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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Princeton

Conference:Ivy
Expected RPI:47.0
Current RPI:47
Expected SOS:149
Current SOS:149
Current Record:22-6
Expected Record:22-6
Current Conf Record:16-0
Expected Conf Record:16-0
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-0
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:99
Expected OOC SOS:75



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
22-647.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Princeton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14BYU (65.0)WCCA82-73L0%0.0
11-20Lehigh (97.0)PatA76-67L0%0.0
11-23Lafayette (321.0)PatA55-71W100%0.0
11-29VCU (22.0)A10A81-70L0%0.0
12-6California (53.0)P12N62-51L0%0.0
12-7Hawaii (300.0)BWN62-75W100%0.0
12-10Liberty (172.0)BSthA64-67W100%0.0
12-14Saint Joseph's (197.0)A10H68-76L0%0.0
12-20Monmouth (49.0)MAACA96-90L0%0.0
12-22Bucknell (63.0)PatA70-72W100%0.0
12-28Hampton (283.0)MEACH77-49W100%0.0
12-31Cal Poly (297.0)BWH81-52W100%0.0
1-7Penn (203.0)IvyH61-52W100%0.0
1-13Brown (284.0)IvyH97-66W100%0.0
1-14Yale (128.0)IvyH66-58W100%0.0
2-3Dartmouth (305.0)IvyA64-69W100%0.0
2-4Harvard (143.0)IvyA56-57W100%0.0
2-7Penn (203.0)IvyA49-64W100%0.0
2-10Cornell (270.0)IvyH69-60W100%0.0
2-11Columbia (262.0)IvyH61-59W100%0.0
2-17Yale (128.0)IvyA52-71W100%0.0
2-18Brown (284.0)IvyA51-66W100%0.0
2-24Columbia (262.0)IvyA45-64W100%0.0
2-25Cornell (270.0)IvyA60-75W100%0.0
3-3Harvard (143.0)IvyH73-69W100%0.0
3-4Dartmouth (305.0)IvyH85-48W100%0.0
3-11Penn (203.0)IvyA64-72W100%0.0
3-12Yale (128.0)IvyN71-59W100%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Princeton's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Princeton's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Princeton.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
PrincetonIvy26.5826.5882.6182.6117.3417.34
YaleIvy6.316.3168.0068.002.272.27
PennIvy6.276.2752.0052.000.250.25
HarvardIvy4.574.5766.6766.671.521.52
CornellIvy4.554.5526.9226.92-2.10-2.10
ColumbiaIvy4.514.5141.6741.67-0.75-0.75
BrownIvy4.494.4942.3142.31-0.69-0.69
DartmouthIvy4.484.4828.0028.00-1.97-1.97
LafayettePat2.082.0828.5728.57-0.89-0.89
LehighPat2.022.0260.0060.000.400.40
Saint Joseph'sA102.012.0133.3333.33-0.67-0.67
BucknellPat1.931.9378.7978.791.111.11
Cal PolyBW1.871.8732.1432.14-0.67-0.67
MonmouthMAAC1.851.8581.2581.251.161.16
HawaiiBW1.851.8546.4346.43-0.13-0.13
VCUA101.851.8575.7675.760.950.95
CaliforniaP121.821.8262.5062.500.450.45
LibertyBSth1.811.8157.1457.140.260.26
BYUWCC1.791.7965.6265.620.560.56
HamptonMEAC1.791.7944.4444.44-0.20-0.20
NavyPat0.360.3648.3948.39-0.01-0.01
ColgatePat0.330.3329.0329.03-0.14-0.14
BryantNEC0.290.2935.4835.48-0.09-0.09
ArmyPat0.290.2938.7138.71-0.07-0.07
AlbanyAE0.290.2960.6160.610.060.06
Holy CrossPat0.270.2746.8846.88-0.02-0.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.260.2620.6920.69-0.15-0.15
FairfieldMAAC0.240.2453.3353.330.020.02
Rhode IslandA100.240.2472.7372.730.110.11
La SalleA100.230.2350.0050.000.000.00
VermontAE0.230.2384.8584.850.160.16
TempleAmer0.220.2250.0050.000.000.00
George MasonA100.200.2059.3859.380.040.04
Loyola MDPat0.200.2046.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Boston UniversityPat0.200.2054.8454.840.020.02
MaineAE0.200.2019.3519.35-0.12-0.12
HowardMEAC0.200.2025.0025.00-0.10-0.10
Stony BrookAE0.190.1958.0658.060.030.03
QuinnipiacMAAC0.190.1932.2632.26-0.07-0.07
MaristMAAC0.180.1825.0025.00-0.09-0.09
Robert MorrisNEC0.180.1842.4242.42-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.180.1825.8125.81-0.09-0.09
MassachusettsA100.180.1845.4545.45-0.02-0.02
UC DavisBW0.180.1862.5062.500.050.05
AmericanPat0.170.1726.6726.67-0.08-0.08
SienaMAAC0.170.1750.0050.000.000.00
RichmondA100.170.1762.5062.500.040.04
Miami FLACC0.160.1665.6265.620.050.05
HoustonAmer0.160.1667.7467.740.060.06
HartfordAE0.160.1628.1228.12-0.07-0.07
VillanovaBE0.160.1691.1891.180.130.13
Long Beach St.BW0.150.1540.6240.62-0.03-0.03
WashingtonP120.150.1529.0329.03-0.06-0.06
FordhamA100.150.1538.7138.71-0.03-0.03
UC IrvineBW0.150.1557.5857.580.020.02
George WashingtonA100.150.1557.5857.580.020.02
NiagaraMAAC0.140.1430.3030.30-0.06-0.06
Boston CollegeACC0.130.1328.1228.12-0.06-0.06
NortheasternCAA0.130.1348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
LongwoodBSth0.130.1314.2914.29-0.09-0.09
Seton HallBE0.130.1365.6265.620.040.04
Sacred HeartNEC0.130.1340.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Cal St. FullertonBW0.120.1251.7251.720.000.00
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.1235.7135.71-0.04-0.04
UC RiversideBW0.120.1222.2222.22-0.07-0.07
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.120.1218.5218.52-0.08-0.08
StanfordP120.120.1243.3343.33-0.02-0.02
VirginiaACC0.120.1268.7568.750.050.05
USCP120.120.1272.7372.730.050.05
UtahP120.110.1162.0762.070.030.03
Morgan St.MEAC0.100.1044.8344.83-0.01-0.01
DelawareCAA0.100.1035.4835.48-0.03-0.03
PittsburghACC0.100.1048.4848.48-0.00-0.00
UCFAmer0.100.1065.6265.620.030.03
NJITASun0.090.0931.0331.03-0.04-0.04
St. Francis NYNEC0.090.0910.0010.00-0.08-0.08
TroySB0.090.0958.8258.820.020.02
UMass LowellAE0.090.0933.3333.33-0.03-0.03
Gardner WebbBSth0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
WinthropBSth0.090.0980.0080.000.060.06
