The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Mercer page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Mercer

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		218.9
Current RPI:		220
Expected SOS:		221
Current SOS:		221
Current Record:		14-17
Expected Record:		14-17
Current Conf Record:		12-11
Expected Conf Record:		12-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-6
Current OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC RPI:		240
Expected OOC SOS:		120

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-17		218.9		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mercer.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Bucknell (258.9)	Pat	N	89-80	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Bryant (344.7)	ind	N	80-56	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Providence (139.3)	BE	A	77-79	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Florida St. (34.0)	ACC	H	50-89	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Georgia Tech (40.1)	ACC	A	74-85	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Lipscomb (206.6)	ASun	H	89-98	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Belmont (136.4)	ASun	H	90-94	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Vanderbilt (22.4)	SEC	A	59-99	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Alabama (94.7)	SEC	A	71-90	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Charlotte (76.4)	A10	A	80-91	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Jacksonville (142.3)	ASun	A	75-74	W	100%	0.0
1-4	North Florida (234.5)	ASun	A	84-79	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Campbell (181.8)	ASun	H	82-73	W	100%	0.0
1-9	East Tennessee St. (123.5)	ASun	H	83-78	W	100%	0.0
1-15	South Carolina Upstate (306.9)	ASun	A	60-57	W	100%	0.0
1-22	Stetson (325.4)	ASun	A	69-76	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Florida Gulf Coast (320.3)	ASun	A	70-71	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Kennesaw St. (285.0)	ASun	H	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Stetson (325.4)	ASun	H	91-57	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Florida Gulf Coast (320.3)	ASun	H	78-72	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Kennesaw St. (285.0)	ASun	A	63-66	L	0%	0.0
2-8	South Carolina Upstate (306.9)	ASun	H	83-69	W	100%	0.0
2-12	Campbell (181.8)	ASun	A	63-69	L	0%	0.0
2-14	East Tennessee St. (123.5)	ASun	A	82-77	W	100%	0.0
2-18	North Florida (234.5)	ASun	H	77-67	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Jacksonville (142.3)	ASun	H	64-76	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Belmont (136.4)	ASun	A	73-77	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Lipscomb (206.6)	ASun	A	73-85	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Belmont (136.4)	ASun	H	87-81	W	100%	0.0
3-5	Jacksonville (142.3)	ASun	H	66-63	W	100%	0.0
3-6	East Tennessee St. (123.5)	ASun	H	66-72	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mercer's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Mercer's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Mercer.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mercer	ASun	26.68	26.68	45.26	45.26	-2.53	-2.53
East Tennessee St.	ASun	6.04	6.04	60.00	60.00	1.21	1.21
Jacksonville	ASun	6.00	6.00	64.29	64.29	1.71	1.71
Belmont	ASun	5.92	5.92	60.71	60.71	1.27	1.27
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.52	4.52	31.03	31.03	-1.71	-1.71
North Florida	ASun	4.46	4.46	42.86	42.86	-0.64	-0.64
Lipscomb	ASun	4.43	4.43	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Campbell	ASun	4.42	4.42	61.54	61.54	1.02	1.02
Stetson	ASun	4.37	4.37	16.00	16.00	-2.97	-2.97
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.35	4.35	25.93	25.93	-2.10	-2.10
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.35	4.35	22.22	22.22	-2.42	-2.42
Florida St.	ACC	1.83	1.83	72.41	72.53	0.82	0.82
Alabama	SEC	1.75	1.75	53.33	52.16	0.12	0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.74	1.74	62.07	61.12	0.42	0.39
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.69	1.69	75.00	75.14	0.85	0.85
Providence	BE	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Bucknell	Pat	1.67	1.67	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Bryant	ind	1.66	1.66	3.45	3.45	-1.55	-1.55
Charlotte	A10	1.64	1.64	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Miami FL	ACC	0.25	0.25	60.00	59.43	0.05	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.25	0.25	31.82	31.82	-0.09	-0.09
Florida	SEC	0.25	0.24	65.62	65.13	0.08	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.18	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.19	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.18	0.18	28.12	28.12	-0.08	-0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.18	0.18	77.42	76.92	0.10	0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.16	0.16	11.54	11.54	-0.13	-0.13
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	69.70	68.35	0.06	0.06
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.16	0.16	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.16	65.52	64.59	0.05	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.15	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.14	0.14	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.13	0.13	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.04	0.05	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.05	0.06	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.13	46.67	45.83	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.10	83.87	84.24	0.07	0.07
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.08	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.62	0.05	0.05
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.10	93.55	93.22	0.07	0.09
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	57.14	56.84	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.10	75.86	75.54	0.04	0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.08	70.00	68.99	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.21	0.03	0.03
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.58	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	93.75	93.44	0.07	0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.80	0.04	0.04
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.33	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	73.53	73.54	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	76.64	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	76.67	75.56	0.03	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.72	-0.04	-0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.25	55.27	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	61.29	60.55	0.01	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.56	0.02	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	36.67	35.81	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	73.33	72.98	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.33	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.83	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	78.82	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.46	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.25	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.06	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	83.87	84.00	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.42	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.51	0.02	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mercer	ASun	26.68	26.68	45.26	45.26	-2.53	-2.53
