The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Vanderbilt page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Vanderbilt

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		21.8
Current RPI:		18
Expected SOS:		25
Current SOS:		23
Current Record:		16-5
Expected Record:		21-8
Current Conf Record:		6-2
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		44
Expected OOC SOS:		80

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-5	7.2	2.04%
23-6	10.0	12.61%
22-7	14.8	27.27%
21-8	22.0	31.50%
20-9	31.3	18.67%
19-10	42.9	6.53%
18-11	54.2	1.22%
17-12	64.3	0.14%
16-13	78.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Vanderbilt.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	H	95-73	W	100%	0.0
11-20	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	A	72-70	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	N	58-67	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Arizona (81.7)	P10	N	84-72	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Missouri (39.0)	B12	H	89-83	W	100%	0.0
12-5	DePaul (180.2)	BE	H	67-54	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Illinois (76.5)	B10	A	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	N	69-76	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	H	84-71	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	H	99-59	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Manhattan (240.2)	MAAC	H	86-48	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	H	82-46	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	73-53	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Florida (50.5)	SEC	H	95-87	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	A	65-64	W	100%	0.0
1-16	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	89-79	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	H	82-74	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	A	85-76	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	A	72-85	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	H	75-72	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	58-72	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	H	0-0		58%	2.2
2-13	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	H	0-0		96%	18.6
2-18	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	A	0-0		38%	-3.4
2-20	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	H	0-0		51%	0.3
2-25	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	H	0-0		85%	11.4
2-27	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	0-0		71%	6.0
3-2	Florida (50.5)	SEC	A	0-0		43%	-1.8
3-6	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	H	0-0		80%	9.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Vanderbilt's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Vanderbilt's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Vanderbilt.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vanderbilt	SEC	26.11	26.12	77.65	72.97	14.44	12.00
Tennessee	SEC	2.75	4.13	85.71	79.56	1.97	2.44
Georgia	SEC	2.75	4.13	45.00	44.56	-0.27	-0.45
Florida	SEC	2.70	4.08	77.27	70.44	1.47	1.67
South Carolina	SEC	2.70	4.10	61.90	57.60	0.64	0.62
Alabama	SEC	2.70	2.35	59.09	56.00	0.49	0.28
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.64	2.35	72.73	70.76	1.20	0.98
Kentucky	SEC	2.60	4.08	95.45	89.65	2.36	3.23
Auburn	SEC	2.59	2.29	47.62	44.09	-0.12	-0.27
Western Kentucky	SB	2.59	1.90	52.17	54.53	0.11	0.17
Lipscomb	ASun	2.54	1.84	54.55	58.57	0.23	0.32
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.53	1.84	54.55	56.91	0.23	0.25
Illinois	B10	2.49	1.81	65.22	57.64	0.76	0.28
Missouri	B12	2.49	1.81	77.27	72.96	1.36	0.83
DePaul	BE	2.49	1.84	36.36	35.06	-0.68	-0.55
Mercer	ASun	2.48	1.81	45.00	44.04	-0.25	-0.22
Arizona	P10	2.43	1.75	54.55	55.50	0.22	0.19
Cincinnati	BE	2.43	1.78	59.09	54.00	0.44	0.14
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.43	1.75	20.83	24.84	-1.42	-0.88
Manhattan	MAAC	2.38	1.72	34.78	36.59	-0.72	-0.46
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.38	1.75	58.82	58.08	0.42	0.28
St. Mary's	WCC	2.38	1.72	90.91	87.76	1.95	1.30
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.47	2.32	39.13	36.44	-0.10	-0.63
Mississippi	SEC	0.44	2.33	73.91	72.88	0.21	1.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.37	2.30	52.17	49.12	0.02	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.28	0.19	43.48	45.31	-0.04	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.28	0.18	22.73	22.86	-0.15	-0.10
Jacksonville	ASun	0.27	0.24	56.52	59.89	0.03	0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.26	0.18	60.00	63.83	0.05	0.05
Troy	SB	0.26	0.20	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.23	0.15	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.23	0.21	82.61	78.56	0.15	0.12
South Alabama	SB	0.22	0.23	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.22	0.15	29.17	28.85	-0.09	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.22	0.18	14.29	15.65	-0.15	-0.12
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.21	0.21	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.21	0.14	73.91	69.49	0.10	0.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.21	0.15	43.48	39.42	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.21	0.12	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.21	0.17	75.00	71.23	0.10	0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.21	0.20	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.21	0.20	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.12	8.70	9.54	-0.17	-0.10
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.14	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.17	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.16	0.17	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.16	0.14	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.05
Campbell	ASun	0.16	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.16	0.15	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.14	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.08
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.16	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.16	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.11	28.57	36.52	-0.07	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.14	86.36	81.80	0.11	0.09
Connecticut	BE	0.16	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.12	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.16	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.14	0.09
American	Pat	0.15	0.11	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.17	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.12	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.08
Indiana	B10	0.15	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.15	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.07
