Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Through games of Mar 13, 2010.

Colonial Athletic Association

Expected RPI:		12
Current RPI:		12
Current OOC Record:		71-71 (0.5000)
Expected OOC Record:		71-71 (0.5000)
Expected OOC RPI:		11
Expected OOC SOS:		5

Expected				RPI		SOS		SOS Rank		Current		Projected		Conf Records				1-25		26-50		51-100		101-200		200+		Non Conf Forecasts						Current
RPI Rank		Team		Forecast		Forecast		Forecast		W-L		W-L		Current		Projected		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		W-L		RPI		SOS		RPI
26.7		Old Dominion		0.6053		0.5385		89		26-8		26-8		18-3		18-3		1-2		0-1		7-4		5-1		13-0		8-5		43		16		27
59.4		William & Mary		0.5735		0.5284		109		21-10		21-10		14-7		14-7		2-0		1-3		3-4		6-0		9-3		7-3		18		28		59
66.0		Virginia Commonwealth		0.5673		0.5125		136		22-9		22-9		13-8		13-8		1-0		2-2		3-3		4-3		12-1		9-1		17		95		66
74.5		Northeastern		0.5595		0.5366		93		20-12		20-12		15-5		15-5		0-0		3-3		3-3		4-6		10-0		5-7		103		11		74
144.9		Hofstra		0.5145		0.5013		159		18-14		18-14		11-9		11-9		0-1		0-1		2-8		2-4		14-0		7-5		125		125		145
146.3		Drexel		0.5140		0.5114		137		16-16		16-16		11-8		11-8		0-2		0-3		3-3		3-5		10-3		5-8		170		92		146
157.5		George Mason		0.5076		0.4992		164		17-14		17-14		12-7		12-7		0-1		1-2		1-6		3-3		12-2		5-7		240		198		157
236.8		NC Wilmington		0.4557		0.5096		144		9-22		9-22		5-14		5-14		0-1		0-2		1-7		3-8		5-4		4-8		213		100		236
239.0		Delaware		0.4549		0.5399		84		7-24		7-24		3-16		3-16		0-2		0-3		0-8		2-6		5-5		4-8		155		27		239
242.3		James Madison		0.4524		0.4773		211		13-20		13-20		5-15		5-15		0-1		0-2		2-5		2-6		9-6		8-5		193		341		241
248.3		Georgia St.		0.4485		0.4904		182		11-20		11-20		5-14		5-14		0-0		0-3		0-7		2-5		9-5		6-6		205		257		248
264.2		Towson		0.4377		0.4825		204		10-21		10-21		7-13		7-13		0-0		0-3		1-3		1-10		8-5		3-8		304		252		264

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI:

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