The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Army page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Army

Conference:		Pat
Expected RPI:		204.0
Current RPI:		225
Expected SOS:		323
Current SOS:		334
Current Record:		12-9
Expected Record:		16-11
Current Conf Record:		3-5
Expected Conf Record:		7-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-6
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC RPI:		152
Expected OOC SOS:		325

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-9	164.1	6.31%
17-10	183.0	25.40%
16-11	203.0	34.93%
15-12	223.4	24.07%
14-13	240.3	8.02%
13-14	256.3	1.22%
12-15	272.0	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Army.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Virginia Military Inst (316.7)	BSth	A	86-93	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Long Island (258.2)	NEC	H	63-56	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	A	56-52	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Harvard (89.5)	Ivy	H	56-53	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Yale (255.8)	Ivy	H	64-48	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Bryant (344.6)	ind	H	64-58	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Fairleigh Dickinson (278.3)	NEC	A	61-40	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	A	59-46	W	100%	0.0
12-22	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	54-46	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	A	63-71	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Portland (84.3)	WCC	A	57-67	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Brown (266.3)	Ivy	H	59-51	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	A	58-68	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	A	67-64	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	H	55-73	L	0%	0.0
1-20	American (306.9)	Pat	H	68-48	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Navy (269.1)	Pat	A	56-62	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Lafayette (203.7)	Pat	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Bucknell (276.3)	Pat	A	48-55	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	H	63-49	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	H	0-0		71%	6.0
2-13	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	A	0-0		33%	-4.8
2-17	American (306.9)	Pat	A	0-0		58%	2.2
2-20	Navy (269.1)	Pat	H	0-0		83%	10.5
2-24	Lafayette (203.7)	Pat	H	0-0		73%	6.6
2-27	Bucknell (276.3)	Pat	H	0-0		76%	7.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Army's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Army's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Army.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Army	Pat	26.28	26.33	62.65	62.17	6.65	6.41
Colgate	Pat	5.25	4.57	25.00	29.62	-2.62	-1.86
Lafayette	Pat	2.97	4.57	59.09	58.83	0.54	0.81
Holy Cross	Pat	2.92	4.54	27.27	32.27	-1.33	-1.61
Lehigh	Pat	2.91	4.54	63.64	64.43	0.79	1.31
Bucknell	Pat	2.91	4.54	34.78	37.61	-0.89	-1.13
Navy	Pat	2.91	4.54	45.45	43.72	-0.26	-0.57
American	Pat	2.85	4.50	31.82	33.23	-1.04	-1.51
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.85	2.34	16.67	18.32	-1.90	-1.48
Yale	Ivy	2.77	2.28	38.10	39.43	-0.66	-0.48
Bryant	ind	2.75	2.13	0.00	4.33	-2.75	-1.95
Harvard	Ivy	2.74	2.24	77.78	78.31	1.52	1.27
Brown	Ivy	2.71	2.28	25.00	28.28	-1.36	-0.99
Princeton	Ivy	2.67	2.18	75.00	73.71	1.33	1.03
New Hampshire	AE	2.61	1.99	36.84	39.70	-0.69	-0.41
Long Island	NEC	2.53	2.07	40.91	43.01	-0.46	-0.29
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.53	2.01	34.78	34.10	-0.77	-0.64
Buffalo	MAC	2.43	1.92	52.63	50.15	0.13	0.01
Portland	WCC	2.38	1.85	60.00	64.36	0.48	0.53
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.38	1.85	42.11	41.88	-0.38	-0.30
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	2.38	1.85	16.67	19.06	-1.59	-1.15
Columbia	Ivy	0.49	0.62	40.00	39.13	-0.10	-0.13
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.47	0.35	39.13	41.19	-0.10	-0.06
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.43	0.35	43.48	43.78	-0.06	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.43	0.38	69.57	71.78	0.17	0.16
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.41	0.41	30.43	30.27	-0.16	-0.16
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.36	0.34	52.17	53.84	0.02	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.34	0.46	16.67	19.94	-0.23	-0.28
Cornell	Ivy	0.34	0.42	85.71	85.57	0.24	0.30
Wagner	NEC	0.33	0.32	16.00	21.62	-0.23	-0.18
Monmouth	NEC	0.32	0.25	41.67	42.69	-0.05	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.29	0.20	63.64	61.86	0.08	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.29	0.20	30.43	32.48	-0.11	-0.07
Marist	MAAC	0.28	0.26	4.17	4.73	-0.26	-0.23
Stony Brook	AE	0.27	0.26	68.18	68.72	0.10	0.10
George Washington	A10	0.24	0.20	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.24	0.17	68.00	67.20	0.08	0.06
Boston University	AE	0.23	0.16	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.21	0.22	23.81	29.40	-0.11	-0.09
Providence	BE	0.21	0.16	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.21	0.25	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.15	66.67	64.02	0.07	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.18	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.18	0.10	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.18	0.14	33.33	34.27	-0.06	-0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.10	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.18	0.14	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.10	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.17	0.13	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.16	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.17	0.10	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.17	0.10	4.76	9.78	-0.15	-0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.17	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.13	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.17	0.16	77.27	73.36	0.09	0.08
Albany	AE	0.17	0.16	23.08	25.77	-0.09	-0.08
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.16	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.07
St. John's	BE	0.16	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	22.22	27.56	-0.09	-0.07
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.16	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.13	0.07	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.13	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.09	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.13	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.04
Seattle	ind	0.12	0.07	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.07	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.07	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.11	0.13	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.13	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.10
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.10	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.06
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.10	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.10	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.13	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.06
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.07	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.11	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.13	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.13	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.13	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.13	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.13	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.07	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.04	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.08	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.08	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.05
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.08	20.00	23.58	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.08	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.04	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.07	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.07	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.07	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.07	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.07	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.06	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.07	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Army	Pat	26.28	26.33	62.65	62.17	6.65	6.41
