The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Southern

Conference:		SWAC
Expected RPI:		343.0
Current RPI:		343
Expected SOS:		336
Current SOS:		336
Current Record:		5-24
Expected Record:		5-24
Current Conf Record:		3-15
Expected Conf Record:		3-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-13
Current OOC Record:		2-9
Expected OOC Record:		2-9
Expected OOC RPI:		315
Expected OOC SOS:		191

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
5-24		343.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Baylor (8.0)	B12	A	45-61	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Oklahoma St. (32.0)	B12	A	61-93	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Utah (157.0)	MWC	A	48-88	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Brigham Young (23.0)	MWC	A	51-107	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Wofford (69.0)	SC	N	66-81	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Presbyterian (329.0)	BSth	N	69-71	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Stephen F. Austin (151.0)	Slnd	A	52-79	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Central Arkansas (320.0)	Slnd	N	63-79	L	0%	0.0
12-12	New Orleans (323.0)	SB	H	78-73	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)	Slnd	A	48-94	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	H	67-60	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Prairie View A&M (272.0)	SWAC	A	49-68	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Texas Southern (227.0)	SWAC	A	68-82	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Grambling (340.0)	SWAC	H	73-67	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Jackson St. (199.0)	SWAC	H	46-57	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Arkansas Pine Bluff (184.0)	SWAC	A	51-64	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Mississippi Valley St. (325.0)	SWAC	A	45-57	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Alabama A&M (331.0)	SWAC	H	63-70	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Alabama St. (275.0)	SWAC	H	60-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Alcorn St. (344.0)	SWAC	H	84-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Grambling (340.0)	SWAC	A	59-65	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Jackson St. (199.0)	SWAC	A	53-63	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Arkansas Pine Bluff (184.0)	SWAC	H	62-66	L	0%	0.0
2-15	Mississippi Valley St. (325.0)	SWAC	H	48-54	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Alabama A&M (331.0)	SWAC	A	54-65	L	0%	0.0
2-22	Alabama St. (275.0)	SWAC	A	64-73	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Alcorn St. (344.0)	SWAC	A	60-57	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Prairie View A&M (272.0)	SWAC	H	69-75	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Texas Southern (227.0)	SWAC	H	62-66	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern	SWAC	26.41	26.41	15.20	15.20	-18.38	-18.38
Texas Southern	SWAC	4.64	4.64	44.83	44.83	-0.48	-0.48
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	4.63	4.63	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	4.61	4.61	57.14	57.14	0.66	0.66
Alabama St.	SWAC	4.54	4.54	42.31	42.31	-0.70	-0.70
Grambling	SWAC	4.52	4.52	20.00	20.00	-2.71	-2.71
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	4.49	4.49	41.67	41.67	-0.75	-0.75
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	4.48	4.48	20.69	20.69	-2.63	-2.63
Alabama A&M	SWAC	4.45	4.45	28.57	28.57	-1.91	-1.91
Alcorn St.	SWAC	4.43	4.43	6.90	6.90	-3.82	-3.82
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.97	1.97	67.86	67.86	0.70	0.70
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.96	1.96	53.85	53.85	0.15	0.15
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.93	1.93	67.74	67.74	0.68	0.68
Central Arkansas	Slnd	1.85	1.85	20.00	20.00	-1.11	-1.11
Baylor	B12	1.84	1.84	76.67	76.67	0.98	0.98
Utah	MWC	1.80	1.80	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Brigham Young	MWC	1.78	1.78	84.38	84.38	1.22	1.22
Chicago St.	GWC	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
New Orleans	SB	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
Presbyterian	BSth	1.72	1.72	10.34	10.34	-1.37	-1.37
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.72	75.00	75.00	0.86	0.86
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.25	0.25	28.00	28.00	-0.11	-0.11
North Texas	SB	0.23	0.23	73.33	73.33	0.11	0.11
Arkansas	SEC	0.23	0.23	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.21	0.21	59.26	59.26	0.04	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.20	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.19	0.19	81.25	81.25	0.12	0.12
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	25.93	25.93	-0.09	-0.09
