The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Cincinnati page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Cincinnati

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		61.6
Current RPI:		56
Expected SOS:		8
Current SOS:		16
Current Record:		14-9
Expected Record:		17-13
Current Conf Record:		5-6
Expected Conf Record:		8-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-0
Current OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC RPI:		31
Expected OOC SOS:		43

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-9	16.0	0.01%
20-10	26.1	0.55%
19-11	36.3	4.74%
18-12	47.0	16.02%
17-13	57.4	31.88%
16-14	68.3	31.24%
15-15	79.6	14.12%
14-16	91.6	1.43%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cincinnati.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Prairie View A&M (249.9)	SWAC	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Toledo (323.2)	MAC	H	92-68	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Vanderbilt (21.7)	SEC	N	67-58	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Maryland (35.3)	ACC	N	69-57	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Gonzaga (36.1)	WCC	N	59-61	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Texas Southern (204.5)	SWAC	H	94-57	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Miami OH (135.4)	MAC	H	63-59	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Xavier (26.5)	A10	A	79-83	L	0%	0.0
12-16	UAB (35.2)	CUSA	A	47-64	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Lipscomb (201.2)	ASun	H	80-52	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Winthrop (182.9)	BSth	H	74-57	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Connecticut (54.0)	BE	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Rutgers (162.0)	BE	A	65-58	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Pittsburgh (26.3)	BE	H	71-74	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.1)	ind	H	87-58	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Seton Hall (72.8)	BE	A	76-83	L	0%	0.0
1-13	St. John's (100.3)	BE	A	50-52	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	H	60-58	W	100%	0.0
1-20	South Florida (65.1)	BE	H	78-70	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Louisville (36.8)	BE	A	60-68	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Providence (97.7)	BE	H	92-88	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	65-83	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	H	54-71	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Connecticut (54.0)	BE	A	0-0		30%	-5.7
2-16	South Florida (65.1)	BE	A	0-0		37%	-3.7
2-21	Marquette (53.4)	BE	H	0-0		44%	-1.8
2-24	DePaul (180.7)	BE	H	0-0		89%	13.1
2-27	West Virginia (5.3)	BE	A	0-0		11%	-13.1
3-2	Villanova (4.7)	BE	H	0-0		36%	-3.8
3-6	Georgetown (8.5)	BE	A	0-0		18%	-10.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cincinnati's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Cincinnati's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Cincinnati.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cincinnati	BE	26.22	26.01	57.47	52.75	3.92	1.43
Notre Dame	BE	4.63	3.88	72.73	64.28	2.10	1.11
South Florida	BE	2.64	3.85	68.18	64.26	0.96	1.10
Providence	BE	2.55	2.24	54.55	48.22	0.23	-0.08
Pittsburgh	BE	2.51	2.22	73.91	69.98	1.20	0.89
Louisville	BE	2.51	2.24	63.64	60.75	0.68	0.48
Connecticut	BE	2.51	3.86	63.64	58.00	0.68	0.62
Syracuse	BE	2.50	2.22	95.65	91.03	2.29	1.82
Rutgers	BE	2.50	2.22	50.00	44.36	0.00	-0.25
Seton Hall	BE	2.45	2.22	55.00	55.98	0.25	0.26
St. John's	BE	2.41	2.22	52.38	47.48	0.11	-0.11
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.30	1.73	47.37	56.23	-0.12	0.22
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	2.28	1.73	50.00	56.05	0.00	0.21
Lipscomb	ASun	2.23	1.70	54.55	58.58	0.20	0.29
Miami OH	MAC	2.22	1.72	45.45	49.34	-0.20	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.22	1.72	80.00	75.83	1.33	0.89
Xavier	A10	2.22	1.72	68.18	70.46	0.81	0.70
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.17	1.70	23.81	22.17	-1.14	-0.94
Gonzaga	WCC	2.17	1.70	80.95	83.02	1.35	1.12
Maryland	ACC	2.17	1.69	75.00	70.34	1.09	0.69
Toledo	MAC	2.17	1.69	9.09	10.42	-1.78	-1.34
UAB	CUSA	2.17	1.67	81.82	77.79	1.38	0.93
Winthrop	BSth	2.17	1.67	55.00	56.89	0.22	0.23
West Virginia	BE	0.42	2.22	82.61	79.15	0.28	1.29
DePaul	BE	0.38	2.25	34.78	34.68	-0.11	-0.69
Villanova	BE	0.34	2.25	91.30	86.06	0.28	1.62
Georgetown	BE	0.33	2.22	77.27	73.13	0.18	1.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.28	0.22	69.57	70.34	0.11	0.09
Marquette	BE	0.28	2.25	65.22	66.48	0.09	0.74
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.24	0.17	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.20	0.17	79.17	77.60	0.11	0.09
Liberty	BSth	0.19	0.12	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.19	0.11	85.71	85.58	0.14	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.19	0.17	95.65	88.68	0.18	0.13
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.11	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.19	0.19	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.17	0.15	21.74	24.91	-0.09	-0.08
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.16	0.09	40.00	40.10	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.09	21.05	22.44	-0.09	-0.05
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.09	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.15	0.12	17.39	20.22	-0.10	-0.07
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.15	0.11	55.56	55.84	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.15	0.11	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.15	0.09	76.19	71.16	0.08	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.15	0.11	78.26	71.74	0.08	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.15	0.12	45.45	43.33	-0.01	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.20	82.61	82.34	0.10	0.13
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.14	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	73.91	67.69	0.07	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.08	56.52	51.91	0.02	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.11	69.57	70.01	0.06	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.14	0.11	47.62	45.72	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.14	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.11	72.73	71.93	0.06	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.14	0.08	68.00	67.16	0.05	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.14	0.08	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.11	27.27	31.07	-0.06	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.14	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.03	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.13	33.33	39.81	-0.04	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.15	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.13	0.00	4.36	-0.12	-0.12
