The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Wagner page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Wagner

Conference:		NEC
Expected RPI:		331.7
Current RPI:		332
Expected SOS:		279
Current SOS:		279
Current Record:		5-26
Expected Record:		5-26
Current Conf Record:		3-14
Expected Conf Record:		3-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-16
Current OOC Record:		2-12
Expected OOC Record:		2-12
Expected OOC RPI:		326
Expected OOC SOS:		295

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
5-26		331.7		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wagner.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Lafayette (212.2)	Pat	A	72-81	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Stony Brook (141.8)	AE	H	48-72	L	0%	0.0
11-24	NJ Inst of Technology (339.5)	GWC	A	51-56	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Bucknell (259.6)	Pat	H	61-85	L	0%	0.0
12-3	St. Francis PA (286.7)	NEC	A	42-69	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Robert Morris (128.4)	NEC	A	70-73	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Columbia (251.9)	Ivy	H	91-102	L	0%	0.0
12-12	St. Peter's (180.2)	MAAC	A	59-58	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Brigham Young (22.4)	MWC	A	61-77	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Nevada (65.4)	WAC	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Jackson St. (199.5)	SWAC	N	71-62	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Chicago St. (344.9)	GWC	N	63-78	L	0%	0.0
12-28	NJ Inst of Technology (339.5)	GWC	H	56-65	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Princeton (131.8)	Ivy	A	42-45	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Brown (257.2)	Ivy	A	71-72	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Sacred Heart (263.5)	NEC	A	59-75	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Quinnipiac (148.9)	NEC	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Long Island (241.9)	NEC	H	64-79	L	0%	0.0
1-16	St. Francis NY (292.9)	NEC	H	53-60	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Long Island (241.9)	NEC	A	65-59	W	100%	0.0
1-23	St. Francis NY (292.9)	NEC	A	54-57	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Quinnipiac (148.9)	NEC	H	57-66	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Sacred Heart (263.5)	NEC	H	74-73	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Mount St. Mary's (172.5)	NEC	A	44-69	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Mount St. Mary's (172.5)	NEC	H	50-66	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Fairleigh Dickinson (271.5)	NEC	A	65-70	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Monmouth (288.5)	NEC	A	67-76	L	0%	0.0
2-18	Bryant (344.8)	ind	H	51-53	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Central Connecticut (309.8)	NEC	H	60-62	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Robert Morris (128.4)	NEC	H	55-76	L	0%	0.0
2-27	St. Francis PA (286.7)	NEC	H	81-76	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Wagner's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Wagner's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Wagner.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Wagner	NEC	26.26	26.25	16.78	16.78	-17.45	-17.44
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	4.06	4.06	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Robert Morris	NEC	4.04	4.04	65.62	65.62	1.26	1.26
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.04	4.04	70.00	70.00	1.62	1.62
Long Island	NEC	4.04	4.04	44.83	44.83	-0.42	-0.42
St. Francis PA	NEC	4.01	4.01	35.71	35.71	-1.14	-1.14
St. Francis NY	NEC	3.98	3.98	33.33	33.33	-1.33	-1.33
Sacred Heart	NEC	3.96	3.96	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	3.36	3.36	20.00	20.83	-2.02	-1.96
Monmouth	NEC	2.45	2.45	36.67	36.67	-0.65	-0.65
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.45	2.45	32.26	32.26	-0.87	-0.87
Bryant	ind	2.43	2.43	0.00	0.00	-2.43	-2.43
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.40	2.40	37.93	37.93	-0.58	-0.58
Lafayette	Pat	2.05	2.05	60.00	60.00	0.41	0.41
Columbia	Ivy	2.00	2.00	37.04	37.04	-0.52	-0.52
Brown	Ivy	1.92	1.92	28.57	28.57	-0.82	-0.82
St. Peter's	MAAC	1.83	1.83	55.17	55.17	0.19	0.19
Stony Brook	AE	1.78	1.78	68.97	68.97	0.68	0.68
Princeton	Ivy	1.78	1.78	69.23	69.23	0.68	0.68
Bucknell	Pat	1.77	1.77	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Chicago St.	GWC	1.73	1.73	18.52	18.52	-1.09	-1.09
Brigham Young	MWC	1.64	1.64	86.67	87.03	1.20	1.21
Nevada	WAC	1.64	1.64	60.71	61.46	0.35	0.38
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Yale	Ivy	0.37	0.36	36.67	36.67	-0.10	-0.10
Lehigh	Pat	0.35	0.35	67.74	67.74	0.12	0.12
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.30	0.30	14.81	14.81	-0.21	-0.21
Hartford	AE	0.30	0.30	26.67	26.67	-0.14	-0.14
Holy Cross	Pat	0.29	0.29	29.03	29.03	-0.12	-0.12
American	Pat	0.27	0.27	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Army	Pat	0.27	0.27	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.24	0.24	34.48	34.48	-0.07	-0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.24	0.23	21.43	21.43	-0.14	-0.13
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.28	35.48	36.20	-0.07	-0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.23	0.23	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.22	0.22	21.43	21.43	-0.13	-0.13
Vermont	AE	0.22	0.21	72.73	72.42	0.10	0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.20	0.20	74.07	74.07	0.10	0.10
