The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated American page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

American

Conference:		Pat
Expected RPI:		294.0
Current RPI:		295
Expected SOS:		300
Current SOS:		302
Current Record:		11-20
Expected Record:		11-20
Current Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-12
Current OOC Record:		3-12
Expected OOC Record:		3-12
Expected OOC RPI:		338
Expected OOC SOS:		334

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
11-20		294.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for American.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	St. Francis PA (286.7)	NEC	A	61-65	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Albany (300.9)	AE	H	50-51	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Mount St. Mary's (172.5)	NEC	H	62-73	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	H	69-81	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Fairfield (80.0)	MAAC	H	56-72	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Manhattan (225.0)	MAAC	H	62-69	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Maryland Eastern Shore (303.5)	MEAC	A	58-65	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Howard (329.7)	MEAC	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Georgetown (12.0)	BE	A	46-73	L	0%	0.0
12-16	DePaul (212.3)	BE	A	62-57	W	100%	0.0
12-20	MD Baltimore County (332.8)	AE	H	57-59	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Penn St. (192.2)	B10	A	57-76	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Florida (53.9)	SEC	A	60-76	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Brown (257.2)	Ivy	A	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Columbia (251.9)	Ivy	A	51-56	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Lehigh (157.5)	Pat	A	67-78	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Bucknell (259.6)	Pat	A	68-72	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Colgate (289.2)	Pat	H	73-63	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Army (247.9)	Pat	A	48-68	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Holy Cross (274.7)	Pat	H	71-64	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Navy (264.4)	Pat	H	69-59	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Lafayette (212.2)	Pat	A	76-66	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Lehigh (157.5)	Pat	H	65-77	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Bucknell (259.6)	Pat	H	59-73	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Colgate (289.2)	Pat	A	74-75	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Army (247.9)	Pat	H	57-54	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Holy Cross (274.7)	Pat	A	51-64	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Navy (264.4)	Pat	A	80-77	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Lafayette (212.2)	Pat	H	78-60	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Navy (264.4)	Pat	H	62-60	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Lehigh (157.5)	Pat	A	57-79	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

