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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Hampton

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:283.0
Current RPI:283
Expected SOS:330
Current SOS:330
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:11-6
Expected Conf Record:11-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-8
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:308
Expected OOC SOS:92



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
12-16283.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hampton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Rider (198.0)MAACH56-67L0%0.0
11-20Kansas St. (57.0)B12A89-67L0%0.0
11-22Richmond (80.0)A10A65-52L0%0.0
11-25Robert Morris (237.0)NECN62-48L0%0.0
11-26Stony Brook (176.0)AEN66-76L0%0.0
11-29East Carolina (213.0)AmerA68-48L0%0.0
12-3William & Mary (110.0)CAAH79-69W100%0.0
12-7Gardner Webb (186.0)BSthA69-63L0%0.0
12-17Winthrop (70.0)BSthH79-86L0%0.0
12-21Appalachian St. (301.0)SBA88-67L0%0.0
12-28Princeton (47.0)IvyA77-49L0%0.0
1-4North Carolina A&T (350.0)MEACH68-53W100%0.0
1-9Savannah St. (279.0)MEACH84-80W100%0.0
1-14Delaware St. (332.0)MEACA77-85W100%0.0
1-16North Carolina Central (199.0)MEACH51-64L0%0.0
1-21Norfolk St. (254.0)MEACA79-62L0%0.0
1-25South Carolina St. (299.0)MEACH66-68L0%0.0
1-30Coppin St. (336.0)MEACH77-65W100%0.0
2-1Maryland Eastern Shore (278.0)MEACH66-65W100%0.0
2-4Savannah St. (279.0)MEACA89-92W100%0.0
2-6South Carolina St. (299.0)MEACA64-93W100%0.0
2-11Howard (337.0)MEACH75-61W100%0.0
2-18Bethune Cookman (346.0)MEACA62-61L0%0.0
2-20Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA69-76W100%0.0
2-25Morgan St. (326.0)MEACA77-70L0%0.0
2-27Norfolk St. (254.0)MEACH63-59W100%0.0
3-2Coppin St. (336.0)MEACA82-89W100%0.0
3-9Maryland Eastern Shore (278.0)MEACN66-68L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Hampton's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Hampton's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Hampton.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
HamptonMEAC26.1326.1344.4444.44-2.90-2.90
Norfolk St.MEAC4.304.3048.2848.28-0.15-0.15
South Carolina St.MEAC4.294.2929.6329.63-1.75-1.75
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC4.204.2036.6736.67-1.12-1.12
Savannah St.MEAC4.204.2044.0044.00-0.50-0.50
Coppin St.MEAC4.174.1725.0025.00-2.09-2.09
HowardMEAC2.592.5925.8125.81-1.25-1.25
North Carolina CentralMEAC2.582.5872.4172.411.161.16
Bethune CookmanMEAC2.532.5324.1424.14-1.31-1.31
North Carolina A&TMEAC2.522.523.453.45-2.35-2.35
Morgan St.MEAC2.482.4842.8642.86-0.35-0.35
Florida A&MMEAC2.472.4718.5218.52-1.56-1.56
Delaware St.MEAC2.422.4227.5927.59-1.08-1.08
Gardner WebbBSth1.931.9351.7251.720.070.07
East CarolinaAmer1.881.8843.7543.75-0.23-0.23
WinthropBSth1.881.8879.3179.311.101.10
William & MaryCAA1.851.8553.5753.570.130.13
Kansas St.B121.841.8459.3859.380.350.35
Robert MorrisNEC1.841.8440.6240.62-0.35-0.35
RiderMAAC1.821.8253.1253.120.110.11
RichmondA101.811.8161.2961.290.410.41
Appalachian St.SB1.791.7922.2222.22-0.99-0.99
PrincetonIvy1.791.7977.7877.780.990.99
Stony BrookAE1.791.7956.6756.670.240.24
Georgia SouthernSB0.190.1953.3353.330.010.01
LibertyBSth0.180.1855.1755.170.020.02
CampbellBSth0.180.1845.1645.16-0.02-0.02
High PointBSth0.180.1842.8642.86-0.03-0.03
PresbyterianBSth0.180.1810.7110.71-0.14-0.14
UMBCAE0.170.1757.1457.140.020.02
George WashingtonA100.170.1757.5857.580.030.03
Coastal CarolinaSB0.150.1545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
JacksonvilleASun0.150.1546.4346.43-0.01-0.01
HofstraCAA0.150.1545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.150.1532.1432.14-0.05-0.05
TowsonCAA0.150.1559.3859.380.030.03
MonmouthMAAC0.150.1581.8281.820.090.09
BucknellPat0.140.1476.4776.470.080.08
VCUA100.140.1476.4776.470.080.08
South FloridaAmer0.140.1423.3323.33-0.08-0.08
ManhattanMAAC0.140.1431.2531.25-0.05-0.05
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.140.1455.8855.880.020.02
SMUAmer0.140.1488.2488.240.110.11
UCFAmer0.140.1465.6265.620.040.04
Boston CollegeACC0.140.1428.1228.12-0.06-0.06
BrownIvy0.120.1239.2939.29-0.03-0.03
Grambling St.SWAC0.120.1243.3343.33-0.02-0.02
PennIvy0.120.1246.4346.43-0.01-0.01
James MadisonCAA0.120.1228.1228.12-0.05-0.05
ClemsonACC0.120.1253.1253.120.010.01
FurmanSC0.120.1263.3363.330.030.03
ColumbiaIvy0.120.1238.4638.46-0.03-0.03
Iowa St.B120.120.1269.7069.700.050.05
St. Francis NYNEC0.120.1210.0010.00-0.10-0.10
