The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arkansas page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Arkansas

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		126.3
Current RPI:		113
Expected SOS:		38
Current SOS:		29
Current Record:		12-11
Expected Record:		15-16
Current Conf Record:		5-3
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-1
Current OOC Record:		7-8
Expected OOC Record:		7-8
Expected OOC RPI:		189
Expected OOC SOS:		66

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-12	75.8	0.25%
18-13	85.5	2.15%
17-14	97.5	9.59%
16-15	111.1	22.91%
15-16	126.0	31.18%
14-17	142.5	23.90%
13-18	158.6	8.64%
12-19	171.9	1.37%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	130-68	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Louisville (36.4)	BE	N	66-96	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Appalachian St. (134.5)	SC	H	81-72	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	H	94-97	L	0%	0.0
11-27	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	H	85-94	L	0%	0.0
11-29	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	61-74	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	47-67	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	91-54	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Delaware St. (236.6)	MEAC	H	71-53	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	76-51	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	H	72-69	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	66-62	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Baylor (23.2)	B12	N	47-70	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	H	72-73	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Texas (15.2)	B12	H	85-96	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	A	80-82	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	H	71-59	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Florida (50.5)	SEC	H	66-71	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	A	70-101	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	H	67-62	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	A	80-73	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	72-68	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	H	82-79	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	H	0-0		78%	8.5
2-13	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	A	0-0		21%	-8.9
2-17	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	H	0-0		47%	-0.7
2-20	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	A	0-0		37%	-3.5
2-24	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	0-0		52%	0.5
2-27	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	H	0-0		29%	-6.0
3-3	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	A	0-0		7%	-15.9
3-6	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	H	0-0		31%	-5.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arkansas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arkansas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arkansas.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas	SEC	26.24	26.11	41.90	40.60	-4.25	-4.91
Mississippi St.	SEC	4.59	3.84	71.43	69.75	1.97	1.52
Mississippi	SEC	2.52	3.84	77.27	75.24	1.38	1.94
Alabama	SEC	2.46	3.84	59.09	55.17	0.45	0.40
Florida	SEC	2.46	2.18	72.73	66.65	1.12	0.73
Georgia	SEC	2.46	2.17	50.00	47.06	0.00	-0.13
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.44	1.79	69.57	72.98	0.95	0.82
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.44	1.78	23.81	28.23	-1.28	-0.77
Auburn	SEC	2.42	3.87	47.62	43.43	-0.12	-0.51
Kentucky	SEC	2.42	2.18	95.45	88.29	2.20	1.67
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.42	1.83	35.29	40.96	-0.71	-0.33
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.37	1.75	47.83	52.15	-0.10	0.08
Louisville	BE	2.37	1.72	63.64	60.81	0.65	0.37
Baylor	B12	2.36	1.82	75.00	71.76	1.18	0.79
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.33	1.76	0.00	5.32	-2.33	-1.57
UAB	CUSA	2.32	1.70	81.82	77.82	1.48	0.94
South Alabama	SB	2.32	1.69	45.45	45.61	-0.21	-0.15
Appalachian St.	SC	2.31	1.69	57.89	62.38	0.37	0.42
Texas	B12	2.28	1.72	81.82	78.05	1.45	0.97
Oklahoma	B12	2.27	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.32	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	2.22	1.67	69.57	66.85	0.87	0.56
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.22	1.66	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.09
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.17	1.61	72.22	69.72	0.97	0.64
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.42	0.31	47.62	49.36	-0.02	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.38	3.81	39.13	35.41	-0.08	-1.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.34	2.15	76.19	73.27	0.18	1.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.29	2.18	59.09	54.47	0.05	0.19
Tennessee	SEC	0.29	2.18	81.82	75.07	0.18	1.09
Southern	SWAC	0.27	0.23	19.05	20.58	-0.16	-0.13
Troy	SB	0.24	0.16	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.21	0.25	28.57	36.52	-0.09	-0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.17	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.20	0.14	19.05	22.94	-0.13	-0.08
Western Carolina	SC	0.20	0.11	71.43	69.51	0.09	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.20	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.19	0.19	81.82	79.60	0.12	0.11
Centenary	Sum	0.19	0.13	27.27	27.20	-0.09	-0.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.19	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.19	0.16	77.27	75.69	0.10	0.08
Arkansas St.	SB	0.19	0.14	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.19	0.24	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.19	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.13	-0.07
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.14	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.07
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.14	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.16	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.16	0.17	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.17	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.08
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.17	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.17	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.16	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.06	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.11	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.17	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.16	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.10
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.08	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.15	0.11	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.15	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.06	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.16	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.16	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.15	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.15	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.11	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.14	0.08	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.16	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.14	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.05
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.10	75.00	71.23	0.07	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.14	0.16	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.11	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.14	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.07	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.14	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.06	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.08	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.17	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.08	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.05	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.13	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.11
