The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Rider page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Rider

Conference:		MAAC
Expected RPI:		139.0
Current RPI:		139
Expected SOS:		146
Current SOS:		146
Current Record:		17-16
Expected Record:		17-16
Current Conf Record:		10-10
Expected Conf Record:		10-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-3
Current OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC RPI:		135
Expected OOC SOS:		163

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-16		139.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Rider.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Mississippi St. (55.0)	SEC	A	88-74	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	H	86-71	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	A	46-79	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	63-92	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Florida A&M (319.0)	MEAC	N	88-73	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Sam Houston St. (70.0)	Slnd	N	68-80	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Binghamton (229.0)	AE	H	58-50	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Saint Joseph's (180.0)	A10	H	81-73	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	H	55-51	W	100%	0.0
12-9	La Salle (175.0)	A10	H	60-69	L	0%	0.0
12-12	MD Baltimore County (333.0)	AE	A	79-67	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	A	70-80	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Monmouth (289.0)	NEC	A	70-63	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	A	62-84	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	A	66-68	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	A	65-64	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	H	49-69	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Marist (334.0)	MAAC	A	84-62	W	100%	0.0
1-15	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	H	66-77	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	A	59-72	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	A	58-74	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	A	62-61	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	H	74-71	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	A	88-80	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	H	73-80	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	H	70-62	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	H	75-79	L	0%	0.0
2-15	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	A	72-66	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Hofstra (145.0)	CAA	A	89-92	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	H	54-80	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	H	86-70	W	100%	0.0
3-6	St. Peter's (182.0)	MAAC	N	69-57	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	A	62-72	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Rider's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Rider's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Rider.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Rider	MAAC	26.43	26.43	54.04	54.04	2.13	2.13
Siena	MAAC	5.50	5.50	80.00	80.00	3.30	3.30
St. Peter's	MAAC	5.41	5.41	55.56	55.56	0.60	0.60
Fairfield	MAAC	4.09	4.09	70.00	70.00	1.64	1.64
Manhattan	MAAC	4.04	4.04	37.93	37.93	-0.98	-0.98
Marist	MAAC	4.02	4.02	3.57	3.57	-3.73	-3.73
Niagara	MAAC	4.00	4.00	58.06	58.06	0.65	0.65
Canisius	MAAC	4.00	4.00	46.67	46.67	-0.27	-0.27
Loyola MD	MAAC	3.97	3.97	39.29	39.29	-0.85	-0.85
Iona	MAAC	3.95	3.95	65.52	65.52	1.22	1.22
Rutgers	BE	1.67	1.67	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Binghamton	AE	1.64	1.64	39.29	39.29	-0.35	-0.35
Monmouth	NEC	1.64	1.64	40.00	40.00	-0.33	-0.33
Saint Joseph's	A10	1.63	1.63	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.62	1.62	13.79	13.79	-1.17	-1.17
Lehigh	Pat	1.61	1.61	70.97	70.97	0.68	0.68
Hofstra	CAA	1.61	1.61	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Kentucky	SEC	1.59	1.59	93.94	93.94	1.39	1.39
La Salle	A10	1.57	1.57	37.93	37.93	-0.38	-0.38
Mississippi St.	SEC	1.56	1.56	69.70	69.70	0.61	0.61
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	1.54	1.54	74.07	74.07	0.74	0.74
Florida A&M	MEAC	1.52	1.52	27.59	27.59	-0.68	-0.68
Virginia	ACC	1.52	1.52	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
Vermont	AE	0.30	0.30	73.53	73.53	0.14	0.14
Howard	MEAC	0.24	0.24	21.88	21.88	-0.14	-0.14
