The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Army page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

Army

Conference:		Pat
Expected RPI:		246.8
Current RPI:		248
Expected SOS:		309
Current SOS:		308
Current Record:		13-15
Expected Record:		13-15
Current Conf Record:		4-11
Expected Conf Record:		4-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-9
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC RPI:		146
Expected OOC SOS:		316

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
13-15		246.8		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Army.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Virginia Military Inst (308.3)	BSth	A	86-93	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Long Island (241.5)	NEC	H	63-56	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Princeton (132.7)	Ivy	A	56-52	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Harvard (97.9)	Ivy	H	56-53	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Yale (267.2)	Ivy	H	64-48	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Bryant (345.2)	ind	H	64-58	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Buffalo (102.7)	MAC	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Fairleigh Dickinson (271.1)	NEC	A	61-40	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Dartmouth (334.5)	Ivy	A	59-46	W	100%	0.0
12-22	New Hampshire (242.2)	AE	H	54-46	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Southern Methodist (199.9)	CUSA	A	63-71	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Portland (81.5)	WCC	A	57-67	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Brown (255.5)	Ivy	H	59-51	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Colgate (288.8)	Pat	A	58-68	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Holy Cross (275.8)	Pat	A	67-64	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Lehigh (158.2)	Pat	H	55-73	L	0%	0.0
1-20	American (294.0)	Pat	H	68-48	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Navy (263.3)	Pat	A	56-62	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Lafayette (212.1)	Pat	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Bucknell (258.9)	Pat	A	48-55	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Colgate (288.8)	Pat	H	63-49	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Holy Cross (275.8)	Pat	H	56-70	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Lehigh (158.2)	Pat	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
2-17	American (294.0)	Pat	A	54-57	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Navy (263.3)	Pat	H	69-50	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Lafayette (212.1)	Pat	H	54-80	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Bucknell (258.9)	Pat	H	51-62	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Lehigh (158.2)	Pat	A	45-64	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Army's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Army's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Army.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Army	Pat	26.37	26.37	47.41	47.41	-1.36	-1.36
Lehigh	Pat	6.18	6.18	64.29	64.29	1.77	1.77
Lafayette	Pat	4.54	4.54	58.62	58.62	0.78	0.78
Holy Cross	Pat	4.51	4.51	27.59	27.59	-2.02	-2.02
American	Pat	4.51	4.51	34.48	34.48	-1.40	-1.40
Colgate	Pat	4.48	4.48	33.33	33.33	-1.49	-1.49
Bucknell	Pat	4.45	4.45	41.38	41.38	-0.77	-0.77
Navy	Pat	4.45	4.45	42.86	42.86	-0.64	-0.64
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.28	2.28	15.38	15.38	-1.58	-1.58
Yale	Ivy	2.23	2.22	37.93	37.93	-0.54	-0.54
Brown	Ivy	2.19	2.19	32.14	32.14	-0.78	-0.78
Harvard	Ivy	2.16	2.16	76.92	76.92	1.16	1.16
Princeton	Ivy	2.10	2.10	72.00	72.93	0.92	0.96
Bryant	ind	2.05	2.05	3.45	3.45	-1.91	-1.91
Long Island	NEC	2.02	2.02	46.67	46.67	-0.13	-0.13
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.96	1.96	35.48	35.48	-0.57	-0.57
New Hampshire	AE	1.91	1.91	42.86	42.86	-0.27	-0.27
Buffalo	MAC	1.85	1.85	59.26	58.76	0.34	0.32
Portland	WCC	1.79	1.79	64.29	64.29	0.51	0.51
Southern Methodist	CUSA	1.79	1.79	40.74	41.50	-0.33	-0.30
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	1.79	1.79	20.83	20.83	-1.04	-1.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.61	0.61	39.29	39.29	-0.13	-0.13
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.41	74.19	74.19	0.20	0.20
Cornell	Ivy	0.41	0.41	86.21	86.21	0.30	0.29
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.40	0.44	22.22	21.56	-0.22	-0.25
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.40	0.40	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.33	0.33	37.93	37.93	-0.08	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.32	0.32	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.32	0.32	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.30	0.29	16.13	16.13	-0.20	-0.20
Stony Brook	AE	0.27	0.27	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.11
Marist	MAAC	0.27	0.27	3.33	3.33	-0.25	-0.25
Monmouth	NEC	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.23	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.19	72.73	72.40	0.09	0.08
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	55.17	53.74	0.02	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Richmond	A10	0.18	0.18	77.42	77.42	0.10	0.10
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.18	36.67	35.73	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	23.08	23.08	-0.09	-0.09
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	61.29	60.58	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Providence	BE	0.15	0.15	40.00	39.90	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.14	0.14	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.13	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	62.07	62.11	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.60	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	33.33	33.74	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.11	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.09	24.14	23.59	-0.05	-0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.09	46.67	45.74	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.09	12.00	12.75	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.09	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.86	76.33	0.05	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.61	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	72.41	73.08	0.04	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	63.33	64.12	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	54.17	54.17	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.09	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.07	0.07	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.04	0.03	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.53	-0.00	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.03	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.09	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	82.76	82.76	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	42.31	42.12	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.49	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	19.23	20.52	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.49	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.06	34.48	33.79	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.16	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.04	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.00	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.50	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.43	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	53.85	54.82	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.33	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.71	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.14	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.55	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.50	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.70	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Army	Pat	26.37	26.37	47.41	47.41	-1.36	-1.36
