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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Oklahoma

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:168.0
Current RPI:168
Expected SOS:33
Current SOS:33
Current Record:11-20
Expected Record:11-20
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:205
Expected OOC SOS:167



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
11-20168.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Northwestern St. (306.0)SlndH97-61W100%0.0
11-17Tulane (296.0)AmerN89-70W100%0.0
11-18Northern Iowa (163.0)MVCN67-73L0%0.0
11-20Clemson (69.0)ACCN70-64W100%0.0
11-25Abilene Christian (288.0)SlndH72-64W100%0.0
11-29Northern Colorado (286.0)BSkyH87-66W100%0.0
12-3Wisconsin (35.0)B10A90-70L0%0.0
12-7Oral Roberts (292.0)SumH92-66W100%0.0
12-10Wichita St. (32.0)MVCN73-76L0%0.0
12-17Memphis (120.0)AmerH94-99L0%0.0
12-21Auburn (113.0)SECN70-74L0%0.0
12-30Baylor (11.0)B12H50-76L0%0.0
1-3TCU (67.0)B12A60-57L0%0.0
1-7Kansas St. (57.0)B12A75-64L0%0.0
1-10Kansas (4.0)B12H70-81L0%0.0
1-14Texas Tech (124.0)B12H84-75W100%0.0
1-18West Virginia (24.0)B12A87-89W100%0.0
1-21Iowa St. (21.0)B12H87-92L0%0.0
1-23Texas (156.0)B12A84-83L0%0.0
1-28Florida (10.0)SECH52-84L0%0.0
1-30Oklahoma St. (39.0)B12H66-68L0%0.0
2-4Texas Tech (124.0)B12A77-69L0%0.0
2-8West Virginia (24.0)B12H50-61L0%0.0
2-11Iowa St. (21.0)B12A80-64L0%0.0
2-14Texas (156.0)B12H70-66W100%0.0
2-18Oklahoma St. (39.0)B12A96-92L0%0.0
2-21Baylor (11.0)B12A60-54L0%0.0
2-25Kansas St. (57.0)B12H81-51W100%0.0
2-27Kansas (4.0)B12A73-63L0%0.0
3-4TCU (67.0)B12H73-68W100%0.0
3-8TCU (67.0)B12N82-63L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Oklahoma's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Oklahoma.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
OklahomaB1226.3426.3429.9329.93-10.58-10.58
TCUB125.765.7653.3353.330.380.38
Iowa St.B124.254.2567.7467.741.511.51
West VirginiaB124.224.2278.1278.122.372.37
Kansas St.B124.174.1761.2961.290.940.94
TexasB124.174.1732.2632.26-1.48-1.48
BaylorB124.144.1475.8675.862.142.14
Texas TechB124.144.1456.6756.670.550.55
KansasB124.144.1486.6786.673.043.04
Oklahoma St.B124.144.1458.6258.620.710.71
AuburnSEC1.761.7654.8454.840.170.17
Wichita St.MVC1.721.7287.5087.501.291.29
MemphisAmer1.661.6658.0658.060.270.27
Oral RobertsSum1.661.6622.2222.22-0.92-0.92
TulaneAmer1.661.6620.0020.00-1.00-1.00
Northern IowaMVC1.661.6642.8642.86-0.24-0.24
Abilene ChristianSlnd1.651.6537.5037.50-0.41-0.41
Northwestern St.Slnd1.651.6537.5037.50-0.41-0.41
FloridaSEC1.641.6474.1974.190.790.79
ClemsonACC1.611.6154.8454.840.160.16
Northern ColoradoBSky1.611.6134.6234.62-0.50-0.50
WisconsinB101.611.6172.7372.730.730.73
TulsaAmer0.230.2346.8846.88-0.01-0.01
GeorgiaSEC0.230.2356.2556.250.030.03
Incarnate WordSlnd0.220.2232.0032.00-0.08-0.08
Central ArkansasSlnd0.200.2025.0025.00-0.10-0.10
BradleyMVC0.200.2037.5037.50-0.05-0.05
Illinois St.MVC0.200.2081.2581.250.130.13
Missouri St.MVC0.190.1950.0050.000.000.00
MississippiSEC0.180.1860.6160.610.040.04
ArkansasSEC0.180.1873.5373.530.080.08
SMUAmer0.180.1888.2488.240.130.13
New OrleansSlnd0.170.1760.7160.710.040.04
MissouriSEC0.160.1625.0025.00-0.08-0.08
Nebraska OmahaSum0.160.1654.8454.840.020.02
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.160.1646.6746.67-0.01-0.01
North CarolinaACC0.150.1578.7978.790.090.09
ConnecticutAmer0.150.1546.8846.88-0.01-0.01
DrakeMVC0.150.1520.6920.69-0.09-0.09
Indiana St.MVC0.150.1533.3333.33-0.05-0.05
LSUSEC0.150.1532.2632.26-0.05-0.05
TempleAmer0.150.1550.0050.000.000.00
AlabamaSEC0.150.1557.5857.580.020.02
UABCUSA0.150.1550.0050.000.000.00
VanderbiltSEC0.150.1555.8855.880.020.02
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.150.1560.7160.710.030.03
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.150.1556.6756.670.020.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.150.1519.2319.23-0.09-0.09
Nicholls St.Slnd0.150.1537.0437.04-0.04-0.04
WashingtonP120.150.1529.0329.03-0.06-0.06
Idaho St.BSky0.130.1313.3313.33-0.10-0.10
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.130.1353.3353.330.010.01
XavierBE0.130.1361.7661.760.030.03
Texas A&MSEC0.130.1351.6151.610.000.00
Michigan St.B100.130.1357.5857.580.020.02
CincinnatiAmer0.130.1385.2985.290.090.09
DukeACC0.130.1377.1477.140.070.07
KentuckySEC0.130.1385.2985.290.090.09
South CarolinaSEC0.130.1367.7467.740.040.04
IowaB100.130.1356.2556.250.020.02
Texas SouthernSWAC0.130.1367.6567.650.040.04
MarylandB100.120.1274.1974.190.060.06
Long Beach St.BW0.120.1240.6240.62-0.02-0.02
UNLVMWC0.120.1234.3834.38-0.04-0.04
TennesseeSEC0.120.1248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
IndianaB100.120.1254.5554.550.010.01
MichiganB100.120.1268.5768.570.040.04
Houston BaptistSlnd0.110.1150.0050.000.000.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.110.1150.0050.000.000.00
Western IllinoisSum0.110.1123.0823.08-0.06-0.06
EvansvilleMVC0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
Colorado St.MWC0.100.1065.6265.620.030.03
HoustonAmer0.100.1067.7467.740.040.04
South FloridaAmer0.100.1023.3323.33-0.05-0.05
LouisvilleACC0.100.1075.0075.000.050.05
UCFAmer0.100.1065.6265.620.030.03
NebraskaB100.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
Boston CollegeACC0.100.1028.1228.12-0.04-0.04
Miami FLACC0.100.1065.6265.620.030.03
UMKCWAC0.100.1046.6746.67-0.01-0.01
LamarSlnd0.100.1051.7251.720.000.00
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.100.1051.7251.720.000.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.100.1021.8821.88-0.05-0.05
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.100.1055.8855.880.010.01
NorthwesternB100.100.1067.6567.650.030.03
Sacramento St.BSky0.090.0937.9337.93-0.02-0.02
