The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arizona page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Arizona

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		96.0
Current RPI:		96
Expected SOS:		41
Current SOS:		41
Current Record:		16-15
Expected Record:		16-15
Current Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		2-0
Current OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		111
Expected OOC SOS:		18

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
16-15		96.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arizona.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Northern Arizona (197.0)	BSky	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	H	66-49	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	N	61-65	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Colorado (121.0)	B12	N	91-87	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	N	72-84	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	H	72-74	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Oklahoma (118.0)	B12	A	62-79	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	H	83-67	W	100%	0.0
12-12	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	A	46-63	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	H	83-82	W	100%	0.0
12-23	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	H	76-74	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Brigham Young (23.0)	MWC	H	69-99	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Southern California (113.0)	P10	A	50-56	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UCLA (137.0)	P10	A	77-63	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	H	76-78	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Washington (41.0)	P10	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	A	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Oregon (138.0)	P10	A	74-60	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	A	77-58	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Stanford (164.0)	P10	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-31	California (20.0)	P10	H	76-72	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Washington (41.0)	P10	A	75-81	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	A	60-78	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Oregon (138.0)	P10	H	70-57	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	H	55-63	L	0%	0.0
2-21	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	H	69-73	L	0%	0.0
2-25	California (20.0)	P10	A	71-95	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Stanford (164.0)	P10	A	71-69	W	100%	0.0
3-4	UCLA (137.0)	P10	H	78-73	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Southern California (113.0)	P10	H	86-84	W	100%	0.0
3-11	UCLA (137.0)	P10	N	69-75	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arizona's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arizona's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arizona.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona	P10	26.36	26.36	48.18	48.18	-0.96	-0.96
UCLA	P10	5.70	5.70	44.83	44.83	-0.59	-0.59
California	P10	4.27	4.27	70.97	70.97	1.79	1.79
Washington	P10	4.25	4.25	74.19	74.19	2.06	2.06
Oregon	P10	4.20	4.20	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Arizona St.	P10	4.19	4.19	70.00	70.00	1.68	1.68
Stanford	P10	4.19	4.19	46.67	46.67	-0.28	-0.28
Oregon St.	P10	4.17	4.17	41.38	41.38	-0.72	-0.72
Washington St.	P10	4.14	4.14	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Southern California	P10	4.11	4.11	53.57	53.57	0.29	0.29
San Diego St.	MWC	1.82	1.82	73.33	73.33	0.85	0.85
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.82	1.82	74.19	74.19	0.88	0.88
Brigham Young	MWC	1.79	1.79	84.38	84.38	1.23	1.23
Colorado	B12	1.69	1.69	46.43	46.43	-0.12	-0.12
Oklahoma	B12	1.64	1.64	40.00	40.00	-0.33	-0.33
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.64	1.64	73.33	73.33	0.77	0.77
Lipscomb	ASun	1.64	1.64	57.14	57.14	0.23	0.23
Northern Arizona	BSky	1.64	1.64	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.61	1.61	71.88	71.88	0.71	0.71
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.61	1.61	57.58	57.58	0.24	0.24
Rice	CUSA	1.61	1.61	24.14	24.14	-0.83	-0.83
Wisconsin	B10	1.61	1.61	73.33	73.33	0.75	0.75
Colorado St.	MWC	0.36	0.36	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.28	0.28	87.88	87.88	0.21	0.21
Texas Christian	MWC	0.28	0.28	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Tech	B12	0.26	0.26	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.24	0.24	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
Portland St.	BSky	0.22	0.22	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.21	0.21	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.21	0.21	94.12	94.12	0.18	0.18
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.19	68.97	68.97	0.07	0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.12
