The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Bradley page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Bradley

Conference:		MVC
Expected RPI:		115.5
Current RPI:		111
Expected SOS:		68
Current SOS:		86
Current Record:		12-11
Expected Record:		15-14
Current Conf Record:		7-6
Expected Conf Record:		9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC RPI:		161
Expected OOC SOS:		102

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-11	71.5	0.48%
17-12	81.8	4.27%
16-13	93.9	16.16%
15-14	107.8	30.71%
14-15	123.2	29.27%
13-16	140.3	15.93%
12-17	156.9	3.17%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bradley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	A	60-70	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Wofford (100.2)	SC	H	56-54	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	71-58	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	N	57-68	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Illinois (76.5)	B10	N	72-68	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	63-49	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Western Carolina (101.2)	SC	H	67-75	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Iowa St. (110.1)	B12	A	68-87	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Drake (179.5)	MVC	A	67-59	W	100%	0.0
1-1	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	H	81-86	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	A	69-81	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	91-85	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	69-88	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	A	50-52	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	74-56	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	A	57-55	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	H	74-64	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	H	68-73	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	A	47-66	L	0%	0.0
2-2	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	A	83-63	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	0-0		55%	1.5
2-13	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	H	0-0		33%	-4.9
2-16	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	A	0-0		37%	-3.5
2-20	Drexel (105.7)	CAA	H	0-0		59%	2.4
2-24	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	0-0		39%	-3.1
2-27	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	A	0-0		33%	-4.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Bradley's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Bradley's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Bradley.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bradley	MVC	26.46	26.38	51.43	48.00	0.76	-1.06
Missouri St.	MVC	5.05	4.39	68.18	65.66	1.84	1.37
Drake	MVC	5.05	4.42	47.83	46.18	-0.22	-0.34
Evansville	MVC	5.04	4.38	25.00	24.34	-2.52	-2.25
Southern Illinois	MVC	4.99	4.38	55.00	54.37	0.50	0.38
Northern Iowa	MVC	3.11	4.44	90.91	88.55	2.55	3.42
Illinois St.	MVC	3.06	4.39	65.22	62.82	0.93	1.13
Creighton	MVC	3.06	4.42	47.83	48.35	-0.13	-0.15
Indiana St.	MVC	3.02	4.38	59.09	56.17	0.55	0.54
Wichita St.	MVC	2.91	4.39	78.26	77.07	1.64	2.38
Iowa St.	B12	2.36	1.90	54.55	48.82	0.21	-0.04
Illinois	B10	2.31	1.81	69.57	60.98	0.91	0.40
Wofford	SC	2.27	1.78	69.57	70.28	0.89	0.72
Idaho St.	BSky	2.27	1.78	20.00	24.92	-1.36	-0.89
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.27	1.81	38.10	38.71	-0.54	-0.41
Brigham Young	MWC	2.23	1.76	86.96	87.00	1.65	1.30
Presbyterian	BSth	2.22	1.75	13.04	15.84	-1.64	-1.20
Western Carolina	SC	2.22	1.75	70.00	68.38	0.89	0.64
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.17	1.78	50.00	47.36	0.00	-0.09
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.17	1.75	68.18	62.29	0.79	0.43
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.33	0.23	8.70	9.54	-0.27	-0.19
Iowa	B10	0.32	0.26	33.33	30.82	-0.11	-0.10
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.29	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.26	-0.15
Georgia Southern	SC	0.25	0.18	17.39	20.11	-0.16	-0.11
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.25	0.27	22.73	22.57	-0.13	-0.15
Western Kentucky	SB	0.24	0.18	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.23	0.20	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.23	0.17	15.79	27.84	-0.16	-0.08
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.20	0.12	31.82	32.31	-0.07	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.15	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.19	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.12	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.19	0.14	68.18	59.30	0.07	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.19	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.18	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.07
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.13	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.09
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.09	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.15	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.18	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.07
Texas	B12	0.15	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.07
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Elon	SC	0.14	0.12	19.05	23.26	-0.09	-0.06
Furman	SC	0.14	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.12	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.14	0.12	21.74	24.84	-0.08	-0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.09	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.14	0.12	80.95	82.07	0.09	0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.14	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.14	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.14	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.14	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.07	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.15	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.03
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.06
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.09	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.12	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.09	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.12	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.15	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.12
