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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Mississippi

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:60.0
Current RPI:60
Expected SOS:52
Current SOS:52
Current Record:20-12
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:79
Expected OOC SOS:92



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
20-1260.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Charleston Southern (164.0)BSthH65-66L0%0.0
11-17Troy (313.0)SBA64-74W100%0.0
11-20Southern (223.0)SWACH69-38W100%0.0
11-23Northern Arizona (166.0)BSkyH80-74W100%0.0
11-28Creighton (151.0)BEN75-68W100%0.0
11-29Cincinnati (37.0)AmerN66-54W100%0.0
12-4TCU (131.0)B12H54-66L0%0.0
12-7Oregon (27.0)P12A73-79W100%0.0
12-13Western Kentucky (117.0)CUSAH74-81L0%0.0
12-18Coastal Carolina (124.0)BSthH71-68W100%0.0
12-22Southeast Missouri St. (289.0)OVCN82-51W100%0.0
12-30Dayton (32.0)A10A78-74L0%0.0
1-3Austin Peay (318.0)OVCH92-63W100%0.0
1-6Kentucky (1.0)SECA89-86L0%0.0
1-10South Carolina (91.0)SECH65-49W100%0.0
1-14LSU (57.0)SECH71-75L0%0.0
1-17Arkansas (19.0)SECA82-96W100%0.0
1-20Georgia (38.0)SECA69-64L0%0.0
1-24Florida (72.0)SECH72-71W100%0.0
1-28Mississippi St. (216.0)SECH79-73W100%0.0
1-31Missouri (218.0)SECA47-67W100%0.0
2-4Texas A&M (67.0)SECH69-59W100%0.0
2-7Auburn (129.0)SECA79-86W100%0.0
2-12Florida (72.0)SECA61-62W100%0.0
2-14Arkansas (19.0)SECH70-71L0%0.0
2-19Mississippi St. (216.0)SECA65-71W100%0.0
2-21Tennessee (96.0)SECH59-57W100%0.0
2-25Georgia (38.0)SECH72-76L0%0.0
2-28LSU (57.0)SECA73-63L0%0.0
3-3Alabama (85.0)SECA74-82W100%0.0
3-7Vanderbilt (104.0)SECH77-86L0%0.0
3-12South Carolina (91.0)SECN58-60L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Mississippi's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Mississippi.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
MississippiSEC26.0926.0959.7659.765.095.09
ArkansasSEC3.843.8478.1278.122.162.16
GeorgiaSEC3.783.7863.3363.331.011.01
South CarolinaSEC3.783.7850.0050.000.000.00
FloridaSEC3.713.7151.6151.610.120.12
Mississippi St.SEC3.703.7041.3841.38-0.64-0.64
LSUSEC3.683.6866.6766.671.231.23
AuburnSEC2.352.3542.4242.42-0.36-0.36
KentuckySEC2.312.31100.00100.002.312.31
TennesseeSEC2.292.2951.6151.610.070.07
MissouriSEC2.242.2426.6726.67-1.05-1.05
VanderbiltSEC2.222.2256.6756.670.300.30
Texas A&MSEC2.212.2166.6766.670.740.74
AlabamaSEC2.192.1956.6756.670.290.29
Southeast Missouri St.OVC1.691.6940.7440.74-0.31-0.31
Austin PeayOVC1.671.6722.2222.22-0.93-0.93
Coastal CarolinaBSth1.641.6471.4371.430.700.70
TroySB1.641.6430.7730.77-0.63-0.63
DaytonA101.631.6375.0075.000.820.82
Charleston SouthernBSth1.621.6257.6957.690.250.25
TCUB121.611.6153.1253.120.100.10
Western KentuckyCUSA1.591.5958.6258.620.270.27
Northern ArizonaBSky1.591.5958.0658.060.260.26
SouthernSWAC1.591.5948.3948.39-0.05-0.05
CincinnatiAmer1.561.5670.9770.970.660.66
CreightonBE1.561.5643.7543.75-0.20-0.20
OregonP121.561.5675.0075.000.780.78
Iowa St.B120.190.1975.7675.760.100.10
Gardner WebbBSth0.190.1953.3353.330.010.01
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.180.1851.7251.720.010.01
BaylorB120.170.1771.8871.880.070.07
XavierBE0.170.1761.7661.760.040.04
Kansas St.B120.170.1746.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.170.1764.7164.710.050.05
ClemsonACC0.170.1751.6151.610.010.01
KansasB120.170.1776.4776.470.090.09
UNC AshevilleBSth0.160.1642.8642.86-0.02-0.02
UABCUSA0.150.1554.5554.550.010.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.150.1552.9452.940.010.01
ConnecticutAmer0.140.1458.8258.820.030.03
LongwoodBSth0.140.1428.1228.12-0.06-0.06
Murray St.OVC0.140.1483.3383.330.090.09
Central ArkansasSlnd0.140.146.906.90-0.12-0.12
Louisiana MonroeSB0.130.1358.6258.620.020.02
Western CarolinaSC0.130.1343.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Tennessee St.OVC0.130.1310.3410.34-0.10-0.10
Southern MissCUSA0.130.1325.9325.93-0.06-0.06
MarshallCUSA0.130.1330.0030.00-0.05-0.05
Florida St.ACC0.130.1351.5251.520.000.00
Alabama A&MSWAC0.120.1228.5728.57-0.05-0.05
TulaneAmer0.120.1246.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.120.1232.2632.26-0.04-0.04
McNeese St.Slnd0.120.1240.7440.74-0.02-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.120.1218.7518.75-0.08-0.08
UCLAP120.120.1260.6160.610.030.03
Oklahoma St.B120.120.1256.6756.670.020.02
Oregon St.P120.120.1253.3353.330.010.01
VCUA100.120.1274.2974.290.060.06
Alabama St.SWAC0.120.1262.9662.960.030.03