North DakotaBSky0.090.0967.8667.860.030.03
DenverSum0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
RiceCUSA0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
Louisiana MonroeSB0.080.0822.5822.58-0.04-0.04
New HampshireAE0.080.0858.6258.620.010.01
RichmondA100.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
SouthernSWAC0.080.0843.3343.33-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.080.0845.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.080.0876.6776.670.040.04
Jackson St.SWAC0.080.0841.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Georgia TechACC0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
GeorgetownBE0.080.0843.7543.75-0.01-0.01
DavidsonA100.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.080.0834.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Florida St.ACC0.080.0875.7675.760.040.04
MercerSC0.080.0843.3343.33-0.01-0.01
GonzagaWCC0.070.0796.9796.970.070.07
Savannah St.MEAC0.070.0740.7440.74-0.01-0.01
Alabama St.SWAC0.070.0723.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Arkansas St.SB0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
Jacksonville St.OVC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
Saint LouisA100.070.0736.3636.36-0.02-0.02
WoffordSC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
VirginiaACC0.070.0768.7568.750.030.03
Green BayHorz0.070.0755.1755.170.010.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.060.0632.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Northern ArizonaBSky0.060.0625.8125.81-0.03-0.03
Portland St.BSky0.060.0642.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Southern UtahBSky0.060.0612.9012.90-0.04-0.04
Weber St.BSky0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
MontanaBSky0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
Fort WayneSum0.060.0657.1457.140.010.01
IUPUISum0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.060.0660.7160.710.010.01
South DakotaSum0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
Little RockSB0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Arizona St.P120.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
CreightonBE0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0520.0020.00-0.03-0.03
CampbellBSth0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.050.0584.8584.850.040.04
VCUA100.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
LongwoodBSth0.050.0514.2914.29-0.04-0.04
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
North FloridaASun0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
North TexasCUSA0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
SienaMAAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
StanfordP120.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
Utah St.MWC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
UTSACUSA0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Virginia TechACC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
Wake ForestACC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
PurdueB100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
SyracuseACC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
ColoradoP120.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
HamptonMEAC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
The CitadelSC0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
UT ArlingtonSB0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
Washington St.P120.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
ManhattanMAAC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
MinnesotaB100.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
Ohio St.B100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
RadfordBSth0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
RutgersB100.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
VMISC0.050.0514.2914.29-0.03-0.03
Western CarolinaSC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
New MexicoMWC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
San FranciscoWCC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
ArizonaP120.030.0388.2488.240.020.02
BucknellPat0.030.0376.4776.470.020.02
ButlerBE0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
IdahoBSky0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
Montana St.BSky0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.030.0340.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
UC RiversideBW0.030.0322.2222.22-0.02-0.02
OaklandHorz0.030.0373.3373.330.010.01
George MasonA100.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
WyomingMWC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Southern MissCUSA0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Texas St.SB0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
BelmontOVC0.030.0377.7877.780.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Coastal CarolinaSB0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Coppin St.MEAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
Georgia St.SB0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
High PointBSth0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0329.4129.41-0.01-0.01
MonmouthMAAC0.030.0381.8281.820.020.02
Notre DameACC0.030.0373.5373.530.010.01
PittsburghACC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
ProvidenceBE0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Seton HallBE0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.030.0384.3884.380.020.02
USC UpstateASun0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Chicago St.WAC0.020.0210.3410.34-0.02-0.02
Florida A&MMEAC0.020.0217.8617.86-0.02-0.02
MarquetteBE0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Penn St.B100.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00