The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Indiana page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Indiana

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		206.6
Current RPI:		221
Expected SOS:		75
Current SOS:		129
Current Record:		9-13
Expected Record:		10-20
Current Conf Record:		3-7
Expected Conf Record:		4-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-1
Current OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		241
Expected OOC SOS:		240

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-15	135.0	0.03%
14-16	152.0	0.32%
13-17	169.7	2.56%
12-18	184.4	12.22%
11-19	198.8	30.36%
10-20	213.5	36.87%
9-21	227.7	17.63%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Indiana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Howard (313.9)	MEAC	H	83-60	W	100%	0.0
11-16	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	H	69-61	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	N	71-89	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Boston University (152.4)	AE	N	67-71	L	0%	0.0
11-22	George Mason (132.8)	CAA	N	66-69	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Northwestern St. (316.9)	Slnd	H	90-72	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Maryland (35.5)	ACC	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	N	74-64	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	H	73-90	L	0%	0.0
12-19	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	H	81-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Bryant (344.6)	ind	H	90-42	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Michigan (143.6)	B10	H	71-65	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	A	54-79	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Illinois (76.5)	B10	H	60-66	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	45-69	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	H	81-78	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	A	67-61	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	43-58	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Illinois (76.5)	B10	A	70-72	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Purdue (14.9)	B10	H	75-78	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	61-78	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	H	0-0		18%	-10.1
2-13	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	0-0		3%	-20.2
2-16	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	H	0-0		21%	-8.9
2-20	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	A	0-0		7%	-16.3
2-25	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	H	0-0		13%	-12.2
2-28	Iowa (199.8)	B10	A	0-0		41%	-2.6
3-3	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	0-0		4%	-19.0
3-6	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	H	0-0		39%	-3.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Indiana's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Indiana's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Indiana.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Indiana	B10	26.30	26.28	32.35	28.13	-9.28	-11.50
Illinois	B10	4.89	4.10	63.64	56.18	1.33	0.51
Michigan	B10	4.84	4.10	45.00	43.55	-0.48	-0.53
Iowa	B10	2.87	4.16	30.43	27.45	-1.12	-1.88
Northwestern	B10	2.82	4.10	68.18	67.06	1.03	1.40
Penn St.	B10	2.82	2.55	36.36	33.34	-0.77	-0.85
Ohio St.	B10	2.72	4.13	73.91	72.52	1.30	1.86
Purdue	B10	2.72	4.10	85.71	80.64	1.94	2.51
Minnesota	B10	2.61	4.10	66.67	65.94	0.87	1.31
Kentucky	SEC	2.32	1.69	95.45	88.29	2.11	1.30
Mississippi	SEC	2.32	1.69	72.73	71.58	1.06	0.73
Howard	MEAC	2.32	1.70	26.09	27.53	-1.11	-0.76
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.32	1.69	47.83	49.83	-0.10	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	2.32	1.72	5.00	10.17	-2.09	-1.37
Boston University	AE	2.27	1.67	52.17	56.19	0.10	0.21
Bryant	ind	2.27	1.67	0.00	4.33	-2.27	-1.52
George Mason	CAA	2.27	1.67	60.87	56.28	0.49	0.21
Maryland	ACC	2.27	1.72	70.00	66.70	0.91	0.58
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.27	1.67	25.00	27.19	-1.14	-0.76
Pittsburgh	BE	2.27	1.67	77.27	73.16	1.24	0.77
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.27	1.67	19.05	21.80	-1.41	-0.94
Wisconsin	B10	0.61	4.13	78.26	78.00	0.34	2.31
Michigan St.	B10	0.59	2.55	79.17	76.52	0.34	1.35
Connecticut	BE	0.25	0.14	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.25	0.22	86.36	82.20	0.18	0.14
Miami FL	ACC	0.21	0.15	68.18	62.73	0.08	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.20	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.20	0.11	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.20	0.20	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.20	0.14	35.00	38.23	-0.06	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.20	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.15	-0.07
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.20	0.11	69.57	64.51	0.08	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.20	0.14	43.48	39.98	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.20	0.16	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.14	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.19	0.11	8.70	11.46	-0.16	-0.09
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.09	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.15	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.17	0.12	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.16	0.14	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.16	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.15	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.14	81.82	72.57	0.10	0.06
Creighton	MVC	0.15	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.16	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.11
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.11	8.70	9.54	-0.12	-0.09
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.14	0.11	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.11	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.14	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.06
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.14	0.09	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.08	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.14	0.09	4.17	4.73	-0.13	-0.08
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.14	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.07
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	22.22	26.51	-0.07	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.12	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.09	26.32	31.51	-0.06	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.12	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.11	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.14	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.07
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.05	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.08	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.10	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.05	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.05	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.06
