The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Florida page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Florida

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		56.0
Current RPI:		56
Expected SOS:		36
Current SOS:		36
Current Record:		21-12
Expected Record:		21-12
Current Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-1
Current OOC Record:		11-4
Expected OOC Record:		11-4
Expected OOC RPI:		74
Expected OOC SOS:		116

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
21-12		56.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Stetson (326.0)	ASun	H	74-46	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	H	69-49	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Troy (109.0)	SB	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Florida St. (42.0)	ACC	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Michigan St. (28.0)	B10	N	77-74	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	N	73-58	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Florida A&M (319.0)	MEAC	H	80-59	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	A	85-67	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	N	73-85	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Richmond (25.0)	A10	N	53-56	L	0%	0.0
12-22	South Alabama (209.0)	SB	H	66-67	L	0%	0.0
12-28	American (295.0)	Pat	H	76-60	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Presbyterian (329.0)	BSth	H	79-38	W	100%	0.0
1-3	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	A	62-61	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	A	87-95	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	H	77-89	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	H	72-58	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
1-23	South Carolina (93.0)	SEC	H	58-56	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	H	87-71	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Tennessee (13.0)	SEC	A	60-61	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Alabama (102.0)	SEC	A	66-65	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Mississippi St. (55.0)	SEC	H	69-62	W	100%	0.0
2-10	South Carolina (93.0)	SEC	A	71-77	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Xavier (19.0)	A10	H	64-76	L	0%	0.0
2-18	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	H	78-70	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	A	64-61	W	100%	0.0
2-23	Tennessee (13.0)	SEC	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	A	76-78	L	0%	0.0
3-2	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	H	60-64	L	0%	0.0
3-7	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	66-74	L	0%	0.0
3-11	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	N	78-69	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Mississippi St. (55.0)	SEC	N	69-75	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Florida's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Florida's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Florida.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida	SEC	26.13	26.13	60.54	60.54	5.51	5.51
Kentucky	SEC	3.72	3.72	93.75	93.75	3.25	3.25
Tennessee	SEC	3.70	3.70	77.42	77.42	2.03	2.03
South Carolina	SEC	3.69	3.69	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Vanderbilt	SEC	3.69	3.69	72.41	72.41	1.65	1.65
Mississippi St.	SEC	3.67	3.67	68.75	68.75	1.38	1.38
Georgia	SEC	3.67	3.67	44.83	44.83	-0.38	-0.38
Auburn	SEC	3.65	3.65	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Alabama	SEC	2.20	2.20	54.84	54.84	0.21	0.21
Arkansas	SEC	2.16	2.16	45.16	45.16	-0.21	-0.21
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.15	2.15	36.67	36.67	-0.57	-0.57
Mississippi	SEC	2.13	2.13	70.00	70.00	0.85	0.85
Florida St.	ACC	1.68	1.68	73.33	73.33	0.79	0.79
Troy	SB	1.67	1.67	60.71	60.71	0.36	0.36
Georgia Southern	SC	1.66	1.66	24.14	24.14	-0.86	-0.86
Richmond	A10	1.66	1.66	75.76	75.76	0.85	0.85
Jacksonville	ASun	1.64	1.64	63.33	63.33	0.44	0.44
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.64	1.64	57.58	57.58	0.25	0.25
South Alabama	SB	1.62	1.62	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	1.59	1.59	19.23	19.23	-0.98	-0.98
Xavier	A10	1.58	1.58	74.19	74.19	0.77	0.77
Syracuse	BE	1.54	1.54	87.10	87.10	1.14	1.14
Rutgers	BE	1.54	1.54	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
American	Pat	1.52	1.52	36.67	36.67	-0.40	-0.40
Florida A&M	MEAC	1.52	1.52	27.59	27.59	-0.68	-0.68
Michigan St.	B10	1.52	1.52	77.42	77.42	0.83	0.83
Presbyterian	BSth	1.52	1.52	13.79	13.79	-1.10	-1.10
Western Kentucky	SB	0.30	0.30	61.76	61.76	0.07	0.07
DePaul	BE	0.24	0.24	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
Mercer	ASun	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.21	0.21	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.19	0.19	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.17	0.17	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.17	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Illinois	B10	0.17	0.17	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.17	0.17	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.15	0.15	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.15	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.09
