The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Longwood page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Longwood

Conference:		ind
Expected RPI:		286.8
Current RPI:		256
Expected SOS:		272
Current SOS:		171
Current Record:		5-16
Expected Record:		8-19
Current Conf Record:		1-1
Expected Conf Record:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-10
Current OOC Record:		4-15
Expected OOC Record:		5-17
Expected OOC RPI:		268
Expected OOC SOS:		175

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
11-16	236.0	0.59%
10-17	252.6	6.46%
9-18	269.1	22.97%
8-19	286.8	36.32%
7-20	303.2	25.21%
6-21	315.3	7.72%
5-22	324.8	0.72%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Longwood.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Virginia (92.0)	ACC	A	72-85	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Navy (269.1)	Pat	H	76-79	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Old Dominion (35.4)	CAA	A	59-98	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	A	61-72	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Richmond (38.1)	A10	A	52-65	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Bethune Cookman (229.3)	MEAC	N	62-66	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Chattanooga (219.8)	SC	N	70-74	L	0%	0.0
12-2	William & Mary (56.7)	CAA	A	65-84	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	H	82-75	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Stephen F. Austin (170.0)	Slnd	H	69-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	H	88-80	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	H	78-89	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	A	50-85	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	A	80-95	L	0%	0.0
1-5	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	58-88	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	A	82-81	W	100%	0.0
1-12	South Dakota (236.2)	GWC	A	63-75	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Maryland (35.5)	ACC	A	55-106	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Savannah St. (321.8)	ind	A	66-68	L	0%	0.0
2-2	High Point (269.4)	BSth	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
2-6	NJ Inst of Technology (333.3)	GWC	A	64-55	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Fairleigh Dickinson (278.3)	NEC	A	0-0		48%	-0.7
2-13	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	A	0-0		58%	2.3
2-20	Savannah St. (321.8)	ind	H	0-0		66%	4.5
2-22	James Madison (244.2)	CAA	A	0-0		18%	-10.1
2-25	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	H	0-0		83%	10.3
3-1	Hampton (286.6)	MEAC	A	0-0		21%	-8.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Longwood's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Longwood's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Longwood.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Longwood	ind	26.17	26.06	26.44	33.33	-12.33	-8.69
Lehigh	Pat	2.66	2.08	63.64	64.52	0.73	0.60
Richmond	A10	2.64	2.01	73.91	70.27	1.26	0.81
Old Dominion	CAA	2.60	2.04	70.83	72.66	1.08	0.92
William & Mary	CAA	2.58	2.07	66.67	65.46	0.86	0.64
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.55	2.02	30.43	29.88	-1.00	-0.81
Campbell	ASun	2.53	1.95	60.00	61.02	0.51	0.43
Virginia	ACC	2.50	2.04	65.00	55.77	0.75	0.24
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.49	2.05	80.95	71.63	1.54	0.89
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.49	1.99	23.53	28.66	-1.32	-0.85
Navy	Pat	2.49	1.98	45.45	42.76	-0.23	-0.29
Colgate	Pat	2.48	2.05	23.81	28.52	-1.30	-0.88
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.48	1.98	52.63	51.89	0.13	0.07
Maryland	ACC	2.44	1.98	70.00	66.70	0.97	0.66
Columbia	Ivy	2.43	1.88	36.84	36.88	-0.64	-0.49
Chattanooga	SC	2.43	1.88	45.45	44.18	-0.22	-0.22
South Carolina	SEC	2.43	1.88	57.14	52.84	0.35	0.11
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.38	1.85	23.81	22.17	-1.25	-1.03
High Point	BSth	2.38	1.99	45.00	46.08	-0.24	-0.16
Savannah St.	ind	2.38	3.85	26.32	27.62	-1.13	-1.72
South Dakota	GWC	2.38	1.92	47.06	58.88	-0.14	0.34
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.38	1.85	66.67	65.72	0.79	0.58
North Carolina Central	ind	0.39	4.07	4.76	8.13	-0.35	-3.41
Miami FL	ACC	0.38	0.32	68.18	62.73	0.14	0.08
Wake Forest	ACC	0.33	0.22	76.19	71.14	0.17	0.09
Bucknell	Pat	0.32	0.26	37.50	39.23	-0.08	-0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.30	0.24	12.00	18.82	-0.23	-0.15
Lafayette	Pat	0.28	0.29	60.87	59.16	0.06	0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.28	0.28	56.52	59.89	0.04	0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.27	0.30	14.29	15.65	-0.19	-0.21
American	Pat	0.27	0.23	30.43	32.39	-0.11	-0.08
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.26	0.28	77.27	77.12	0.14	0.15
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.26	0.22	30.43	32.32	-0.10	-0.08
NC Greensboro	SC	0.26	0.16	21.74	24.84	-0.15	-0.08
Utah Valley	GWC	0.24	0.21	36.84	39.02	-0.06	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.23	0.35	39.13	41.19	-0.05	-0.06
Stony Brook	AE	0.23	0.13	68.18	68.72	0.08	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.23	0.17	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.23	0.19	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.22	0.20	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.22	0.16	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Army	Pat	0.21	0.22	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.21	0.21	73.91	70.60	0.10	0.08
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.21	0.16	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.20	0.22	26.09	26.91	-0.10	-0.10
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.13	16.00	21.62	-0.13	-0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.19	0.10	85.71	85.57	0.13	0.07
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.20	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.09
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.10	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.17	0.10	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	1.98	31.82	40.99	-0.06	-0.36
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.10	33.33	37.71	-0.06	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.26	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.17	0.10	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.17	0.13	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.17	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.08	0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.17	0.22	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.17	0.13	15.79	17.64	-0.11	-0.08
Clemson	ACC	0.16	0.16	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.05
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.16	0.16	69.57	71.78	0.06	0.07
The Citadel	SC	0.16	0.15	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.16	0.13	39.13	41.53	-0.04	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.16	0.13	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.16	0.13	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.13	21.05	22.43	-0.09	-0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	0.16	0.19	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.07