New Hampshire	AE	0.23	0.23	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Albany	AE	0.22	0.22	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Boston University	AE	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Hartford	AE	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
American	Pat	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.19	0.19	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.17	0.17	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	0.17	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.17	0.17	70.37	70.37	0.07	0.07
Lafayette	Pat	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.17	0.17	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.15	7.14	7.14	-0.13	-0.13
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.15	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.10	0.10	16.13	16.13	-0.07	-0.07
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.08	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.08	0.08	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.07	0.07	14.81	14.81	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.02	0.02	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Rider	MAAC	26.43	26.43	54.04	54.04	2.13	2.13
Siena	MAAC	5.50	5.50	80.00	80.00	3.30	3.30
St. Peter's	MAAC	5.41	5.41	55.56	55.56	0.60	0.60
Fairfield	MAAC	4.09	4.09	70.00	70.00	1.64	1.64
Manhattan	MAAC	4.04	4.04	37.93	37.93	-0.98	-0.98
Marist	MAAC	4.02	4.02	3.57	3.57	-3.73	-3.73
Niagara	MAAC	4.00	4.00	58.06	58.06	0.65	0.65
Canisius	MAAC	4.00	4.00	46.67	46.67	-0.27	-0.27
Loyola MD	MAAC	3.97	3.97	39.29	39.29	-0.85	-0.85
Iona	MAAC	3.95	3.95	65.52	65.52	1.22	1.22
Rutgers	BE	1.67	1.67	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Binghamton	AE	1.64	1.64	39.29	39.29	-0.35	-0.35
Monmouth	NEC	1.64	1.64	40.00	40.00	-0.33	-0.33
Saint Joseph's	A10	1.63	1.63	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.62	1.62	13.79	13.79	-1.17	-1.17
Lehigh	Pat	1.61	1.61	70.97	70.97	0.68	0.68
Hofstra	CAA	1.61	1.61	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Kentucky	SEC	1.59	1.59	93.94	93.94	1.39	1.39
La Salle	A10	1.57	1.57	37.93	37.93	-0.38	-0.38
Mississippi St.	SEC	1.56	1.56	69.70	69.70	0.61	0.61
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	1.54	1.54	74.07	74.07	0.74	0.74
Florida A&M	MEAC	1.52	1.52	27.59	27.59	-0.68	-0.68
Virginia	ACC	1.52	1.52	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
Vermont	AE	0.30	0.30	73.53	73.53	0.14	0.14
Howard	MEAC	0.24	0.24	21.88	21.88	-0.14	-0.14
New Hampshire	AE	0.23	0.23	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Albany	AE	0.22	0.22	21.88	21.88	-0.12	-0.12
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Boston University	AE	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Hartford	AE	0.20	0.20	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.20	0.20	25.00	25.00	-0.10	-0.10
American	Pat	0.19	0.19	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.19	0.19	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.17	0.17	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	0.17	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.17	0.17	70.37	70.37	0.07	0.07
Lafayette	Pat	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.17	0.17	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.15	7.14	7.14	-0.13	-0.13
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.15	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.10	0.10	16.13	16.13	-0.07	-0.07
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.08	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.08	0.08	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.07	0.07	14.81	14.81	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.02	0.02	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Siena	MAAC	5.50	5.50	80.00	80.00	3.30	3.30
Rider	MAAC	26.43	26.43	54.04	54.04	2.13	2.13
Fairfield	MAAC	4.09	4.09	70.00	70.00	1.64	1.64
Kentucky	SEC	1.59	1.59	93.94	93.94	1.39	1.39
Iona	MAAC	3.95	3.95	65.52	65.52	1.22	1.22
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	1.54	1.54	74.07	74.07	0.74	0.74
Lehigh	Pat	1.61	1.61	70.97	70.97	0.68	0.68
Niagara	MAAC	4.00	4.00	58.06	58.06	0.65	0.65
Mississippi St.	SEC	1.56	1.56	69.70	69.70	0.61	0.61
St. Peter's	MAAC	5.41	5.41	55.56	55.56	0.60	0.60
Hofstra	CAA	1.61	1.61	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Vermont	AE	0.30	0.30	73.53	73.53	0.14	0.14
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.20	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Princeton	Ivy	0.17	0.17	70.37	70.37	0.07	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.17	0.17	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
UAB