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Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Mississippi

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:96.0
Current RPI:96
Expected SOS:138
Current SOS:138
Current Record:20-12
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC RPI:104
Expected OOC SOS:297



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
20-1296.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndH90-76W100%0.0
11-16Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH82-72W100%0.0
11-19George Mason (201.0)A10N68-62L0%0.0
11-20Towson (150.0)CAAN60-76W100%0.0
11-22Seton Hall (19.0)BEN75-63L0%0.0
11-25Georgia St. (180.0)SBH68-59W100%0.0
11-28Bradley (306.0)MVCA54-67W100%0.0
12-5Massachusetts (171.0)A10A64-74W100%0.0
12-12Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA64-75W100%0.0
12-15Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH99-80W100%0.0
12-18Memphis (139.0)AmerA79-85W100%0.0
12-22Troy (293.0)SBH83-80W100%0.0
1-2Kentucky (11.0)SECA83-61L0%0.0
1-7Alabama (73.0)SECH74-66W100%0.0
1-9Georgia (62.0)SECH72-71W100%0.0
1-13LSU (94.0)SECA90-81L0%0.0
1-16Florida (55.0)SECH71-80L0%0.0
1-19South Carolina (65.0)SECH74-77L0%0.0
1-23Mississippi St. (154.0)SECA83-77L0%0.0
1-27Auburn (175.0)SECH80-63W100%0.0
1-30Kansas St. (92.0)B12A69-64L0%0.0
2-3Missouri (222.0)SECA73-76W100%0.0
2-6Vanderbilt (63.0)SECH85-78W100%0.0
2-9Florida (55.0)SECA77-72L0%0.0
2-13Arkansas (133.0)SECH76-60W100%0.0
2-16Texas A&M (18.0)SECA71-56L0%0.0
2-20Auburn (175.0)SECA59-69W100%0.0
2-23Missouri (222.0)SECH85-76W100%0.0
2-27Georgia (62.0)SECA80-66L0%0.0
3-2Mississippi St. (154.0)SECH86-78W100%0.0
3-5Tennessee (143.0)SECA60-83W100%0.0
3-10Alabama (73.0)SECN73-81L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Mississippi's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Mississippi.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
MississippiSEC26.1026.1064.2964.297.467.46
GeorgiaSEC3.863.8660.0060.000.770.77
AuburnSEC3.763.7637.9337.93-0.91-0.91
AlabamaSEC3.733.7356.6756.670.500.50
FloridaSEC3.713.7154.8454.840.360.36
Mississippi St.SEC3.713.7144.8344.83-0.38-0.38
MissouriSEC3.683.6834.4834.48-1.14-1.14
South CarolinaSEC2.292.2973.3373.331.071.07
Texas A&MSEC2.292.2975.7675.761.181.18
KentuckySEC2.292.2975.7675.761.181.18
ArkansasSEC2.252.2551.6151.610.070.07
TennesseeSEC2.252.2545.4545.45-0.20-0.20
LSUSEC2.212.2156.2556.250.280.28
VanderbiltSEC2.192.1961.2961.290.490.49
Georgia SouthernSB1.721.7242.8642.86-0.25-0.25
TroySB1.701.7025.0025.00-0.85-0.85
Kansas St.B121.681.6850.0050.000.000.00
Georgia St.SB1.671.6751.8551.850.060.06
Seton HallBE1.661.6675.0075.000.830.83
MemphisAmer1.641.6457.5857.580.250.25
Northwestern St.Slnd1.641.6421.7421.74-0.93-0.93
George MasonA101.611.6132.2632.26-0.57-0.57
BradleyMVC1.611.6113.3313.33-1.18-1.18
TowsonCAA1.611.6162.0762.070.390.39
MassachusettsA101.591.5945.1645.16-0.15-0.15
Louisiana TechCUSA1.591.5972.4172.410.710.71
Southeast Missouri St.OVC1.591.5911.5411.54-1.22-1.22
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.240.2451.7251.720.010.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.240.2468.7568.750.090.09
XavierBE0.220.2284.3884.380.150.15
Oklahoma St.B120.220.2237.5037.50-0.05-0.05
South AlabamaSB0.210.2138.7138.71-0.05-0.05
Arkansas St.SB0.210.2131.0331.03-0.08-0.08
Louisiana MonroeSB0.200.2058.0658.060.030.03
Texas St.SB0.190.1944.8344.83-0.02-0.02
Southern MissCUSA0.180.1825.9325.93-0.09-0.09
BaylorB120.180.1865.6265.620.060.06
DaytonA100.180.1878.1278.120.100.10
Appalachian St.SB0.160.1629.0329.03-0.07-0.07
Arkansas Little RockSB0.160.1687.1087.100.120.12
ClemsonACC0.150.1554.8454.840.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.140.1424.2424.24-0.07-0.07
UABCUSA0.130.1380.6580.650.080.08
Missouri St.MVC0.130.1338.7138.71-0.03-0.03
WinthropBSth0.120.1268.9768.970.050.05
SouthernSWAC0.120.1261.2961.290.030.03
Wichita St.MVC0.120.1274.1974.190.060.06
Texas TechB120.120.1261.2961.290.030.03
Saint LouisA100.120.1234.3834.38-0.04-0.04
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.120.1255.1755.170.010.01
RichmondA100.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.120.1279.4179.410.070.07
George WashingtonA100.120.1269.7069.700.050.05
TulaneAmer0.120.1235.2935.29-0.04-0.04
KansasB120.120.1287.8887.880.090.09
New OrleansSlnd0.110.1125.9325.93-0.06-0.06
Austin PeayOVC0.110.1148.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Tennessee MartinOVC0.110.1154.8454.840.010.01
