The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Southern

Conference:		SWAC
Expected RPI:		342.8
Current RPI:		344
Expected SOS:		337
Current SOS:		340
Current Record:		4-17
Expected Record:		6-23
Current Conf Record:		2-8
Expected Conf Record:		4-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-15
Current OOC Record:		2-9
Expected OOC Record:		2-9
Expected OOC RPI:		322
Expected OOC SOS:		227

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
10-19	322.3	0.11%
9-20	331.2	1.66%
8-21	337.6	7.33%
7-22	340.8	20.77%
6-23	343.1	33.34%
5-24	345.1	27.83%
4-25	346.6	8.95%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Baylor (23.2)	B12	A	45-61	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	A	61-93	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Utah (162.8)	MWC	A	48-88	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	A	51-107	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Wofford (100.2)	SC	N	66-81	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	N	69-71	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	A	52-79	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Central Arkansas (318.5)	Slnd	N	63-79	L	0%	0.0
12-12	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	78-73	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Southeastern Louisiana (204.5)	Slnd	A	48-94	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Chicago St. (342.9)	GWC	H	67-60	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	A	49-68	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Texas Southern (205.9)	SWAC	A	68-82	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	H	73-67	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	H	46-57	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	A	51-64	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	A	45-57	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Alabama A&M (327.5)	SWAC	H	63-70	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	60-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	84-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	A	59-65	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	A	0-0		10%	-14.2
2-13	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	0-0		12%	-12.6
2-15	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	0-0		49%	-0.4
2-20	Alabama A&M (327.5)	SWAC	A	0-0		21%	-8.8
2-22	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	A	0-0		13%	-12.2
2-27	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	A	0-0		49%	-0.4
3-4	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	H	0-0		26%	-6.8
3-6	Texas Southern (205.9)	SWAC	H	0-0		17%	-10.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern	SWAC	26.40	26.49	14.81	17.92	-18.58	-16.99
Grambling	SWAC	5.26	4.46	20.00	23.79	-3.16	-2.34
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.26	4.61	45.00	45.97	-0.33	-0.37
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	3.10	4.51	30.00	43.32	-1.24	-0.60
Texas Southern	SWAC	3.10	4.51	42.11	51.31	-0.49	0.12
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	3.06	4.49	43.75	50.91	-0.38	0.08
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	3.03	4.49	19.05	23.83	-1.88	-2.35
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.03	4.49	0.00	3.74	-3.03	-4.15
Alabama St.	SWAC	3.01	4.47	29.41	34.88	-1.24	-1.35
Alabama A&M	SWAC	2.99	4.44	23.08	31.22	-1.61	-1.67
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.62	1.98	66.67	65.72	0.87	0.62
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.62	1.98	47.06	53.50	-0.15	0.14
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.62	1.94	68.18	62.29	0.95	0.48
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.51	1.86	16.67	21.96	-1.67	-1.04
Baylor	B12	2.49	1.84	75.00	71.76	1.24	0.80
Utah	MWC	2.48	1.81	42.86	42.40	-0.35	-0.27
Brigham Young	MWC	2.44	1.78	86.96	87.00	1.80	1.32
Chicago St.	GWC	2.38	1.72	21.05	21.36	-1.38	-0.99
New Orleans	SB	2.38	1.72	23.81	23.73	-1.25	-0.91
Presbyterian	BSth	2.38	1.72	8.70	12.39	-1.97	-1.30
Wofford	SC	2.38	1.72	65.22	66.84	0.72	0.58
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.33	0.27	23.53	26.10	-0.18	-0.13
Arkansas	SEC	0.29	0.24	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.29	0.25	61.90	63.69	0.07	0.07
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.25	0.20	22.22	26.51	-0.14	-0.09
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.25	0.19	36.36	36.18	-0.07	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.23	0.21	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.23	0.22	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.22	0.18	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.20	77.27	75.69	0.12	0.11
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.20	0.11	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.20	0.10	31.82	31.64	-0.07	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.19	0.10	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.19	0.10	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.20	26.32	31.51	-0.09	-0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.19	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.08	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.10	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.18	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.05	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.19	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.19	72.73	66.85	0.08	0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.17	0.18	35.00	30.59	-0.05	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.10	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.15	95.65	91.32	0.16	0.12
Utah Valley	GWC	0.17	0.12	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.15	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.17	0.12	77.27	70.93	0.09	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.06	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.17	0.12	18.18	19.18	-0.11	-0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.17	0.12	16.00	21.62	-0.11	-0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.17	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.11	0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.15	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.07
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.07	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.12	0.07	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.12	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.05	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.12	0.13	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.12	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.06
Denver	SB	0.11	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.12	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.12	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Texas	B12	0.11	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.07
