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Through games of Mar 11, 2018.


Cornell

Conference:Ivy
Expected RPI:248.0
Current RPI:248
Expected SOS:253
Current SOS:253
Current Record:11-16
Expected Record:11-16
Current Conf Record:6-9
Expected Conf Record:6-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-4
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:193
Expected OOC SOS:199



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
11-16248.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cornell.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Syracuse (45.0)ACCA77-45L0%0.0
11-13Binghamton (320.0)AEH94-84W100%0.0
11-16Colgate (185.0)PatA72-61L0%0.0
11-19UMass Lowell (289.0)AEA98-78L0%0.0
11-24Toledo (75.0)MACH80-77W100%0.0
11-27Duquesne (259.0)A10A71-78W100%0.0
12-2Northeastern (55.0)CAAA84-66L0%0.0
12-16Longwood (337.0)BSthA62-69W100%0.0
12-20Lafayette (311.0)PatH80-71W100%0.0
12-23Niagara (163.0)MAACH86-89L0%0.0
12-28Delaware (233.0)CAAA97-96L0%0.0
12-30Auburn (15.0)SECA98-77L0%0.0
1-12Penn (112.0)IvyA69-61L0%0.0
1-13Princeton (226.0)IvyA91-54L0%0.0
1-20Columbia (316.0)IvyA88-62L0%0.0
1-27Columbia (316.0)IvyH82-81W100%0.0
2-2Dartmouth (334.0)IvyH86-85W100%0.0
2-3Harvard (117.0)IvyH73-76L0%0.0
2-9Brown (298.0)IvyA60-78W100%0.0
2-10Yale (183.0)IvyA74-65L0%0.0
2-16Princeton (226.0)IvyH107-101W100%0.0
2-17Penn (112.0)IvyH71-79L0%0.0
2-23Yale (183.0)IvyH80-82L0%0.0
2-24Brown (298.0)IvyH73-68W100%0.0
3-2Harvard (117.0)IvyA98-88L0%0.0
3-3Dartmouth (334.0)IvyA75-86W100%0.0
3-10Harvard (117.0)IvyN74-55L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Cornell's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Cornell's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Cornell.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
CornellIvy26.4426.4442.6142.61-3.91-3.91
HarvardIvy6.456.4551.8551.850.240.24
PennIvy4.794.7972.4172.412.152.15
YaleIvy4.664.6646.4346.43-0.33-0.33
ColumbiaIvy4.614.6125.0025.00-2.30-2.30
PrincetonIvy4.594.5942.3142.31-0.71-0.71
BrownIvy4.584.5841.6741.67-0.76-0.76
DartmouthIvy4.554.5525.0025.00-2.27-2.27
ColgatePat2.082.0856.6756.670.280.28
LafayettePat2.072.0731.0331.03-0.78-0.78
NortheasternCAA2.032.0367.7467.740.720.72
DelawareCAA2.032.0336.6736.67-0.54-0.54
UMass LowellAE1.991.9935.7135.71-0.57-0.57
LongwoodBSth1.951.9513.7913.79-1.41-1.41
BinghamtonAE1.951.9532.1432.14-0.69-0.69
ToledoMAC1.941.9468.7568.750.730.73
SyracuseACC1.911.9159.3859.380.360.36
AuburnSEC1.851.8577.4277.421.021.02
DuquesneA101.851.8551.6151.610.060.06
NiagaraMAAC1.851.8558.0658.060.300.30
VermontAE0.380.3878.7978.790.220.22
AlbanyAE0.360.3667.7467.740.130.13
QuinnipiacMAAC0.300.3036.3636.36-0.08-0.08
NavyPat0.280.2861.2961.290.060.06
Saint Joseph'sA100.280.2850.0050.000.000.00
Boston UniversityPat0.270.2746.6746.67-0.02-0.02
MaineAE0.270.2713.3313.33-0.20-0.20
Stony BrookAE0.270.2738.7138.71-0.06-0.06
Loyola MDPat0.260.2626.6726.67-0.12-0.12
ArmyPat0.250.2541.3841.38-0.04-0.04
LehighPat0.250.2551.7251.720.010.01
MonmouthMAAC0.250.2535.4835.48-0.07-0.07
Holy CrossPat0.240.2438.7138.71-0.06-0.06
Boston CollegeACC0.230.2355.8855.880.030.03
New HampshireAE0.230.2327.5927.59-0.10-0.10
George WashingtonA100.220.2245.4545.45-0.02-0.02
St. BonaventureA100.210.2178.1278.120.120.12
BryantNEC0.200.209.689.68-0.16-0.16
MaristMAAC0.190.1919.3519.35-0.12-0.12
UMBCAE0.190.1967.7467.740.070.07
MassachusettsA100.180.1839.3939.39-0.04-0.04
BucknellPat0.180.1873.5373.530.080.08
TowsonCAA0.180.1853.3353.330.010.01
Sacred HeartNEC0.170.1730.0030.00-0.07-0.07
NJITASun0.160.1642.8642.86-0.02-0.02
VillanovaBE0.160.1688.2488.240.120.12
ConnecticutAmer0.160.1643.7543.75-0.02-0.02
AmericanPat0.150.1520.0020.00-0.09-0.09
Delaware St.MEAC0.150.156.676.67-0.13-0.13
FordhamA100.150.1529.0329.03-0.06-0.06
ManhattanMAAC0.150.1545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
DrexelCAA0.150.1537.5037.50-0.04-0.04
IonaMAAC0.150.1560.6160.610.030.03
ElonCAA0.150.1540.0040.00-0.03-0.03
College of CharlestonCAA0.150.1577.4277.420.080.08
DaytonA100.150.1545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
FairfieldMAAC0.150.1551.5251.520.000.00
HofstraCAA0.150.1560.0060.000.030.03
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.150.1530.0030.00-0.06-0.06
BuffaloMAC0.140.1475.7675.760.070.07
LIU BrooklynNEC0.140.1451.5251.520.000.00
Notre DameACC0.130.1357.5857.580.020.02
CanisiusMAAC0.130.1365.6265.620.040.04
HartfordAE0.130.1358.0658.060.020.02
AkronMAC0.120.1241.9441.94-0.02-0.02
KentuckySEC0.120.1270.5970.590.050.05
MinnesotaB100.120.1246.8846.88-0.01-0.01
George MasonA100.120.1248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
James MadisonCAA0.120.1229.0329.03-0.05-0.05
William & MaryCAA0.120.1258.6258.620.020.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.120.1236.6736.67-0.03-0.03
Eastern MichiganMAC0.110.1158.6258.620.020.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.100.1043.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Penn St.B100.100.1061.7661.760.020.02
Rhode IslandA100.100.1078.1278.120.060.06
St. Francis NYNEC0.100.1037.9337.93-0.02-0.02
BYUWCC0.100.1070.5970.590.040.04