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.05	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.09	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.06	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.09
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.09	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.05	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.09	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.03	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.07	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.07	0.07	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.08	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.11	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.08	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.08	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.00	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.05	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.07
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.00	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.08	42.86	45.31	-0.00	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.00	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.00	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.00	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.00	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Indiana	B10	26.30	26.28	32.35	28.13	-9.28	-11.50
Iowa	B10	2.87	4.16	30.43	27.45	-1.12	-1.88
Ohio St.	B10	2.72	4.13	73.91	72.52	1.30	1.86
Wisconsin	B10	0.61	4.13	78.26	78.00	0.34	2.31
Northwestern	B10	2.82	4.10	68.18	67.06	1.03	1.40
Minnesota	B10	2.61	4.10	66.67	65.94	0.87	1.31
Illinois	B10	4.89	4.10	63.64	56.18	1.33	0.51
Purdue	B10	2.72	4.10	85.71	80.64	1.94	2.51
Michigan	B10	4.84	4.10	45.00	43.55	-0.48	-0.53
Michigan St.	B10	0.59	2.55	79.17	76.52	0.34	1.35
Penn St.	B10	2.82	2.55	36.36	33.34	-0.77	-0.85
Maryland	ACC	2.27	1.72	70.00	66.70	0.91	0.58
North Carolina Central	ind	2.32	1.72	5.00	10.17	-2.09	-1.37
Howard	MEAC	2.32	1.70	26.09	27.53	-1.11	-0.76
Kentucky	SEC	2.32	1.69	95.45	88.29	2.11	1.30
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.32	1.69	47.83	49.83	-0.10	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	2.32	1.69	72.73	71.58	1.06	0.73
Boston University	AE	2.27	1.67	52.17	56.19	0.10	0.21
Bryant	ind	2.27	1.67	0.00	4.33	-2.27	-1.52
George Mason	CAA	2.27	1.67	60.87	56.28	0.49	0.21
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.27	1.67	25.00	27.19	-1.14	-0.76
Pittsburgh	BE	2.27	1.67	77.27	73.16	1.24	0.77
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.27	1.67	19.05	21.80	-1.41	-0.94
West Virginia	BE	0.25	0.22	86.36	82.20	0.18	0.14
Alabama	SEC	0.20	0.20	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.20	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.16	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.11
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.20	0.16	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.15	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.21	0.15	68.18	62.73	0.08	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.16	0.14	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.14	81.82	72.57	0.10	0.06
New Hampshire	AE	0.20	0.14	35.00	38.23	-0.06	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.20	0.14	43.48	39.98	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.25	0.14	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.14	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.09
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.14	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.06
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.12	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.17	0.12	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.20	0.11	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.19	0.11	8.70	11.46	-0.16	-0.09
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.20	0.11	11.11	20.93	-0.15	-0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.20	0.11	69.57	64.51	0.08	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.07
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.11	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.16	0.11	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.15	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.20	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.11	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.11	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.06
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.14	0.11	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.11	8.70	9.54	-0.12	-0.09
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.11	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.14	0.11	12.50	15.31	-0.11	-0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.06
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.09	26.32	31.51	-0.06	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.09	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.12	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.09	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.14	0.09	4.17	4.73	-0.13	-0.08
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.14	0.09	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.15	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.08	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.08	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.08	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.14	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.08	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.08	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.08	42.86	45.31	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.00	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.08	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.08	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.08	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.08	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	22.22	26.51	-0.07	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.07	0.07	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.09	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.09	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.03	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.09	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.06	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.00	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.00	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.00	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.00	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.10	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.05	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.05	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.05	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.05	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.05	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02