The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Bucknell page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Bucknell

Conference:		Pat
Expected RPI:		276.3
Current RPI:		282
Expected SOS:		308
Current SOS:		308
Current Record:		9-15
Expected Record:		12-18
Current Conf Record:		4-4
Expected Conf Record:		7-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-9
Current OOC Record:		5-11
Expected OOC Record:		5-11
Expected OOC RPI:		304
Expected OOC SOS:		326

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-15	232.9	0.41%
14-16	245.9	5.91%
13-17	258.8	20.12%
12-18	273.1	33.09%
11-19	287.8	27.33%
10-20	300.6	11.27%
9-21	310.3	1.86%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bucknell.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	N	80-89	L	0%	0.0
11-14	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	65-76	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Bryant (344.6)	ind	N	59-56	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Delaware (226.0)	CAA	A	82-66	W	100%	0.0
11-21	St. Francis PA (312.5)	NEC	H	70-58	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	A	59-73	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Wagner (323.2)	NEC	A	85-61	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	H	98-104	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	60-64	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	53-63	L	0%	0.0
12-19	La Salle (138.5)	A10	A	70-83	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	69-101	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	H	49-55	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Marist (330.1)	MAAC	H	70-67	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Richmond (38.1)	A10	H	50-59	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Dartmouth (323.6)	Ivy	A	43-49	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Navy (269.1)	Pat	H	67-69	L	0%	0.0
1-13	American (306.9)	Pat	H	72-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	A	69-82	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Lafayette (203.7)	Pat	A	57-61	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	A	62-61	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	H	81-76	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Army (204.0)	Pat	H	55-48	W	100%	0.0
2-5	Navy (269.1)	Pat	A	79-81	L	0%	0.0
2-11	American (306.9)	Pat	A	0-0		44%	-1.5
2-14	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	H	0-0		58%	2.3
2-17	Lafayette (203.7)	Pat	H	0-0		60%	2.9
2-21	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	H	0-0		68%	5.1
2-24	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	A	0-0		22%	-8.5
2-27	Army (204.0)	Pat	A	0-0		24%	-7.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Bucknell's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Bucknell's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Bucknell.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bucknell	Pat	26.19	26.27	39.42	40.66	-5.54	-4.91
Navy	Pat	4.44	4.04	42.86	40.64	-0.63	-0.76
Lehigh	Pat	2.69	4.18	68.18	67.71	0.98	1.48
Lafayette	Pat	2.68	4.18	59.09	58.37	0.49	0.70
American	Pat	2.55	4.09	31.82	32.73	-0.93	-1.41
Army	Pat	2.55	4.09	60.00	60.72	0.51	0.88
Colgate	Pat	2.51	4.06	28.57	32.24	-1.08	-1.44
Holy Cross	Pat	2.50	4.06	22.73	28.10	-1.36	-1.78
Columbia	Ivy	2.46	2.01	36.84	36.88	-0.65	-0.53
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.37	1.99	11.11	14.48	-1.84	-1.41
Marist	MAAC	2.35	1.90	4.35	4.90	-2.15	-1.71
Cornell	Ivy	2.33	1.84	85.00	85.06	1.63	1.29
Bryant	ind	2.33	1.90	0.00	4.33	-2.33	-1.74
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.30	1.95	31.82	31.35	-0.84	-0.73
La Salle	A10	2.27	1.81	45.45	44.51	-0.21	-0.20
Wagner	NEC	2.23	1.84	16.67	22.34	-1.48	-1.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.22	1.76	47.83	49.83	-0.10	-0.01
Providence	BE	2.22	1.75	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.18
Binghamton	AE	2.22	1.78	36.36	36.44	-0.60	-0.48
Notre Dame	BE	2.17	1.72	69.57	62.17	0.85	0.42
Richmond	A10	2.17	1.75	73.91	70.27	1.04	0.71
Boston University	AE	2.17	1.78	52.17	56.19	0.09	0.22
Mercer	ASun	2.17	1.72	40.00	40.33	-0.43	-0.33
Delaware	CAA	2.13	1.75	27.27	27.88	-0.97	-0.78
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.42	0.34	43.48	43.78	-0.05	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.31	69.57	71.78	0.16	0.14
Long Island	NEC	0.40	0.34	39.13	41.53	-0.09	-0.06
Harvard	Ivy	0.39	0.35	73.68	75.41	0.19	0.18
Brown	Ivy	0.37	0.44	23.81	27.31	-0.19	-0.20
Vermont	AE	0.37	0.29	68.00	67.20	0.13	0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.36	0.35	68.18	68.72	0.13	0.13
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.35	0.31	39.13	47.65	-0.08	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.33	0.41	36.36	38.12	-0.09	-0.10
New Hampshire	AE	0.33	0.32	35.00	38.23	-0.10	-0.08
Hartford	AE	0.32	0.29	30.43	32.48	-0.13	-0.10
George Washington	A10	0.31	0.28	54.55	55.07	0.03	0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.31	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.31	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.28	0.35	16.67	19.94	-0.19	-0.21
Longwood	ind	0.28	0.23	23.81	29.40	-0.15	-0.10
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.27	0.26	33.33	33.00	-0.09	-0.09
Fairfield	MAAC	0.26	0.23	69.57	64.51	0.10	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.24	0.20	95.83	91.37	0.22	0.17
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.35	70.59	70.98	0.10	0.15
