Conference USA

Expected RPI Rank	Team	RPI Forecast	SOS Forecast	SOS Rank Forecast	Curr W-L	Proj W-L	Current Conf W-L	Proj Conf W-L	1-25 W-L	26-50 W-L	51-100 W-L	101-200 W-L	200+ W-L	Proj OOC W-L	Proj OOC RPI	Proj OOC SOS	Current RPI	Prob auto-bid
15.8	Southern Mississippi	0.6209	0.5450	69	18-3	24-5	7-1	13-3	1-1	2-1	6-1	8-1	7-0	11-2	14	64	7	18.18%
25.8	Memphis	0.6056	0.5693	25	16-7	22-9	6-2	12-4	1-4	1-2	5-1	11-1	4-0	10-5	43	8	20	59.01%
61.3	Marshall	0.5702	0.5677	27	13-9	17-12	5-4	9-7	1-4	1-2	3-3	6-2	6-0	8-5	54	13	61	7.62%
72.7	Central Florida	0.5618	0.5294	101	15-6	19-9	6-3	10-6	1-3	1-2	1-2	7-3	8-0	9-3	82	191	63	4.37%
105.7	Tulsa	0.5381	0.5262	108	14-9	18-12	7-2	11-5	0-3	1-1	3-2	8-3	6-3	7-7	136	101	108	5.88%
140.0	UAB	0.5150	0.5569	50	9-13	12-17	4-5	7-9	0-6	1-2	1-4	4-3	5-2	5-8	165	53	138	0.77%
158.4	East Carolina	0.5047	0.5419	73	8-10	10-15	3-6	5-11	0-3	0-1	1-4	4-5	5-1	5-4	152	182	163	1.25%
174.9	Tulane	0.4950	0.4699	232	13-8	16-12	3-6	6-10	0-2	0-1	0-2	4-5	12-1	10-2	123	339	178	1.36%
177.4	Rice	0.4937	0.5090	140	10-11	13-15	4-5	7-9	0-2	0-3	0-4	4-5	8-1	6-6	214	229	170	0.54%
178.1	Texas El Paso	0.4929	0.5313	95	10-13	13-17	3-6	6-10	0-2	0-2	1-4	5-6	6-3	7-7	145	80	186	0.73%
214.4	Southern Methodist	0.4727	0.5071	142	8-13	11-18	2-7	4-12	0-2	0-2	1-3	4-8	6-2	7-6	192	233	206	0.15%
233.1	Houston	0.4618	0.4941	169	10-11	12-16	3-6	5-11	0-1	0-1	1-3	5-8	6-2	7-5	262	294	242	0.14%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI: