The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated American page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

American

Conference:		Pat
Expected RPI:		295.0
Current RPI:		295
Expected SOS:		303
Current SOS:		303
Current Record:		11-20
Expected Record:		11-20
Current Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-12
Current OOC Record:		3-12
Expected OOC Record:		3-12
Expected OOC RPI:		337
Expected OOC SOS:		334

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
11-20		295.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for American.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	St. Francis PA (287.0)	NEC	A	61-65	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Albany (302.0)	AE	H	50-51	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Mount St. Mary's (172.0)	NEC	H	62-73	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Florida Atlantic (216.0)	SB	H	69-81	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Fairfield (81.0)	MAAC	H	56-72	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	H	62-69	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	A	58-65	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Howard (330.0)	MEAC	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	A	46-73	L	0%	0.0
12-16	DePaul (212.0)	BE	A	62-57	W	100%	0.0
12-20	MD Baltimore County (333.0)	AE	H	57-59	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	A	57-76	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Florida (56.0)	SEC	A	60-76	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Brown (257.0)	Ivy	A	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Columbia (252.0)	Ivy	A	51-56	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	A	67-78	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	A	68-72	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	H	73-63	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Army (247.0)	Pat	A	48-68	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	H	71-64	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Navy (265.0)	Pat	H	69-59	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	A	76-66	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	H	65-77	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	H	59-73	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Colgate (290.0)	Pat	A	74-75	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Army (247.0)	Pat	H	57-54	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	A	51-64	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Navy (265.0)	Pat	A	80-77	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Lafayette (210.0)	Pat	H	78-60	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Navy (265.0)	Pat	H	62-60	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Lehigh (152.0)	Pat	A	57-79	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

