The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Florida page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Florida

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		50.5
Current RPI:		48
Expected SOS:		43
Current SOS:		68
Current Record:		17-6
Expected Record:		21-10
Current Conf Record:		6-3
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-1
Current OOC Record:		11-3
Expected OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC RPI:		72
Expected OOC SOS:		154

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
25-6	18.0	0.19%
24-7	23.8	2.23%
23-8	31.8	9.66%
22-9	41.0	23.57%
21-10	50.7	29.28%
20-11	59.6	22.54%
19-12	69.2	10.15%
18-13	79.5	2.25%
17-14	90.6	0.12%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	H	74-46	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Georgia Southern (296.7)	SC	H	69-49	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	N	77-74	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	N	73-58	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Florida A&M (325.5)	MEAC	H	80-59	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	A	85-67	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	N	73-85	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Richmond (38.1)	A10	N	53-56	L	0%	0.0
12-22	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	66-67	L	0%	0.0
12-28	American (306.9)	Pat	H	76-60	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	79-38	W	100%	0.0
1-3	North Carolina St. (110.7)	ACC	A	62-61	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	A	87-95	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	H	77-89	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	H	72-58	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
1-23	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	H	58-56	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	H	87-71	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	A	60-61	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	A	66-65	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
2-10	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	0-0		47%	-0.9
2-13	Xavier (26.6)	A10	H	0-0		56%	1.6
2-18	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	H	0-0		87%	12.3
2-20	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	A	0-0		30%	-5.6
2-23	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	H	0-0		50%	-0.0
2-27	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	0-0		55%	1.2
3-2	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	H	0-0		57%	1.8
3-7	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	A	0-0		18%	-9.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Florida's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Florida's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Florida.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida	SEC	26.10	26.11	70.30	64.94	10.60	7.80
South Carolina	SEC	2.56	3.90	61.90	56.40	0.61	0.50
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.51	2.18	72.73	70.76	1.14	0.90
Alabama	SEC	2.51	2.18	59.09	56.00	0.46	0.26
Georgia	SEC	2.47	3.82	50.00	47.12	0.00	-0.22
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.47	3.82	75.00	73.31	1.23	1.78
Arkansas	SEC	2.46	2.18	54.55	50.09	0.22	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.46	2.18	40.91	36.60	-0.45	-0.58
Kentucky	SEC	2.42	3.82	95.45	88.51	2.20	2.94
Tennessee	SEC	2.42	3.82	80.95	75.71	1.50	1.96
Florida St.	ACC	2.37	1.75	77.27	71.89	1.29	0.77
South Alabama	SB	2.32	1.70	45.45	45.61	-0.21	-0.15
Jacksonville	ASun	2.32	1.75	59.09	62.03	0.42	0.42
Georgia Southern	SC	2.32	1.75	18.18	20.83	-1.48	-1.02
Troy	SB	2.32	1.73	50.00	52.40	0.00	0.08
Richmond	A10	2.27	1.72	73.91	70.27	1.09	0.70
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.27	1.69	60.87	56.13	0.49	0.21
Stetson	ASun	2.27	1.70	15.00	16.25	-1.59	-1.14
Syracuse	BE	2.22	1.64	95.65	91.09	2.03	1.35
Rutgers	BE	2.22	1.64	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.18
American	Pat	2.17	1.61	31.82	33.54	-0.79	-0.53
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.17	1.61	20.00	23.76	-1.30	-0.85
Michigan St.	B10	2.17	1.61	82.61	79.16	1.42	0.94
Presbyterian	BSth	2.17	1.61	13.04	15.84	-1.61	-1.10
Auburn	SEC	0.53	2.26	45.45	43.65	-0.05	-0.29
Mississippi	SEC	0.39	2.15	73.91	72.63	0.19	0.97
Western Kentucky	SB	0.35	0.28	54.17	55.99	0.03	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.30	0.22	42.86	42.46	-0.04	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.29	0.17	37.50	38.45	-0.07	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.28	0.24	56.52	51.96	0.04	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.25	0.17	82.61	78.56	0.16	0.10
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.25	0.20	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.25	0.20	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.25	0.14	36.36	36.18	-0.07	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.24	0.16	72.73	68.13	0.11	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.24	0.24	34.78	33.89	-0.07	-0.08
Illinois	B10	0.24	0.19	66.67	59.01	0.08	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.23	0.16	65.22	66.09	0.07	0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.20	0.23	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.20	0.17	24.00	23.74	-0.10	-0.09
Lipscomb	ASun	0.20	0.17	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.20	0.14	22.73	22.86	-0.11	-0.08
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.20	0.14	29.17	28.85	-0.08	-0.06
NC Asheville	BSth	0.19	0.22	33.33	37.71	-0.06	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.19	0.19	66.67	67.94	0.06	0.07
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.19	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.19	0.13	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.19	0.11	80.95	82.07	0.11	0.07
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.12	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.15	0.16	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.12	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.11	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.15	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.07
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.14	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.08	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.11	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.14	0.13	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.14	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.14	0.14	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.16	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.05
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.06	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.13	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.06
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.08	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.11	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Providence	BE	0.14	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.14	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.14	0.08	21.05	22.43	-0.08	-0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.08	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.10	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.08	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.09	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.08	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.13	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.06
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.11	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.13	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.13	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.08
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.16	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.07
