The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Cincinnati page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Cincinnati

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		65.0
Current RPI:		65
Expected SOS:		9
Current SOS:		9
Current Record:		18-15
Expected Record:		18-15
Current Conf Record:		9-12
Expected Conf Record:		9-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC Record:		9-3
Expected OOC RPI:		33
Expected OOC SOS:		51

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
18-15		65.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cincinnati.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Prairie View A&M (272.0)	SWAC	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	H	92-68	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	N	67-58	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	N	69-57	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	N	59-61	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Texas Southern (227.0)	SWAC	H	94-57	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	H	63-59	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Xavier (19.0)	A10	A	79-83	L	0%	0.0
12-16	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	A	47-64	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	H	80-52	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Winthrop (160.0)	BSth	H	74-57	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	A	65-58	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Pittsburgh (15.0)	BE	H	71-74	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	H	87-58	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	A	76-83	L	0%	0.0
1-13	St. John's (82.0)	BE	A	50-52	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	H	60-58	W	100%	0.0
1-20	South Florida (71.0)	BE	H	78-70	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Louisville (37.0)	BE	A	60-68	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Providence (141.0)	BE	H	92-88	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	A	65-83	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	H	54-71	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	A	60-48	W	100%	0.0
2-16	South Florida (71.0)	BE	A	57-65	L	0%	0.0
2-21	Marquette (50.0)	BE	H	76-79	L	0%	0.0
2-24	DePaul (212.0)	BE	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
2-27	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	A	68-74	L	0%	0.0
3-2	Villanova (14.0)	BE	H	73-77	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	A	47-74	L	0%	0.0
3-9	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	N	69-68	W	100%	0.0
3-10	Louisville (37.0)	BE	N	69-66	W	100%	0.0
3-11	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	N	51-54	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cincinnati's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Cincinnati's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Cincinnati.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cincinnati	BE	26.08	26.08	51.85	51.85	0.97	0.97
Notre Dame	BE	3.67	3.67	68.75	68.75	1.38	1.38
West Virginia	BE	3.62	3.62	80.65	80.65	2.22	2.22
South Florida	BE	3.60	3.60	63.33	63.33	0.96	0.96
Connecticut	BE	3.59	3.59	56.67	56.67	0.48	0.48
Louisville	BE	3.57	3.57	63.33	63.33	0.95	0.95
Rutgers	BE	3.55	3.55	48.28	48.28	-0.12	-0.12
Georgetown	BE	2.23	2.23	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Seton Hall	BE	2.17	2.17	60.00	60.00	0.43	0.43
Marquette	BE	2.16	2.16	65.62	65.62	0.67	0.67
DePaul	BE	2.15	2.15	26.67	26.67	-1.01	-1.01
St. John's	BE	2.15	2.15	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Villanova	BE	2.13	2.13	76.67	76.67	1.13	1.13
Pittsburgh	BE	2.13	2.13	74.19	74.19	1.03	1.03
Syracuse	BE	2.11	2.11	87.10	87.10	1.56	1.56
Providence	BE	2.11	2.11	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
Texas Southern	SWAC	1.60	1.60	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	1.59	1.59	48.00	48.00	-0.06	-0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.57	1.57	76.67	76.67	0.84	0.84
Miami OH	MAC	1.56	1.56	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
Xavier	A10	1.56	1.56	74.19	74.19	0.76	0.76
Gonzaga	WCC	1.54	1.54	80.00	80.00	0.92	0.92
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	1.54	1.54	25.00	25.00	-0.77	-0.77
Lipscomb	ASun	1.54	1.54	57.14	57.14	0.22	0.22
Maryland	ACC	1.54	1.54	75.86	75.86	0.80	0.80
Toledo	MAC	1.54	1.54	10.00	10.00	-1.23	-1.23
UAB	CUSA	1.52	1.52	73.33	73.33	0.71	0.71
Winthrop	BSth	1.52	1.52	58.62	58.62	0.26	0.26
Kent St.	MAC	0.19	0.19	70.97	70.97	0.08	0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.17	94.12	94.12	0.15	0.15
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.15	0.15	22.22	22.22	-0.09	-0.09
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.15	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.14	0.14	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.12	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.12	0.12	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.12	0.12	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.10	83.33	83.33	0.07	0.07
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.08	-0.08
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.08	0.08	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.07	81.25	81.25	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.04	-0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.04	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.04	0.04	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	78.79	78.79	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.02	0.02	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.02	0.02	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.02	0.02	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.02	0.02	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.02	0.02	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.02	0.02	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.02	0.02	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.02	0.02	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.02	0.02	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.02	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cincinnati	BE	26.08	26.08	51.85	51.85	0.97	0.97
Notre Dame	BE	3.67	3.67	68.75	68.75	1.38	1.38
West Virginia	BE	3.62	3.62	80.65	80.65	2.22	2.22
South Florida	BE	3.60	3.60	63.33	63.33	0.96	0.96
Connecticut	BE	3.59	3.59	56.67	56.67	0.48	0.48
Louisville	BE	3.57	3.57	63.33	63.33	0.95	0.95
Rutgers	BE	3.55	3.55	48.28	48.28	-0.12	-0.12
Georgetown	BE	2.23	2.23	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Seton Hall	BE	2.17	2.17	60.00	60.00	0.43	0.43
Marquette	BE	2.16	2.16	65.62	65.62	0.67	0.67
DePaul	BE	2.15	2.15	26.67	26.67	-1.01	-1.01
St. John's	BE	2.15	2.15	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Villanova	BE	2.13	2.13	76.67	76.67	1.13	1.13
Pittsburgh	BE	2.13	2.13	74.19	74.19	1.03	1.03
Syracuse	BE	2.11	2.11	87.10	87.10	1.56	1.56
Providence	BE	2.11	2.11	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
Texas Southern	SWAC	1.60	1.60	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	1.59	1.59	48.00	48.00	-0.06	-0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.57	1.57	76.67	76.67	0.84	0.84
Miami OH	MAC	1.56	1.56	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
Xavier	A10	1.56	1.56	74.19	74.19	0.76	0.76
Gonzaga	WCC	1.54	1.54	80.00	80.00	0.92	0.92
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	1.54	1.54	25.00	25.00	-0.77	-0.77
Lipscomb	ASun	1.54	1.54	57.14	57.14	0.22	0.22
Maryland	ACC	1.54	1.54	75.86	75.86	0.80	0.80
Toledo	MAC	1.54	1.54	10.00	10.00	-1.23	-1.23
UAB	CUSA	1.52	1.52	73.33	73.33	0.71	0.71
Winthrop	BSth	1.52	1.52	58.62	58.62	0.26	0.26
Kent St.	MAC	0.19	0.19	70.97	70.97	0.08	0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.17	94.12	94.12	0.15	0.15
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.15	0.15	22.22	22.22	-0.09	-0.09
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.15	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.14	0.14	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.12	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.12	0.12	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.12	0.12	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	34.78	34.78	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.10	83.33	83.33	0.07	0.07
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.08	-0.08
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.00	0.05	0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.08	0.08	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.07	81.25	81.25	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.04	-0.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02