The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Albany page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Albany

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		293.1
Current RPI:		300
Expected SOS:		231
Current SOS:		228
Current Record:		6-20
Expected Record:		8-23
Current Conf Record:		1-10
Expected Conf Record:		3-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-8
Current OOC Record:		5-10
Expected OOC Record:		5-10
Expected OOC RPI:		231
Expected OOC SOS:		176

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
11-20	253.5	0.75%
10-21	266.1	7.02%
9-22	280.3	23.26%
8-23	294.1	36.23%
7-24	306.1	26.09%
6-25	315.3	6.64%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Albany.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-9	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	43-75	L	0%	0.0
11-13	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	H	65-69	L	0%	0.0
11-16	American (306.9)	Pat	A	51-50	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	71-55	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	54-66	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	H	71-66	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	A	72-76	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	65-81	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Siena (34.4)	MAAC	A	54-83	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Pennsylvania (297.7)	Ivy	A	78-60	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Central Connecticut (307.7)	NEC	A	68-70	L	0%	0.0
12-17	Iona (79.9)	MAAC	A	62-75	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	A	56-68	L	0%	0.0
12-30	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Yale (255.8)	Ivy	H	89-68	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	57-62	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	54-71	L	0%	0.0
1-13	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	A	59-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	H	76-69	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	58-79	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	54-63	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	A	61-67	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Hartford (284.9)	AE	H	62-64	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Vermont (145.4)	AE	A	46-64	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	73-78	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Boston University (152.4)	AE	H	53-68	L	0%	0.0
2-9	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	0-0		55%	1.4
2-13	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	A	0-0		56%	1.8
2-19	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	0-0		34%	-4.5
2-24	Maine (154.9)	AE	A	0-0		19%	-9.6
2-28	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	0-0		35%	-4.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Albany's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Albany's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Albany.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Albany	AE	26.34	26.31	22.81	26.38	-14.33	-12.43
Boston University	AE	4.40	4.04	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.37
Vermont	AE	4.36	4.05	65.22	64.93	1.33	1.21
Binghamton	AE	4.27	4.01	33.33	34.08	-1.42	-1.28
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.68	4.12	9.09	10.70	-2.19	-3.24
Maine	AE	2.54	4.04	61.90	59.65	0.60	0.78
New Hampshire	AE	2.50	4.03	31.58	35.49	-0.92	-1.17
Hartford	AE	2.48	4.04	27.27	28.76	-1.13	-1.72
Stony Brook	AE	2.46	4.01	66.67	67.62	0.82	1.41
Detroit	Horz	2.10	1.72	54.55	57.00	0.19	0.24
Yale	Ivy	2.10	1.78	38.10	39.43	-0.50	-0.38
Robert Morris	NEC	2.09	1.74	69.57	66.16	0.82	0.56
Iona	MAAC	2.08	1.72	70.83	69.76	0.87	0.68
Syracuse	BE	2.05	1.72	95.65	91.09	1.87	1.42
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.01	1.75	36.36	39.09	-0.55	-0.38
American	Pat	2.01	1.70	31.82	33.54	-0.73	-0.56
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.01	1.72	17.65	20.68	-1.30	-1.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.01	1.67	50.00	47.36	0.00	-0.09
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.00	1.67	0.00	5.32	-2.00	-1.49
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.00	1.69	69.57	72.98	0.78	0.78
Siena	MAAC	2.00	1.66	82.61	80.60	1.30	1.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.96	1.64	42.86	45.46	-0.28	-0.15
North Carolina	ACC	1.96	1.64	54.55	50.36	0.18	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	1.92	1.61	45.00	42.49	-0.19	-0.24
Marist	MAAC	0.45	0.38	4.17	4.73	-0.41	-0.35
Colgate	Pat	0.30	0.31	27.27	31.08	-0.14	-0.12
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.27	69.57	71.78	0.11	0.12
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.28	0.24	39.13	47.65	-0.06	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.28	0.30	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.27	0.22	23.81	27.31	-0.14	-0.10
Manhattan	MAAC	0.24	0.19	33.33	35.33	-0.08	-0.06
Rider	MAAC	0.24	0.22	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.22	0.28	15.79	17.64	-0.15	-0.18
Monmouth	NEC	0.22	0.14	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.21	0.28	40.00	39.13	-0.04	-0.06
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.21	0.22	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.21	0.19	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.21	0.17	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.20	0.19	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.20	0.13	33.33	33.00	-0.07	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.20	0.16	39.13	41.53	-0.04	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.20	0.16	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.18	0.23	73.68	75.41	0.09	0.12
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.14	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.18	0.14	34.78	32.23	-0.05	-0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.17	0.14	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.17	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.14	66.67	65.54	0.06	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.17	0.14	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.17	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.17	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.08
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.14	22.22	27.56	-0.09	-0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.16	0.16	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.14	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.16	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.16	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.13	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.05
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.19	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.13
Rutgers	BE	0.16	0.10	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.14	0.14	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.12	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.13	0.14	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.13	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.13	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.13	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.10
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.07	-0.06
Fordham	A10	0.13	0.17	9.52	8.87	-0.10	-0.14
South Alabama	SB	0.13	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.13	0.08	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.04
Bryant	ind	0.13	0.11	0.00	4.18	-0.13	-0.10
Kansas St.	B12	0.13	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.08	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.13	0.13	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.13	0.08	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.12	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.08	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.13	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.06
