The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arkansas page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Arkansas

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		159.0
Current RPI:		159
Expected SOS:		45
Current SOS:		45
Current Record:		14-18
Expected Record:		14-18
Current Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-2
Current OOC Record:		7-8
Expected OOC Record:		7-8
Expected OOC RPI:		183
Expected OOC SOS:		55

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-18		159.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Alcorn St. (344.0)	SWAC	H	130-68	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Louisville (37.0)	BE	N	66-96	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Appalachian St. (101.0)	SC	H	81-72	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Morgan St. (103.0)	MEAC	H	94-97	L	0%	0.0
11-27	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	H	85-94	L	0%	0.0
11-29	South Alabama (209.0)	SB	H	61-74	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Oklahoma (118.0)	B12	A	47-67	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Mississippi Valley St. (325.0)	SWAC	H	91-54	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Delaware St. (219.0)	MEAC	H	71-53	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Alabama St. (275.0)	SWAC	H	76-51	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Stephen F. Austin (151.0)	Slnd	H	72-69	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Missouri St. (90.0)	MVC	H	66-62	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Baylor (8.0)	B12	N	47-70	L	0%	0.0
1-2	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	H	72-73	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Texas (29.0)	B12	H	85-96	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Mississippi St. (55.0)	SEC	A	80-82	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Alabama (102.0)	SEC	H	71-59	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Florida (56.0)	SEC	H	66-71	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	70-101	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Mississippi St. (55.0)	SEC	H	67-62	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	A	80-73	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	A	72-68	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	H	82-79	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	H	87-52	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Alabama (102.0)	SEC	A	68-73	L	0%	0.0
2-17	South Carolina (93.0)	SEC	H	92-79	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	A	83-92	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	A	54-65	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	H	72-89	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Tennessee (13.0)	SEC	A	73-80	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	H	66-68	L	0%	0.0
3-11	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	N	64-77	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arkansas's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arkansas's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arkansas.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas	SEC	26.09	26.09	35.21	35.21	-7.72	-7.72
Mississippi St.	SEC	3.79	3.79	68.75	68.75	1.42	1.42
Alabama	SEC	3.76	3.76	53.33	53.33	0.25	0.25
Auburn	SEC	3.76	3.76	44.83	44.83	-0.39	-0.39
Mississippi	SEC	3.74	3.74	68.97	68.97	1.42	1.42
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.71	3.71	34.48	34.48	-1.15	-1.15
Georgia	SEC	3.66	3.66	44.83	44.83	-0.38	-0.38
Tennessee	SEC	2.25	2.25	75.00	75.00	1.13	1.13
Kentucky	SEC	2.25	2.25	93.94	93.94	1.98	1.98
Florida	SEC	2.23	2.23	62.50	62.50	0.56	0.56
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.20	2.20	73.33	73.33	1.03	1.03
South Carolina	SEC	2.17	2.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	1.78	1.78	76.67	76.67	0.95	0.95
Alabama St.	SWAC	1.76	1.76	48.15	48.15	-0.07	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.72	1.72	74.29	74.29	0.84	0.84
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.71	1.71	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.69	1.69	6.67	6.67	-1.47	-1.47
Texas	B12	1.69	1.69	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.68	1.68	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
UAB	CUSA	1.66	1.66	73.33	73.33	0.78	0.78
Oklahoma	B12	1.66	1.66	40.00	40.00	-0.33	-0.33
Louisville	BE	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
South Alabama	SB	1.64	1.64	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	1.63	1.63	66.67	66.67	0.54	0.54
Missouri St.	MVC	1.61	1.61	64.52	64.52	0.47	0.47
Delaware St.	MEAC	1.61	1.61	56.00	56.00	0.19	0.19
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.56	1.56	71.43	71.43	0.67	0.67
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.28	0.28	60.00	60.00	0.06	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.26	0.26	34.78	34.78	-0.08	-0.08
Western Kentucky	SB	0.22	0.22	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.21	0.21	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.21	0.21	17.24	17.24	-0.14	-0.14
Kansas St.	B12	0.20	0.20	78.12	78.12	0.11	0.11
Troy	SB	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.18	0.18	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.18	0.18	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.16	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.16	22.22	22.22	-0.09	-0.09
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.16	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	25.93	25.93	-0.07	-0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.15	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.15	81.25	81.25	0.09	0.09
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.15	55.56	55.56	0.02	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.15	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.13	0.13	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.12	0.12	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.12	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Florida St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.12	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.07	0.07	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.07	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.02	0.02	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.02	0.02	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arkansas	SEC	26.09	26.09	35.21	35.21	-7.72	-7.72
Mississippi St.	SEC	3.79	3.79	68.75	68.75	1.42	1.42
Alabama	SEC	3.76	3.76	53.33	53.33	0.25	0.25
Auburn	SEC	3.76	3.76	44.83	44.83	-0.39	-0.39
Mississippi	SEC	3.74	3.74	68.97	68.97	1.42	1.42
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.71	3.71	34.48	34.48	-1.15	-1.15
Georgia	SEC	3.66	3.66	44.83	44.83	-0.38	-0.38
Tennessee	SEC	2.25	2.25	75.00	75.00	1.13	1.13
Kentucky	SEC	2.25	2.25	93.94	93.94	1.98	1.98
Florida	SEC	2.23	2.23	62.50	62.50	0.56	0.56
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.20	2.20	73.33	73.33	1.03	1.03
South Carolina	SEC	2.17	2.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	1.78	1.78	76.67	76.67	0.95	0.95
Alabama St.	SWAC	1.76	1.76	48.15	48.15	-0.07	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	1.72	1.72	74.29	74.29	0.84	0.84
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.71	1.71	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.69	1.69	6.67	6.67	-1.47	-1.47
Texas	B12	1.69	1.69	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.68	1.68	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
UAB	CUSA	1.66	1.66	73.33	73.33	0.78	0.78
Oklahoma	B12	1.66	1.66	40.00	40.00	-0.33	-0.33
Louisville	BE	1.66	1.66	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
South Alabama	SB	1.64	1.64	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	1.63	1.63	66.67	66.67	0.54	0.54
Missouri St.	MVC	1.61	1.61	64.52	64.52	0.47	0.47
Delaware St.	MEAC	1.61	1.61	56.00	56.00	0.19	0.19
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.56	1.56	71.43	71.43	0.67	0.67
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.28	0.28	60.00	60.00	0.06	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.26	0.26	34.78	34.78	-0.08	-0.08
Western Kentucky	SB	0.22	0.22	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.21	0.21	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.21	0.21	17.24	17.24	-0.14	-0.14
Kansas St.	B12	0.20	0.20	78.12	78.12	0.11	0.11
Troy	SB	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.18	0.18	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.18	0.18	34.48	34.48	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.18	0.18	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.16	0.16	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.16	22.22	22.22	-0.09	-0.09
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.16	0.16	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	25.93	25.93	-0.07	-0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.15	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.15	81.25	81.25	0.09	0.09
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.15	55.56	55.56	0.02	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.15	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.13	0.13	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.12	0.12	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.12	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Florida St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.12	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.07	0.07	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.07	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00