East Tennessee St.	ASun	6.04	6.04	60.00	60.00	1.21	1.21
Jacksonville	ASun	6.00	6.00	64.29	64.29	1.71	1.71
Belmont	ASun	5.92	5.92	60.71	60.71	1.27	1.27
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.52	4.52	31.03	31.03	-1.71	-1.71
North Florida	ASun	4.46	4.46	42.86	42.86	-0.64	-0.64
Lipscomb	ASun	4.43	4.43	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Campbell	ASun	4.42	4.42	61.54	61.54	1.02	1.02
Stetson	ASun	4.37	4.37	16.00	16.00	-2.97	-2.97
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.35	4.35	25.93	25.93	-2.10	-2.10
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.35	4.35	22.22	22.22	-2.42	-2.42
Florida St.	ACC	1.83	1.83	72.41	72.53	0.82	0.82
Alabama	SEC	1.75	1.75	53.33	52.16	0.12	0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.74	1.74	62.07	61.12	0.42	0.39
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.69	1.69	75.00	75.14	0.85	0.85
Providence	BE	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Bucknell	Pat	1.67	1.67	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Bryant	ind	1.66	1.66	3.45	3.45	-1.55	-1.55
Charlotte	A10	1.64	1.64	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Savannah St.	ind	0.25	0.25	31.82	31.82	-0.09	-0.09
Miami FL	ACC	0.25	0.25	60.00	59.43	0.05	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.25	0.24	65.62	65.13	0.08	0.07
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.19	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.18	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.18	0.18	28.12	28.12	-0.08	-0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.18	0.18	77.42	76.92	0.10	0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.16	0.16	11.54	11.54	-0.13	-0.13
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	69.70	68.35	0.06	0.06
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.16	0.16	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.16	65.52	64.59	0.05	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.15	0.15	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.14	0.14	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.13	0.13	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.13	46.67	45.83	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.04	0.05	0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.05	0.06	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.10	93.55	93.22	0.07	0.09
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.10	83.87	84.24	0.07	0.07
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.10	75.86	75.54	0.04	0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.08	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.62	0.05	0.05
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	57.14	56.84	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.58	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	93.75	93.44	0.07	0.07
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.25	55.27	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.80	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.02
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.33	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.08	70.00	68.99	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.21	0.03	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	73.53	73.54	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	76.64	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	76.67	75.56	0.03	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.06	12.00	12.72	-0.04	-0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	61.29	60.55	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.56	0.02	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	36.67	35.81	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	73.33	72.98	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.33	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.83	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.46	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.06	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	83.87	84.00	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.42	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.51	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	78.82	0.02	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.25	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Jacksonville	ASun	6.00	6.00	64.29	64.29	1.71	1.71
Belmont	ASun	5.92	5.92	60.71	60.71	1.27	1.27
East Tennessee St.	ASun	6.04	6.04	60.00	60.00	1.21	1.21
Campbell	ASun	4.42	4.42	61.54	61.54	1.02	1.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.69	1.69	75.00	75.14	0.85	0.85
Florida St.	ACC	1.83	1.83	72.41	72.53	0.82	0.82
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.74	1.74	62.07	61.12	0.42	0.39
Charlotte	A10	1.64	1.64	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Lipscomb	ASun	4.43	4.43	51.85	51.85	0.16	0.16
Alabama	SEC	1.75	1.75	53.33	52.16	0.12	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.18	0.18	77.42	76.92	0.10	0.10
Florida	SEC	0.25	0.24	65.62	65.13	0.08	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.10	83.87	84.24	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.10	93.55	93.22	0.07	0.09
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	93.75	93.44	0.07	0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.16	0.16	69.70	68.35	0.06	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.05	0.06	0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.25	0.25	60.00	59.43	0.05	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.04	0.05	0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.16	65.52	64.59	0.05	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.19	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.62	0.05	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.80	0.04	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.10	75.86	75.54	0.04	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	73.53	73.54	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.58	0.03	0.03
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.33	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.08	70.00	68.99	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	76.64	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	76.67	75.56	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.21	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.33	0.03	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.16	0.16	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	73.33	72.98	0.02	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.14	0.14	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	83.87	84.00	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.51	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	78.82	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	79.25	0.02	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	64.52	63.56	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	61.29	60.55	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.42	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.08	0.08	57.14	56.84	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.46	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.25	55.27	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.00