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.11	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.12	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.12	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.10	-0.09
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.08	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.05	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.05	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.11	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.17	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.04	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.08	0.14	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.08
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.05	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.05	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.05	75.00	73.72	0.04	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.06	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.08	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.03	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.08	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.05	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.08	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.10	11.11	20.93	-0.06	-0.06
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	77.27	73.36	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.08	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.05	20.00	24.04	-0.05	-0.03
Towson	CAA	0.08	0.08	22.73	23.47	-0.04	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.08	0.05	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.05	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.05	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.04	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.04	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.04	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.04	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.04	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.04	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.04	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.04	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.04	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.04	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.04	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.04	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.04	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.05	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	39.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	46.80	-0.01	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.04	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.04	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.04	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.04	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.04	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.04	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.04	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.04	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.05	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.04	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.04	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.04	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.01	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.04	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.02	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.04	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.04	0.02	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.02	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.04	0.02	19.05	22.94	-0.02	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.04	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.04	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.04	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.04	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.04	0.02	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.04	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.04	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.03	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.04	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.04	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.04	0.05	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.04	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.04	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.05	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.02	86.96	85.47	0.00	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.00	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Albany	AE	26.34	26.31	22.81	26.38	-14.33	-12.43
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.68	4.12	9.09	10.70	-2.19	-3.24
Vermont	AE	4.36	4.05	65.22	64.93	1.33	1.21
Hartford	AE	2.48	4.04	27.27	28.76	-1.13	-1.72
Boston University	AE	4.40	4.04	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.37
Maine	AE	2.54	4.04	61.90	59.65	0.60	0.78
New Hampshire	AE	2.50	4.03	31.58	35.49	-0.92	-1.17
Binghamton	AE	4.27	4.01	33.33	34.08	-1.42	-1.28
Stony Brook	AE	2.46	4.01	66.67	67.62	0.82	1.41
Yale	Ivy	2.10	1.78	38.10	39.43	-0.50	-0.38
Central Connecticut	NEC	2.01	1.75	36.36	39.09	-0.55	-0.38
Robert Morris	NEC	2.09	1.74	69.57	66.16	0.82	0.56
Detroit	Horz	2.10	1.72	54.55	57.00	0.19	0.24
Syracuse	BE	2.05	1.72	95.65	91.09	1.87	1.42
Iona	MAAC	2.08	1.72	70.83	69.76	0.87	0.68
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.01	1.72	17.65	20.68	-1.30	-1.01
American	Pat	2.01	1.70	31.82	33.54	-0.73	-0.56
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.00	1.69	69.57	72.98	0.78	0.78
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.01	1.67	50.00	47.36	0.00	-0.09
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.00	1.67	0.00	5.32	-2.00	-1.49
Siena	MAAC	2.00	1.66	82.61	80.60	1.30	1.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	1.96	1.64	42.86	45.46	-0.28	-0.15
North Carolina	ACC	1.96	1.64	54.55	50.36	0.18	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	1.92	1.61	45.00	42.49	-0.19	-0.24
Marist	MAAC	0.45	0.38	4.17	4.73	-0.41	-0.35
Colgate	Pat	0.30	0.31	27.27	31.08	-0.14	-0.12
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.28	0.30	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.21	0.28	40.00	39.13	-0.04	-0.06
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.22	0.28	15.79	17.64	-0.15	-0.18
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.29	0.27	69.57	71.78	0.11	0.12
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.28	0.24	39.13	47.65	-0.06	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.18	0.23	73.68	75.41	0.09	0.12
Brown	Ivy	0.27	0.22	23.81	27.31	-0.14	-0.10
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.21	0.22	52.17	53.84	0.01	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.24	0.22	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.16	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.21	0.19	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.16	0.19	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.13
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.20	0.19	43.48	43.78	-0.03	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.24	0.19	33.33	35.33	-0.08	-0.06
Holy Cross	Pat	0.17	0.17	26.09	31.05	-0.08	-0.06
Fordham	A10	0.13	0.17	9.52	8.87	-0.10	-0.14