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.100.1076.6776.670.050.05
Miami FLACC0.090.0970.9770.970.040.04
WisconsinB100.090.0945.4545.45-0.01-0.01
High PointBSth0.090.0940.7440.74-0.02-0.02
RadfordBSth0.090.0962.5062.500.020.02
Cal St. FullertonBW0.090.0962.0762.070.020.02
Saint Mary'sWCC0.090.0984.8584.850.060.06
WoffordSC0.090.0960.0060.000.020.02
Gardner WebbBSth0.090.0937.9337.93-0.02-0.02
WinthropBSth0.090.0957.1457.140.010.01
Georgia TechACC0.090.0940.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.090.0943.7543.75-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.090.0940.6240.62-0.02-0.02
TempleAmer0.090.0953.1253.120.010.01
RichmondA100.090.0937.5037.50-0.02-0.02
AlabamaSEC0.090.0955.8855.880.010.01
PittsburghACC0.090.0925.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Wake ForestACC0.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
NorthwesternB100.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
ProvidenceBE0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
ButlerBE0.070.0760.6160.610.010.01
Cal PolyBW0.070.0724.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.070.0737.9337.93-0.02-0.02
HawaiiBW0.070.0753.5753.570.000.00
USCP120.070.0767.6567.650.020.02
Alcorn St.SWAC0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
CampbellBSth0.060.0646.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Charleston SouthernBSth0.060.0642.8642.86-0.01-0.01
CreightonBE0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
Kennesaw St.ASun0.060.0628.5728.57-0.03-0.03
LibertyBSth0.060.0654.8454.840.010.01
PresbyterianBSth0.060.0627.5927.59-0.03-0.03
South Carolina St.MEAC0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
TCUB120.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
UNC AshevilleBSth0.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.060.0677.4277.420.030.03
St. Francis PANEC0.060.0657.1457.140.010.01
VMISC0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
HowardMEAC0.060.0625.8125.81-0.03-0.03
UMKCWAC0.060.0627.5927.59-0.03-0.03
ArkansasSEC0.060.0667.6567.650.020.02
GeorgiaSEC0.060.0654.5554.550.010.01
MississippiSEC0.060.0637.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Saint LouisA100.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
South CarolinaSEC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.060.0632.3532.35-0.02-0.02
Kent St.MAC0.060.0648.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Ball St.MAC0.060.0658.0658.060.010.01
Central MichiganMAC0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
KansasB120.060.0679.4179.410.030.03
Miami OHMAC0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
North CarolinaACC0.060.0671.4371.430.020.02
OaklandHorz0.060.0657.5857.580.010.01
OhioMAC0.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.060.0644.1244.12-0.01-0.01
VirginiaACC0.060.0693.9493.940.050.05
Western MichiganMAC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
EvansvilleMVC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Montana St.BSky0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
WagnerNEC0.030.0370.0070.000.010.01
Arizona St.P120.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
IllinoisB100.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.030.0380.0080.000.020.02
BradleyMVC0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.030.039.689.68-0.02-0.02
DavidsonA100.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
FloridaSEC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
FurmanSC0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
LamarSlnd0.030.0353.5753.570.000.00
LSUSEC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.030.0316.6716.67-0.02-0.02
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0312.5012.50-0.02-0.02
MissouriSEC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Murray St.OVC0.030.0382.7682.760.020.02
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Ohio St.B100.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
RiderMAAC0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
San FranciscoWCC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
SienaMAAC0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
StanfordP120.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
StetsonASun0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
TennesseeSEC0.030.0375.7675.760.010.01
Texas A&MSEC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
UABCUSA0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Utah St.MWC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
VanderbiltSEC0.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
VCUA100.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
ClemsonACC0.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
DetroitHorz0.030.0320.0020.00-0.02-0.02
DukeACC0.030.0378.7978.790.020.02
Florida St.ACC0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
LouisvilleACC0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
MarshallCUSA0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
MarylandB100.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.030.0371.8871.880.010.01