The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Vanderbilt page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Vanderbilt

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		21.7
Current RPI:		22
Expected SOS:		26
Current SOS:		26
Current Record:		22-7
Expected Record:		22-7
Current Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		50
Expected OOC SOS:		75

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
22-7		21.7		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Vanderbilt.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Lipscomb (207.4)	ASun	H	95-73	W	100%	0.0
11-20	St. Mary's (36.2)	WCC	A	72-70	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Cincinnati (60.2)	BE	N	58-67	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Arizona (86.5)	P10	N	84-72	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Missouri (44.4)	B12	H	89-83	W	100%	0.0
12-5	DePaul (212.3)	BE	H	67-54	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Illinois (75.9)	B10	A	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Western Kentucky (133.2)	SB	N	69-76	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Tennessee St. (259.6)	OVC	H	84-71	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Mercer (219.7)	ASun	H	99-59	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Manhattan (225.0)	MAAC	H	86-48	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Southern Mississippi (117.5)	CUSA	H	82-46	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Middle Tennessee (180.3)	SB	H	73-53	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Florida (53.9)	SEC	H	95-87	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Alabama (102.2)	SEC	A	65-64	W	100%	0.0
1-16	South Carolina (85.5)	SEC	A	89-79	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Auburn (146.1)	SEC	H	82-74	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Tennessee (15.7)	SEC	A	85-76	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Kentucky (3.7)	SEC	A	72-85	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Mississippi St. (67.6)	SEC	H	75-72	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Georgia (103.6)	SEC	A	58-72	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Tennessee (15.7)	SEC	H	90-71	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Louisiana St. (220.4)	SEC	H	77-69	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Mississippi (56.4)	SEC	A	82-78	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Kentucky (3.7)	SEC	H	56-58	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Georgia (103.6)	SEC	H	96-94	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Arkansas (145.5)	SEC	A	89-72	W	100%	0.0
3-2	Florida (53.9)	SEC	A	64-60	W	100%	0.0
3-6	South Carolina (85.5)	SEC	H	73-77	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Vanderbilt's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Vanderbilt's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Vanderbilt.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vanderbilt	SEC	26.11	26.08	74.42	74.42	12.75	12.74
Tennessee	SEC	4.13	4.14	82.14	82.59	2.66	2.70
Georgia	SEC	4.13	4.14	44.44	44.88	-0.46	-0.42
South Carolina	SEC	4.10	4.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	4.08	4.06	93.10	93.10	3.52	3.50
Florida	SEC	4.08	4.09	68.97	69.17	1.55	1.57
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.35	2.33	70.00	70.00	0.94	0.93
Alabama	SEC	2.35	2.39	55.17	55.21	0.24	0.25
Mississippi	SEC	2.33	2.31	72.41	72.41	1.04	1.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.32	2.36	37.93	36.83	-0.56	-0.62
Arkansas	SEC	2.30	2.34	46.67	46.56	-0.15	-0.16
Auburn	SEC	2.29	2.33	48.28	47.49	-0.08	-0.12
Western Kentucky	SB	1.90	1.89	60.61	60.61	0.40	0.40
DePaul	BE	1.84	1.83	26.67	26.67	-0.86	-0.86
Lipscomb	ASun	1.84	1.83	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.83	1.83	58.62	58.62	0.32	0.32
Mercer	ASun	1.81	1.81	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Missouri	B12	1.81	1.81	70.97	70.97	0.76	0.76
Illinois	B10	1.81	1.81	56.67	55.46	0.24	0.20
Cincinnati	BE	1.78	1.78	54.84	53.65	0.17	0.13
Arizona	P10	1.75	1.75	55.17	55.47	0.18	0.19
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.75	1.75	57.69	56.68	0.27	0.23
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.75	1.75	29.03	29.03	-0.74	-0.73
Manhattan	MAAC	1.72	1.72	36.67	36.67	-0.46	-0.46
St. Mary's	WCC	1.72	1.72	86.21	86.21	1.25	1.25
Jacksonville	ASun	0.26	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.23	0.23	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.22	0.22	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.23	76.67	76.44	0.11	0.12
New Orleans	SB	0.20	0.20	21.43	21.43	-0.11	-0.11
Belmont	ASun	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.19	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.19	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.18	0.17	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.17	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.17	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
Richmond	A10	0.17	0.16	77.42	77.79	0.09	0.09
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.17	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.17	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.15	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.14	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.07
Purdue	B10	0.14	0.14	86.67	86.67	0.10	0.10
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.14	79.31	78.09	0.08	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.14	80.65	80.65	0.09	0.09
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.14	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.14	33.33	32.99	-0.05	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.20	0.06	0.06
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.12	0.11	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.12	11.54	11.54	-0.09	-0.09
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.12	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	36.36	36.04	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.11	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	46.15	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.11	0.11	43.33	42.53	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.11	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	93.55	93.61	0.10	0.10
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.11	79.31	79.09	0.07	0.06
Providence	BE	0.11	0.11	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.31	0.06	0.06
American	Pat	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.11	90.32	89.58	0.09	0.09
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.09	82.76	83.00	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.09	46.67	45.48	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	62.07	62.16	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.08	70.97	71.30	0.04	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.08	70.00	70.31	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.11	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.09	0.08	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	73.08	73.18	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.11	76.67	76.80	0.04	0.06
