The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Tennessee page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Tennessee

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		15.1
Current RPI:		18
Expected SOS:		19
Current SOS:		37
Current Record:		18-4
Expected Record:		23-7
Current Conf Record:		6-2
Expected Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		13
Expected OOC SOS:		45

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
26-4	5.3	0.89%
25-5	6.9	6.04%
24-6	8.8	18.85%
23-7	12.1	30.57%
22-8	17.3	26.39%
21-9	24.8	13.36%
20-10	34.8	3.53%
19-11	46.5	0.36%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Austin Peay (130.2)	OVC	H	83-54	W	100%	0.0
11-17	NC Asheville (247.8)	BSth	H	124-49	W	100%	0.0
11-20	East Carolina (243.8)	CUSA	N	105-66	W	100%	0.0
11-22	DePaul (180.7)	BE	N	57-53	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Purdue (15.1)	B10	N	72-73	L	0%	0.0
11-27	College of Charleston (103.4)	SC	H	86-69	W	100%	0.0
12-2	East Tennessee St. (138.8)	ASun	H	78-66	W	100%	0.0
12-11	Middle Tennessee (189.8)	SB	N	75-54	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Wyoming (206.8)	MWC	H	77-58	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Southern California (80.3)	P10	A	55-77	L	0%	0.0
12-23	North Carolina A&T (283.2)	MEAC	H	99-78	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Memphis (65.4)	CUSA	A	66-59	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Charlotte (46.6)	A10	H	88-71	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Kansas (1.4)	B12	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Auburn (163.2)	SEC	H	81-55	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Mississippi (42.7)	SEC	H	71-69	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Alabama (105.9)	SEC	A	63-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	63-78	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Vanderbilt (21.7)	SEC	H	76-85	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Florida (51.0)	SEC	H	61-60	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Louisiana St. (220.9)	SEC	A	59-54	W	100%	0.0
2-6	South Carolina (73.2)	SEC	H	79-53	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Vanderbilt (21.7)	SEC	A	0-0		42%	-2.2
2-13	Kentucky (5.9)	SEC	A	0-0		29%	-5.9
2-17	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	H	0-0		89%	13.2
2-20	South Carolina (73.2)	SEC	A	0-0		61%	3.1
2-23	Florida (51.0)	SEC	A	0-0		50%	0.0
2-27	Kentucky (5.9)	SEC	H	0-0		57%	2.0
3-3	Arkansas (127.2)	SEC	H	0-0		93%	15.9
3-6	Mississippi St. (64.4)	SEC	A	0-0		47%	-0.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Tennessee's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Tennessee's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Tennessee.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tennessee	SEC	26.12	26.12	80.00	75.82	15.67	13.49
Alabama	SEC	2.63	2.25	59.09	56.01	0.48	0.27
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.63	4.00	75.00	72.78	1.31	1.82
South Carolina	SEC	2.58	3.94	61.90	56.95	0.61	0.55
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.57	2.22	40.91	36.61	-0.47	-0.59
Florida	SEC	2.53	3.95	77.27	70.64	1.38	1.63
Georgia	SEC	2.53	3.97	45.00	44.67	-0.25	-0.42
Mississippi	SEC	2.53	2.22	77.27	75.04	1.38	1.11
Auburn	SEC	2.53	2.22	47.62	44.11	-0.12	-0.26
Charlotte	A10	2.38	1.73	81.82	74.21	1.52	0.84
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.38	1.75	54.55	56.89	0.22	0.24
Memphis	CUSA	2.38	1.72	72.73	72.35	1.08	0.77
NC Asheville	BSth	2.38	1.81	35.00	39.22	-0.71	-0.39
East Carolina	CUSA	2.37	1.72	21.05	22.78	-1.37	-0.94
DePaul	BE	2.33	1.75	36.36	35.07	-0.63	-0.52
Kansas	B12	2.32	1.69	100.00	96.19	2.32	1.56
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.32	1.70	25.00	31.93	-1.16	-0.61
Purdue	B10	2.32	1.69	85.71	81.16	1.66	1.06
College of Charleston	SC	2.32	1.69	66.67	64.90	0.77	0.50
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.32	1.72	52.17	55.57	0.10	0.19
Austin Peay	OVC	2.27	1.72	54.55	56.99	0.21	0.24
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.67	59.09	58.25	0.41	0.27
Wyoming	MWC	2.27	1.67	35.00	31.85	-0.68	-0.61
Kentucky	SEC	0.46	4.01	95.65	90.90	0.42	3.28
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.36	2.25	69.57	69.01	0.14	0.85
Arkansas	SEC	0.30	2.25	52.17	49.80	0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.27	0.15	66.67	65.51	0.09	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.26	0.23	82.61	78.53	0.17	0.13
Western Kentucky	SB	0.25	0.23	54.17	56.01	0.02	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.24	0.19	17.39	20.02	-0.16	-0.12
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.21	0.20	55.56	55.84	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.21	0.12	40.00	40.10	-0.04	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.21	0.20	66.67	67.98	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.20	73.91	70.59	0.10	0.08
Mercer	ASun	0.20	0.17	45.45	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.11	60.00	63.84	0.04	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.09	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.16	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.13	0.07
High Point	BSth	0.16	0.09	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.17	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.16	0.12	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.14	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.12	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.05
Radford	BSth	0.16	0.09	52.38	56.28	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.11	69.57	66.83	0.06	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.15	0.09	80.95	82.07	0.10	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.11	72.73	68.10	0.07	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.15	0.11	22.73	22.86	-0.08	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	20.00	24.03	-0.09	-0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.12	77.27	75.68	0.08	0.06
Furman	SC	0.15	0.14	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.15	0.11	31.58	39.01	-0.06	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	73.91	69.55	0.07	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.15	0.08	65.22	67.02	0.05	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.15	0.19	75.00	71.22	0.08	0.08
