The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Longwood page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Longwood

Conference:		ind
Expected RPI:		286.0
Current RPI:		286
Expected SOS:		269
Current SOS:		269
Current Record:		8-19
Expected Record:		8-19
Current Conf Record:		3-2
Expected Conf Record:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-10
Current OOC Record:		5-17
Expected OOC Record:		5-17
Expected OOC RPI:		259
Expected OOC SOS:		165

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
8-19		286.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Longwood.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	A	72-85	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Navy (265.0)	Pat	H	76-79	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Old Dominion (27.0)	CAA	A	59-98	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Columbia (252.0)	Ivy	A	61-72	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Richmond (25.0)	A10	A	52-65	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Bethune Cookman (259.0)	MEAC	N	62-66	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Chattanooga (238.0)	SC	N	70-74	L	0%	0.0
12-2	William & Mary (59.0)	CAA	A	65-84	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	H	82-75	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Stephen F. Austin (151.0)	Slnd	H	69-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	88-80	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	H	78-89	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Virginia Tech (54.0)	ACC	A	50-85	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	A	80-95	L	0%	0.0
1-5	South Carolina (93.0)	SEC	A	58-88	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)	ind	A	82-81	W	100%	0.0
1-12	South Dakota (215.0)	GWC	A	63-75	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	A	55-106	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Savannah St. (316.0)	ind	A	66-68	L	0%	0.0
2-2	High Point (254.0)	BSth	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
2-6	NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)	GWC	A	64-55	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Fairleigh Dickinson (270.0)	NEC	A	83-81	W	100%	0.0
2-13	North Carolina Central (347.0)	ind	A	78-81	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Savannah St. (316.0)	ind	H	68-54	W	100%	0.0
2-22	James Madison (241.0)	CAA	A	86-96	L	0%	0.0
2-25	North Carolina Central (347.0)	ind	H	83-69	W	100%	0.0
3-1	Hampton (283.0)	MEAC	A	81-95	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Longwood's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Longwood's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Longwood.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Longwood	ind	26.02	26.02	33.03	33.03	-8.83	-8.83
North Carolina Central	ind	4.06	4.06	8.70	8.70	-3.35	-3.35
Savannah St.	ind	3.85	3.85	30.00	30.00	-1.54	-1.54
William & Mary	CAA	2.10	2.10	66.67	66.67	0.70	0.70
Lehigh	Pat	2.07	2.07	67.74	67.74	0.73	0.73
James Madison	CAA	2.07	2.07	37.50	37.50	-0.52	-0.52
Old Dominion	CAA	2.06	2.06	75.76	75.76	1.06	1.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.05	2.05	73.33	73.33	0.96	0.96
Colgate	Pat	2.05	2.05	32.14	32.14	-0.73	-0.73
Virginia	ACC	2.04	2.04	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.02	2.02	28.57	28.57	-0.87	-0.87
High Point	BSth	2.00	2.00	48.15	48.15	-0.07	-0.07
Richmond	A10	2.00	2.00	75.76	75.76	1.03	1.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.98	1.98	25.93	25.93	-0.95	-0.95
Navy	Pat	1.97	1.97	41.38	41.38	-0.34	-0.34
Hampton	MEAC	1.97	1.97	41.94	41.94	-0.32	-0.32
Maryland	ACC	1.97	1.97	72.41	72.41	0.88	0.88
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	1.97	1.97	44.83	44.83	-0.20	-0.20
Campbell	ASun	1.95	1.95	62.96	62.96	0.50	0.50
South Dakota	GWC	1.92	1.92	65.38	65.38	0.59	0.59
Columbia	Ivy	1.88	1.88	37.04	37.04	-0.49	-0.49
Chattanooga	SC	1.88	1.88	40.00	40.00	-0.38	-0.38
South Carolina	SEC	1.88	1.88	46.67	46.67	-0.13	-0.13
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	1.85	1.85	25.00	25.00	-0.93	-0.93
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.85	1.85	35.48	35.48	-0.54	-0.54
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.85	1.85	67.86	67.86	0.66	0.66
Miami FL	ACC	0.35	0.35	59.38	59.38	0.07	0.07
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.34	0.34	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Lafayette	Pat	0.34	0.34	59.38	59.38	0.06	0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.30	0.30	18.52	18.52	-0.19	-0.19
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.28	0.28	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
American	Pat	0.28	0.28	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Jacksonville	ASun	0.27	0.27	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.26	0.26	18.18	18.18	-0.17	-0.17
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.26	0.26	55.88	55.88	0.03	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.24	0.24	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.24	0.24	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.24	0.24	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.23	36.36	36.36	-0.06	-0.06
Towson	CAA	0.23	0.23	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.22	0.22	80.00	80.00	0.13	0.13
North Florida	ASun	0.21	0.21	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.21	0.21	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.21	0.21	65.52	65.52	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.21	0.21	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
Delaware	CAA	0.20	0.20	22.58	22.58	-0.11	-0.11
Utah Valley	GWC	0.20	0.20	30.77	30.77	-0.08	-0.08
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.20	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.20	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.19	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.18	0.18	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.18	0.18	21.88	21.88	-0.10	-0.10
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.18	0.18	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Yale	Ivy	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.16	0.16	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.15	0.15	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.15	85.29	85.29	0.11	0.11
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.15	0.15	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.15	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