American's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

American's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against American.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
American	Pat	26.41	26.41	34.75	34.75	-8.06	-8.05
Lehigh	Pat	5.65	5.65	64.29	64.29	1.61	1.61
Navy	Pat	5.61	5.61	48.15	48.15	-0.21	-0.21
Lafayette	Pat	4.17	4.17	65.52	65.52	1.29	1.29
Holy Cross	Pat	4.13	4.13	27.59	27.59	-1.85	-1.85
Bucknell	Pat	4.09	4.09	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Army	Pat	4.07	4.07	46.15	46.15	-0.31	-0.31
Colgate	Pat	4.02	4.02	33.33	33.33	-1.34	-1.34
Columbia	Ivy	1.88	1.88	37.04	37.04	-0.49	-0.49
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.87	1.87	34.48	34.48	-0.58	-0.58
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.80	1.80	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	1.78	1.78	32.14	32.14	-0.64	-0.64
Howard	MEAC	1.77	1.77	22.58	22.58	-0.97	-0.97
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.74	1.74	33.33	32.99	-0.58	-0.59
Fairfield	MAAC	1.74	1.74	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Georgetown	BE	1.72	1.72	68.97	67.78	0.65	0.61
Albany	AE	1.70	1.70	19.35	19.35	-1.04	-1.04
Manhattan	MAAC	1.69	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.56	-0.56
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.69	1.69	10.34	10.34	-1.34	-1.34
DePaul	BE	1.67	1.67	26.67	26.67	-0.78	-0.78
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.66	1.66	40.74	40.74	-0.31	-0.31
Penn St.	B10	1.64	1.64	34.48	34.00	-0.51	-0.52
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.61	63.33	63.72	0.43	0.44
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.37	70.00	70.00	0.15	0.15
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.36	0.36	14.81	14.81	-0.25	-0.25
Yale	Ivy	0.33	0.33	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.32	0.32	21.43	21.43	-0.19	-0.19
Long Island	NEC	0.32	0.32	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.30	0.30	37.93	37.93	-0.07	-0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.29	71.88	71.88	0.13	0.13
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.29	0.29	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.28	0.28	3.33	3.33	-0.27	-0.27
Wagner	NEC	0.27	0.27	16.13	16.13	-0.18	-0.18
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.25	70.37	70.37	0.10	0.10
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.23	81.82	81.82	0.15	0.15
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.20	-0.20
New Hampshire	AE	0.22	0.22	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.22	0.24	90.32	89.58	0.17	0.19
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Rider	MAAC	0.21	0.21	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.19	0.19	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.19	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.42	0.08	0.08
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	61.29	60.56	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.17	0.17	86.21	86.21	0.12	0.12
Monmouth	NEC	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.16	77.42	77.79	0.09	0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	25.93	26.48	-0.08	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	73.53	73.53	0.07	0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	56.00	56.08	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.15	0.15	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	60.71	60.18	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	67.91	0.05	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	73.33	72.97	0.05	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.10	67.74	66.97	0.04	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.73	-0.06	-0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.11	60.00	60.65	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	76.84	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	64.52	63.57	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	76.67	77.26	0.04	0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.76	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	37.93	36.74	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	44.83	46.01	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.80	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.10	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.05	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	33.33	32.99	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.05	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	36.67	35.83	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.05	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	57.69	56.45	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	31.86	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.58	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.11	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.05	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	70.37	69.63	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
American	Pat	26.41	26.41	34.75	34.75	-8.06	-8.05
Lehigh	Pat	5.65	5.65	64.29	64.29	1.61	1.61
Navy	Pat	5.61	5.61	48.15	48.15	-0.21	-0.21
Lafayette	Pat	4.17	4.17	65.52	65.52	1.29	1.29
Holy Cross	Pat	4.13	4.13	27.59	27.59	-1.85	-1.85
Bucknell	Pat	4.09	4.09	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Army	Pat	4.07	4.07	46.15	46.15	-0.31	-0.31
Colgate	Pat	4.02	4.02	33.33	33.33	-1.34	-1.34
Columbia	Ivy	1.88	1.88	37.04	37.04	-0.49	-0.49
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.87	1.87	34.48	34.48	-0.58	-0.58
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.80	1.80	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	1.78	1.78	32.14	32.14	-0.64	-0.64
Howard	MEAC	1.77	1.77	22.58	22.58	-0.97	-0.97
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.74	1.74	33.33	32.99	-0.58	-0.59
Fairfield	MAAC	1.74	1.74	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Georgetown	BE	1.72	1.72	68.97	67.78	0.65	0.61
Albany	AE	1.70	1.70	19.35	19.35	-1.04	-1.04
Manhattan	MAAC	1.69	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.56	-0.56
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.69	1.69	10.34	10.34	-1.34	-1.34
DePaul	BE	1.67	1.67	26.67	26.67	-0.78	-0.78
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.66	1.66	40.74	40.74	-0.31	-0.31
Penn St.	B10	1.64	1.64	34.48	34.00	-0.51	-0.52
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.61	63.33	63.72	0.43	0.44
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.37	70.00	70.00	0.15	0.15
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.36	0.36	14.81	14.81	-0.25	-0.25
Yale	Ivy	0.33	0.33	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.32	0.32	21.43	21.43	-0.19	-0.19
Long Island	NEC	0.32	0.32	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.30	0.30	37.93	37.93	-0.07	-0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.29	71.88	71.88	0.13	0.13
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.29	0.29	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.28	0.28	3.33	3.33	-0.27	-0.27
Wagner	NEC	0.27	0.27	16.13	16.13	-0.18	-0.18
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.25	70.37	70.37	0.10	0.10
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Syracuse	BE	0.22	0.24	90.32	89.58	0.17	0.19
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.23	81.82	81.82	0.15	0.15
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.20	-0.20
New Hampshire	AE	0.22	0.22	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Rider	MAAC	0.21	0.21	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.19	0.19	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.19	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.09	-0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.42	0.08	0.08
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	61.29	60.56	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.17	0.17	86.21	86.21	0.12	0.12
Monmouth	NEC	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.16	25.93	26.48	-0.08	-0.07
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.16	77.42	77.79	0.09	0.09
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	73.53	73.53	0.07	0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	56.00	56.08	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.15	0.15	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	60.71	60.18	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	67.91	0.05	0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.11	60.00	60.65	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	73.33	72.97	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.10	67.74	66.97	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.73	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	44.83	45.22	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	64.52	63.57	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	76.84	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	76.67	77.26	0.04	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.76	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	37.93	36.74	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.05	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	36.67	35.83	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	44.83	46.01	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.10	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.80	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	33.33	32.99	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.05	46.67	45.96	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.05	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.42	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.05	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	57.69	56.45	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	31.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.58	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.11	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	70.37	69.63	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Lehigh	Pat	5.65	5.65	64.29	64.29	1.61	1.61
Lafayette	Pat	4.17	4.17	65.52	65.52	1.29	1.29
Georgetown	BE	1.72	1.72	68.97	67.78	0.65	0.61
Fairfield	MAAC	1.74	1.74	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.61	63.33	63.72	0.43	0.44
Syracuse	BE	0.22	0.24	90.32	89.58	0.17	0.19
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.23	81.82	81.82	0.15	0.15
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.37	70.00	70.00	0.15	0.15
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.29	71.88	71.88	0.13	0.13
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Cornell	Ivy	0.17	0.17	86.21	86.21	0.12	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.25	70.37	70.37	0.10	0.10
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.16	77.42	77.79	0.09	0.09
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.42	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	73.53	73.53	0.07	0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	68.75	67.91	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	73.33	72.97	0.05	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	80.00	79.26	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.55	0.05	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	76.84	0.04	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	76.67	77.26	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	61.29	60.56	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.10	67.74	66.97	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.10	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	60.71	60.18	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.80	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	64.52	63.57	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.05	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	56.00	56.08	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.11	60.00	60.65	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.31	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01