The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Army page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Army

Conference:		Pat
Expected RPI:		247.0
Current RPI:		247
Expected SOS:		310
Current SOS:		310
Current Record:		13-15
Expected Record:		13-15
Current Conf Record:		4-11
Expected Conf Record:		4-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-10
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC RPI:		147
Expected OOC SOS:		319

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
13-15		247.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Army.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Virginia Military Inst (310.0)	BSth	A	86-93	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Long Island (240.0)	NEC	H	63-56	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Princeton (134.0)	Ivy	A	56-52	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Harvard (100.0)	Ivy	H	56-53	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Yale (267.0)	Ivy	H	64-48	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Bryant (346.0)	ind	H	64-58	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Fairleigh Dickinson (270.0)	NEC	A	61-40	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Dartmouth (335.0)	Ivy	A	59-46	W	100%	0.0
12-22	New Hampshire (242.0)	AE	H	54-46	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Southern Methodist (208.0)	CUSA	A	63-71	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Portland (79.0)	WCC	A	57-67	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Brown (257.0)	Ivy	H	59-51	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	A	58-68	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	A	67-64	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	H	55-73	L	0%	0.0
1-20	American (295.0)	Pat	H	68-48	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Navy (265.0)	Pat	A	56-62	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	A	48-55	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	H	63-49	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	H	56-70	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
2-17	American (295.0)	Pat	A	54-57	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Navy (265.0)	Pat	H	69-50	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	H	54-80	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	H	51-62	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	A	45-64	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Army's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Army's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Army.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Army	Pat	26.36	26.36	47.41	47.41	-1.36	-1.36
Lehigh	Pat	6.23	6.23	65.52	65.52	1.93	1.93
Lafayette	Pat	4.62	4.62	56.67	56.67	0.62	0.62
Holy Cross	Pat	4.50	4.50	27.59	27.59	-2.02	-2.02
American	Pat	4.50	4.50	34.48	34.48	-1.40	-1.40
Colgate	Pat	4.46	4.46	33.33	33.33	-1.49	-1.49
Bucknell	Pat	4.44	4.44	41.38	41.38	-0.77	-0.77
Navy	Pat	4.44	4.44	42.86	42.86	-0.63	-0.63
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.27	2.27	15.38	15.38	-1.57	-1.57
Yale	Ivy	2.22	2.22	37.93	37.93	-0.54	-0.54
Brown	Ivy	2.19	2.19	32.14	32.14	-0.78	-0.78
Harvard	Ivy	2.16	2.16	76.92	76.92	1.16	1.16
Princeton	Ivy	2.09	2.09	73.08	73.08	0.97	0.97
Bryant	ind	2.05	2.05	3.45	3.45	-1.91	-1.91
Long Island	NEC	2.02	2.02	46.67	46.67	-0.13	-0.13
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.96	1.96	35.48	35.48	-0.57	-0.57
New Hampshire	AE	1.91	1.91	42.86	42.86	-0.27	-0.27
Buffalo	MAC	1.85	1.85	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Portland	WCC	1.79	1.79	64.29	64.29	0.51	0.51
Southern Methodist	CUSA	1.79	1.79	39.29	39.29	-0.38	-0.38
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	1.79	1.79	20.83	20.83	-1.04	-1.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.60	0.60	39.29	39.29	-0.13	-0.13
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.43	0.43	21.43	21.43	-0.25	-0.25
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.41	71.88	71.88	0.18	0.18
Cornell	Ivy	0.41	0.41	86.21	86.21	0.29	0.29
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.40	0.40	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.33	0.33	37.93	37.93	-0.08	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.32	0.32	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.32	0.32	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.29	0.29	16.13	16.13	-0.20	-0.20
Stony Brook	AE	0.26	0.26	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.11
Marist	MAAC	0.26	0.26	3.33	3.33	-0.25	-0.25
Monmouth	NEC	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Longwood	ind	0.23	0.23	29.63	29.63	-0.09	-0.09