ColoradoP120.120.1246.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Texas TechB120.120.1240.6240.62-0.02-0.02
GeorgetownBE0.120.1267.7467.740.040.04
CampbellBSth0.110.1124.1424.14-0.06-0.06
High PointBSth0.110.1167.8667.860.040.04
LibertyBSth0.110.1114.2914.29-0.08-0.08
PresbyterianBSth0.110.1121.4321.43-0.06-0.06
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.110.1138.4638.46-0.03-0.03
Tennessee MartinOVC0.110.1157.1457.140.020.02
RadfordBSth0.110.1162.0762.070.030.03
Arkansas St.SB0.110.1135.7135.71-0.03-0.03
Morehead St.OVC0.110.1146.8846.88-0.01-0.01
LipscombASun0.110.1139.2939.29-0.02-0.02
WinthropBSth0.110.1155.1755.170.010.01
Tennessee TechOVC0.110.1135.7135.71-0.03-0.03
North FloridaASun0.100.1064.5264.520.030.03
CharlotteCUSA0.100.1043.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.100.1025.9325.93-0.05-0.05
Old DominionCUSA0.100.1077.4277.420.060.06
MinnesotaB100.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
Stony BrookAE0.100.1065.6265.620.030.03
MercerSC0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.100.1058.0658.060.020.02
Arizona St.P120.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.100.1024.1424.14-0.05-0.05
Georgia TechACC0.100.1038.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Weber St.BSky0.100.1039.2939.29-0.02-0.02
ArizonaP120.100.1091.1891.180.080.08
OklahomaB120.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
Seton HallBE0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
West VirginiaB120.100.1071.8871.880.040.04
North TexasCUSA0.100.1041.3841.38-0.02-0.02
SMUAmer0.090.0981.2581.250.060.06
Wake ForestACC0.090.0940.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Appalachian St.SB0.080.0841.3841.38-0.01-0.01
BelmontOVC0.080.0867.7467.740.030.03
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.080.0860.7160.710.020.02
Alcorn St.SWAC0.080.0816.6716.67-0.05-0.05
North Carolina St.ACC0.080.0860.6160.610.020.02
Bowling GreenMAC0.080.0866.6766.670.030.03
IllinoisB100.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
ChattanoogaSC0.080.0866.6766.670.030.03
UTSACUSA0.070.0742.8642.86-0.01-0.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.070.0727.2727.27-0.03-0.03
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.070.0772.4172.410.030.03
Northern ColoradoBSky0.070.0746.4346.43-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.070.0751.5251.520.000.00
YaleIvy0.070.0766.6766.670.020.02
Grambling St.SWAC0.070.070.000.00-0.07-0.07
MassachusettsA100.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.070.0775.8675.860.040.04
Portland St.BSky0.070.0748.1548.15-0.00-0.00
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
ButlerBE0.070.0768.7568.750.030.03
MarquetteBE0.070.0740.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.070.0755.5655.560.010.01
TulsaAmer0.070.0770.9770.970.030.03
DePaulBE0.070.0737.5037.50-0.02-0.02
St. BonaventureA100.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
Washington St.P120.070.0741.9441.94-0.01-0.01
North CarolinaACC0.070.0768.5768.570.030.03
ProvidenceBE0.070.0766.6766.670.020.02
TexasB120.070.0760.6160.610.010.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.070.0748.4848.48-0.00-0.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.070.0742.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Little RockSB0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.060.0667.8667.860.020.02
Georgia St.SB0.060.0671.8871.880.030.03
South AlabamaSB0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Texas St.SB0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.060.0634.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Southern IllinoisMVC0.060.0634.3834.38-0.02-0.02
South Carolina St.MEAC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Loyola MarymountWCC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
FIUCUSA0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Louisiana TechCUSA0.050.0575.0075.000.030.03
PurdueB100.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
USC UpstateASun0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
Utah St.MWC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0517.2417.24-0.03-0.03
Saint Joseph'sA100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
South FloridaAmer0.050.0525.8125.81-0.02-0.02
LouisvilleACC0.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
New OrleansSlnd0.050.0530.7730.77-0.02-0.02
AkronMAC0.050.0558.8258.820.010.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