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.11	80.00	80.10	0.05	0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	31.86	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.08	0.08	67.74	66.97	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.79	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.08	7.41	7.41	-0.07	-0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.82	0.03	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.59	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.06	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.05	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	71.43	71.93	0.02	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.05	44.83	46.01	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	57.69	56.45	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.05	36.67	36.13	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.82	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	76.84	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	75.00	74.46	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.75	18.71	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.07	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.10	87.43	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.89	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.86	76.36	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	61.92	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.37	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.52	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	56.00	56.08	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.03	0.03	25.93	26.48	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	70.37	69.63	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	69.60	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.70	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.26	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vanderbilt	SEC	26.11	26.08	74.42	74.42	12.75	12.74
Tennessee	SEC	4.13	4.14	82.14	82.59	2.66	2.70
Georgia	SEC	4.13	4.14	44.44	44.88	-0.46	-0.42
South Carolina	SEC	4.10	4.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.02
Florida	SEC	4.08	4.09	68.97	69.17	1.55	1.57
Kentucky	SEC	4.08	4.06	93.10	93.10	3.52	3.50
Alabama	SEC	2.35	2.39	55.17	55.21	0.24	0.25
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.32	2.36	37.93	36.83	-0.56	-0.62
Arkansas	SEC	2.30	2.34	46.67	46.56	-0.15	-0.16
Auburn	SEC	2.29	2.33	48.28	47.49	-0.08	-0.12
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.35	2.33	70.00	70.00	0.94	0.93
Mississippi	SEC	2.33	2.31	72.41	72.41	1.04	1.04
Western Kentucky	SB	1.90	1.89	60.61	60.61	0.40	0.40
DePaul	BE	1.84	1.83	26.67	26.67	-0.86	-0.86
Lipscomb	ASun	1.84	1.83	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.83	1.83	58.62	58.62	0.32	0.32
Mercer	ASun	1.81	1.81	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Illinois	B10	1.81	1.81	56.67	55.46	0.24	0.20
Missouri	B12	1.81	1.81	70.97	70.97	0.76	0.76
Cincinnati	BE	1.78	1.78	54.84	53.65	0.17	0.13
Arizona	P10	1.75	1.75	55.17	55.47	0.18	0.19
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.75	1.75	57.69	56.68	0.27	0.23
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.75	1.75	29.03	29.03	-0.74	-0.73
Manhattan	MAAC	1.72	1.72	36.67	36.67	-0.46	-0.46
St. Mary's	WCC	1.72	1.72	86.21	86.21	1.25	1.25
Jacksonville	ASun	0.26	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.21	0.23	76.67	76.44	0.11	0.12
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.23	0.23	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.22	0.22	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.20	0.20	21.43	21.43	-0.11	-0.11
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.19	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.19	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.18	0.17	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.17	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.17	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.17	0.16	77.42	77.79	0.09	0.09
Connecticut	BE	0.17	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.17	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.15	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.14	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Southern California	P10	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.14	80.65	80.65	0.09	0.09
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.14	33.33	32.99	-0.05	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.14	79.31	78.09	0.08	0.08
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.14	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.14	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.07
Purdue	B10	0.14	0.14	86.67	86.67	0.10	0.10
Arkansas St.	SB	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.20	0.06	0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.12	0.12	11.54	11.54	-0.09	-0.09
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.12	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.12	0.11	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	46.15	47.08	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.11	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.11	0.11	43.33	42.53	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.09	0.11	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.11	79.31	79.09	0.07	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.11	36.36	36.04	-0.03	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.11	0.11	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.11	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.11	0.11	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	93.55	93.61	0.10	0.10
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.11	80.00	80.10	0.05	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.11	76.67	76.80	0.04	0.06
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.11	90.32	89.58	0.09	0.09
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.31	0.06	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.09	82.76	83.00	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.09	46.67	45.48	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	62.07	62.16	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.09	0.08	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.08	70.97	71.30	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	73.08	73.18	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.08	70.00	70.31	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.08	0.08	67.74	66.97	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	31.86	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.79	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.08	7.41	7.41	-0.07	-0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.43	70.82	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.59	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	71.43	71.93	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.06	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.05	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	57.69	56.45	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.05	44.83	46.01	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.75	18.71	-0.03	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.82	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	76.84	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.05	36.67	36.13	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	75.00	74.46	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.07	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	61.92	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.37	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.52	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.10	87.43	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02