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Miami FL	ACC	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.15	0.15	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.14	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.14	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.13	0.13	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.13	0.13	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.12	34.78	34.78	-0.04	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.12	0.12	84.38	84.38	0.08	0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.11	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.10	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.07	0.07	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.03	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.04	0.04	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.04	0.04	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.04	0.04	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.02	0.02	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.02	0.02	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.02	0.02	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Vermont	AE	0.02	0.02	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.02	0.02	80.65	80.65	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.02	0.02	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.02	0.02	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida	SEC	26.13	26.13	60.54	60.54	5.51	5.51
Kentucky	SEC	3.72	3.72	93.75	93.75	3.25	3.25
Tennessee	SEC	3.70	3.70	77.42	77.42	2.03	2.03
South Carolina	SEC	3.69	3.69	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Vanderbilt	SEC	3.69	3.69	72.41	72.41	1.65	1.65
Mississippi St.	SEC	3.67	3.67	68.75	68.75	1.38	1.38
Georgia	SEC	3.67	3.67	44.83	44.83	-0.38	-0.38
Auburn	SEC	3.65	3.65	48.28	48.28	-0.13	-0.13
Alabama	SEC	2.20	2.20	54.84	54.84	0.21	0.21
Arkansas	SEC	2.16	2.16	45.16	45.16	-0.21	-0.21
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.15	2.15	36.67	36.67	-0.57	-0.57
Mississippi	SEC	2.13	2.13	70.00	70.00	0.85	0.85
Florida St.	ACC	1.68	1.68	73.33	73.33	0.79	0.79
Troy	SB	1.67	1.67	60.71	60.71	0.36	0.36
Georgia Southern	SC	1.66	1.66	24.14	24.14	-0.86	-0.86
Richmond	A10	1.66	1.66	75.76	75.76	0.85	0.85
Jacksonville	ASun	1.64	1.64	63.33	63.33	0.44	0.44
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.64	1.64	57.58	57.58	0.25	0.25
South Alabama	SB	1.62	1.62	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	1.59	1.59	19.23	19.23	-0.98	-0.98
Xavier	A10	1.58	1.58	74.19	74.19	0.77	0.77
Syracuse	BE	1.54	1.54	87.10	87.10	1.14	1.14
Rutgers	BE	1.54	1.54	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
American	Pat	1.52	1.52	36.67	36.67	-0.40	-0.40
Florida A&M	MEAC	1.52	1.52	27.59	27.59	-0.68	-0.68
Michigan St.	B10	1.52	1.52	77.42	77.42	0.83	0.83
Presbyterian	BSth	1.52	1.52	13.79	13.79	-1.10	-1.10
Western Kentucky	SB	0.30	0.30	61.76	61.76	0.07	0.07
DePaul	BE	0.24	0.24	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
Mercer	ASun	0.23	0.23	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.21	0.21	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.20	0.20	56.67	56.67	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.19	0.19	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.17	0.17	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.17	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Illinois	B10	0.17	0.17	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.17	0.17	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.15	0.15	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.15	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.09
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Miami FL	ACC	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.15	0.15	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.14	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.14	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.13	0.13	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.13	0.13	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.12	0.12	39.29	39.29	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.12	34.78	34.78	-0.04	-0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.12	0.12	84.38	84.38	0.08	0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.11	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.10	0.10	80.00	80.00	0.06	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.08	0.08	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.07	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Manhattan	MAAC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.07	0.07	24.00	24.00	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.07	0.07	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.03	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.04	0.04	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.04	0.04	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.04	0.04	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01