Lafayette	Pat	2.97	4.57	59.09	58.83	0.54	0.81
Colgate	Pat	5.25	4.57	25.00	29.62	-2.62	-1.86
Bucknell	Pat	2.91	4.54	34.78	37.61	-0.89	-1.13
Holy Cross	Pat	2.92	4.54	27.27	32.27	-1.33	-1.61
Navy	Pat	2.91	4.54	45.45	43.72	-0.26	-0.57
Lehigh	Pat	2.91	4.54	63.64	64.43	0.79	1.31
American	Pat	2.85	4.50	31.82	33.23	-1.04	-1.51
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.85	2.34	16.67	18.32	-1.90	-1.48
Yale	Ivy	2.77	2.28	38.10	39.43	-0.66	-0.48
Brown	Ivy	2.71	2.28	25.00	28.28	-1.36	-0.99
Harvard	Ivy	2.74	2.24	77.78	78.31	1.52	1.27
Princeton	Ivy	2.67	2.18	75.00	73.71	1.33	1.03
Bryant	ind	2.75	2.13	0.00	4.33	-2.75	-1.95
Long Island	NEC	2.53	2.07	40.91	43.01	-0.46	-0.29
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	2.53	2.01	34.78	34.10	-0.77	-0.64
New Hampshire	AE	2.61	1.99	36.84	39.70	-0.69	-0.41
Buffalo	MAC	2.43	1.92	52.63	50.15	0.13	0.01
Portland	WCC	2.38	1.85	60.00	64.36	0.48	0.53
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.38	1.85	42.11	41.88	-0.38	-0.30
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	2.38	1.85	16.67	19.06	-1.59	-1.15
Columbia	Ivy	0.49	0.62	40.00	39.13	-0.10	-0.13
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.34	0.46	16.67	19.94	-0.23	-0.28
Cornell	Ivy	0.34	0.42	85.71	85.57	0.24	0.30
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.41	0.41	30.43	30.27	-0.16	-0.16
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.43	0.38	69.57	71.78	0.17	0.16
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.43	0.35	43.48	43.78	-0.06	-0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.47	0.35	39.13	41.19	-0.10	-0.06
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.36	0.34	52.17	53.84	0.02	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.33	0.32	16.00	21.62	-0.23	-0.18
Stony Brook	AE	0.27	0.26	68.18	68.72	0.10	0.10
Marist	MAAC	0.28	0.26	4.17	4.73	-0.26	-0.23
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.21	0.25	39.13	47.65	-0.05	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.32	0.25	41.67	42.69	-0.05	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.21	0.22	23.81	29.40	-0.11	-0.09
Maine	AE	0.29	0.20	63.64	61.86	0.08	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.29	0.20	30.43	32.48	-0.11	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.24	0.20	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.24	0.17	68.00	67.20	0.08	0.06
Boston University	AE	0.23	0.16	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.16	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.07
Albany	AE	0.17	0.16	23.08	25.77	-0.09	-0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.17	0.16	77.27	73.36	0.09	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.16	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.16	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	22.22	27.56	-0.09	-0.07
Providence	BE	0.21	0.16	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.15	66.67	64.02	0.07	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.18	0.14	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.18	0.14	33.33	34.27	-0.06	-0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.13	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.13	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.10
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.13	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.11	0.13	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.17	0.13	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.13	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.13	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.13	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.13	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.13	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.18	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.17	0.10	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.10	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.10	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.17	0.10	4.76	9.78	-0.15	-0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.17	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.18	0.10	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.10	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.10	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.10	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.06
Elon	SC	0.11	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.05
St. John's	BE	0.16	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.08	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.08	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.08	20.00	23.58	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.08	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.13	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.09	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.13	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.13	0.07	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.07	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.07	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.07	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.07	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.07	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.07	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.12	0.07	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.07	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.07	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.07	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.04	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.07	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.04	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.05	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.06	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Army	Pat	26.28	26.33	62.65	62.17	6.65	6.41
Harvard	Ivy	2.74	2.24	77.78	78.31	1.52	1.27
Princeton	Ivy	2.67	2.18	75.00	73.71	1.33	1.03
Lehigh	Pat	2.91	4.54	63.64	64.43	0.79	1.31
Lafayette	Pat	2.97	4.57	59.09	58.83	0.54	0.81
Portland	WCC	2.38	1.85	60.00	64.36	0.48	0.53
Cornell	Ivy	0.34	0.42	85.71	85.57	0.24	0.30
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.43	0.38	69.57	71.78	0.17	0.16
Buffalo	MAC	2.43	1.92	52.63	50.15	0.13	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.07	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.05
Stony Brook	AE	0.27	0.26	68.18	68.72	0.10	0.10
Georgetown	BE	0.17	0.16	77.27	73.36	0.09	0.08
Vermont	AE	0.24	0.17	68.00	67.20	0.08	0.06
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.16	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.07
Maine	AE	0.29	0.20	63.64	61.86	0.08	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.07	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.07	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.10	81.82	80.91	0.07	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.20	0.15	66.67	64.02	0.07	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.07	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.13	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.08	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.17	0.10	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.07	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.13	0.07	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.16	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.13	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.07	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.07	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Washington	P10	0.06	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.24	0.20	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.07	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.23	0.16	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.36	0.34	52.17	53.84	0.02	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.16	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.10	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Providence	BE	0.21	0.16	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.18	0.14	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.06	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.10	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.13	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.18	0.10	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.07	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.11	0.13	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.07	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.13	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00