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.07	-0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.12	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.12	0.09	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.12	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.12	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.06
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.07
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.10	0.09
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.08	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.14	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.07
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.11	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.09	-0.05
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.12	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.06
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.08	-0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.09	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.10	77.27	75.69	0.04	0.05
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.11	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.08	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.00	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.00	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
Texas	B12	0.00	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.00	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.00	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Vanderbilt	SEC	26.11	26.12	77.65	72.97	14.44	12.00
Tennessee	SEC	2.75	4.13	85.71	79.56	1.97	2.44
Georgia	SEC	2.75	4.13	45.00	44.56	-0.27	-0.45
South Carolina	SEC	2.70	4.10	61.90	57.60	0.64	0.62
Kentucky	SEC	2.60	4.08	95.45	89.65	2.36	3.23
Florida	SEC	2.70	4.08	77.27	70.44	1.47	1.67
Alabama	SEC	2.70	2.35	59.09	56.00	0.49	0.28
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.64	2.35	72.73	70.76	1.20	0.98
Mississippi	SEC	0.44	2.33	73.91	72.88	0.21	1.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.47	2.32	39.13	36.44	-0.10	-0.63
Arkansas	SEC	0.37	2.30	52.17	49.12	0.02	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	2.59	2.29	47.62	44.09	-0.12	-0.27
Western Kentucky	SB	2.59	1.90	52.17	54.53	0.11	0.17
Lipscomb	ASun	2.54	1.84	54.55	58.57	0.23	0.32
DePaul	BE	2.49	1.84	36.36	35.06	-0.68	-0.55
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.53	1.84	54.55	56.91	0.23	0.25
Mercer	ASun	2.48	1.81	45.00	44.04	-0.25	-0.22
Illinois	B10	2.49	1.81	65.22	57.64	0.76	0.28
Missouri	B12	2.49	1.81	77.27	72.96	1.36	0.83
Cincinnati	BE	2.43	1.78	59.09	54.00	0.44	0.14
Arizona	P10	2.43	1.75	54.55	55.50	0.22	0.19
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.38	1.75	58.82	58.08	0.42	0.28
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.43	1.75	20.83	24.84	-1.42	-0.88
Manhattan	MAAC	2.38	1.72	34.78	36.59	-0.72	-0.46
St. Mary's	WCC	2.38	1.72	90.91	87.76	1.95	1.30
Jacksonville	ASun	0.27	0.24	56.52	59.89	0.03	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.22	0.23	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.23	0.21	82.61	78.56	0.15	0.12
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.21	0.21	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.21	0.20	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.26	0.20	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.21	0.20	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.28	0.19	43.48	45.31	-0.04	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.26	0.18	60.00	63.83	0.05	0.05
New Orleans	SB	0.28	0.18	22.73	22.86	-0.15	-0.10
Stetson	ASun	0.22	0.18	14.29	15.65	-0.15	-0.12
NC Asheville	BSth	0.16	0.17	33.33	37.71	-0.05	-0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.16	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.17	65.22	62.07	0.05	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.21	0.17	75.00	71.23	0.10	0.07
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.23	0.15	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.22	0.15	29.17	28.85	-0.09	-0.06
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.21	0.15	43.48	39.42	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.16	0.15	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.16	0.15	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.16	0.14	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.21	0.14	73.91	69.49	0.10	0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.14	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.14	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.14	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.08
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.14	86.36	81.80	0.11	0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.15	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.07	-0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.12	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.05
Campbell	ASun	0.16	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.12	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.12	8.70	9.54	-0.17	-0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.12	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.08
Providence	BE	0.21	0.12	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.16	0.12	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.12	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.03
American	Pat	0.15	0.11	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.11	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.11	28.57	36.52	-0.07	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.10	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.07
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.16	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.11	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.16	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.14	0.09
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.07	0.10	77.27	75.69	0.04	0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.17	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.12	0.09	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.06
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.08	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.08	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.08	-0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.15	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.12	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.12	0.06	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.09	-0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.09	-0.05
Washington	P10	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.00	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.07	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02