ArizonaP120.110.1175.7675.760.060.06
Murray St.OVC0.110.1151.7251.720.000.00
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.100.1070.9770.970.040.04
EvansvilleMVC0.100.1072.7372.730.050.05
La SalleA100.100.1026.6726.67-0.05-0.05
MercerSC0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
Florida St.ACC0.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
Miami FLACC0.100.1078.1278.120.050.05
Rhode IslandA100.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
VCUA100.100.1070.5970.590.040.04
St. John'sBE0.100.1022.5822.58-0.05-0.05
Georgia TechACC0.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
TCUB120.100.1036.3636.36-0.03-0.03
CreightonBE0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
TexasB120.090.0962.5062.500.020.02
West VirginiaB120.090.0976.4776.470.050.05
OklahomaB120.090.0978.1278.120.050.05
Central ArkansasSlnd0.090.0925.0025.00-0.04-0.04
McNeese St.Slnd0.090.0926.9226.92-0.04-0.04
Nicholls St.Slnd0.090.0925.8125.81-0.04-0.04
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.090.0932.2632.26-0.03-0.03
Old DominionCUSA0.080.0862.8662.860.020.02
Southern IllinoisMVC0.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
North TexasCUSA0.080.0833.3333.33-0.03-0.03
NortheasternCAA0.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
Jacksonville St.OVC0.080.0820.6920.69-0.05-0.05
Savannah St.MEAC0.080.0848.2848.28-0.00-0.00
DelawareCAA0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
DrexelCAA0.080.0820.0020.00-0.05-0.05
HofstraCAA0.080.0871.8871.880.030.03
James MadisonCAA0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.080.0834.4834.48-0.02-0.02
College of CharlestonCAA0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Wright St.Horz0.080.0860.6160.610.020.02
HarvardIvy0.070.0742.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Northern IowaMVC0.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
WoffordSC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
North Carolina St.ACC0.070.0748.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.070.0748.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Illinois St.MVC0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
DavidsonA100.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
FordhamA100.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.070.0773.3373.330.030.03
DePaulBE0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
Kennesaw St.ASun0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
Wake ForestACC0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Ohio St.B100.070.0760.6160.610.020.02
ProvidenceBE0.070.0769.7069.700.030.03
PurdueB100.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
TulsaAmer0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
Gardner WebbBSth0.070.0746.6746.67-0.00-0.00
MarquetteBE0.070.0760.6160.610.020.02
VillanovaBE0.070.0785.2985.290.050.05
UCFAmer0.070.0740.0040.00-0.01-0.01
ButlerBE0.070.0767.7467.740.020.02
Iowa St.B120.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
ConnecticutAmer0.070.0770.5970.590.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.070.0782.1482.140.040.04
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.060.0621.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.060.0676.6776.670.030.03
Tennessee TechOVC0.050.0560.7160.710.010.01
ElonCAA0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
RiceCUSA0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
UTEPCUSA0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
UTSACUSA0.050.0513.3313.33-0.04-0.04
William & MaryCAA0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Tennessee St.OVC0.050.0564.2964.290.010.01
IUPUISum0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0524.2424.24-0.03-0.03
Coastal CarolinaBSth0.050.0557.6957.690.010.01
ColoradoP120.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
DrakeMVC0.050.0520.0020.00-0.03-0.03
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
HawaiiBW0.050.0583.3383.330.030.03
IllinoisB100.050.0544.1244.12-0.01-0.01
Indiana St.MVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Nebraska OmahaSum0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
New MexicoMWC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Northern ColoradoBSky0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
NorthwesternB100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
UMKCWAC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
DukeACC0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
