakeMVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Illinois St.MVC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
PittsburghBE0.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
PrincetonIvy0.050.0559.2659.260.010.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Georgia TechACC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
ManhattanMAAC0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Morehead St.OVC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
RiderMAAC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
South FloridaBE0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Southern MethodistCUSA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
SyracuseBE0.050.0574.2974.290.020.02
Texas St.WAC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.050.0520.0020.00-0.03-0.03
UABCUSA0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Boston CollegeACC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Florida A&MMEAC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
FurmanSC0.050.0517.2417.24-0.03-0.03
IUPU Fort WayneSum0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Loyola ChicagoHorz0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Morgan St.MEAC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
New Orleansind0.050.0518.1818.18-0.03-0.03
Oklahoma St.B120.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
TexasB120.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Texas San AntonioWAC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Air ForceMWC0.040.0453.5753.570.000.00
ArmyPat0.040.0450.0050.000.000.00
CornellIvy0.040.0440.0040.00-0.01-0.01
DavidsonSC0.040.0478.1278.120.030.03
HoustonCUSA0.040.0460.0060.000.010.01
Kansas St.B120.040.0478.7978.790.030.03
MaristMAAC0.040.0432.2632.26-0.02-0.02
OregonP120.040.0476.4776.470.020.02
Texas El PasoCUSA0.040.0456.2556.250.010.01
Washington St.P120.040.0440.6240.62-0.01-0.01
William & MaryCAA0.040.0441.3841.38-0.01-0.01
YaleIvy0.040.0441.3841.38-0.01-0.01
CampbellBSth0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
RadfordBSth0.030.0334.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Virginia Military InstBSth0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Georgia SouthernSC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.030.0340.6240.62-0.00-0.00
Texas ChristianB120.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
ToledoMAC0.030.0353.5753.570.000.00
AmericanPat0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Austin PeayOVC0.030.0320.6920.69-0.01-0.01
ColumbiaIvy0.030.0338.4638.46-0.01-0.01
Holy CrossPat0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
MontanaBSky0.030.0379.3179.310.010.01
NevadaMWC0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.020.027.147.14-0.02-0.02
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
North DakotaBSky0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Ball St.MAC0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Boise St.MWC0.020.0265.5265.520.010.01
CharlotteA100.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
ChattanoogaSC0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
DuquesneA100.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
FairfieldMAAC0.020.0255.8855.880.000.00
HarvardIvy0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
HowardMEAC0.020.0220.6920.69-0.01-0.01
IUPUISum0.020.0213.3313.33-0.02-0.02
James MadisonCAA0.020.0258.8258.820.000.00
La SalleA100.020.0270.0070.000.010.01
LehighPat0.020.0268.9768.970.010.01
MonmouthNEC0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
NC GreensboroSC0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
New MexicoMWC0.020.0285.2985.290.020.02
PennsylvaniaIvy0.020.0229.0329.03-0.01-0.01
RichmondA100.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
SienaMAAC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
St. BonaventureA100.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
St. Peter'sMAAC0.020.0230.0030.00-0.01-0.01
TempleA100.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
TulsaCUSA0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
Arizona St.P120.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
BaylorB120.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
Delaware St.MEAC0.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
DukeACC0.020.0284.3884.380.020.02
Eastern MichiganMAC0.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
ElonSC0.020.0263.3363.330.010.01
IndianaB100.020.0281.8281.820.010.01
LafayettePat0.020.0254.5554.550.000.00
Long IslandNEC0.020.0260.6160.610.000.00
MarshallCUSA0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
MarylandACC0.020.0264.7164.710.010.01
MichiganB100.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
Oregon St.P120.020.0243.7543.75-0.00-0.00
Portland St.BSky0.020.0223.0823.08-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
Southern CaliforniaP120.020.0243.7543.75-0.00-0.00
Southern MississippiCUSA0.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
TulaneCUSA0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
Youngstown St.Horz0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00