The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Columbia page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Columbia

Conference:		Ivy
Expected RPI:		252.0
Current RPI:		252
Expected SOS:		252
Current SOS:		252
Current Record:		11-17
Expected Record:		11-17
Current Conf Record:		5-9
Expected Conf Record:		5-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-7
Current OOC Record:		6-8
Expected OOC Record:		6-8
Expected OOC RPI:		226
Expected OOC SOS:		259

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
11-17		252.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Columbia.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	DePaul (212.0)	BE	A	53-59	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Longwood (286.0)	ind	H	72-61	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	H	73-59	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	A	60-85	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Sacred Heart (263.0)	NEC	A	55-60	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	H	75-70	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Stony Brook (142.0)	AE	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Wagner (332.0)	NEC	A	102-91	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Bryant (346.0)	ind	A	69-57	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Quinnipiac (147.0)	NEC	A	51-63	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Maine (153.0)	AE	H	59-65	L	0%	0.0
1-4	American (295.0)	Pat	H	56-51	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	A	74-91	L	0%	0.0
1-11	St. Francis NY (294.0)	NEC	H	53-59	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Cornell (46.0)	Ivy	A	53-74	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Cornell (46.0)	Ivy	H	51-77	L	0%	0.0
1-29	Harvard (100.0)	Ivy	H	45-74	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Dartmouth (335.0)	Ivy	H	63-51	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Brown (257.0)	Ivy	H	65-54	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Yale (267.0)	Ivy	H	64-79	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Princeton (134.0)	Ivy	A	45-55	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Pennsylvania (300.0)	Ivy	A	66-62	W	100%	0.0
2-19	Dartmouth (335.0)	Ivy	A	44-48	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Harvard (100.0)	Ivy	A	57-77	L	0%	0.0
2-26	Pennsylvania (300.0)	Ivy	H	56-55	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Princeton (134.0)	Ivy	H	52-67	L	0%	0.0
3-5	Yale (267.0)	Ivy	A	48-65	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Brown (257.0)	Ivy	A	65-56	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Columbia's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Columbia's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Columbia.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Columbia	Ivy	26.30	26.30	39.52	39.52	-5.51	-5.51
Brown	Ivy	4.55	4.55	33.33	33.33	-1.52	-1.52
Yale	Ivy	4.46	4.46	32.14	32.14	-1.59	-1.59
Dartmouth	Ivy	4.44	4.44	12.00	12.00	-3.38	-3.38
Cornell	Ivy	4.42	4.42	85.19	85.19	3.11	3.11
Princeton	Ivy	4.42	4.42	68.00	68.00	1.59	1.59
Pennsylvania	Ivy	4.36	4.36	23.08	23.08	-2.35	-2.35
Harvard	Ivy	4.36	4.36	72.00	72.00	1.92	1.92
Bryant	ind	2.27	2.27	3.45	3.45	-2.11	-2.11
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.24	2.24	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Lehigh	Pat	2.23	2.23	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Wagner	NEC	2.21	2.21	16.67	16.67	-1.47	-1.47
Lafayette	Pat	2.20	2.20	58.06	58.06	0.36	0.36
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.17	2.17	46.43	46.43	-0.15	-0.15
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.15	2.15	35.71	35.71	-0.61	-0.61
Bucknell	Pat	2.14	2.14	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
American	Pat	2.07	2.07	36.67	36.67	-0.55	-0.55
Maine	AE	2.03	2.03	60.71	60.71	0.43	0.43
Syracuse	BE	1.94	1.94	87.10	87.10	1.44	1.44
Stony Brook	AE	1.93	1.93	68.97	68.97	0.73	0.73
DePaul	BE	1.84	1.84	23.33	23.33	-0.98	-0.98
Longwood	ind	1.81	1.81	30.77	30.77	-0.70	-0.70
Army	Pat	0.60	0.60	46.43	46.43	-0.04	-0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.53	0.53	34.48	34.48	-0.17	-0.17
