The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arizona page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Arizona

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		81.8
Current RPI:		69
Expected SOS:		30
Current SOS:		10
Current Record:		12-11
Expected Record:		16-14
Current Conf Record:		6-5
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-1
Current OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		98
Expected OOC SOS:		9

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-11	52.5	0.92%
18-12	61.1	9.20%
17-13	71.6	26.43%
16-14	82.0	33.77%
15-15	93.6	21.45%
14-16	107.2	7.09%
13-17	122.1	1.07%
12-18	144.2	0.06%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arizona.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Northern Arizona (204.4)	BSky	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Rice (288.6)	CUSA	H	66-49	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Wisconsin (12.1)	B10	N	61-65	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Colorado (134.3)	B12	N	91-87	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Vanderbilt (21.7)	SEC	N	72-84	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Nevada Las Vegas (32.5)	MWC	H	72-74	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	A	62-79	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Louisiana Tech (65.6)	WAC	H	83-67	W	100%	0.0
12-12	San Diego St. (44.3)	MWC	A	46-63	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Lipscomb (201.2)	ASun	H	83-82	W	100%	0.0
12-23	North Carolina St. (110.0)	ACC	H	76-74	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Brigham Young (15.7)	MWC	H	69-99	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Southern California (80.3)	P10	A	50-56	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UCLA (144.8)	P10	A	77-63	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Washington St. (111.1)	P10	H	76-78	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Washington (50.5)	P10	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Oregon St. (204.2)	P10	A	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Oregon (153.5)	P10	A	74-60	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Arizona St. (70.9)	P10	A	77-58	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Stanford (174.3)	P10	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-31	California (24.0)	P10	H	76-72	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Washington (50.5)	P10	A	75-81	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Washington St. (111.1)	P10	A	60-78	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Oregon (153.5)	P10	H	0-0		78%	8.3
2-13	Oregon St. (204.2)	P10	H	0-0		84%	10.8
2-21	Arizona St. (70.9)	P10	H	0-0		45%	-1.3
2-25	California (24.0)	P10	A	0-0		15%	-11.5
2-27	Stanford (174.3)	P10	A	0-0		48%	-0.5
3-4	UCLA (144.8)	P10	H	0-0		80%	9.1
3-6	Southern California (80.3)	P10	H	0-0		60%	2.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arizona's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arizona's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arizona.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona	P10	26.31	26.35	50.51	50.37	0.27	0.19
Washington	P10	4.83	4.22	71.43	70.22	2.07	1.71
Washington St.	P10	4.82	4.22	60.00	55.72	0.96	0.48
Arizona St.	P10	2.95	4.28	69.57	70.52	1.15	1.76
Southern California	P10	2.80	4.25	59.09	58.88	0.51	0.76
Oregon St.	P10	2.75	4.25	42.86	39.00	-0.39	-0.94
California	P10	2.75	4.22	68.18	70.27	1.00	1.71
Stanford	P10	2.75	4.22	45.45	44.28	-0.25	-0.48
UCLA	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	46.23	0.00	-0.32
Oregon	P10	2.70	4.22	57.14	51.49	0.39	0.13
Brigham Young	MWC	2.37	1.84	86.96	87.00	1.75	1.36
San Diego St.	MWC	2.37	1.86	65.00	66.54	0.71	0.62
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.36	1.84	80.95	80.22	1.46	1.11
Lipscomb	ASun	2.23	1.70	54.55	58.58	0.20	0.29
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.23	1.70	47.37	47.30	-0.12	-0.09
Colorado	B12	2.22	1.75	45.00	42.07	-0.22	-0.28
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.22	1.70	75.00	72.25	1.11	0.76
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.17	1.67	82.61	75.83	1.42	0.86
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.17	1.67	60.87	56.13	0.47	0.20
Oklahoma	B12	2.17	1.70	57.14	49.46	0.31	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	2.17	1.67	33.33	31.42	-0.72	-0.62
Wisconsin	B10	2.17	1.67	77.27	78.21	1.19	0.94
Colorado St.	MWC	0.35	0.34	59.09	52.86	0.06	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.35	0.29	87.50	83.52	0.26	0.19
Air Force	MWC	0.30	0.26	35.00	30.57	-0.09	-0.10
Portland St.	BSky	0.29	0.24	38.10	39.63	-0.07	-0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.29	0.28	40.91	38.27	-0.05	-0.07
Montana	BSky	0.25	0.18	68.18	70.36	0.09	0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.25	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.16	0.10
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.17	33.33	33.42	-0.08	-0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	0.25	0.20	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.24	0.23	56.52	50.48	0.03	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.24	0.25	68.18	59.32	0.09	0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.24	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.04
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.17	73.91	70.59	0.10	0.07
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.20	0.21	30.43	29.01	-0.08	-0.09
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.17	86.96	84.64	0.15	0.12
Kansas St.	B12	0.20	0.17	81.82	79.55	0.13	0.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.15	18.18	19.17	-0.13	-0.09
Texas	B12	0.20	0.17	79.17	77.01	0.12	0.09
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.17	21.74	24.91	-0.11	-0.08
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.11
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.20	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.20	0.14	72.73	66.84	0.09	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.17	39.13	35.39	-0.04	-0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.19	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.11	-0.05
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.12	60.00	63.84	0.04	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.14	75.00	73.71	0.09	0.07
