Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Conference USA

Expected RPI:		11
Current RPI:		11
Current OOC Record:		89-64 (0.5817)
Expected OOC Record:		89-64 (0.5817)
Expected OOC RPI:		13
Expected OOC SOS:		16

Expected				RPI		SOS		SOS Rank		Current		Projected		Conf Records				1-25		26-50		51-100		101-200		200+		Non Conf Forecasts						Current
RPI Rank		Team		Forecast		Forecast		Forecast		W-L		W-L		Current		Projected		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		RPI		SOS		RPI
38.0		Texas El Paso		0.5944		0.5278		111		26-6		26-6		17-2		17-2		0-1		3-1		6-3		7-2		11-0		9-4		129		171		38
45.0		UAB		0.5851		0.5329		101		23-8		23-8		11-6		11-6		1-0		0-3		3-3		10-2		9-0		12-2		20		94		45
58.0		Memphis		0.5743		0.5396		85		23-9		23-9		13-4		13-4		0-3		2-2		5-0		7-3		9-1		10-5		102		60		58
67.0		Marshall		0.5659		0.5258		114		20-9		20-9		11-6		11-6		0-1		1-3		2-4		7-1		10-0		9-3		40		71		67
68.0		Tulsa		0.5652		0.5346		99		22-11		22-11		12-7		12-7		0-1		1-4		3-5		8-1		10-0		10-4		80		133		68
110.0		Houston		0.5298		0.5292		106		18-15		18-15		11-9		11-9		0-0		2-2		3-5		7-5		6-3		7-6		158		139		110
114.0		Southern Mississippi		0.5278		0.5111		140		16-13		16-13		10-9		10-9		0-0		1-5		0-5		3-1		12-2		6-4		128		248		114
191.0		Central Florida		0.4902		0.5097		143		14-17		14-17		7-11		7-11		0-0		0-4		0-8		5-3		9-2		7-6		168		189		191
208.0		Southern Methodist		0.4752		0.5150		129		12-17		12-17		7-10		7-10		0-1		0-4		1-7		2-4		9-1		5-7		262		221		208
231.0		East Carolina		0.4594		0.5235		119		7-21		7-21		4-13		4-13		0-2		0-4		0-6		1-7		6-2		3-8		200		45		231
282.0		Tulane		0.4278		0.4928		176		8-22		8-22		3-14		3-14		0-1		0-3		0-6		3-6		5-6		5-8		268		261		282
311.0		Rice		0.4064		0.4806		207		7-23		7-23		1-16		1-16		0-0		0-3		0-6		0-7		7-7		6-7		247		272		311

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI:

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