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.17	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.17	0.17	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.21	0.17	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.16	0.16	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.17	0.16	26.09	26.91	-0.08	-0.08
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.16	0.16	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.06
Long Island	NEC	0.20	0.16	39.13	41.53	-0.04	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.20	0.16	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.13	0.14	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.13	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.10
Lehigh	Pat	0.17	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.18	0.14	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.14	0.14	60.87	59.16	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.17	0.14	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.17	0.14	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.17	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.18	0.14	34.78	32.23	-0.05	-0.05
Wagner	NEC	0.08	0.14	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.08
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.14	66.67	65.54	0.06	0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.16	0.14	22.22	27.56	-0.09	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.22	0.14	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.14	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.13	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.13	0.13	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.06
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.20	0.13	33.33	33.00	-0.07	-0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.16	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.12	0.13	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.12	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.13	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.07	-0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.09	0.11	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.13	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.11	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.13	0.11	0.00	4.18	-0.13	-0.10
Toledo	MAC	0.12	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.10	-0.09
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.08	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.10	11.11	20.93	-0.06	-0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.16	0.10	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.04	-0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.13	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.13	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.08	0.05
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.08	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.13	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.04	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.13	0.08	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.12	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.08	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.08	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.13	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.12	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.04	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.13	0.08	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.08	0.08	22.73	23.47	-0.04	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	77.27	73.36	0.04	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.04	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.04	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.04	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.09	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.05	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.08	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.06	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.08	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.03	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.08	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.08	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.04	0.05	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.05	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.05	20.00	24.04	-0.05	-0.03
California	P10	0.08	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.05	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.05	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	39.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	46.80	-0.01	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.05	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.05	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.04	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.05	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.04	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.04	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.05	75.00	73.72	0.04	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.05	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.04	0.05	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.08	0.05	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.05	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.08	0.05	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.04	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.04	0.05	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.04	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.04	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.04	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.04	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.04	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.04	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.04	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.00	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.04	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.02	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.04	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.04	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.04	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.04	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.04	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.04	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.04	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.04	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.04	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.04	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.04	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.04	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.04	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.04	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.04	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.04	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.04	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.04	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.01	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.04	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.02	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.04	0.02	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.02	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.04	0.02	19.05	22.94	-0.02	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.04	0.02	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.02	86.96	85.47	0.00	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Syracuse	BE	2.05	1.72	95.65	91.09	1.87	1.42
Vermont	AE	4.36	4.05	65.22	64.93	1.33	1.21
Siena	MAAC	2.00	1.66	82.61	80.60	1.30	1.02
Iona	MAAC	2.08	1.72	70.83	69.76	0.87	0.68
Stony Brook	AE	2.46	4.01	66.67	67.62	0.82	1.41