Troy	SB	0.15	0.14	47.62	50.37	-0.01	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.08	82.61	79.46	0.10	0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.15	0.12	52.38	54.78	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.11	52.17	56.49	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.14	76.19	72.74	0.08	0.06
Jacksonville	ASun	0.15	0.16	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.11	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.08	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.15	0.08	23.81	28.38	-0.08	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.08	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.15	0.11	95.83	91.32	0.14	0.09
California	P10	0.15	0.08	65.22	68.43	0.04	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.11	81.82	79.55	0.09	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.11	0.06
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.08	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.08	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.14	0.11	14.29	15.66	-0.10	-0.08
Samford	SC	0.14	0.08	28.57	31.10	-0.06	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.12	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.06	76.19	71.16	0.06	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.09	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.11	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.09	68.18	62.71	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.11	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.11	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.09	20.00	23.49	-0.06	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.12	12.50	15.32	-0.08	-0.08
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.11	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.09	86.96	84.64	0.08	0.06
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.04
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	39.81	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	72.00	73.85	0.04	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.14	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.58	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.08	-0.05
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.04	0.02
American	Pat	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.38	-0.04	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.11	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.05	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.14	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.11	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.08	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.08	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.14	69.57	71.44	0.04	0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.05	21.05	24.99	-0.06	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.05	85.71	85.58	0.07	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.05	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.16	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.08	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.05	66.67	69.42	0.03	0.02
Temple	A10	0.10	0.05	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.03
Texas	B12	0.10	0.08	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.04
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.11	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.05	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.03	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.35	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.44	-0.03	-0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.08	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.34	0.03	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.90	-0.04	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.06	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.06
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.11	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.46	-0.02	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	0.00	4.36	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.08	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.00	0.05	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.03	72.73	71.93	0.00	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.05	56.00	55.95	0.00	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.03	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.00	0.05	30.43	32.48	-0.00	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.00	0.05	42.86	45.64	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.05	43.48	47.69	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.05	21.74	24.91	-0.00	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.00	0.05	59.09	51.14	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.00	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.08	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.00	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.08	77.27	70.95	0.00	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tennessee	SEC	26.12	26.12	80.00	75.82	15.67	13.49
Kentucky	SEC	0.46	4.01	95.65	90.90	0.42	3.28
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.63	4.00	75.00	72.78	1.31	1.82
Georgia	SEC	2.53	3.97	45.00	44.67	-0.25	-0.42
Florida	SEC	2.53	3.95	77.27	70.64	1.38	1.63
South Carolina	SEC	2.58	3.94	61.90	56.95	0.61	0.55
Arkansas	SEC	0.30	2.25	52.17	49.80	0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.36	2.25	69.57	69.01	0.14	0.85
Alabama	SEC	2.63	2.25	59.09	56.01	0.48	0.27
Auburn	SEC	2.53	2.22	47.62	44.11	-0.12	-0.26
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.57	2.22	40.91	36.61	-0.47	-0.59
Mississippi	SEC	2.53	2.22	77.27	75.04	1.38	1.11
NC Asheville	BSth	2.38	1.81	35.00	39.22	-0.71	-0.39
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.38	1.75	54.55	56.89	0.22	0.24
DePaul	BE	2.33	1.75	36.36	35.07	-0.63	-0.52
Charlotte	A10	2.38	1.73	81.82	74.21	1.52	0.84
Memphis	CUSA	2.38	1.72	72.73	72.35	1.08	0.77
East Carolina	CUSA	2.37	1.72	21.05	22.78	-1.37	-0.94
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.32	1.72	52.17	55.57	0.10	0.19
Austin Peay	OVC	2.27	1.72	54.55	56.99	0.21	0.24
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.32	1.70	25.00	31.93	-1.16	-0.61
College of Charleston	SC	2.32	1.69	66.67	64.90	0.77	0.50
Purdue	B10	2.32	1.69	85.71	81.16	1.66	1.06
Kansas	B12	2.32	1.69	100.00	96.19	2.32	1.56
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.67	59.09	58.25	0.41	0.27
Wyoming	MWC	2.27	1.67	35.00	31.85	-0.68	-0.61
UAB	CUSA	0.26	0.23	82.61	78.53	0.17	0.13