CornellIvy0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
GonzagaWCC0.050.0593.9493.940.040.04
HoustonAmer0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Idaho St.BSky0.050.0517.8617.86-0.03-0.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0534.3834.38-0.02-0.02
MemphisAmer0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
MontanaBSky0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
North DakotaBSky0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Sacramento St.BSky0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Southern UtahBSky0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
TempleAmer0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
UCFAmer0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
NebraskaB100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Saint Mary'sWCC0.050.0568.9768.970.020.02
ToledoMAC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
Montana St.BSky0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
DuquesneA100.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
FordhamA100.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
Miami FLACC0.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
Rhode IslandA100.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
St. John'sBE0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
USCP120.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
UtahP120.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
VillanovaBE0.050.0594.1294.120.040.04
WashingtonP120.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
William & MaryCAA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
Boston UniversityPat0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
IonaMAAC0.050.0576.4776.470.020.02
Utah ValleyWAC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0326.9226.92-0.01-0.01
WoffordSC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
Wright St.Horz0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
BrownIvy0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Missouri St.MVC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
San DiegoWCC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.030.0386.6786.670.020.02
RiceCUSA0.030.0334.4834.48-0.01-0.01
UTEPCUSA0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
ElonCAA0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
HartfordAE0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
New MexicoMWC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Oral RobertsSum0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
PennIvy0.030.0332.1432.14-0.01-0.01
RutgersB100.030.0331.2531.25-0.01-0.01
TowsonCAA0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
UMKCWAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
ValparaisoHorz0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0387.1087.100.020.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
East Tennessee St.SC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
Fresno St.MWC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
HamptonMEAC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
HawaiiBW0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
IdahoBSky0.020.0239.2939.29-0.01-0.01
San Diego St.MWC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
St. Francis PANEC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
WagnerNEC0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
WyomingMWC0.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
Boston CollegeACC0.020.0240.6240.62-0.00-0.00
BradleyMVC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
CaliforniaP120.020.0254.5554.550.000.00
Coppin St.MEAC0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
DavidsonA100.020.0276.6776.670.010.01
DetroitHorz0.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
Eastern MichiganMAC0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
FurmanSC0.020.0229.0329.03-0.01-0.01
George MasonA100.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
George WashingtonA100.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
RichmondA100.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
South DakotaSum0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
StanfordP120.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
UC IrvineBW0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
BuffaloMAC0.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
ColumbiaIvy0.020.0244.4444.44-0.00-0.00
Grand CanyonWAC0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00