Holy Cross	Pat	0.47	0.47	29.03	29.03	-0.20	-0.20
Monmouth	NEC	0.42	0.42	38.71	38.71	-0.10	-0.10
Navy	Pat	0.38	0.38	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Hartford	AE	0.36	0.36	26.67	26.67	-0.17	-0.17
Vermont	AE	0.34	0.34	73.53	73.53	0.16	0.16
Albany	AE	0.33	0.33	21.88	21.88	-0.19	-0.19
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.32	0.32	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.30	0.30	34.38	34.38	-0.09	-0.09
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.30	0.30	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.28	0.28	41.38	41.38	-0.05	-0.05
St. John's	BE	0.27	0.27	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.27	0.27	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.26	0.26	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.25	0.25	35.48	35.48	-0.07	-0.07
Boston University	AE	0.25	0.25	59.38	59.38	0.05	0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Georgetown	BE	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Boston College	ACC	0.22	0.22	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.21	13.33	13.33	-0.16	-0.16
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.18	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.12	0.12	3.33	3.33	-0.11	-0.11
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.09	7.14	7.14	-0.08	-0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.07	12.00	12.00	-0.05	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Columbia	Ivy	26.30	26.30	39.52	39.52	-5.51	-5.51
Brown	Ivy	4.55	4.55	33.33	33.33	-1.52	-1.52
Yale	Ivy	4.46	4.46	32.14	32.14	-1.59	-1.59
Dartmouth	Ivy	4.44	4.44	12.00	12.00	-3.38	-3.38
Cornell	Ivy	4.42	4.42	85.19	85.19	3.11	3.11
Princeton	Ivy	4.42	4.42	68.00	68.00	1.59	1.59
Pennsylvania	Ivy	4.36	4.36	23.08	23.08	-2.35	-2.35
Harvard	Ivy	4.36	4.36	72.00	72.00	1.92	1.92
Bryant	ind	2.27	2.27	3.45	3.45	-2.11	-2.11
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.24	2.24	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Lehigh	Pat	2.23	2.23	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Wagner	NEC	2.21	2.21	16.67	16.67	-1.47	-1.47
Lafayette	Pat	2.20	2.20	58.06	58.06	0.36	0.36
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.17	2.17	46.43	46.43	-0.15	-0.15
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.15	2.15	35.71	35.71	-0.61	-0.61
Bucknell	Pat	2.14	2.14	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
American	Pat	2.07	2.07	36.67	36.67	-0.55	-0.55
Maine	AE	2.03	2.03	60.71	60.71	0.43	0.43
Syracuse	BE	1.94	1.94	87.10	87.10	1.44	1.44
Stony Brook	AE	1.93	1.93	68.97	68.97	0.73	0.73
DePaul	BE	1.84	1.84	23.33	23.33	-0.98	-0.98
Longwood	ind	1.81	1.81	30.77	30.77	-0.70	-0.70
Army	Pat	0.60	0.60	46.43	46.43	-0.04	-0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.53	0.53	34.48	34.48	-0.17	-0.17
Holy Cross	Pat	0.47	0.47	29.03	29.03	-0.20	-0.20
Monmouth	NEC	0.42	0.42	38.71	38.71	-0.10	-0.10
Navy	Pat	0.38	0.38	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Hartford	AE	0.36	0.36	26.67	26.67	-0.17	-0.17
Vermont	AE	0.34	0.34	73.53	73.53	0.16	0.16
Albany	AE	0.33	0.33	21.88	21.88	-0.19	-0.19
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.32	0.32	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.30	0.30	34.38	34.38	-0.09	-0.09
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.30	0.30	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.28	0.28	41.38	41.38	-0.05	-0.05
St. John's	BE	0.27	0.27	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.27	0.27	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.26	0.26	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.25	0.25	35.48	35.48	-0.07	-0.07
Boston University	AE	0.25	0.25	59.38	59.38	0.05	0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Georgetown	BE	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Boston College	ACC	0.22	0.22	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.21	13.33	13.33	-0.16	-0.16
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.18	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.12	0.12	3.33	3.33	-0.11	-0.11
