The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Pittsburgh page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Pittsburgh

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		15.0
Current RPI:		15
Expected SOS:		10
Current SOS:		10
Current Record:		24-8
Expected Record:		24-8
Current Conf Record:		13-6
Expected Conf Record:		13-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-1
Current OOC Record:		11-2
Expected OOC Record:		11-2
Expected OOC RPI:		21
Expected OOC SOS:		48

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
24-8		15.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Pittsburgh.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Wofford (69.0)	SC	H	63-60	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Binghamton (229.0)	AE	H	71-46	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	H	71-60	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Wichita St. (43.0)	MVC	N	68-55	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Texas (29.0)	B12	N	62-78	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Youngstown St. (271.0)	Horz	H	72-56	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Duquesne (111.0)	A10	N	67-58	W	100%	0.0
12-4	New Hampshire (242.0)	AE	H	47-32	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Indiana (222.0)	B10	N	64-74	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	H	71-59	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Mount St. Mary's (172.0)	NEC	H	66-48	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	H	74-49	W	100%	0.0
12-28	DePaul (212.0)	BE	H	65-52	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	A	82-72	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	A	74-71	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	A	67-57	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Louisville (37.0)	BE	H	82-77	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	H	66-74	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	A	61-64	L	0%	0.0
1-28	St. John's (82.0)	BE	H	63-53	W	100%	0.0
1-31	South Florida (71.0)	BE	A	61-70	L	0%	0.0
2-3	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	A	51-70	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	H	83-58	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Robert Morris (129.0)	NEC	H	77-53	W	100%	0.0
2-12	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	H	98-95	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Marquette (50.0)	BE	A	58-51	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Villanova (14.0)	BE	H	70-65	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	A	53-68	L	0%	0.0
2-27	St. John's (82.0)	BE	A	71-64	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Providence (141.0)	BE	H	73-71	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	H	83-54	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	N	45-50	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Pittsburgh's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Pittsburgh's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Pittsburgh.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Pittsburgh	BE	25.98	25.98	73.85	73.85	12.39	12.39
West Virginia	BE	3.73	3.73	83.87	83.87	2.53	2.53
Notre Dame	BE	3.71	3.71	65.62	65.62	1.16	1.16
Seton Hall	BE	3.68	3.68	62.07	62.07	0.89	0.89
St. John's	BE	3.64	3.64	56.67	56.67	0.48	0.48
Georgetown	BE	2.22	2.22	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Cincinnati	BE	2.19	2.19	56.25	56.25	0.27	0.27
Marquette	BE	2.17	2.17	68.75	68.75	0.82	0.82
South Florida	BE	2.17	2.17	61.29	61.29	0.49	0.49
Connecticut	BE	2.17	2.17	54.84	54.84	0.21	0.21
Rutgers	BE	2.12	2.12	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Providence	BE	2.12	2.12	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
DePaul	BE	2.12	2.12	26.67	26.67	-0.99	-0.99
Louisville	BE	2.12	2.12	64.52	64.52	0.62	0.62
Syracuse	BE	2.12	2.12	90.32	90.32	1.71	1.71
Villanova	BE	2.12	2.12	80.00	80.00	1.27	1.27
Robert Morris	NEC	1.76	1.76	69.70	69.70	0.70	0.70
Kent St.	MAC	1.73	1.73	73.33	73.33	0.81	0.81
Ohio	MAC	1.69	1.69	60.61	60.61	0.36	0.36
Duquesne	A10	1.66	1.66	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.66	1.66	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Binghamton	AE	1.64	1.64	39.29	39.29	-0.35	-0.35
New Hampshire	AE	1.62	1.62	42.86	42.86	-0.23	-0.23
Youngstown St.	Horz	1.61	1.61	22.22	22.22	-0.89	-0.89
Wofford	SC	1.59	1.59	78.12	78.12	0.89	0.89
Texas	B12	1.59	1.59	71.88	71.88	0.69	0.69
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.59	1.59	62.07	62.07	0.38	0.38
Indiana	B10	1.56	1.56	30.00	30.00	-0.62	-0.62