San Jose St.	WAC	0.19	0.11	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.16	0.12	47.62	48.66	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.12	33.33	36.46	-0.05	-0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.12	61.90	65.05	0.04	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.14	56.52	50.43	0.02	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.14	69.57	63.54	0.06	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.14	36.36	47.14	-0.04	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.14	76.19	72.74	0.08	0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.17	33.33	30.71	-0.05	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.20	95.83	93.08	0.13	0.17
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.09	12.00	18.83	-0.11	-0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.14	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.11	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.14	0.11	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.14	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.14	17.39	20.22	-0.09	-0.08
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.12	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.14	0.11	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.14	0.11	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.14	69.57	67.92	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.11	82.61	82.34	0.09	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.14	0.11	63.64	58.35	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.11	66.67	57.28	0.05	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.09	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.11	95.65	88.68	0.09	0.09
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	45.45	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.49	0.04	0.03
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.11	0.04	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.11	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.09	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.11	22.73	21.40	-0.05	-0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.08	21.74	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.08	66.67	69.42	0.03	0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.11	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.06	26.09	31.04	-0.05	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.05	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	26.32	31.50	-0.04	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	75.68	0.05	0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.08	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.07	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.08	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.11	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.05	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.08	73.91	76.68	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.06	-0.03	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.02	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.03	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.19	71.16	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.80	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.85	-0.00	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.81	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.00	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.00	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.00	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.00	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.00	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.05	81.82	72.56	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona	P10	26.31	26.35	50.51	50.37	0.27	0.19
Arizona St.	P10	2.95	4.28	69.57	70.52	1.15	1.76
Oregon St.	P10	2.75	4.25	42.86	39.00	-0.39	-0.94
Southern California	P10	2.80	4.25	59.09	58.88	0.51	0.76
California	P10	2.75	4.22	68.18	70.27	1.00	1.71
Oregon	P10	2.70	4.22	57.14	51.49	0.39	0.13
Stanford	P10	2.75	4.22	45.45	44.28	-0.25	-0.48
UCLA	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	46.23	0.00	-0.32
Washington	P10	4.83	4.22	71.43	70.22	2.07	1.71
Washington St.	P10	4.82	4.22	60.00	55.72	0.96	0.48
San Diego St.	MWC	2.37	1.86	65.00	66.54	0.71	0.62
Brigham Young	MWC	2.37	1.84	86.96	87.00	1.75	1.36
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.36	1.84	80.95	80.22	1.46	1.11
Colorado	B12	2.22	1.75	45.00	42.07	-0.22	-0.28
Northern Arizona	BSky	2.23	1.70	47.37	47.30	-0.12	-0.09
Oklahoma	B12	2.17	1.70	57.14	49.46	0.31	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.22	1.70	75.00	72.25	1.11	0.76
Lipscomb	ASun	2.23	1.70	54.55	58.58	0.20	0.29
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.17	1.67	82.61	75.83	1.42	0.86
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.17	1.67	60.87	56.13	0.47	0.20
Rice	CUSA	2.17	1.67	33.33	31.42	-0.72	-0.62
Wisconsin	B10	2.17	1.67	77.27	78.21	1.19	0.94
Colorado St.	MWC	0.35	0.34	59.09	52.86	0.06	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.35	0.29	87.50	83.52	0.26	0.19
Texas Christian	MWC	0.29	0.28	40.91	38.27	-0.05	-0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.30	0.26	35.00	30.57	-0.09	-0.10
Texas Tech	B12	0.24	0.25	68.18	59.32	0.09	0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.29	0.24	38.10	39.63	-0.07	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.24	0.23	56.52	50.48	0.03	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.20	0.21	30.43	29.01	-0.08	-0.09
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.20	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.11
Fresno St.	WAC	0.25	0.20	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.20	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.20	95.83	93.08	0.13	0.17
Montana	BSky	0.25	0.18	68.18	70.36	0.09	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.20	0.17	81.82	79.55	0.13	0.10
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.17	73.91	70.59	0.10	0.07
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.17	33.33	30.71	-0.05	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.17	33.33	33.42	-0.08	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.17	86.96	84.64	0.15	0.12
Texas	B12	0.20	0.17	79.17	77.01	0.12	0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.17	39.13	35.39	-0.04	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.20	0.17	21.74	24.91	-0.11	-0.08
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.17	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.24	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.06
