The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Pittsburgh page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Pittsburgh

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		26.0
Current RPI:		22
Expected SOS:		12
Current SOS:		14
Current Record:		17-6
Expected Record:		22-9
Current Conf Record:		7-4
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-1
Current OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC Record:		11-2
Expected OOC RPI:		25
Expected OOC SOS:		55

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
25-6	8.5	1.20%
24-7	11.6	8.36%
23-8	17.2	22.92%
22-9	24.2	32.46%
21-10	33.5	23.64%
20-11	43.8	9.58%
19-12	54.6	1.74%
18-13	64.9	0.08%
17-14	74.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Pittsburgh.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Wofford (100.2)	SC	H	63-60	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	71-46	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Eastern Kentucky (131.4)	OVC	H	71-60	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	N	68-55	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Texas (15.2)	B12	N	62-78	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	H	72-56	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	N	67-58	W	100%	0.0
12-4	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	47-32	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Indiana (206.6)	B10	N	64-74	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	H	71-59	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Mount St. Mary's (186.5)	NEC	H	66-48	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	74-49	W	100%	0.0
12-28	DePaul (180.2)	BE	H	65-52	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	82-72	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	A	74-71	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	A	67-57	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Louisville (36.4)	BE	H	82-77	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	H	66-74	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	A	61-64	L	0%	0.0
1-28	St. John's (101.2)	BE	H	63-53	W	100%	0.0
1-31	South Florida (64.9)	BE	A	61-70	L	0%	0.0
2-3	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	A	51-70	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	H	83-58	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	H	0-0		97%	20.5
2-12	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	H	0-0		41%	-2.4
2-18	Marquette (55.4)	BE	A	0-0		27%	-6.6
2-21	Villanova (6.2)	BE	H	0-0		49%	-0.1
2-24	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	0-0		49%	-0.3
2-27	St. John's (101.2)	BE	A	0-0		58%	2.2
3-4	Providence (98.2)	BE	H	0-0		80%	9.0
3-6	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	H	0-0		93%	16.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Pittsburgh's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Pittsburgh's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Pittsburgh.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Pittsburgh	BE	26.22	26.00	72.04	68.17	11.56	9.45
Seton Hall	BE	4.68	3.73	57.89	58.02	0.74	0.60
Connecticut	BE	2.57	2.17	63.64	58.37	0.70	0.36
South Florida	BE	2.56	2.18	63.64	60.87	0.70	0.47
West Virginia	BE	2.56	3.77	85.71	82.40	1.83	2.44
Georgetown	BE	2.56	2.18	76.19	72.41	1.34	0.98
Louisville	BE	2.52	2.18	68.18	64.14	0.92	0.62
Syracuse	BE	2.52	2.18	100.00	94.42	2.52	1.93
Cincinnati	BE	2.51	2.15	63.64	57.45	0.69	0.32
St. John's	BE	2.46	3.71	57.14	51.27	0.35	0.09
DePaul	BE	2.41	2.18	36.36	35.06	-0.66	-0.65
Kent St.	MAC	2.37	1.78	72.73	72.71	1.08	0.81
Binghamton	AE	2.28	1.70	40.91	40.01	-0.41	-0.34
Duquesne	A10	2.27	1.72	52.38	51.56	0.11	0.05
Ohio	MAC	2.27	1.72	52.38	52.72	0.11	0.09
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	2.22	1.64	68.18	67.02	0.81	0.56
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.22	1.69	40.91	49.35	-0.40	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	2.22	1.67	36.84	39.70	-0.58	-0.34
Texas	B12	2.22	1.64	81.82	78.05	1.41	0.92
Wofford	SC	2.22	1.64	69.57	70.28	0.87	0.67
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.22	1.67	30.00	28.79	-0.89	-0.71
Indiana	B10	2.17	1.61	38.10	32.59	-0.52	-0.56
Wichita St.	MVC	2.17	1.61	82.61	79.97	1.42	0.97
Notre Dame	BE	0.38	2.15	70.83	63.80	0.16	0.59
Villanova	BE	0.35	2.18	90.91	83.62	0.28	1.46
Rutgers	BE	0.34	2.18	47.83	44.14	-0.01	-0.26
Providence	BE	0.33	2.15	52.17	47.53	0.01	-0.11
Boston University	AE	0.30	0.20	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.29	1.81	66.67	66.06	0.10	0.58
Marquette	BE	0.29	2.15	65.22	65.86	0.09	0.68
Hartford	AE	0.26	0.17	30.43	32.48	-0.10	-0.06
Temple	A10	0.25	0.19	79.17	77.57	0.15	0.11
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.22	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.24	0.17	63.64	61.86	0.07	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.24	0.16	71.43	69.51	0.10	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.20	0.14	71.43	67.85	0.08	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.17	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.20	0.14	85.71	85.57	0.14	0.10
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.11	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.14	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Albany	AE	0.19	0.17	23.08	25.77	-0.10	-0.08
Iowa	B10	0.19	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.19	0.16	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.11	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.08	73.68	75.41	0.07	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.15	0.11	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.72	0.05	0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.15	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.15	0.20	68.00	67.20	0.05	0.07
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.15	0.19	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.08
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.07	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.15	0.14	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.11	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.15	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.01
American	Pat	0.14	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.14	0.08	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.06
Miami OH	MAC	0.14	0.13	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.06
Elon	SC	0.14	0.08	19.05	23.26	-0.09	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.14	0.13	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.14	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.11	0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.16	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.08	4.17	4.73	-0.09	-0.08
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.12	8.70	11.46	-0.08	-0.09
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.16	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.15
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.08	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.11	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.07