Manhattan	MAAC	0.20	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Maine	AE	0.19	0.19	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.17	64.00	64.72	0.05	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.18	0.17	18.75	18.71	-0.11	-0.11
Utah Valley	GWC	0.18	0.17	30.77	30.77	-0.07	-0.07
Seton Hall	BE	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.16	0.16	61.29	60.56	0.04	0.03
Albany	AE	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.13	0.13	81.82	81.82	0.09	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.13	90.32	89.58	0.11	0.10
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.11	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.11	0.11	3.33	3.33	-0.10	-0.10
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
Rider	MAAC	0.11	0.11	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	36.67	35.83	-0.03	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	73.33	72.97	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.13	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	76.84	0.05	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.07	0.03	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Nebraska	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	45.16	44.74	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.37	0.05	0.05
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
New Hampshire	AE	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.08	0.08	75.86	76.36	0.04	0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	70.00	68.82	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.08	46.43	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.05	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	61.92	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	44.83	44.75	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.31	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.05	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	28.57	27.67	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.52	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	90.32	90.55	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	71.43	71.93	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.08	37.93	36.74	-0.01	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.05	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.65	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.08	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.20	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	57.69	56.45	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	44.10	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	82.76	83.00	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.26	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Wagner	NEC	26.26	26.25	16.78	16.78	-17.45	-17.44
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	4.06	4.06	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Robert Morris	NEC	4.04	4.04	65.62	65.62	1.26	1.26
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.04	4.04	70.00	70.00	1.62	1.62
Long Island	NEC	4.04	4.04	44.83	44.83	-0.42	-0.42
St. Francis PA	NEC	4.01	4.01	35.71	35.71	-1.14	-1.14
St. Francis NY	NEC	3.98	3.98	33.33	33.33	-1.33	-1.33
Sacred Heart	NEC	3.96	3.96	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	3.36	3.36	20.00	20.83	-2.02	-1.96
Monmouth	NEC	2.45	2.45	36.67	36.67	-0.65	-0.65
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.45	2.45	32.26	32.26	-0.87	-0.87
Bryant	ind	2.43	2.43	0.00	0.00	-2.43	-2.43
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.40	2.40	37.93	37.93	-0.58	-0.58
Lafayette	Pat	2.05	2.05	60.00	60.00	0.41	0.41
Columbia	Ivy	2.00	2.00	37.04	37.04	-0.52	-0.52
Brown	Ivy	1.92	1.92	28.57	28.57	-0.82	-0.82
St. Peter's	MAAC	1.83	1.83	55.17	55.17	0.19	0.19
Stony Brook	AE	1.78	1.78	68.97	68.97	0.68	0.68
Princeton	Ivy	1.78	1.78	69.23	69.23	0.68	0.68
Bucknell	Pat	1.77	1.77	43.33	43.33	-0.24	-0.24
Chicago St.	GWC	1.73	1.73	18.52	18.52	-1.09	-1.09
Brigham Young	MWC	1.64	1.64	86.67	87.03	1.20	1.21
Nevada	WAC	1.64	1.64	60.71	61.46	0.35	0.38
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Yale	Ivy	0.37	0.36	36.67	36.67	-0.10	-0.10
Lehigh	Pat	0.35	0.35	67.74	67.74	0.12	0.12
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.30	0.30	14.81	14.81	-0.21	-0.21
Hartford	AE	0.30	0.30	26.67	26.67	-0.14	-0.14
Holy Cross	Pat	0.29	0.29	29.03	29.03	-0.12	-0.12
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.28	35.48	36.20	-0.07	-0.08
American	Pat	0.27	0.27	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Army	Pat	0.27	0.27	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.24	0.24	34.48	34.48	-0.07	-0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.24	0.23	21.43	21.43	-0.14	-0.13
Cornell	Ivy	0.23	0.23	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.22	0.22	21.43	21.43	-0.13	-0.13
Vermont	AE	0.22	0.21	72.73	72.42	0.10	0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.20	0.20	74.07	74.07	0.10	0.10
Manhattan	MAAC	0.20	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Maine	AE	0.19	0.19	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.17	64.00	64.72	0.05	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.18	0.17	18.75	18.71	-0.11	-0.11
Utah Valley	GWC	0.18	0.17	30.77	30.77	-0.07	-0.07
Seton Hall	BE	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.16	0.16	61.29	60.56	0.04	0.03