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.05	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.13	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.08	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.14	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.05	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.05	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.11	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.14	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.05	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.09	0.05	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.07	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.12	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.06
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.08	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.11	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.02	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.02	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.02	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.02	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.02	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.00	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.00	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas	SEC	26.24	26.11	41.90	40.60	-4.25	-4.91
Auburn	SEC	2.42	3.87	47.62	43.43	-0.12	-0.51
Mississippi	SEC	2.52	3.84	77.27	75.24	1.38	1.94
Mississippi St.	SEC	4.59	3.84	71.43	69.75	1.97	1.52
Alabama	SEC	2.46	3.84	59.09	55.17	0.45	0.40
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.38	3.81	39.13	35.41	-0.08	-1.11
Florida	SEC	2.46	2.18	72.73	66.65	1.12	0.73
South Carolina	SEC	0.29	2.18	59.09	54.47	0.05	0.19
Kentucky	SEC	2.42	2.18	95.45	88.29	2.20	1.67
Tennessee	SEC	0.29	2.18	81.82	75.07	0.18	1.09
Georgia	SEC	2.46	2.17	50.00	47.06	0.00	-0.13
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.34	2.15	76.19	73.27	0.18	1.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	2.42	1.83	35.29	40.96	-0.71	-0.33
Baylor	B12	2.36	1.82	75.00	71.76	1.18	0.79
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.44	1.79	69.57	72.98	0.95	0.82
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.44	1.78	23.81	28.23	-1.28	-0.77
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.33	1.76	0.00	5.32	-2.33	-1.57
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.37	1.75	47.83	52.15	-0.10	0.08
Texas	B12	2.28	1.72	81.82	78.05	1.45	0.97
Oklahoma	B12	2.27	1.72	57.14	49.45	0.32	-0.02
Louisville	BE	2.37	1.72	63.64	60.81	0.65	0.37
UAB	CUSA	2.32	1.70	81.82	77.82	1.48	0.94
South Alabama	SB	2.32	1.69	45.45	45.61	-0.21	-0.15
Appalachian St.	SC	2.31	1.69	57.89	62.38	0.37	0.42
Missouri St.	MVC	2.22	1.67	69.57	66.85	0.87	0.56
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.22	1.66	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.09
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.17	1.61	72.22	69.72	0.97	0.64
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.42	0.31	47.62	49.36	-0.02	-0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.21	0.25	28.57	36.52	-0.09	-0.07
Western Kentucky	SB	0.19	0.24	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.27	0.23	19.05	20.58	-0.16	-0.13
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.19	68.18	59.30	0.06	0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.19	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.19	0.19	81.82	79.60	0.12	0.11
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.17	27.27	29.40	-0.09	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.17	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.16	0.17	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.17	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.08
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.17	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.17	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.17	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Troy	SB	0.24	0.16	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.16	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.10
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.14	0.16	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.16	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.16	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.16	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.19	0.16	77.27	75.69	0.10	0.08
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.16	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.20	0.14	19.05	22.94	-0.13	-0.08
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.14	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.14	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.07
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.14	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Samford	SC	0.15	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.06	-0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.19	0.14	57.14	57.10	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.14	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.14	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.13	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.13	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.11
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.19	0.13	27.27	27.20	-0.09	-0.06
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.07
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.12	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.15	0.11	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.11	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.11	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.20	0.11	71.43	69.51	0.09	0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.14	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.07	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.11	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.11	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.20	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.11	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.14	0.11	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.19	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.13	-0.07
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.10	75.00	71.23	0.07	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.16	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.15	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.08	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.08	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.08	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.08	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.08	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.14	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.08	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.08	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.15	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.08	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.08	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.05
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.08	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.14	0.08	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.11	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.06	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.05	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.05	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.09	0.05	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.05	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.07	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.05	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.05	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.00	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.00	0.02