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.090.0967.8667.860.030.03
Old DominionCUSA0.090.0961.2961.290.020.02
RadfordBSth0.090.0940.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Coppin St.MEAC0.090.0923.3323.33-0.05-0.05
South Carolina St.MEAC0.090.0931.0331.03-0.03-0.03
SyracuseACC0.090.0956.2556.250.010.01
WyomingMWC0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
BinghamtonAE0.090.0931.0331.03-0.03-0.03
Norfolk St.MEAC0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
UNC AshevilleBSth0.090.0970.0070.000.040.04
RiderMAAC0.090.0954.5554.550.010.01
Arizona St.P120.080.0845.4545.45-0.01-0.01
PepperdineWCC0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.080.0859.3859.380.020.02
St. BonaventureA100.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
Saint LouisA100.080.0836.3636.36-0.02-0.02
DavidsonA100.080.0853.1253.120.010.01
DaytonA100.080.0876.6776.670.040.04
ColoradoP120.080.0856.2556.250.010.01
Loyola MarymountWCC0.080.0848.2848.28-0.00-0.00
OregonP120.080.0884.8584.850.060.06
Oregon St.P120.080.0812.9012.90-0.06-0.06
Saint Mary'sWCC0.080.0887.5087.500.060.06
ManhattanMAAC0.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
HofstraCAA0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.070.0761.2961.290.010.01
New HampshireAE0.070.0758.6258.620.010.01
CincinnatiAmer0.060.0685.2985.290.050.05
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.060.0637.5037.50-0.02-0.02
ProvidenceBE0.060.0662.5062.500.020.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.060.0640.7440.74-0.01-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.060.0641.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
William & MaryCAA0.060.0651.7251.720.000.00
CampbellBSth0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.060.0632.1432.14-0.02-0.02
High PointBSth0.060.0642.8642.86-0.01-0.01
PresbyterianBSth0.060.0610.7110.71-0.05-0.05
Illinois St.MVC0.060.0681.2581.250.040.04
North CarolinaACC0.060.0678.7978.790.030.03
DuquesneA100.060.0631.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.060.0655.8855.880.010.01
ArizonaP120.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
CanisiusMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
GonzagaWCC0.050.0596.9796.970.050.05
IonaMAAC0.050.0564.7164.710.020.02
PacificWCC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
PortlandWCC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
San DiegoWCC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
San FranciscoWCC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
IllinoisB100.050.0554.8454.840.010.01
Appalachian St.SB0.030.0325.0025.00-0.02-0.02
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Florida A&MMEAC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
Kansas St.B120.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.030.033.333.33-0.03-0.03
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.030.0373.3373.330.010.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.030.0320.0020.00-0.02-0.02
ElonCAA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Fresno St.MWC0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
FurmanSC0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.030.0368.9768.970.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
IndianaB100.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
LamarSlnd0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0321.8821.88-0.02-0.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.01-0.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
Southern MissCUSA0.030.0324.1424.14-0.02-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Texas St.SB0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
UNC GreensboroSC0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
UTSACUSA0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
MississippiSEC0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
St. Francis PANEC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
ToledoMAC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
XavierBE0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Coastal CarolinaSB0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Idaho St.BSky0.030.0313.3313.33-0.02-0.02
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
MemphisAmer0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
South CarolinaSEC0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
UCLAP120.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
Utah St.MWC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Utah ValleyWAC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
ValparaisoHorz0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
WagnerNEC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Washington St.P120.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Weber St.BSky0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
BaylorB120.030.0377.4277.420.010.01
ButlerBE0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
Georgia TechACC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
LSUSEC0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
Northern ColoradoBSky0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
VanderbiltSEC0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
Wake ForestACC0.030.0359.3859.380.000.00