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.15	18.18	19.17	-0.13	-0.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.14	56.52	50.43	0.02	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.25	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.16	0.10
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.14	17.39	20.22	-0.09	-0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.14	75.00	73.71	0.09	0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.14	69.57	63.54	0.06	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.20	0.14	72.73	66.84	0.09	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.14	36.36	47.14	-0.04	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.14	76.19	72.74	0.08	0.06
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.14	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.14	69.57	67.92	0.05	0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.12	61.90	65.05	0.04	0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.16	0.12	47.62	48.66	-0.01	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.20	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.04
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.12	33.33	36.46	-0.05	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.12	60.00	63.84	0.04	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.12	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.11	95.65	88.68	0.09	0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.11	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.11	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.19	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.11	-0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.14	0.11	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.11	22.73	21.40	-0.05	-0.06
Seattle	ind	0.14	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.11	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.14	0.11	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.14	0.11	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.11	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.14	0.11	63.64	58.35	0.04	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.19	0.11	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.11	66.67	57.28	0.05	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.11	82.61	82.34	0.09	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	45.45	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.09	12.00	18.83	-0.11	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.09	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.09	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.11	0.04	0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.49	0.04	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	75.68	0.05	0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.08	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.08	21.74	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.08	66.67	69.42	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.08	72.73	68.10	0.04	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.08	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.08	73.91	76.68	0.04	0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.08	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.03	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.48	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.05	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.06	26.09	31.04	-0.05	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	26.32	31.50	-0.04	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.03	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.85	-0.00	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.07	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.09	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.05	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.05	81.82	72.56	0.00	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.19	71.16	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.80	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.06	-0.03	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.00	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.00	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	27.78	26.81	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.81	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.00	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.02	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.00	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.00	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.03	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	4.83	4.22	71.43	70.22	2.07	1.71
Brigham Young	MWC	2.37	1.84	86.96	87.00	1.75	1.36
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.36	1.84	80.95	80.22	1.46	1.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.17	1.67	82.61	75.83	1.42	0.86
Wisconsin	B10	2.17	1.67	77.27	78.21	1.19	0.94
Arizona St.	P10	2.95	4.28	69.57	70.52	1.15	1.76
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.22	1.70	75.00	72.25	1.11	0.76
California	P10	2.75	4.22	68.18	70.27	1.00	1.71
Washington St.	P10	4.82	4.22	60.00	55.72	0.96	0.48
San Diego St.	MWC	2.37	1.86	65.00	66.54	0.71	0.62
Southern California	P10	2.80	4.25	59.09	58.88	0.51	0.76
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.17	1.67	60.87	56.13	0.47	0.20
Oregon	P10	2.70	4.22	57.14	51.49	0.39	0.13
Oklahoma	B12	2.17	1.70	57.14	49.46	0.31	-0.02
Arizona	P10	26.31	26.35	50.51	50.37	0.27	0.19
New Mexico	MWC	0.35	0.29	87.50	83.52	0.26	0.19
Lipscomb	ASun	2.23	1.70	54.55	58.58	0.20	0.29
Gonzaga	WCC	0.25	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.16	0.10
St. Mary's	WCC	0.20	0.17	86.96	84.64	0.15	0.12
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.20	95.83	93.08	0.13	0.17
Kansas St.	B12	0.20	0.17	81.82	79.55	0.13	0.10
Texas	B12	0.20	0.17	79.17	77.01	0.12	0.09
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.17	73.91	70.59	0.10	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.14	75.00	73.71	0.09	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.05
Montana	BSky	0.25	0.18	68.18	70.36	0.09	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.11	95.65	88.68	0.09	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.11	82.61	82.34	0.09	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.20	0.14	72.73	66.84	0.09	0.05