The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Mercer page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Mercer

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		230.3
Current RPI:		240
Expected SOS:		240
Current SOS:		267
Current Record:		9-12
Expected Record:		12-16
Current Conf Record:		7-6
Expected Conf Record:		10-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-5
Current OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC Record:		2-6
Expected OOC RPI:		234
Expected OOC SOS:		81

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
16-12	163.7	0.11%
15-13	179.2	0.96%
14-14	195.1	6.21%
13-15	212.6	21.18%
12-16	229.7	33.29%
11-17	244.1	27.59%
10-18	256.5	9.50%
9-19	269.2	1.15%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mercer.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Bucknell (276.3)	Pat	N	89-80	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Bryant (344.6)	ind	N	80-56	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	77-79	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	H	50-89	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	A	74-85	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	H	89-98	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	H	90-94	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	A	59-99	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	A	71-90	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	A	80-91	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	A	75-74	W	100%	0.0
1-4	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	A	84-79	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	H	82-73	W	100%	0.0
1-9	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	H	83-78	W	100%	0.0
1-15	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	A	60-57	W	100%	0.0
1-22	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	A	69-76	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	A	70-71	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	H	91-57	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	H	78-72	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	A	63-66	L	0%	0.0
2-8	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	H	0-0		79%	8.9
2-12	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	A	0-0		26%	-7.0
2-14	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	A	0-0		19%	-9.7
2-18	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	0-0		73%	6.6
2-20	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	H	0-0		48%	-0.5
2-25	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	A	0-0		18%	-9.9
2-27	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	A	0-0		25%	-7.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mercer's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Mercer's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Mercer.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mercer	ASun	26.41	26.49	45.26	44.70	-2.50	-2.81
Stetson	ASun	5.69	4.71	10.53	12.90	-4.49	-3.50
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	5.67	4.69	27.27	27.28	-2.58	-2.13
Kennesaw St.	ASun	5.66	4.73	38.10	34.93	-1.35	-1.42
East Tennessee St.	ASun	3.32	4.70	52.17	54.68	0.14	0.44
Lipscomb	ASun	3.32	4.72	50.00	54.11	0.00	0.39
Campbell	ASun	3.32	4.69	60.00	60.50	0.66	0.98
Belmont	ASun	3.27	4.70	58.33	61.90	0.55	1.12
Jacksonville	ASun	3.27	4.72	59.09	62.41	0.59	1.17
North Florida	ASun	3.27	4.72	45.45	47.66	-0.30	-0.22
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	3.21	4.69	19.05	21.84	-1.99	-2.64
Florida St.	ACC	2.71	2.00	72.73	68.44	1.23	0.74
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.64	1.94	71.43	66.99	1.13	0.66
Alabama	SEC	2.59	1.94	54.55	52.55	0.24	0.10
Providence	BE	2.53	1.88	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.20
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.48	1.88	75.00	72.24	1.24	0.84
Bryant	ind	2.48	1.85	0.00	4.33	-2.48	-1.69
Bucknell	Pat	2.48	1.85	39.13	40.58	-0.54	-0.35
Charlotte	A10	2.44	1.82	77.27	70.75	1.33	0.75
Florida	SEC	0.33	0.25	73.91	67.72	0.16	0.09
Miami FL	ACC	0.32	0.28	68.18	62.73	0.12	0.07
Louisville	BE	0.27	0.19	65.22	62.07	0.08	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.26	0.18	20.00	24.04	-0.16	-0.09
Notre Dame	BE	0.26	0.18	70.83	63.39	0.11	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.22	0.26	30.00	31.19	-0.09	-0.10
Duke	ACC	0.21	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.14	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.21	0.18	81.82	75.66	0.13	0.09
DePaul	BE	0.21	0.12	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.21	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.21	0.19	8.70	9.54	-0.17	-0.15
St. Louis	A10	0.20	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.05	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.12	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.16	0.15	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.16	0.13	23.81	29.40	-0.08	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.16	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.13	-0.08
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.15	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.15	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.12	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.15	0.09	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.06
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.08	-0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.07	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.12	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.10	20.00	21.94	-0.07	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.10	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.15	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.13	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.13	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Elon	SC	0.10	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.05	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.15	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.10	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.12	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.07