Wofford	SC	0.16	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.16	0.14	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.16	0.13	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.16	0.13	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.16	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.16	0.12	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.16	2.05	43.48	38.52	-0.02	-0.47
Elon	SC	0.16	0.10	19.05	23.26	-0.10	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.13	0.18	22.73	24.05	-0.07	-0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.15	15.79	27.84	-0.09	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.11	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.13	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.13	0.07	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.13	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	22.22	26.51	-0.07	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.12	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.12	0.07	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.12	0.24	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.12	0.22	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.14
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.20	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.08
Brown	Ivy	0.11	0.10	23.81	27.31	-0.06	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.11	0.10	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.11	0.07	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.11	0.10	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.07	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.10	20.00	23.58	-0.07	-0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.10	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.06
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.16	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.20	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.08
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.10	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.13	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.11	0.10	71.43	69.51	0.05	0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.09	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.13	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.08
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.15	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.19	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.10
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.07	0.15	20.00	20.57	-0.04	-0.09
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.04	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.04	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.04	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.07	0.04	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.07	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.04	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.04	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.07	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.09
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.08	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.13	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.07
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.13	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.06
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.08	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.11	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.11	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.05
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.07	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.06	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.05
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.10	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.13	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.10
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.10	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.04
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.13	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.10	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.15	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.00	0.07	35.00	30.59	-0.00	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.07	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.13	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.08
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	1.85	33.33	32.35	-0.00	-0.65
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.08
Fresno St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.00	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.00	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.00	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.12	72.00	70.73	0.00	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.00	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.00	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.00	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.00	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.07	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.02
Samford	SC	0.00	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Longwood	ind	26.17	26.06	26.44	33.33	-12.33	-8.69
North Carolina Central	ind	0.39	4.07	4.76	8.13	-0.35	-3.41
Savannah St.	ind	2.38	3.85	26.32	27.62	-1.13	-1.72
Lehigh	Pat	2.66	2.08	63.64	64.52	0.73	0.60
William & Mary	CAA	2.58	2.07	66.67	65.46	0.86	0.64
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.49	2.05	80.95	71.63	1.54	0.89
Colgate	Pat	2.48	2.05	23.81	28.52	-1.30	-0.88
James Madison	CAA	0.16	2.05	43.48	38.52	-0.02	-0.47
Virginia	ACC	2.50	2.04	65.00	55.77	0.75	0.24
Old Dominion	CAA	2.60	2.04	70.83	72.66	1.08	0.92
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.55	2.02	30.43	29.88	-1.00	-0.81
Richmond	A10	2.64	2.01	73.91	70.27	1.26	0.81
High Point	BSth	2.38	1.99	45.00	46.08	-0.24	-0.16
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.49	1.99	23.53	28.66	-1.32	-0.85
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	1.98	31.82	40.99	-0.06	-0.36
Navy	Pat	2.49	1.98	45.45	42.76	-0.23	-0.29
Maryland	ACC	2.44	1.98	70.00	66.70	0.97	0.66
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.48	1.98	52.63	51.89	0.13	0.07
Campbell	ASun	2.53	1.95	60.00	61.02	0.51	0.43
South Dakota	GWC	2.38	1.92	47.06	58.88	-0.14	0.34
Columbia	Ivy	2.43	1.88	36.84	36.88	-0.64	-0.49
Chattanooga	SC	2.43	1.88	45.45	44.18	-0.22	-0.22
South Carolina	SEC	2.43	1.88	57.14	52.84	0.35	0.11
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.38	1.85	23.81	22.17	-1.25	-1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	1.85	33.33	32.35	-0.00	-0.65
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.38	1.85	66.67	65.72	0.79	0.58
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.23	0.35	39.13	41.19	-0.05	-0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.38	0.32	68.18	62.73	0.14	0.08
Stetson	ASun	0.27	0.30	14.29	15.65	-0.19	-0.21
Lafayette	Pat	0.28	0.29	60.87	59.16	0.06	0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.28	0.28	56.52	59.89	0.04	0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.26	0.28	77.27	77.12	0.14	0.15
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.26	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.32	0.26	37.50	39.23	-0.08	-0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.30	0.24	12.00	18.82	-0.23	-0.15