Long Island	NEC	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.14	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.14	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Florida International	SB	0.13	0.13	19.35	19.35	-0.08	-0.08
NC Asheville	BSth	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Belmont	ASun	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.13	0.13	16.13	16.13	-0.09	-0.09
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.13	0.13	14.81	14.81	-0.09	-0.09
Stony Brook	AE	0.13	0.13	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.13	0.13	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.12	0.12	24.00	24.00	-0.06	-0.06
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.12	32.00	32.00	-0.04	-0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.10	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.10	74.07	74.07	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.09	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.09	3.33	3.33	-0.08	-0.08
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Elon	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.09	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.07	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.07	0.07	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	78.79	78.79	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Longwood	ind	26.02	26.02	33.03	33.03	-8.83	-8.83
North Carolina Central	ind	4.06	4.06	8.70	8.70	-3.35	-3.35
Savannah St.	ind	3.85	3.85	30.00	30.00	-1.54	-1.54
William & Mary	CAA	2.10	2.10	66.67	66.67	0.70	0.70
Lehigh	Pat	2.07	2.07	67.74	67.74	0.73	0.73
James Madison	CAA	2.07	2.07	37.50	37.50	-0.52	-0.52
Old Dominion	CAA	2.06	2.06	75.76	75.76	1.06	1.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.05	2.05	73.33	73.33	0.96	0.96
Colgate	Pat	2.05	2.05	32.14	32.14	-0.73	-0.73
Virginia	ACC	2.04	2.04	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.02	2.02	28.57	28.57	-0.87	-0.87
High Point	BSth	2.00	2.00	48.15	48.15	-0.07	-0.07
Richmond	A10	2.00	2.00	75.76	75.76	1.03	1.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	1.98	1.98	25.93	25.93	-0.95	-0.95
Navy	Pat	1.97	1.97	41.38	41.38	-0.34	-0.34
Hampton	MEAC	1.97	1.97	41.94	41.94	-0.32	-0.32
Maryland	ACC	1.97	1.97	72.41	72.41	0.88	0.88
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	1.97	1.97	44.83	44.83	-0.20	-0.20
Campbell	ASun	1.95	1.95	62.96	62.96	0.50	0.50
South Dakota	GWC	1.92	1.92	65.38	65.38	0.59	0.59
Columbia	Ivy	1.88	1.88	37.04	37.04	-0.49	-0.49
Chattanooga	SC	1.88	1.88	40.00	40.00	-0.38	-0.38
South Carolina	SEC	1.88	1.88	46.67	46.67	-0.13	-0.13
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	1.85	1.85	25.00	25.00	-0.93	-0.93
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.85	1.85	35.48	35.48	-0.54	-0.54
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.85	1.85	67.86	67.86	0.66	0.66
Miami FL	ACC	0.35	0.35	59.38	59.38	0.07	0.07
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.34	0.34	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Lafayette	Pat	0.34	0.34	59.38	59.38	0.06	0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.30	0.30	18.52	18.52	-0.19	-0.19
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.28	0.28	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
American	Pat	0.28	0.28	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Jacksonville	ASun	0.27	0.27	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.26	0.26	18.18	18.18	-0.17	-0.17
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.26	0.26	55.88	55.88	0.03	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.24	0.24	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.24	0.24	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.24	0.24	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.23	0.23	36.36	36.36	-0.06	-0.06
Towson	CAA	0.23	0.23	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.22	0.22	80.00	80.00	0.13	0.13
North Florida	ASun	0.21	0.21	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.21	0.21	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.21	0.21	65.52	65.52	0.07	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.21	0.21	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
Delaware	CAA	0.20	0.20	22.58	22.58	-0.11	-0.11
Utah Valley	GWC	0.20	0.20	30.77	30.77	-0.08	-0.08
Missouri	B12	0.20	0.20	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.20	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.19	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.18	0.18	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.18	0.18	21.88	21.88	-0.10	-0.10
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.18	0.18	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Yale	Ivy	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.16	0.16	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.15	0.15	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.15	85.29	85.29	0.11	0.11
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.15	0.15	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.15	0.15	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
Long Island	NEC	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.14	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.14	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Florida International	SB	0.13	0.13	19.35	19.35	-0.08	-0.08
NC Asheville	BSth	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Belmont	ASun	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Wagner	NEC	0.13	0.13	16.13	16.13	-0.09	-0.09
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.13	0.13	14.81	14.81	-0.09	-0.09
Stony Brook	AE	0.13	0.13	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.13	0.13	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.12	0.12	24.00	24.00	-0.06	-0.06
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.12	32.00	32.00	-0.04	-0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.12	0.12	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.10	0.10	86.21	86.21	0.07	0.07
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.10	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.10	74.07	74.07	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.09	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.09	3.33	3.33	-0.08	-0.08
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Elon	SC	0.09	0.09	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.09	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.09	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.07	0.07	11.54	11.54	-0.05	-0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Princeton	Ivy	0.07	0.07	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.06	0.06	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01