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.11	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.10	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Elon	SC	0.10	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.09	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.09	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.05	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.07	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	22.73	22.60	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.10	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.03	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern	SWAC	26.40	26.49	14.81	17.92	-18.58	-16.99
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.26	4.61	45.00	45.97	-0.33	-0.37
Texas Southern	SWAC	3.10	4.51	42.11	51.31	-0.49	0.12
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	3.10	4.51	30.00	43.32	-1.24	-0.60
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	3.06	4.49	43.75	50.91	-0.38	0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.03	4.49	0.00	3.74	-3.03	-4.15
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	3.03	4.49	19.05	23.83	-1.88	-2.35
Alabama St.	SWAC	3.01	4.47	29.41	34.88	-1.24	-1.35
Grambling	SWAC	5.26	4.46	20.00	23.79	-3.16	-2.34
Alabama A&M	SWAC	2.99	4.44	23.08	31.22	-1.61	-1.67
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.62	1.98	66.67	65.72	0.87	0.62
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.62	1.98	47.06	53.50	-0.15	0.14
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.62	1.94	68.18	62.29	0.95	0.48
Central Arkansas	Slnd	2.51	1.86	16.67	21.96	-1.67	-1.04
Baylor	B12	2.49	1.84	75.00	71.76	1.24	0.80
Utah	MWC	2.48	1.81	42.86	42.40	-0.35	-0.27
Brigham Young	MWC	2.44	1.78	86.96	87.00	1.80	1.32
Chicago St.	GWC	2.38	1.72	21.05	21.36	-1.38	-0.99
New Orleans	SB	2.38	1.72	23.81	23.73	-1.25	-0.91
Presbyterian	BSth	2.38	1.72	8.70	12.39	-1.97	-1.30
Wofford	SC	2.38	1.72	65.22	66.84	0.72	0.58
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.33	0.27	23.53	26.10	-0.18	-0.13
North Texas	SB	0.29	0.25	61.90	63.69	0.07	0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.29	0.24	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.23	0.22	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.23	0.21	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.20	77.27	75.69	0.12	0.11
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.20	26.32	31.51	-0.09	-0.07
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.25	0.20	22.22	26.51	-0.14	-0.09
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.25	0.19	36.36	36.18	-0.07	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.19	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.19	72.73	66.85	0.08	0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.17	0.18	35.00	30.59	-0.05	-0.07
Colorado	B12	0.22	0.18	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.06	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.15	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.15	95.65	91.32	0.16	0.12
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.15	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.18	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.05	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.12	0.13	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.11	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.17	0.12	77.27	70.93	0.09	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.17	0.12	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.17	0.12	18.18	19.18	-0.11	-0.07
Wagner	NEC	0.17	0.12	16.00	21.62	-0.11	-0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.17	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.11	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.12	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.12	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.11	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.07
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.21	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.20	0.11	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.11	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.19	0.10	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.19	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.08	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.10	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.20	0.10	31.82	31.64	-0.07	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.19	0.10	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.10	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.10	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.05	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.10	0.09	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.09	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.05	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.07	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.12	0.07	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.07	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.07	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.07	22.73	22.60	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.12	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.12	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.03	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.10	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.10	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.00	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Brigham Young	MWC	2.44	1.78	86.96	87.00	1.80	1.32
Baylor	B12	2.49	1.84	75.00	71.76	1.24	0.80
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.62	1.94	68.18	62.29	0.95	0.48
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.62	1.98	66.67	65.72	0.87	0.62
Wofford	SC	2.38	1.72	65.22	66.84	0.72	0.58
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.15	95.65	91.32	0.16	0.12
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.22	0.20	77.27	75.69	0.12	0.11
Kansas St.	B12	0.17	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.11	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.07
Tulsa	CUSA	0.17	0.12	77.27	70.93	0.09	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.19	72.73	66.85	0.08	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.07	78.26	78.92	0.08	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.19	0.10	70.59	72.98	0.08	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.11	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.07
North Texas	SB	0.29	0.25	61.90	63.69	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.19	0.10	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.06	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.10	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.16	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.12	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.05	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.19	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.04	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.23	0.21	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.15	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.03	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.23	0.22	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.11	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.17	0.15	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.11	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02