Lehigh	Pat	6.18	6.18	64.29	64.29	1.77	1.77
Lafayette	Pat	4.54	4.54	58.62	58.62	0.78	0.78
Holy Cross	Pat	4.51	4.51	27.59	27.59	-2.02	-2.02
American	Pat	4.51	4.51	34.48	34.48	-1.40	-1.40
Colgate	Pat	4.48	4.48	33.33	33.33	-1.49	-1.49
Bucknell	Pat	4.45	4.45	41.38	41.38	-0.77	-0.77
Navy	Pat	4.45	4.45	42.86	42.86	-0.64	-0.64
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.28	2.28	15.38	15.38	-1.58	-1.58
Yale	Ivy	2.23	2.22	37.93	37.93	-0.54	-0.54
Brown	Ivy	2.19	2.19	32.14	32.14	-0.78	-0.78
Harvard	Ivy	2.16	2.16	76.92	76.92	1.16	1.16
Princeton	Ivy	2.10	2.10	72.00	72.93	0.92	0.96
Bryant	ind	2.05	2.05	3.45	3.45	-1.91	-1.91
Long Island	NEC	2.02	2.02	46.67	46.67	-0.13	-0.13
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.96	1.96	35.48	35.48	-0.57	-0.57
New Hampshire	AE	1.91	1.91	42.86	42.86	-0.27	-0.27
Buffalo	MAC	1.85	1.85	59.26	58.76	0.34	0.32
Portland	WCC	1.79	1.79	64.29	64.29	0.51	0.51
Southern Methodist	CUSA	1.79	1.79	40.74	41.50	-0.33	-0.30
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	1.79	1.79	20.83	20.83	-1.04	-1.04
Columbia	Ivy	0.61	0.61	39.29	39.29	-0.13	-0.13
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.40	0.44	22.22	21.56	-0.22	-0.25
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.41	74.19	74.19	0.20	0.20
Cornell	Ivy	0.41	0.41	86.21	86.21	0.30	0.29
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.40	0.40	36.67	36.67	-0.11	-0.11
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.33	0.33	37.93	37.93	-0.08	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.32	0.32	40.00	40.00	-0.06	-0.06
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.32	0.32	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.30	0.29	16.13	16.13	-0.20	-0.20
Stony Brook	AE	0.27	0.27	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.11
Marist	MAAC	0.27	0.27	3.33	3.33	-0.25	-0.25
Monmouth	NEC	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.23	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.19	72.73	72.40	0.09	0.08
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	55.17	53.74	0.02	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Richmond	A10	0.18	0.18	77.42	77.42	0.10	0.10
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.18	36.67	35.73	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	23.08	23.08	-0.09	-0.09
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	61.29	60.58	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.15	0.15	21.88	21.88	-0.08	-0.08
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Providence	BE	0.15	0.15	40.00	39.90	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.14	0.14	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.13	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	62.07	62.11	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.60	-0.06	-0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	33.33	33.74	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.11	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.09	24.14	23.59	-0.05	-0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.09	46.67	45.74	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.09	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.09	0.09	12.00	12.75	-0.07	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.09	37.93	36.75	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.86	76.33	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	72.41	73.08	0.04	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.61	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	63.33	64.12	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	54.17	54.17	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.09	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.07	0.07	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.07	0.07	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.04	0.03	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.00	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.53	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.03	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	82.76	82.76	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	42.31	42.12	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.49	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	19.23	20.52	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.49	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.06	34.48	33.79	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.16	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.04	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.50	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.43	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.71	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.14	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	53.85	54.82	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.33	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.55	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.50	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.70	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Lehigh	Pat	6.18	6.18	64.29	64.29	1.77	1.77
Harvard	Ivy	2.16	2.16	76.92	76.92	1.16	1.16
Princeton	Ivy	2.10	2.10	72.00	72.93	0.92	0.96
Lafayette	Pat	4.54	4.54	58.62	58.62	0.78	0.78
Portland	WCC	1.79	1.79	64.29	64.29	0.51	0.51
Buffalo	MAC	1.85	1.85	59.26	58.76	0.34	0.32
Cornell	Ivy	0.41	0.41	86.21	86.21	0.30	0.29
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.41	74.19	74.19	0.20	0.20
Stony Brook	AE	0.27	0.27	70.00	70.00	0.11	0.11
Richmond	A10	0.18	0.18	77.42	77.42	0.10	0.10
Vermont	AE	0.19	0.19	72.73	72.40	0.09	0.08
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.11	0.11	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.14	0.14	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.09	75.86	76.33	0.05	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	82.76	82.76	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.09	72.41	73.08	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.15	0.15	61.29	60.58	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	62.07	62.11	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.03	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.04	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	63.33	64.12	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.49	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	55.17	53.74	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.83	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.43	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.55	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.72	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.84	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.07	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.23	0.23	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.71	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	54.17	54.17	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.61	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.19	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.09	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	53.85	54.82	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.50	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.53	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.00	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.11	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.06	0.06	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.70	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.09	46.67	45.74	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.14	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01