Maine	AE	0.23	0.20	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.05
Albany	AE	0.22	0.17	23.08	25.77	-0.12	-0.08
Monmouth	NEC	0.22	0.20	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.22	0.20	8.70	11.46	-0.18	-0.16
Iona	MAAC	0.22	0.17	72.00	70.73	0.10	0.07
DePaul	BE	0.19	0.14	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.18	0.17	31.82	31.64	-0.07	-0.06
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.20	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.18	0.23	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.18	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.18	0.14	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.18	0.11	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.17	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.18	0.14	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.09
St. Louis	A10	0.18	0.11	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	22.22	27.56	-0.10	-0.08
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.17	0.20	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.14	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.11	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.14	86.36	81.50	0.10	0.09
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.11	22.73	23.47	-0.07	-0.06
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.13	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.10	-0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.13	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.04
Temple	A10	0.13	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.08	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.11	0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.13	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.13	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.09	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.17	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.08
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.06
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.05	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.11	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.06	0.05
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.08	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.04	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.04	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.04	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.04	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.02	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.04	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.04	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.04	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.04	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bucknell	Pat	26.19	26.27	39.42	40.66	-5.54	-4.91
Lehigh	Pat	2.69	4.18	68.18	67.71	0.98	1.48
Lafayette	Pat	2.68	4.18	59.09	58.37	0.49	0.70
American	Pat	2.55	4.09	31.82	32.73	-0.93	-1.41
Army	Pat	2.55	4.09	60.00	60.72	0.51	0.88
Holy Cross	Pat	2.50	4.06	22.73	28.10	-1.36	-1.78
Colgate	Pat	2.51	4.06	28.57	32.24	-1.08	-1.44
Navy	Pat	4.44	4.04	42.86	40.64	-0.63	-0.76
Columbia	Ivy	2.46	2.01	36.84	36.88	-0.65	-0.53
Dartmouth	Ivy	2.37	1.99	11.11	14.48	-1.84	-1.41
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.30	1.95	31.82	31.35	-0.84	-0.73
Bryant	ind	2.33	1.90	0.00	4.33	-2.33	-1.74
Marist	MAAC	2.35	1.90	4.35	4.90	-2.15	-1.71
Cornell	Ivy	2.33	1.84	85.00	85.06	1.63	1.29
Wagner	NEC	2.23	1.84	16.67	22.34	-1.48	-1.02
La Salle	A10	2.27	1.81	45.45	44.51	-0.21	-0.20
Boston University	AE	2.17	1.78	52.17	56.19	0.09	0.22
Binghamton	AE	2.22	1.78	36.36	36.44	-0.60	-0.48
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.22	1.76	47.83	49.83	-0.10	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	2.13	1.75	27.27	27.88	-0.97	-0.78
Richmond	A10	2.17	1.75	73.91	70.27	1.04	0.71
Providence	BE	2.22	1.75	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.18
Notre Dame	BE	2.17	1.72	69.57	62.17	0.85	0.42
Mercer	ASun	2.17	1.72	40.00	40.33	-0.43	-0.33
Brown	Ivy	0.37	0.44	23.81	27.31	-0.19	-0.20
Yale	Ivy	0.33	0.41	36.36	38.12	-0.09	-0.10
Harvard	Ivy	0.39	0.35	73.68	75.41	0.19	0.18
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.35	70.59	70.98	0.10	0.15
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.28	0.35	16.67	19.94	-0.19	-0.21
Stony Brook	AE	0.36	0.35	68.18	68.72	0.13	0.13
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.42	0.34	43.48	43.78	-0.05	-0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.40	0.34	39.13	41.53	-0.09	-0.06
New Hampshire	AE	0.33	0.32	35.00	38.23	-0.10	-0.08
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.31	69.57	71.78	0.16	0.14
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.35	0.31	39.13	47.65	-0.08	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.32	0.29	30.43	32.48	-0.13	-0.10
Vermont	AE	0.37	0.29	68.00	67.20	0.13	0.10
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.31	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.31	0.28	54.55	55.07	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.27	0.26	33.33	33.00	-0.09	-0.09
Longwood	ind	0.28	0.23	23.81	29.40	-0.15	-0.10
Fairfield	MAAC	0.26	0.23	69.57	64.51	0.10	0.07
Rider	MAAC	0.31	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.18	0.23	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.23	0.20	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.05