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.09	7.14	7.14	-0.08	-0.08
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.07	12.00	12.00	-0.05	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cornell	Ivy	4.42	4.42	85.19	85.19	3.11	3.11
Harvard	Ivy	4.36	4.36	72.00	72.00	1.92	1.92
Princeton	Ivy	4.42	4.42	68.00	68.00	1.59	1.59
Syracuse	BE	1.94	1.94	87.10	87.10	1.44	1.44
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.24	2.24	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Lehigh	Pat	2.23	2.23	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Stony Brook	AE	1.93	1.93	68.97	68.97	0.73	0.73
Maine	AE	2.03	2.03	60.71	60.71	0.43	0.43
Lafayette	Pat	2.20	2.20	58.06	58.06	0.36	0.36
Vermont	AE	0.34	0.34	73.53	73.53	0.16	0.16
Robert Morris	NEC	0.26	0.26	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Georgetown	BE	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.25	0.25	59.38	59.38	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.06	0.06	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.06	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.27	0.27	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.30	0.30	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.07	0.07	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.22	0.22	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.29	0.29	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.07	0.07	23.33	23.33	-0.04	-0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.15	0.15	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.18	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.60	0.60	46.43	46.43	-0.04	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.28	0.28	41.38	41.38	-0.05	-0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.07	12.00	12.00	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.38	0.38	43.33	43.33	-0.05	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.27	0.27	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.12	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.25	0.25	35.48	35.48	-0.07	-0.07
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.09	7.14	7.14	-0.08	-0.08
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.32	0.32	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.30	0.30	34.38	34.38	-0.09	-0.09
Monmouth	NEC	0.42	0.42	38.71	38.71	-0.10	-0.10
Marist	MAAC	0.12	0.12	3.33	3.33	-0.11	-0.11
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Bucknell	Pat	2.14	2.14	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.17	2.17	46.43	46.43	-0.15	-0.15
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.21	13.33	13.33	-0.16	-0.16
Colgate	Pat	0.53	0.53	34.48	34.48	-0.17	-0.17
Hartford	AE	0.36	0.36	26.67	26.67	-0.17	-0.17
Albany	AE	0.33	0.33	21.88	21.88	-0.19	-0.19
Holy Cross	Pat	0.47	0.47	29.03	29.03	-0.20	-0.20
American	Pat	2.07	2.07	36.67	36.67	-0.55	-0.55
St. Francis NY	NEC	2.15	2.15	35.71	35.71	-0.61	-0.61
Longwood	ind	1.81	1.81	30.77	30.77	-0.70	-0.70
DePaul	BE	1.84	1.84	23.33	23.33	-0.98	-0.98
Wagner	NEC	2.21	2.21	16.67	16.67	-1.47	-1.47
Brown	Ivy	4.55	4.55	33.33	33.33	-1.52	-1.52
Yale	Ivy	4.46	4.46	32.14	32.14	-1.59	-1.59
Bryant	ind	2.27	2.27	3.45	3.45	-2.11	-2.11
Pennsylvania	Ivy	4.36	4.36	23.08	23.08	-2.35	-2.35
Dartmouth	Ivy	4.44	4.44	12.00	12.00	-3.38	-3.38
Columbia	Ivy	26.30	26.30	39.52	39.52	-5.51	-5.51

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cornell	Ivy	4.42	4.42	85.19	85.19	3.11	3.11
Harvard	Ivy	4.36	4.36	72.00	72.00	1.92	1.92
Princeton	Ivy	4.42	4.42	68.00	68.00	1.59	1.59
Syracuse	BE	1.94	1.94	87.10	87.10	1.44	1.44
Quinnipiac	NEC	2.24	2.24	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Lehigh	Pat	2.23	2.23	70.97	70.97	0.94	0.94
Stony Brook	AE	1.93	1.93	68.97	68.97	0.73	0.73
Maine	AE	2.03	2.03	60.71	60.71	0.43	0.43
Lafayette	Pat	2.20	2.20	58.06	58.06	0.36	0.36
Vermont	AE	0.34	0.34	73.53	73.53	0.16	0.16
Robert Morris	NEC	0.26	0.26	67.65	67.65	0.09	0.09
Georgetown	BE	0.24	0.24	69.70	69.70	0.09	0.09
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.12	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.25	0.25	59.38	59.38	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05