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.07	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.12	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mercer	ASun	26.41	26.49	45.26	44.70	-2.50	-2.81
Kennesaw St.	ASun	5.66	4.73	38.10	34.93	-1.35	-1.42
Jacksonville	ASun	3.27	4.72	59.09	62.41	0.59	1.17
North Florida	ASun	3.27	4.72	45.45	47.66	-0.30	-0.22
Lipscomb	ASun	3.32	4.72	50.00	54.11	0.00	0.39
Stetson	ASun	5.69	4.71	10.53	12.90	-4.49	-3.50
Belmont	ASun	3.27	4.70	58.33	61.90	0.55	1.12
East Tennessee St.	ASun	3.32	4.70	52.17	54.68	0.14	0.44
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	5.67	4.69	27.27	27.28	-2.58	-2.13
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	3.21	4.69	19.05	21.84	-1.99	-2.64
Campbell	ASun	3.32	4.69	60.00	60.50	0.66	0.98
Florida St.	ACC	2.71	2.00	72.73	68.44	1.23	0.74
Alabama	SEC	2.59	1.94	54.55	52.55	0.24	0.10
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.64	1.94	71.43	66.99	1.13	0.66
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.48	1.88	75.00	72.24	1.24	0.84
Providence	BE	2.53	1.88	50.00	44.78	0.00	-0.20
Bryant	ind	2.48	1.85	0.00	4.33	-2.48	-1.69
Bucknell	Pat	2.48	1.85	39.13	40.58	-0.54	-0.35
Charlotte	A10	2.44	1.82	77.27	70.75	1.33	0.75
Miami FL	ACC	0.32	0.28	68.18	62.73	0.12	0.07
Savannah St.	ind	0.22	0.26	30.00	31.19	-0.09	-0.10
Florida	SEC	0.33	0.25	73.91	67.72	0.16	0.09
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.21	0.19	8.70	9.54	-0.17	-0.15
Louisville	BE	0.27	0.19	65.22	62.07	0.08	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.26	0.18	70.83	63.39	0.11	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.26	0.18	20.00	24.04	-0.16	-0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.21	0.18	81.82	75.66	0.13	0.09
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.15	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.16	0.15	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.21	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.20	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.05	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.15	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.15	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.16	0.13	23.81	29.40	-0.08	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.13	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.13	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.12	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.12	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.21	0.12	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.12	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.12	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.21	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.14	0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.10	0.12	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.10	20.00	21.94	-0.07	-0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.10	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Elon	SC	0.10	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.08	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.16	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.13	-0.08
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Army	Pat	0.10	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.15	0.09	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.06
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.15	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.04	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.07	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.07	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.05	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.04
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.03
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.00	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Charlotte	A10	2.44	1.82	77.27	70.75	1.33	0.75
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.48	1.88	75.00	72.24	1.24	0.84
Florida St.	ACC	2.71	2.00	72.73	68.44	1.23	0.74
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.64	1.94	71.43	66.99	1.13	0.66
Campbell	ASun	3.32	4.69	60.00	60.50	0.66	0.98
Jacksonville	ASun	3.27	4.72	59.09	62.41	0.59	1.17
Belmont	ASun	3.27	4.70	58.33	61.90	0.55	1.12
Alabama	SEC	2.59	1.94	54.55	52.55	0.24	0.10
Florida	SEC	0.33	0.25	73.91	67.72	0.16	0.09
East Tennessee St.	ASun	3.32	4.70	52.17	54.68	0.14	0.44
Duke	ACC	0.21	0.12	82.61	82.33	0.14	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.21	0.18	81.82	75.66	0.13	0.09
Miami FL	ACC	0.32	0.28	68.18	62.73	0.12	0.07
Cornell	Ivy	0.15	0.09	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.26	0.18	70.83	63.39	0.11	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.27	0.19	65.22	62.07	0.08	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.13	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.21	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.20	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.05	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.09	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.12	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.09	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.04
Maine	AE	0.10	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.07	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.12	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.15	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.11	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.12	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.10	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.13	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.09	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01