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.22	0.20	8.70	11.46	-0.18	-0.16
Syracuse	BE	0.24	0.20	95.83	91.37	0.22	0.17
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.17	0.20	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.18	0.20	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.22	0.20	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.22	0.17	23.08	25.77	-0.12	-0.08
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.17	33.33	35.33	-0.06	-0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.22	0.17	72.00	70.73	0.10	0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.18	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.17	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.17	0.17	22.22	27.56	-0.10	-0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.18	0.17	31.82	31.64	-0.07	-0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.18	0.14	25.00	26.64	-0.09	-0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.18	0.14	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.09
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.14	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.19	0.14	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.05
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.14	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.14	86.36	81.50	0.10	0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.11	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.11	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.13	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.11	22.73	23.47	-0.07	-0.06
Northeastern	CAA	0.18	0.11	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.13	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.08	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.11	0.07
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.18	0.11	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.09	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.13	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.10	-0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.13	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.13	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.08	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.06	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.05	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.04	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.04	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.04	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.04	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.04	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.04	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.02	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.04	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.04	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Cornell	Ivy	2.33	1.84	85.00	85.06	1.63	1.29
Richmond	A10	2.17	1.75	73.91	70.27	1.04	0.71
Lehigh	Pat	2.69	4.18	68.18	67.71	0.98	1.48
Notre Dame	BE	2.17	1.72	69.57	62.17	0.85	0.42
Army	Pat	2.55	4.09	60.00	60.72	0.51	0.88
Lafayette	Pat	2.68	4.18	59.09	58.37	0.49	0.70
Syracuse	BE	0.24	0.20	95.83	91.37	0.22	0.17
Harvard	Ivy	0.39	0.35	73.68	75.41	0.19	0.18
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.41	0.31	69.57	71.78	0.16	0.14
Vermont	AE	0.37	0.29	68.00	67.20	0.13	0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.36	0.35	68.18	68.72	0.13	0.13
Siena	MAAC	0.18	0.14	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.09
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.11	0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.26	0.23	69.57	64.51	0.10	0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.14	86.36	81.50	0.10	0.09
Princeton	Ivy	0.23	0.35	70.59	70.98	0.10	0.15
Iona	MAAC	0.22	0.17	72.00	70.73	0.10	0.07
Boston University	AE	2.17	1.78	52.17	56.19	0.09	0.22
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.05
Temple	A10	0.13	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.08	0.06
Maine	AE	0.23	0.20	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.06	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.18	0.11	66.67	68.11	0.06	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.13	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.06	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.17	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.08
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.18	0.11	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.18	0.17	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.04	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.17	0.20	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.31	0.28	54.55	55.07	0.03	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.04	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.14	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.05	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.31	0.28	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.04	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.31	0.23	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.13	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	2.22	1.75	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.18
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.00	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.04	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00