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.11	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.11	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.05	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.11	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.05	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.05	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.05	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.05	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.05	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.05	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.11	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.05	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.08	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.16	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.05	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.08	68.18	59.30	0.03	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.05	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.05	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.08	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.09
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.00	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.05	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.05	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.00	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.00	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.00	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.00	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.00	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.00	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.00	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Pittsburgh	BE	26.22	26.00	72.04	68.17	11.56	9.45
West Virginia	BE	2.56	3.77	85.71	82.40	1.83	2.44
Seton Hall	BE	4.68	3.73	57.89	58.02	0.74	0.60
St. John's	BE	2.46	3.71	57.14	51.27	0.35	0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.34	2.18	47.83	44.14	-0.01	-0.26
Villanova	BE	0.35	2.18	90.91	83.62	0.28	1.46
Syracuse	BE	2.52	2.18	100.00	94.42	2.52	1.93
DePaul	BE	2.41	2.18	36.36	35.06	-0.66	-0.65
Georgetown	BE	2.56	2.18	76.19	72.41	1.34	0.98
Louisville	BE	2.52	2.18	68.18	64.14	0.92	0.62
South Florida	BE	2.56	2.18	63.64	60.87	0.70	0.47
Connecticut	BE	2.57	2.17	63.64	58.37	0.70	0.36
Marquette	BE	0.29	2.15	65.22	65.86	0.09	0.68
Notre Dame	BE	0.38	2.15	70.83	63.80	0.16	0.59
Providence	BE	0.33	2.15	52.17	47.53	0.01	-0.11
Cincinnati	BE	2.51	2.15	63.64	57.45	0.69	0.32
Robert Morris	NEC	0.29	1.81	66.67	66.06	0.10	0.58
Kent St.	MAC	2.37	1.78	72.73	72.71	1.08	0.81
Duquesne	A10	2.27	1.72	52.38	51.56	0.11	0.05
Ohio	MAC	2.27	1.72	52.38	52.72	0.11	0.09
Binghamton	AE	2.28	1.70	40.91	40.01	-0.41	-0.34
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	2.22	1.69	40.91	49.35	-0.40	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	2.22	1.67	36.84	39.70	-0.58	-0.34
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.22	1.67	30.00	28.79	-0.89	-0.71
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	2.22	1.64	68.18	67.02	0.81	0.56
Wofford	SC	2.22	1.64	69.57	70.28	0.87	0.67
Texas	B12	2.22	1.64	81.82	78.05	1.41	0.92
Indiana	B10	2.17	1.61	38.10	32.59	-0.52	-0.56
Wichita St.	MVC	2.17	1.61	82.61	79.97	1.42	0.97
Long Island	NEC	0.25	0.22	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.04
Vermont	AE	0.15	0.20	68.00	67.20	0.05	0.07
Boston University	AE	0.30	0.20	54.17	57.70	0.02	0.03
Temple	A10	0.25	0.19	79.17	77.57	0.15	0.11
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.15	0.19	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.08
Hartford	AE	0.26	0.17	30.43	32.48	-0.10	-0.06
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.17	68.18	68.72	0.05	0.06
Maine	AE	0.24	0.17	63.64	61.86	0.07	0.04
Albany	AE	0.19	0.17	23.08	25.77	-0.10	-0.08
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.17	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.19	0.16	40.00	42.64	-0.04	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.16	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.16	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.24	0.16	71.43	69.51	0.10	0.06
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.16	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.15
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.15	0.14	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.20	0.14	71.43	67.85	0.08	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.14	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.20	0.14	85.71	85.57	0.14	0.10
Iowa	B10	0.19	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.14	0.13	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.14	0.13	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.12	8.70	11.46	-0.08	-0.09
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.11	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.04
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.11	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.15	0.11	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.07	-0.04
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.09
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.11	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.11	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.06
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.07
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.11	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.11	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.11	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.11	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.07
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.11	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.15	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.10	0.08	4.17	4.73	-0.09	-0.08
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.15	0.08	73.68	75.41	0.07	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.15	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.04
American	Pat	0.14	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.14	0.08	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.08	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.14	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.08	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.08	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.08	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.14	0.08	19.05	23.26	-0.09	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.11	0.06
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.09	0.08	68.18	59.30	0.03	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.05	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.05	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.05	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.05	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.05	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.05	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.05	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.05	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.05	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.05	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01