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.08	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.13	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.09	0.05	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.05	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.05	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.08	26.09	31.05	-0.04	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.10	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.09	0.05	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.05	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.05	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.08	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.05	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.13	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.05	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.08	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	1.67	69.57	72.37	0.02	0.75
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.08	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.02	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.00	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.00	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.00	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.07
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida	SEC	26.10	26.11	70.30	64.94	10.60	7.80
South Carolina	SEC	2.56	3.90	61.90	56.40	0.61	0.50
Kentucky	SEC	2.42	3.82	95.45	88.51	2.20	2.94
Tennessee	SEC	2.42	3.82	80.95	75.71	1.50	1.96
Georgia	SEC	2.47	3.82	50.00	47.12	0.00	-0.22
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.47	3.82	75.00	73.31	1.23	1.78
Auburn	SEC	0.53	2.26	45.45	43.65	-0.05	-0.29
Arkansas	SEC	2.46	2.18	54.55	50.09	0.22	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.51	2.18	72.73	70.76	1.14	0.90
Alabama	SEC	2.51	2.18	59.09	56.00	0.46	0.26
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.46	2.18	40.91	36.60	-0.45	-0.58
Mississippi	SEC	0.39	2.15	73.91	72.63	0.19	0.97
Jacksonville	ASun	2.32	1.75	59.09	62.03	0.42	0.42
Georgia Southern	SC	2.32	1.75	18.18	20.83	-1.48	-1.02
Florida St.	ACC	2.37	1.75	77.27	71.89	1.29	0.77
Troy	SB	2.32	1.73	50.00	52.40	0.00	0.08
Richmond	A10	2.27	1.72	73.91	70.27	1.09	0.70
South Alabama	SB	2.32	1.70	45.45	45.61	-0.21	-0.15
Stetson	ASun	2.27	1.70	15.00	16.25	-1.59	-1.14
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.27	1.69	60.87	56.13	0.49	0.21
Xavier	A10	0.05	1.67	69.57	72.37	0.02	0.75
Syracuse	BE	2.22	1.64	95.65	91.09	2.03	1.35
Rutgers	BE	2.22	1.64	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.18
American	Pat	2.17	1.61	31.82	33.54	-0.79	-0.53
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.17	1.61	20.00	23.76	-1.30	-0.85
Michigan St.	B10	2.17	1.61	82.61	79.16	1.42	0.94
Presbyterian	BSth	2.17	1.61	13.04	15.84	-1.61	-1.10
Western Kentucky	SB	0.35	0.28	54.17	55.99	0.03	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.24	0.24	34.78	33.89	-0.07	-0.08
North Carolina	ACC	0.28	0.24	56.52	51.96	0.04	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.20	0.23	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.30	0.22	42.86	42.46	-0.04	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.19	0.22	33.33	37.71	-0.06	-0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.25	0.20	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.25	0.20	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.19	0.19	66.67	67.94	0.06	0.07
Illinois	B10	0.24	0.19	66.67	59.01	0.08	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.19	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.20	0.17	24.00	23.74	-0.10	-0.09
Lipscomb	ASun	0.20	0.17	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.25	0.17	82.61	78.56	0.16	0.10
Georgia St.	CAA	0.29	0.17	37.50	38.45	-0.07	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.15	0.16	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.24	0.16	72.73	68.13	0.11	0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.14	0.16	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.16	78.26	71.72	0.05	0.07
Marquette	BE	0.23	0.16	65.22	66.09	0.07	0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.25	0.14	36.36	36.18	-0.07	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.20	0.14	22.73	22.86	-0.11	-0.08
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.20	0.14	29.17	28.85	-0.08	-0.06
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.14	0.14	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.14	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.14	0.13	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.13	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.13	77.27	73.36	0.08	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.06
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.13	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.19	0.13	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.13	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.08
Austin Peay	OVC	0.14	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.13	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.13	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.12	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.12	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.15	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.07
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.11	40.00	40.09	-0.03	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.11	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.19	0.11	80.95	82.07	0.11	0.07
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.06	-0.04
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.11	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.11	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.11	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.14	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.05	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.14	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.10	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.10	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.09	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.09	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.08	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.08	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.08	26.09	31.05	-0.04	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.08	65.22	65.74	0.04	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.14	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.08	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.08	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.08	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.08	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.08	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.07
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.08	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.05
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.14	0.08	21.05	22.43	-0.08	-0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.08	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.08	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.05	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.05	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.05	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.09	0.05	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.09	0.05	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.05	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.05	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.05	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.05	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.02
Texas	B12	0.09	0.05	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.05	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.00	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02