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.12	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.09	0.12	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.04	0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.08
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.08	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.12	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.07
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.04
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.02	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.00	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.00	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.00	1.72	56.00	56.40	0.00	0.22
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.00	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.00	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.00	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.00	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.00	-0.03
Vermont	AE	0.00	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.00	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bradley	MVC	26.46	26.38	51.43	48.00	0.76	-1.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	3.11	4.44	90.91	88.55	2.55	3.42
Creighton	MVC	3.06	4.42	47.83	48.35	-0.13	-0.15
Drake	MVC	5.05	4.42	47.83	46.18	-0.22	-0.34
Illinois St.	MVC	3.06	4.39	65.22	62.82	0.93	1.13
Missouri St.	MVC	5.05	4.39	68.18	65.66	1.84	1.37
Wichita St.	MVC	2.91	4.39	78.26	77.07	1.64	2.38
Indiana St.	MVC	3.02	4.38	59.09	56.17	0.55	0.54
Evansville	MVC	5.04	4.38	25.00	24.34	-2.52	-2.25
Southern Illinois	MVC	4.99	4.38	55.00	54.37	0.50	0.38
Iowa St.	B12	2.36	1.90	54.55	48.82	0.21	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.27	1.81	38.10	38.71	-0.54	-0.41
Illinois	B10	2.31	1.81	69.57	60.98	0.91	0.40
Wofford	SC	2.27	1.78	69.57	70.28	0.89	0.72
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.17	1.78	50.00	47.36	0.00	-0.09
Idaho St.	BSky	2.27	1.78	20.00	24.92	-1.36	-0.89
Brigham Young	MWC	2.23	1.76	86.96	87.00	1.65	1.30
Western Carolina	SC	2.22	1.75	70.00	68.38	0.89	0.64
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.17	1.75	68.18	62.29	0.79	0.43
Presbyterian	BSth	2.22	1.75	13.04	15.84	-1.64	-1.20
Drexel	CAA	0.00	1.72	56.00	56.40	0.00	0.22
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.25	0.27	22.73	22.57	-0.13	-0.15
Iowa	B10	0.32	0.26	33.33	30.82	-0.11	-0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.33	0.23	8.70	9.54	-0.27	-0.19
Utah	MWC	0.23	0.20	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.24	0.18	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.18	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.25	0.18	17.39	20.11	-0.16	-0.11
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.29	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.26	-0.15
North Dakota	GWC	0.23	0.17	15.79	27.84	-0.16	-0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.15	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.07
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.15	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.12
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.15	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.19	0.14	68.18	59.30	0.07	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.13	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.09
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.12	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.20	0.12	31.82	32.31	-0.07	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.12	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.14	0.12	19.05	23.26	-0.09	-0.06
NC Greensboro	SC	0.14	0.12	21.74	24.84	-0.08	-0.06
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.12	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.12	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.06
Austin Peay	OVC	0.19	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.19	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.12	0.07
Furman	SC	0.14	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.14	0.12	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.12	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.14	0.12	80.95	82.07	0.09	0.08
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.07
Texas	B12	0.15	0.12	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.09	0.12	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.14	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.07	-0.05
Southern	SWAC	0.18	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.19	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.07	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.14	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.04	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.13	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.10	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.09	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.15	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.15	0.09	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.09	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.14	0.09	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.14	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.14	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.09	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.08	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.02	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.00	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.00	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.03
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.00	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.00	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.00	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.00	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.00	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.00	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.00	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	3.11	4.44	90.91	88.55	2.55	3.42
Missouri St.	MVC	5.05	4.39	68.18	65.66	1.84	1.37
Brigham Young	MWC	2.23	1.76	86.96	87.00	1.65	1.30
Wichita St.	MVC	2.91	4.39	78.26	77.07	1.64	2.38
Illinois St.	MVC	3.06	4.39	65.22	62.82	0.93	1.13
Illinois	B10	2.31	1.81	69.57	60.98	0.91	0.40
Wofford	SC	2.27	1.78	69.57	70.28	0.89	0.72