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.12	0.13	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.12	0.15	27.78	26.81	-0.05	-0.07
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.13	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.13	18.18	20.35	-0.08	-0.07
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.12	29.17	28.88	-0.05	-0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.09	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.12	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.52	-0.02	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.05	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.09	86.96	84.64	0.07	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.06	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.08	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.22	27.54	-0.06	-0.03
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.09	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.11	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.08	68.18	66.69	0.04	0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.06	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.03	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.09	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.06	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.06	35.00	38.20	-0.03	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.30	-0.05	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.06	0.00	4.21	-0.10	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.08	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.11	9.52	8.90	-0.08	-0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.08	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.11	33.33	33.42	-0.03	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.08	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.08	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.08	84.00	84.05	0.06	0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.08	72.00	70.67	0.04	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.42	-0.03	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.07	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.08	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.08	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.09	14.29	15.66	-0.07	-0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.14	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.08	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.09	0.08	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.09	0.08	79.17	77.01	0.05	0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	28.57	27.82	-0.04	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.08	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.05	65.22	67.02	0.03	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.08	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.05	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.05	64.00	63.77	0.03	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.05	30.43	30.24	-0.04	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.08	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.03	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.03	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.03	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.35	0.02	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.09	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.09	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	84.00	81.56	0.03	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.46	-0.02	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.68	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.02	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.08	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.75	-0.04	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.08	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	29.17	31.02	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.14	-0.02	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.08	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.95	0.03	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.42	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.02	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.43	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.00	0.06	30.43	32.38	-0.00	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.00	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.00	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.03	29.17	29.51	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.25	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.00	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.00	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.15	0.00	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.08	73.91	72.54	0.00	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.20	0.00	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.00	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.00	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.03	16.67	19.93	-0.00	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.00	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.00	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.08	39.13	36.58	-0.00	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.00	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.00	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cincinnati	BE	26.22	26.01	57.47	52.75	3.92	1.43
Notre Dame	BE	4.63	3.88	72.73	64.28	2.10	1.11
Connecticut	BE	2.51	3.86	63.64	58.00	0.68	0.62
South Florida	BE	2.64	3.85	68.18	64.26	0.96	1.10
Villanova	BE	0.34	2.25	91.30	86.06	0.28	1.62
DePaul	BE	0.38	2.25	34.78	34.68	-0.11	-0.69
Marquette	BE	0.28	2.25	65.22	66.48	0.09	0.74
Providence	BE	2.55	2.24	54.55	48.22	0.23	-0.08
Louisville	BE	2.51	2.24	63.64	60.75	0.68	0.48
Rutgers	BE	2.50	2.22	50.00	44.36	0.00	-0.25
Pittsburgh	BE	2.51	2.22	73.91	69.98	1.20	0.89
Syracuse	BE	2.50	2.22	95.65	91.03	2.29	1.82
West Virginia	BE	0.42	2.22	82.61	79.15	0.28	1.29
St. John's	BE	2.41	2.22	52.38	47.48	0.11	-0.11
Georgetown	BE	0.33	2.22	77.27	73.13	0.18	1.03
Seton Hall	BE	2.45	2.22	55.00	55.98	0.25	0.26
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.30	1.73	47.37	56.23	-0.12	0.22
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	2.28	1.73	50.00	56.05	0.00	0.21