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.23	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.19	73.53	73.53	0.09	0.09
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Richmond	A10	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.09	0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
Providence	BE	0.15	0.15	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.15	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.14	0.14	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.13	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.11	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.11	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.09	12.00	12.00	-0.07	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.07	0.07	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.04	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Army	Pat	26.36	26.36	47.41	47.41	-1.36	-1.36
Lehigh	Pat	6.23	6.23	65.52	65.52	1.93	1.93
Lafayette	Pat	4.62	4.62	56.67	56.67	0.62	0.62
Holy Cross	Pat	4.50	4.50	27.59	27.59	-2.02	-2.02
American	Pat	4.50	4.50	34.48	34.48	-1.40	-1.40
Colgate	Pat	4.46	4.46	33.33	33.33	-1.49	-1.49
Bucknell	Pat	4.44	4.44	41.38	41.38	-0.77	-0.77
Navy	Pat	4.44	4.44	42.86	42.86	-0.63	-0.63
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.27	2.27	15.38	15.38	-1.57	-1.57
Yale	Ivy	2.22	2.22	37.93	37.93	-0.54	-0.54
Brown	Ivy	2.19	2.19	32.14	32.14	-0.78	-0.78
Harvard	Ivy	2.16	2.16	76.92	76.92	1.16	1.16
Princeton	Ivy	2.09	2.09	73.08	73.08	0.97	0.97
Bryant	ind	2.05	2.05	3.45	3.45	-1.91	-1.91
Long Island	NEC	2.02	2.02	46.67	46.67	-0.13	-0.13
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.96	1.96	35.48	35.48	-0.57	-0.57
New Hampshire	AE	1.91	1.91	42.86	42.86	-0.27	-0.27
Buffalo	MAC	1.85	1.85	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Portland	WCC	1.79	1.79	64.29	64.29	0.51	0.51
Southern Methodist	CUSA	1.79	1.79	39.29	39.29	-0.38	-0.38
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	1.79	1.79	20.83	20.83	-1.04	-1.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.60	0.60	39.29	39.29	-0.13	-0.13
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.43	0.43	21.43	21.43	-0.25	-0.25
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.41	71.88	71.88	0.18	0.18
Cornell	Ivy	0.41	0.41	86.21	86.21	0.29	0.29
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.40	0.40	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.33	0.33	37.93	37.93	-0.08	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.32	0.32	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.32	0.32	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.29	0.29	16.13	16.13	-0.20	-0.20
Stony Brook	AE	0.26	0.26	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.11
Marist	MAAC	0.26	0.26	3.33	3.33	-0.25	-0.25
Monmouth	NEC	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Longwood	ind	0.23	0.23	29.63	29.63	-0.09	-0.09
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.23	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.19	73.53	73.53	0.09	0.09
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Richmond	A10	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.09	0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
Providence	BE	0.15	0.15	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.15	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.14	0.14	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.13	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.11	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.11	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.09	0.09	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.09	12.00	12.00	-0.07	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.07	0.07	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.04	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Lehigh	Pat	6.23	6.23	65.52	65.52	1.93	1.93
Harvard	Ivy	2.16	2.16	76.92	76.92	1.16	1.16
Princeton	Ivy	2.09	2.09	73.08	73.08	0.97	0.97
Lafayette	Pat	4.62	4.62	56.67	56.67	0.62	0.62
Portland	WCC	1.79	1.79	64.29	64.29	0.51	0.51
Cornell	Ivy	0.41	0.41	86.21	86.21	0.29	0.29
Buffalo	MAC	1.85	1.85	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.41	71.88	71.88	0.18	0.18
Stony Brook	AE	0.26	0.26	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.11
Richmond	A10	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.09	0.09
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.19	73.53	73.53	0.09	0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.11	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.15	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.14	0.14	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.23	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01