American's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

American's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against American.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
American	Pat	26.40	26.40	34.75	34.75	-8.05	-8.05
Lehigh	Pat	5.70	5.70	65.52	65.52	1.77	1.77
Navy	Pat	5.60	5.60	48.15	48.15	-0.21	-0.21
Lafayette	Pat	4.24	4.24	63.33	63.33	1.13	1.13
Holy Cross	Pat	4.13	4.13	27.59	27.59	-1.85	-1.85
Bucknell	Pat	4.08	4.08	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Army	Pat	4.06	4.06	46.15	46.15	-0.31	-0.31
Colgate	Pat	4.01	4.01	33.33	33.33	-1.34	-1.34
Columbia	Ivy	1.87	1.87	37.04	37.04	-0.49	-0.49
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.87	1.87	34.48	34.48	-0.58	-0.58
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.80	1.80	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	1.78	1.78	32.14	32.14	-0.64	-0.64
Howard	MEAC	1.77	1.77	22.58	22.58	-0.97	-0.97
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.74	1.74	32.26	32.26	-0.62	-0.62
Fairfield	MAAC	1.74	1.74	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Georgetown	BE	1.72	1.72	68.75	68.75	0.64	0.64
Albany	AE	1.70	1.70	19.35	19.35	-1.04	-1.04
Manhattan	MAAC	1.69	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.56	-0.56
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.69	1.69	10.34	10.34	-1.34	-1.34
DePaul	BE	1.67	1.67	26.67	26.67	-0.78	-0.78
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.66	1.66	40.74	40.74	-0.31	-0.31
Penn St.	B10	1.64	1.64	33.33	33.33	-0.55	-0.55
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.61	62.50	62.50	0.40	0.40
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.37	70.00	70.00	0.15	0.15
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.35	0.35	14.81	14.81	-0.25	-0.25
Yale	Ivy	0.33	0.33	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.32	0.32	21.43	21.43	-0.18	-0.18
Long Island	NEC	0.32	0.32	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.29	0.29	37.93	37.93	-0.07	-0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.29	71.88	71.88	0.13	0.13
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.29	0.29	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.28	0.28	3.33	3.33	-0.26	-0.26
Wagner	NEC	0.26	0.26	16.13	16.13	-0.18	-0.18
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.25	70.37	70.37	0.10	0.10
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	87.50	87.50	0.18	0.18
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.23	81.82	81.82	0.15	0.15
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.20	-0.20
New Hampshire	AE	0.22	0.22	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.20	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.19	0.19	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	73.53	73.53	0.09	0.09
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.17	0.17	86.21	86.21	0.12	0.12
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.15	0.15	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.15	0.15	76.47	76.47	0.08	0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.11	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.02	0.02	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.02	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
American	Pat	26.40	26.40	34.75	34.75	-8.05	-8.05
Lehigh	Pat	5.70	5.70	65.52	65.52	1.77	1.77
Navy	Pat	5.60	5.60	48.15	48.15	-0.21	-0.21
Lafayette	Pat	4.24	4.24	63.33	63.33	1.13	1.13
Holy Cross	Pat	4.13	4.13	27.59	27.59	-1.85	-1.85
Bucknell	Pat	4.08	4.08	41.38	41.38	-0.70	-0.70
Army	Pat	4.06	4.06	46.15	46.15	-0.31	-0.31
Colgate	Pat	4.01	4.01	33.33	33.33	-1.34	-1.34
Columbia	Ivy	1.87	1.87	37.04	37.04	-0.49	-0.49
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.87	1.87	34.48	34.48	-0.58	-0.58
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	1.80	1.80	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	1.78	1.78	32.14	32.14	-0.64	-0.64
Howard	MEAC	1.77	1.77	22.58	22.58	-0.97	-0.97
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.74	1.74	32.26	32.26	-0.62	-0.62
Fairfield	MAAC	1.74	1.74	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Georgetown	BE	1.72	1.72	68.75	68.75	0.64	0.64
Albany	AE	1.70	1.70	19.35	19.35	-1.04	-1.04
Manhattan	MAAC	1.69	1.69	33.33	33.33	-0.56	-0.56
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.69	1.69	10.34	10.34	-1.34	-1.34
DePaul	BE	1.67	1.67	26.67	26.67	-0.78	-0.78
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.66	1.66	40.74	40.74	-0.31	-0.31
Penn St.	B10	1.64	1.64	33.33	33.33	-0.55	-0.55
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.61	62.50	62.50	0.40	0.40
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.37	70.00	70.00	0.15	0.15
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.35	0.35	14.81	14.81	-0.25	-0.25
Yale	Ivy	0.33	0.33	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.32	0.32	21.43	21.43	-0.18	-0.18
Long Island	NEC	0.32	0.32	45.16	45.16	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.29	0.29	37.93	37.93	-0.07	-0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.29	71.88	71.88	0.13	0.13
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.29	0.29	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.28	0.28	3.33	3.33	-0.26	-0.26
Wagner	NEC	0.26	0.26	16.13	16.13	-0.18	-0.18
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.25	70.37	70.37	0.10	0.10
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	87.50	87.50	0.18	0.18
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.23	81.82	81.82	0.15	0.15
Bryant	ind	0.22	0.22	3.33	3.33	-0.20	-0.20
New Hampshire	AE	0.22	0.22	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.20	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.19	0.19	34.38	34.38	-0.06	-0.06
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	73.53	73.53	0.09	0.09
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Hartford	AE	0.18	0.18	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Rutgers	BE	0.18	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.17	0.17	86.21	86.21	0.12	0.12
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.15	0.15	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.15	0.15	76.47	76.47	0.08	0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.11	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.10	22.58	22.58	-0.06	-0.06
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.02	0.02	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.02	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Lehigh	Pat	5.70	5.70	65.52	65.52	1.77	1.77
Lafayette	Pat	4.24	4.24	63.33	63.33	1.13	1.13
Georgetown	BE	1.72	1.72	68.75	68.75	0.64	0.64
Fairfield	MAAC	1.74	1.74	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.61	62.50	62.50	0.40	0.40
Syracuse	BE	0.23	0.23	87.50	87.50	0.18	0.18
Siena	MAAC	0.23	0.23	81.82	81.82	0.15	0.15
Stony Brook	AE	0.37	0.37	70.00	70.00	0.15	0.15
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.29	71.88	71.88	0.13	0.13
Cornell	Ivy	0.17	0.17	86.21	86.21	0.12	0.12
Harvard	Ivy	0.25	0.25	74.07	74.07	0.12	0.12
Princeton	Ivy	0.25	0.25	70.37	70.37	0.10	0.10
Vermont	AE	0.18	0.18	73.53	73.53	0.09	0.09
Richmond	A10	0.15	0.15	76.47	76.47	0.08	0.08
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Robert Morris	NEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
Maine	AE	0.22	0.22	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.11	71.88	71.88	0.05	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.11	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.02	0.02	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.18	0.18	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.18	0.18	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01