Albany	AE	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.13	0.13	81.82	81.82	0.09	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.13	90.32	89.58	0.11	0.10
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Marist	MAAC	0.11	0.11	3.33	3.33	-0.10	-0.10
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.11	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.11	17.24	17.24	-0.07	-0.07
Rider	MAAC	0.11	0.11	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	36.67	35.83	-0.03	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	73.33	72.97	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.13	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	76.84	0.05	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.07	0.03	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Nebraska	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.03	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	23.08	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.08	46.43	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
New Hampshire	AE	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	45.16	44.74	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.37	0.05	0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	70.00	68.82	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.08	0.08	75.86	76.36	0.04	0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.08	37.93	36.74	-0.01	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.31	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.05	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.05	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	61.92	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	44.83	44.75	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.52	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	28.57	27.67	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	90.32	90.55	0.04	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	71.43	71.93	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.05	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.65	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.08	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.20	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	57.69	56.45	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	44.10	-0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	82.76	83.00	0.02	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.26	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Quinnipiac	NEC	4.04	4.04	70.00	70.00	1.62	1.62
Robert Morris	NEC	4.04	4.04	65.62	65.62	1.26	1.26
Brigham Young	MWC	1.64	1.64	86.67	87.03	1.20	1.21
Princeton	Ivy	1.78	1.78	69.23	69.23	0.68	0.68
Stony Brook	AE	1.78	1.78	68.97	68.97	0.68	0.68
Lafayette	Pat	2.05	2.05	60.00	60.00	0.41	0.41
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.61	1.61	62.07	62.07	0.39	0.39
Nevada	WAC	1.64	1.64	60.71	61.46	0.35	0.38
St. Peter's	MAAC	1.83	1.83	55.17	55.17	0.19	0.19
Cornell	Ivy	0.23	0.23	86.21	86.21	0.16	0.16
Lehigh	Pat	0.35	0.35	67.74	67.74	0.12	0.12
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.13	90.32	89.58	0.11	0.10
Vermont	AE	0.22	0.21	72.73	72.42	0.10	0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.20	0.20	74.07	74.07	0.10	0.10
Siena	MAAC	0.13	0.13	81.82	81.82	0.09	0.09
Fairfield	MAAC	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	76.84	0.05	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.18	0.17	64.00	64.72	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	73.33	72.97	0.05	0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	80.00	80.37	0.05	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.19	0.19	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	90.32	90.55	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.08	0.08	75.86	76.36	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.16	0.16	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.16	0.16	61.29	60.56	0.04	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	70.00	68.82	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.08	68.75	67.91	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.31	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.07	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.05	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	71.43	71.93	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.05	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.05	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	82.76	83.00	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.26	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	62.07	61.92	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.20	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.65	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.30	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.65	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.23	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	57.69	56.45	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.11	0.11	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.00	47.49	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	44.10	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.52	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.05	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.08	46.43	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00