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.120.1284.3884.380.080.08
LongwoodBSth0.120.1214.2914.29-0.09-0.09
RadfordBSth0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
UNC AshevilleBSth0.120.1270.0070.000.050.05
Kennesaw St.ASun0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Wichita St.MVC0.120.1287.8887.880.090.09
HartfordAE0.120.1228.1228.12-0.05-0.05
BinghamtonAE0.120.1231.0331.03-0.04-0.04
AkronMAC0.120.1275.7675.760.060.06
Saint LouisA100.110.1136.3636.36-0.03-0.03
WagnerNEC0.110.1151.7251.720.000.00
NiagaraMAAC0.110.1130.3030.30-0.04-0.04
Sacred HeartNEC0.110.1140.6240.62-0.02-0.02
MarylandB100.110.1174.1974.190.050.05
LIU BrooklynNEC0.110.1161.2961.290.030.03
IowaB100.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
YaleIvy0.100.1060.7160.710.020.02
MemphisAmer0.090.0959.3859.380.020.02
ElonCAA0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
HarvardIvy0.090.0961.5461.540.020.02
BYUWCC0.090.0966.6766.670.030.03
Louisiana MonroeSB0.090.0922.5822.58-0.05-0.05
DelawareCAA0.090.0935.4835.48-0.03-0.03
NortheasternCAA0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
StetsonASun0.090.0927.5927.59-0.04-0.04
College of CharlestonCAA0.090.0972.7372.730.040.04
DrexelCAA0.090.0925.8125.81-0.04-0.04
Bowling GreenMAC0.090.0938.7138.71-0.02-0.02
LehighPat0.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
DavidsonA100.090.0953.1253.120.010.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.090.0946.6746.67-0.01-0.01
GeorgetownBE0.090.0943.7543.75-0.01-0.01
New HampshireAE0.090.0958.6258.620.020.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.090.0968.7568.750.030.03
Old DominionCUSA0.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
BuffaloMAC0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
AlbanyAE0.090.0960.6160.610.020.02
HoustonAmer0.080.0867.7467.740.030.03
MassachusettsA100.080.0845.4545.45-0.01-0.01
AmericanPat0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
MichiganB100.080.0868.5768.570.030.03
St. Francis PANEC0.080.0848.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Colorado St.MWC0.080.0865.6265.620.030.03
FordhamA100.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Texas TechB120.080.0856.2556.250.010.01
BaylorB120.080.0877.4277.420.040.04
IonaMAAC0.080.0864.7164.710.020.02
TempleAmer0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
West VirginiaB120.080.0876.4776.470.040.04
East Tennessee St.SC0.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
OregonP120.070.0784.8584.850.050.05
Oregon St.P120.070.0712.9012.90-0.05-0.05
San Diego St.MWC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
Arkansas St.SB0.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
CornellIvy0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
DartmouthIvy0.060.0625.9325.93-0.03-0.03
Georgia St.SB0.060.0660.0060.000.010.01
Little RockSB0.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Texas St.SB0.060.0658.0658.060.010.01
TroySB0.060.0658.8258.820.010.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
DukeACC0.060.0677.1477.140.030.03
HawaiiBW0.060.0644.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
SamfordSC0.060.0653.1253.120.000.00
Western CarolinaSC0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Holy CrossPat0.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Miami FLACC0.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
Saint Mary'sWCC0.060.0687.5087.500.050.05
South CarolinaSEC0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
SyracuseACC0.060.0656.2556.250.010.01
Texas A&MSEC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.060.0635.4835.48-0.02-0.02
RutgersB100.060.0643.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Ball St.MAC0.060.0662.5062.500.010.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.060.0668.9768.970.020.02
St. John'sBE0.060.0642.4242.42-0.01-0.01
UtahP120.060.0662.0762.070.010.01
ValparaisoHorz0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
Air ForceMWC0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
CharlotteCUSA0.060.0641.3841.38-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
TennesseeSEC0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Rhode IslandA100.060.0672.7372.730.030.03
DaytonA100.060.0676.6776.670.030.03
VMISC0.060.0614.2914.29-0.04-0.04
ButlerBE0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.060.0634.4834.48-0.02-0.02
EvansvilleMVC0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