Western Kentucky	SB	0.25	0.23	54.17	56.01	0.02	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.21	0.20	55.56	55.84	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.21	0.20	66.67	67.98	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.20	73.91	70.59	0.10	0.08
Georgia Southern	SC	0.24	0.19	17.39	20.02	-0.16	-0.12
Richmond	A10	0.15	0.19	75.00	71.22	0.08	0.08
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.17	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.20	0.17	45.45	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.15	0.16	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.16	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.27	0.15	66.67	65.51	0.09	0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.14	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.15	0.14	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	20.00	24.03	-0.09	-0.07
Morehead St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.05
Troy	SB	0.15	0.14	47.62	50.37	-0.01	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.14	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.14	76.19	72.74	0.08	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.14	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.04
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.14	69.57	71.44	0.04	0.06
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.21	0.12	40.00	40.10	-0.04	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.15	0.12	52.38	54.78	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.16	0.12	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.11	0.12	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.12	12.50	15.32	-0.08	-0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.12	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.12	77.27	75.68	0.08	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.11	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.15	0.11	22.73	22.86	-0.08	-0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.11	69.57	66.83	0.06	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	72.00	73.85	0.04	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.11	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.11	72.73	68.10	0.07	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.11	52.17	56.49	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.11	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.11	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.11	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.11	60.00	63.84	0.04	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.15	0.11	31.58	39.01	-0.06	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.11	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.11	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.11	81.82	79.55	0.09	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.11	73.91	69.55	0.07	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.11	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.11	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.14	0.11	14.29	15.66	-0.10	-0.08
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.11	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.15	0.11	95.83	91.32	0.14	0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.15	0.09	80.95	82.07	0.10	0.06
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.09	20.00	23.49	-0.06	-0.05
High Point	BSth	0.16	0.09	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.16	0.09	52.38	56.28	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.09	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.16	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.13	0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.09	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.05
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.15	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.09	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.09	68.18	62.71	0.04	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.09	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	86.96	85.51	0.11	0.06
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.09	86.96	84.64	0.08	0.06
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.08	77.27	70.95	0.00	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.15	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.15	0.08	65.22	67.02	0.05	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.15	0.08	23.81	28.38	-0.08	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.08	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	39.81	-0.03	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.14	0.08	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.08	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.58	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.14	0.08	28.57	31.10	-0.06	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.08	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.08	82.61	79.46	0.10	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.08	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.02
California	P10	0.15	0.08	65.22	68.43	0.04	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.08	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.08	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.08	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.04
Texas	B12	0.10	0.08	79.17	77.01	0.06	0.04
American	Pat	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.38	-0.04	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.08	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.44	-0.03	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.04	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.06	76.19	71.16	0.06	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.06	47.83	44.40	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.06	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.30	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.08	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.06	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.02	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.08	0.04
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.06	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.05	85.71	85.58	0.07	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.05	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.05	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00