Portland	WCC	0.17	0.17	65.52	65.52	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.16	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.10	0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.15	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.15	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.13	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.13	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Texas A&M	B12	0.13	0.13	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.13	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.13	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.13	0.13	67.86	67.86	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	64.29	64.29	0.03	0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.11	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.10	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.08	0.08	81.25	81.25	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.02	0.02	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.02	0.02	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona	P10	26.36	26.36	48.18	48.18	-0.96	-0.96
UCLA	P10	5.70	5.70	44.83	44.83	-0.59	-0.59
California	P10	4.27	4.27	70.97	70.97	1.79	1.79
Washington	P10	4.25	4.25	74.19	74.19	2.06	2.06
Oregon	P10	4.20	4.20	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Arizona St.	P10	4.19	4.19	70.00	70.00	1.68	1.68
Stanford	P10	4.19	4.19	46.67	46.67	-0.28	-0.28
Oregon St.	P10	4.17	4.17	41.38	41.38	-0.72	-0.72
Washington St.	P10	4.14	4.14	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Southern California	P10	4.11	4.11	53.57	53.57	0.29	0.29
San Diego St.	MWC	1.82	1.82	73.33	73.33	0.85	0.85
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.82	1.82	74.19	74.19	0.88	0.88
Brigham Young	MWC	1.79	1.79	84.38	84.38	1.23	1.23
Colorado	B12	1.69	1.69	46.43	46.43	-0.12	-0.12
Oklahoma	B12	1.64	1.64	40.00	40.00	-0.33	-0.33
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.64	1.64	73.33	73.33	0.77	0.77
Lipscomb	ASun	1.64	1.64	57.14	57.14	0.23	0.23
Northern Arizona	BSky	1.64	1.64	48.00	48.00	-0.07	-0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.61	1.61	71.88	71.88	0.71	0.71
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.61	1.61	57.58	57.58	0.24	0.24
Rice	CUSA	1.61	1.61	24.14	24.14	-0.83	-0.83
Wisconsin	B10	1.61	1.61	73.33	73.33	0.75	0.75
Colorado St.	MWC	0.36	0.36	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.28	0.28	87.88	87.88	0.21	0.21
Texas Christian	MWC	0.28	0.28	36.67	36.67	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Tech	B12	0.26	0.26	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.24	0.24	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
Portland St.	BSky	0.22	0.22	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.21	0.21	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.21	0.21	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.21	0.21	94.12	94.12	0.18	0.18
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.19	68.97	68.97	0.07	0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.19	0.19	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.12
Portland	WCC	0.17	0.17	65.52	65.52	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.16	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.10	0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.15	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.15	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.13	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.13	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Texas A&M	B12	0.13	0.13	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.13	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.13	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.13	0.13	67.86	67.86	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.11	0.11	64.29	64.29	0.03	0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.11	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.10	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.08	0.08	81.25	81.25	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.02	0.02	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.02	0.02	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	4.25	4.25	74.19	74.19	2.06	2.06
California	P10	4.27	4.27	70.97	70.97	1.79	1.79
Arizona St.	P10	4.19	4.19	70.00	70.00	1.68	1.68
Brigham Young	MWC	1.79	1.79	84.38	84.38	1.23	1.23
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.82	1.82	74.19	74.19	0.88	0.88
San Diego St.	MWC	1.82	1.82	73.33	73.33	0.85	0.85
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.64	1.64	73.33	73.33	0.77	0.77
Wisconsin	B10	1.61	1.61	73.33	73.33	0.75	0.75
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.61	1.61	71.88	71.88	0.71	0.71
Southern California	P10	4.11	4.11	53.57	53.57	0.29	0.29
Oregon	P10	4.20	4.20	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.61	1.61	57.58	57.58	0.24	0.24
Lipscomb	ASun	1.64	1.64	57.14	57.14	0.23	0.23
New Mexico	MWC	0.28	0.28	87.88	87.88	0.21	0.21
Kansas	B12	0.21	0.21	94.12	94.12	0.18	0.18
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.10	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.13	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.19	68.97	68.97	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.17	0.17	65.52	65.52	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.13	0.13	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.08	0.08	81.25	81.25	0.05	0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.09	76.67	76.67	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05