Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Conference USA

Expected RPI:		11
Current RPI:		11
Current OOC Record:		88-63 (0.5828)
Expected OOC Record:		89-64 (0.5817)
Expected OOC RPI:		13
Expected OOC SOS:		13

Expected				RPI		SOS		SOS Rank		Current		Projected		Conf Records				1-25		26-50		51-100		101-200		200+		Non Conf Forecasts						Current
RPI Rank		Team		Forecast		Forecast		Forecast		W-L		W-L		Current		Projected		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		RPI		SOS		RPI
34.4		UAB		0.5994		0.5327		101		19-4		24-6		7-2		12-4		1-0		1-1		5-4		8-1		9-0		12-2		23		98		29
53.5		Texas El Paso		0.5809		0.5275		108		17-5		22-7		8-1		13-3		0-1		2-2		5-3		6-2		9-0		9-4		124		163		59
63.1		Tulsa		0.5715		0.5257		110		17-5		21-9		7-2		11-5		0-1		1-2		3-4		7-1		10-0		10-4		92		162		63
65.5		Memphis		0.5690		0.5399		82		16-7		22-9		6-2		12-4		0-3		1-2		4-1		7-2		10-1		10-5		108		74		80
82.0		Marshall		0.5545		0.5202		118		14-7		18-10		5-4		9-7		0-2		0-3		1-3		7-2		10-1		9-3		47		106		86
111.9		Southern Mississippi		0.5329		0.5141		137		10-8		15-11		4-4		9-7		0-1		0-3		1-4		4-1		10-2		6-4		115		223		106
144.5		Houston		0.5137		0.5228		115		10-11		15-14		4-5		8-8		0-0		1-2		3-6		5-4		6-2		7-6		170		133		158
192.9		Central Florida		0.4861		0.5076		148		10-11		13-16		3-5		6-10		0-0		0-3		0-8		4-4		8-1		7-6		167		182		170
197.3		Southern Methodist		0.4837		0.5178		124		9-11		12-16		4-4		7-9		0-1		0-4		2-6		2-3		8-2		5-7		264		228		199
243.1		East Carolina		0.4547		0.5314		103		4-16		6-21		1-8		3-13		0-3		0-4		0-5		1-6		5-3		3-8		177		32		224
255.7		Tulane		0.4460		0.5048		155		7-15		9-20		2-7		4-12		0-1		0-3		0-6		2-6		6-5		5-8		249		220		253
288.1		Rice		0.4236		0.4810		203		7-15		9-20		1-8		3-13		0-1		0-2		0-5		1-7		8-5		6-7		244		263		286

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI:

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