Western Illinois	Sum	0.12	0.24	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.09
American	Pat	0.27	0.23	30.43	32.39	-0.11	-0.08
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.12	0.22	80.95	82.07	0.07	0.14
Army	Pat	0.21	0.22	57.14	59.04	0.03	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.33	0.22	76.19	71.14	0.17	0.09
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.26	0.22	30.43	32.32	-0.10	-0.08
North Florida	ASun	0.17	0.22	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.20	0.22	26.09	26.91	-0.10	-0.10
Utah Valley	GWC	0.24	0.21	36.84	39.02	-0.06	-0.05
Missouri	B12	0.21	0.21	73.91	70.60	0.10	0.08
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.20	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.08
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.12	0.20	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.08
North Carolina	ACC	0.22	0.20	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.20	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.09
Holy Cross	Pat	0.16	0.19	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.23	0.19	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.19	22.73	23.47	-0.05	-0.10
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.13	0.18	22.73	24.05	-0.07	-0.09
Yale	Ivy	0.23	0.17	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.21	0.16	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.22	0.16	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.16	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.16	0.16	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.05
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.16	0.16	69.57	71.78	0.06	0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.26	0.16	21.74	24.84	-0.15	-0.08
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.16	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.15	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.15	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.16	0.15	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.07	0.15	20.00	20.57	-0.04	-0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.15	15.79	27.84	-0.09	-0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.16	0.14	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.19	0.13	16.00	21.62	-0.13	-0.08
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.13	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.13	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.23	0.13	68.18	68.72	0.08	0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.16	0.13	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.16	0.13	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.16	0.13	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.16	0.13	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.13	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.08
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.17	0.13	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.17	0.13	15.79	17.64	-0.11	-0.08
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.13	21.05	22.43	-0.09	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.13	19.05	22.94	-0.04	-0.07
Long Island	NEC	0.16	0.13	39.13	41.53	-0.04	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.13	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.08
Florida St.	ACC	0.17	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.08	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.13	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.05
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.13	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.16	0.12	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.12	72.00	70.73	0.00	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.11	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.11	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.06
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.19	0.10	85.71	85.57	0.13	0.07
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.10	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.10	33.33	37.71	-0.06	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.10	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.17	0.10	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.11	0.10	20.00	23.58	-0.07	-0.05
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.10	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.17	0.10	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.10	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.11	0.10	71.43	69.51	0.05	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.11	0.10	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.10	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.17	0.10	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.11	0.10	23.81	27.31	-0.06	-0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.11	0.10	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.10	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.06
Elon	SC	0.16	0.10	19.05	23.26	-0.10	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.16	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.09	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.09
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.04
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.08
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.09	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.08	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.08	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.11	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.13	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.13	0.07	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.00	0.07	35.00	30.59	-0.00	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.07	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.13	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	22.22	26.51	-0.07	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.07	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.12	0.07	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.12	0.07	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.06	0.07	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.12	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.06	0.07	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.11	0.07	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.07	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.07	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.00	0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.00	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.00	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.11	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.11	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.06	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.10	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.04	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.04	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.04	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.04	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.04	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.07	0.04	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01