The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Howard page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Howard

Conference:		MEAC
Expected RPI:		330.0
Current RPI:		330
Expected SOS:		314
Current SOS:		314
Current Record:		7-25
Expected Record:		7-25
Current Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-16
Current OOC Record:		1-14
Expected OOC Record:		1-14
Expected OOC RPI:		326
Expected OOC SOS:		187

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
7-25		330.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Howard.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Indiana (222.0)	B10	A	60-83	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	A	59-68	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	N	77-82	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Georgia St. (248.0)	CAA	N	33-57	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Akron (89.0)	MAC	N	52-69	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	H	60-81	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	A	54-70	L	0%	0.0
12-1	American (295.0)	Pat	A	53-59	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Hampton (283.0)	MEAC	N	56-54	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	A	51-85	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Middle Tennessee (178.0)	SB	A	51-69	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Stephen F. Austin (151.0)	Slnd	N	50-73	L	0%	0.0
12-30	St. Mary's (35.0)	WCC	A	46-94	L	0%	0.0
1-2	George Washington (148.0)	A10	A	63-81	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Navy (265.0)	Pat	H	72-65	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Morgan St. (103.0)	MEAC	H	58-90	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Coppin St. (337.0)	MEAC	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	A	82-77	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Norfolk St. (266.0)	MEAC	A	82-77	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Florida A&M (319.0)	MEAC	H	65-72	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Bethune Cookman (259.0)	MEAC	H	67-64	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	A	66-67	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Delaware St. (219.0)	MEAC	A	45-54	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Winston Salem St. (293.0)	ind	A	58-62	L	0%	0.0
2-8	South Carolina St. (223.0)	MEAC	A	64-77	L	0%	0.0
2-13	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	H	59-49	W	100%	0.0
2-15	Norfolk St. (266.0)	MEAC	H	52-72	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Florida A&M (319.0)	MEAC	A	67-72	L	0%	0.0
2-22	Bethune Cookman (259.0)	MEAC	A	44-52	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	H	66-68	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Hampton (283.0)	MEAC	A	42-90	L	0%	0.0
3-9	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	N	55-65	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Howard's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Howard's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Howard.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Howard	MEAC	26.24	26.24	22.79	22.79	-14.28	-14.28
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	5.34	5.34	25.93	25.93	-2.57	-2.57
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	3.89	3.89	46.43	46.43	-0.28	-0.28
Hampton	MEAC	3.89	3.89	43.33	43.33	-0.52	-0.52
Florida A&M	MEAC	3.86	3.86	21.43	21.43	-2.21	-2.21
Norfolk St.	MEAC	3.85	3.85	35.71	35.71	-1.10	-1.10
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	3.84	3.84	30.00	30.00	-1.54	-1.54
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.49	2.49	74.29	74.29	1.21	1.21
South Carolina St.	MEAC	2.45	2.45	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.39	2.39	19.23	19.23	-1.47	-1.47
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.33	2.33	52.00	52.00	0.09	0.09
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.31	2.31	29.17	29.17	-0.96	-0.96
Niagara	MAAC	1.84	1.84	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Fairfield	MAAC	1.78	1.78	67.74	67.74	0.63	0.63
Loyola MD	MAAC	1.78	1.78	41.38	41.38	-0.31	-0.31
Navy	Pat	1.74	1.74	44.83	44.83	-0.18	-0.18
Canisius	MAAC	1.74	1.74	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
American	Pat	1.71	1.71	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Georgia St.	CAA	1.64	1.64	33.33	33.33	-0.55	-0.55
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.64	1.64	55.17	55.17	0.17	0.17
Central Florida	CUSA	1.64	1.64	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
George Washington	A10	1.59	1.59	51.72	51.72	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	1.59	1.59	30.00	30.00	-0.64	-0.64
Akron	MAC	1.59	1.59	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
St. Mary's	WCC	1.56	1.56	82.76	82.76	1.02	1.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.56	1.56	67.86	67.86	0.56	0.56
Iona	MAAC	0.32	0.32	67.74	67.74	0.11	0.11
Manhattan	MAAC	0.27	0.27	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Rider	MAAC	0.25	0.25	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.21	-0.21
Siena	MAAC	0.22	0.22	81.82	81.82	0.14	0.14
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.18	0.18	81.25	81.25	0.11	0.11
Ohio	MAC	0.18	0.18	58.82	58.82	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.17	0.17	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Towson	CAA	0.17	0.17	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.16	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.15	29.63	29.63	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.15	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.13	0.13	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.13	0.13	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.10	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.07	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.03	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.02	0.02	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Howard	MEAC	26.24	26.24	22.79	22.79	-14.28	-14.28
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	5.34	5.34	25.93	25.93	-2.57	-2.57
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	3.89	3.89	46.43	46.43	-0.28	-0.28
Hampton	MEAC	3.89	3.89	43.33	43.33	-0.52	-0.52
Florida A&M	MEAC	3.86	3.86	21.43	21.43	-2.21	-2.21
Norfolk St.	MEAC	3.85	3.85	35.71	35.71	-1.10	-1.10
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	3.84	3.84	30.00	30.00	-1.54	-1.54
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.49	2.49	74.29	74.29	1.21	1.21
South Carolina St.	MEAC	2.45	2.45	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.39	2.39	19.23	19.23	-1.47	-1.47
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.33	2.33	52.00	52.00	0.09	0.09
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.31	2.31	29.17	29.17	-0.96	-0.96
Niagara	MAAC	1.84	1.84	53.12	53.12	0.11	0.11
Fairfield	MAAC	1.78	1.78	67.74	67.74	0.63	0.63
Loyola MD	MAAC	1.78	1.78	41.38	41.38	-0.31	-0.31
Navy	Pat	1.74	1.74	44.83	44.83	-0.18	-0.18
Canisius	MAAC	1.74	1.74	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
American	Pat	1.71	1.71	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Georgia St.	CAA	1.64	1.64	33.33	33.33	-0.55	-0.55
Middle Tennessee	SB	1.64	1.64	55.17	55.17	0.17	0.17
Central Florida	CUSA	1.64	1.64	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
George Washington	A10	1.59	1.59	51.72	51.72	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	1.59	1.59	30.00	30.00	-0.64	-0.64
Akron	MAC	1.59	1.59	68.75	68.75	0.59	0.59
St. Mary's	WCC	1.56	1.56	82.76	82.76	1.02	1.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	1.56	1.56	67.86	67.86	0.56	0.56
Iona	MAAC	0.32	0.32	67.74	67.74	0.11	0.11
Manhattan	MAAC	0.27	0.27	35.48	35.48	-0.08	-0.08
Rider	MAAC	0.25	0.25	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.21	-0.21
Siena	MAAC	0.22	0.22	81.82	81.82	0.14	0.14
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.20	0.20	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.18	0.18	81.25	81.25	0.11	0.11
Ohio	MAC	0.18	0.18	58.82	58.82	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.17	0.17	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Towson	CAA	0.17	0.17	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.16	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.15	68.97	68.97	0.06	0.06
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.15	29.63	29.63	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.15	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.13	0.13	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.13	0.13	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.10	19.35	19.35	-0.06	-0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.07	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.03	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01