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	30.77	30.77	-0.07	-0.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.18	0.18	34.48	34.48	-0.06	-0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.18	65.62	65.62	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.18	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.17	0.17	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Colorado	B12	0.16	0.16	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.16	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Texas St.	Slnd	0.16	0.16	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.15	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.12	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.12	0.12	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.12	0.12	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Wagner	NEC	0.11	0.11	16.13	16.13	-0.08	-0.08
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.11	87.88	87.88	0.08	0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.09	0.09	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.06	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.06	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern	SWAC	26.41	26.41	15.20	15.20	-18.38	-18.38
Texas Southern	SWAC	4.64	4.64	44.83	44.83	-0.48	-0.48
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	4.63	4.63	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	4.61	4.61	57.14	57.14	0.66	0.66
Alabama St.	SWAC	4.54	4.54	42.31	42.31	-0.70	-0.70
Grambling	SWAC	4.52	4.52	20.00	20.00	-2.71	-2.71
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	4.49	4.49	41.67	41.67	-0.75	-0.75
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	4.48	4.48	20.69	20.69	-2.63	-2.63
Alabama A&M	SWAC	4.45	4.45	28.57	28.57	-1.91	-1.91
Alcorn St.	SWAC	4.43	4.43	6.90	6.90	-3.82	-3.82
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.97	1.97	67.86	67.86	0.70	0.70
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.96	1.96	53.85	53.85	0.15	0.15
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.93	1.93	67.74	67.74	0.68	0.68
Central Arkansas	Slnd	1.85	1.85	20.00	20.00	-1.11	-1.11
Baylor	B12	1.84	1.84	76.67	76.67	0.98	0.98
Utah	MWC	1.80	1.80	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Brigham Young	MWC	1.78	1.78	84.38	84.38	1.22	1.22
Chicago St.	GWC	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
New Orleans	SB	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
Presbyterian	BSth	1.72	1.72	10.34	10.34	-1.37	-1.37
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.72	75.00	75.00	0.86	0.86
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.25	0.25	28.00	28.00	-0.11	-0.11
North Texas	SB	0.23	0.23	73.33	73.33	0.11	0.11
Arkansas	SEC	0.23	0.23	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.21	0.21	59.26	59.26	0.04	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.20	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.19	0.19	81.25	81.25	0.12	0.12
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	25.93	25.93	-0.09	-0.09
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	30.77	30.77	-0.07	-0.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.18	0.18	34.48	34.48	-0.06	-0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.18	65.62	65.62	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.18	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.17	0.17	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Colorado	B12	0.16	0.16	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.16	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Texas St.	Slnd	0.16	0.16	40.74	40.74	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.15	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.12	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.12	0.12	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.12	0.12	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Wagner	NEC	0.11	0.11	16.13	16.13	-0.08	-0.08
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.11	87.88	87.88	0.08	0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.09	0.09	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.06	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.06	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Brigham Young	MWC	1.78	1.78	84.38	84.38	1.22	1.22
Baylor	B12	1.84	1.84	76.67	76.67	0.98	0.98
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.72	75.00	75.00	0.86	0.86
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.97	1.97	67.86	67.86	0.70	0.70
Oklahoma St.	B12	1.93	1.93	67.74	67.74	0.68	0.68
Jackson St.	SWAC	4.61	4.61	57.14	57.14	0.66	0.66
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.96	1.96	53.85	53.85	0.15	0.15
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.19	0.19	81.25	81.25	0.12	0.12
North Texas	SB	0.23	0.23	73.33	73.33	0.11	0.11
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.11	87.88	87.88	0.08	0.08
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Texas A&M	B12	0.18	0.18	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Texas	B12	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.18	65.62	65.62	0.06	0.06
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.21	0.21	59.26	59.26	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01