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.22	1.72	80.00	75.83	1.33	0.89
Miami OH	MAC	2.22	1.72	45.45	49.34	-0.20	-0.02
Xavier	A10	2.22	1.72	68.18	70.46	0.81	0.70
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.17	1.70	23.81	22.17	-1.14	-0.94
Gonzaga	WCC	2.17	1.70	80.95	83.02	1.35	1.12
Lipscomb	ASun	2.23	1.70	54.55	58.58	0.20	0.29
Maryland	ACC	2.17	1.69	75.00	70.34	1.09	0.69
Toledo	MAC	2.17	1.69	9.09	10.42	-1.78	-1.34
UAB	CUSA	2.17	1.67	81.82	77.79	1.38	0.93
Winthrop	BSth	2.17	1.67	55.00	56.89	0.22	0.23
Kent St.	MAC	0.28	0.22	69.57	70.34	0.11	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.20	82.61	82.34	0.10	0.13
Central Florida	CUSA	0.19	0.19	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.24	0.17	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.02
Temple	A10	0.20	0.17	79.17	77.60	0.11	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.19	0.17	95.65	88.68	0.18	0.13
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.17	0.15	21.74	24.91	-0.09	-0.08
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.15	31.58	39.01	-0.04	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.12	0.15	27.78	26.81	-0.05	-0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.15	0.14	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.14	66.67	57.28	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	73.91	67.69	0.07	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.14	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.13	33.33	39.81	-0.04	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.13	0.00	4.36	-0.12	-0.12
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.12	0.13	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.13	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.13	18.18	20.35	-0.08	-0.07
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.15	0.12	17.39	20.22	-0.10	-0.07
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.12	29.17	28.88	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.12	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.15	0.12	45.45	43.33	-0.01	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.19	0.12	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.11	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.15	0.11	78.26	71.74	0.08	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.15	0.11	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.11	33.33	33.42	-0.03	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.11	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.15	0.11	55.56	55.84	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.19	0.11	85.71	85.58	0.14	0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.11	69.57	70.01	0.06	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.14	0.11	47.62	45.72	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.11	72.73	71.93	0.06	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.11	9.52	8.90	-0.08	-0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.11	27.27	31.07	-0.06	-0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.16	0.09	40.00	40.10	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.09	21.05	22.44	-0.09	-0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.09	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.06
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.09	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.83	0.04	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.09	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.09	14.29	15.66	-0.07	-0.06
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.09	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.09	86.96	84.64	0.07	0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.09	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.09	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.15	0.09	76.19	71.16	0.08	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.08	84.00	84.05	0.06	0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.15	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.08	73.91	72.54	0.00	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.08	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.08	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.08	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.08	56.52	51.91	0.02	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.08	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.42	-0.03	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.08	39.13	36.58	-0.00	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.08	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.14	0.08	68.00	67.16	0.05	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.08	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.08	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.14	0.08	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.08	68.18	66.69	0.04	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.08	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.08	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.14	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.03	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.08	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.08	72.00	70.67	0.04	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.08	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.08	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.08	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.09	0.08	65.22	63.02	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.09	0.08	79.17	77.01	0.05	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.03	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.08	-0.05
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.02	0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.05	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.06	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.05	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.06	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.03	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.06	0.03
American	Pat	0.00	0.06	30.43	32.38	-0.00	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.52	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.67	-0.02	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.06	22.22	27.54	-0.06	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.06	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.06	35.00	38.20	-0.03	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.30	-0.05	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.06	0.00	4.21	-0.10	-0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.01	-0.01