MaineAE0.060.0619.3519.35-0.04-0.04
Mississippi St.SEC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
PurdueB100.060.0678.1278.120.030.03
UMass LowellAE0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
VanderbiltSEC0.060.0655.8855.880.010.01
VermontAE0.060.0684.8584.850.040.04
PacificWCC0.060.0631.2531.25-0.02-0.02
George MasonA100.060.0659.3859.380.010.01
Louisiana TechCUSA0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
UTEPCUSA0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Virginia TechACC0.060.0668.7568.750.020.02
DuquesneA100.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
BryantNEC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.02-0.02
CanisiusMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
ConnecticutAmer0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
FairfieldMAAC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
KansasB120.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
MaristMAAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
OklahomaB120.050.0535.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Oklahoma St.B120.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
QuinnipiacMAAC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
SienaMAAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
TCUB120.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
TexasB120.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
TulaneAmer0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
TulsaAmer0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
VirginiaACC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
Cal PolyBW0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
CaliforniaP120.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
LafayettePat0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
South AlabamaSB0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
SouthernSWAC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
WisconsinB100.030.0373.5373.530.020.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
LouisvilleACC0.030.0375.0075.000.020.02
Loyola MarymountWCC0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Penn St.B100.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Florida St.ACC0.030.0375.7675.760.020.02
GeorgiaSEC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Georgia TechACC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
IllinoisB100.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
IndianaB100.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.01-0.01
LSUSEC0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
MarshallCUSA0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.030.0319.2319.23-0.02-0.02
MissouriSEC0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Montana St.BSky0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
NebraskaB100.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
New Mexico St.WAC0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0337.0437.04-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
Notre DameACC0.030.0373.5373.530.010.01
Ohio St.B100.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
PittsburghACC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
RiceCUSA0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.030.0367.6567.650.010.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Loyola MDPat0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
NJITASun0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
IUPUISum0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
La SalleA100.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
MarquetteBE0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Oral RobertsSum0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
St. BonaventureA100.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Wake ForestACC0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
CincinnatiAmer0.030.0385.2985.290.020.02
DePaulBE0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Green BayHorz0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
MercerSC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Nebraska OmahaSum0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
OaklandHorz0.030.0373.3373.330.010.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Washington St.P120.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Western IllinoisSum0.030.0323.0823.08-0.01-0.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01