USC UpstateASun0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
VirginiaACC0.050.0578.7978.790.030.03
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
Grambling St.SWAC0.050.0514.2914.29-0.04-0.04
MarshallCUSA0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
North DakotaBSky0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
DuquesneA100.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
High PointBSth0.050.0564.2964.290.010.01
Notre DameACC0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
OaklandHorz0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
OregonP120.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
North FloridaASun0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
WagnerNEC0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Boston UniversityPat0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
ManhattanMAAC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
GeorgetownBE0.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
JacksonvilleASun0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Michigan St.B100.050.0585.2985.290.030.03
NavyPat0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
VermontAE0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
HoustonAmer0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
Arizona St.P120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
CincinnatiAmer0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
GonzagaWCC0.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
SMUAmer0.050.0583.3383.330.030.03
TempleAmer0.050.0565.6265.620.010.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Incarnate WordSlnd0.030.0356.0056.000.000.00
LamarSlnd0.030.0326.9226.92-0.02-0.02
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Alabama A&MSWAC0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
BelmontOVC0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0343.7543.75-0.00-0.00
Loyola MarymountWCC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Morehead St.OVC0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
Northern KentuckyHorz0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.030.0318.5218.52-0.02-0.02
IdahoBSky0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
SamfordSC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
The CitadelSC0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
FIUCUSA0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
Loyola MDPat0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Sacred HeartNEC0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
UMBCAE0.030.0321.8821.88-0.01-0.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Ball St.MAC0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
Boise St.MWC0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
LipscombASun0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
AkronMAC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.020.0222.2222.22-0.01-0.01
ColgatePat0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
DetroitHorz0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
HowardMEAC0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
LongwoodBSth0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
PennIvy0.020.0237.0437.04-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Stony BrookAE0.020.0280.0080.000.010.01
Western MichiganMAC0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
AmericanPat0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Colorado St.MWC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
ColumbiaIvy0.020.0265.5265.520.010.01
DartmouthIvy0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
North CarolinaACC0.020.0282.3582.350.020.02
RutgersB100.020.0219.3519.35-0.01-0.01
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
South Carolina St.MEAC0.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
South DakotaSum0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
AlbanyAE0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
ArmyPat0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Cal PolyBW0.020.0228.5728.57-0.01-0.01
East Tennessee St.SC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
LouisvilleACC0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
NebraskaB100.020.0247.0647.06-0.00-0.00
NJITASun0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
SyracuseACC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
UCLAP120.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00