Wichita St.	MVC	1.56	1.56	75.00	75.00	0.78	0.78
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.22	0.22	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Vermont	AE	0.21	0.21	73.53	73.53	0.10	0.10
Long Island	NEC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.18	0.18	62.07	62.07	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.18	0.18	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Western Carolina	SC	0.17	0.17	63.33	63.33	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
Stony Brook	AE	0.16	0.16	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Albany	AE	0.16	0.16	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.15	3.33	3.33	-0.14	-0.14
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.15	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.15	0.15	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.14	0.14	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.12	0.12	86.21	86.21	0.09	0.09
Northwestern	B10	0.12	0.12	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Long Beach St.	BW	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.11	13.33	13.33	-0.08	-0.08
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.10	0.10	16.13	16.13	-0.07	-0.07
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.07	0.07	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.02	0.02	80.65	80.65	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.02	0.02	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Pittsburgh	BE	25.98	25.98	73.85	73.85	12.39	12.39
West Virginia	BE	3.73	3.73	83.87	83.87	2.53	2.53
Notre Dame	BE	3.71	3.71	65.62	65.62	1.16	1.16
Seton Hall	BE	3.68	3.68	62.07	62.07	0.89	0.89
St. John's	BE	3.64	3.64	56.67	56.67	0.48	0.48
Georgetown	BE	2.22	2.22	68.75	68.75	0.83	0.83
Cincinnati	BE	2.19	2.19	56.25	56.25	0.27	0.27
Marquette	BE	2.17	2.17	68.75	68.75	0.82	0.82
South Florida	BE	2.17	2.17	61.29	61.29	0.49	0.49
Connecticut	BE	2.17	2.17	54.84	54.84	0.21	0.21
Rutgers	BE	2.12	2.12	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Providence	BE	2.12	2.12	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
DePaul	BE	2.12	2.12	26.67	26.67	-0.99	-0.99
Louisville	BE	2.12	2.12	64.52	64.52	0.62	0.62
Syracuse	BE	2.12	2.12	90.32	90.32	1.71	1.71
Villanova	BE	2.12	2.12	80.00	80.00	1.27	1.27
Robert Morris	NEC	1.76	1.76	69.70	69.70	0.70	0.70
Kent St.	MAC	1.73	1.73	73.33	73.33	0.81	0.81
Ohio	MAC	1.69	1.69	60.61	60.61	0.36	0.36
Duquesne	A10	1.66	1.66	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.66	1.66	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Binghamton	AE	1.64	1.64	39.29	39.29	-0.35	-0.35
New Hampshire	AE	1.62	1.62	42.86	42.86	-0.23	-0.23
Youngstown St.	Horz	1.61	1.61	22.22	22.22	-0.89	-0.89
Wofford	SC	1.59	1.59	78.12	78.12	0.89	0.89
Texas	B12	1.59	1.59	71.88	71.88	0.69	0.69
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.59	1.59	62.07	62.07	0.38	0.38
Indiana	B10	1.56	1.56	30.00	30.00	-0.62	-0.62
Wichita St.	MVC	1.56	1.56	75.00	75.00	0.78	0.78
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.22	0.22	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Vermont	AE	0.21	0.21	73.53	73.53	0.10	0.10
Long Island	NEC	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.18	0.18	62.07	62.07	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.18	0.18	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.17	0.17	85.29	85.29	0.12	0.12
Western Carolina	SC	0.17	0.17	63.33	63.33	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
Stony Brook	AE	0.16	0.16	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
Albany	AE	0.16	0.16	21.88	21.88	-0.09	-0.09
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.15	3.33	3.33	-0.14	-0.14
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.15	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.15	0.15	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.14	0.14	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.13	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.12	0.12	86.21	86.21	0.09	0.09
Northwestern	B10	0.12	0.12	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.12	0.12	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Long Beach St.	BW	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.11	13.33	13.33	-0.08	-0.08
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.10	0.10	16.13	16.13	-0.07	-0.07
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.07	0.07	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.07	0.07	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Davidson	SC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01