The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Alabama page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Alabama

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		106.5
Current RPI:		105
Expected SOS:		59
Current SOS:		59
Current Record:		13-10
Expected Record:		16-14
Current Conf Record:		3-6
Expected Conf Record:		6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-0
Current OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC RPI:		90
Expected OOC SOS:		113

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-10	64.8	0.14%
19-11	73.0	1.93%
18-12	83.1	11.35%
17-13	95.1	27.52%
16-14	108.9	33.72%
15-15	124.9	19.44%
14-16	141.8	5.36%
13-17	158.4	0.53%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	H	67-71	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	H	86-69	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Providence (98.2)	BE	H	84-75	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Baylor (23.2)	B12	N	79-76	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	N	51-60	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Michigan (143.6)	B10	N	68-66	W	100%	0.0
12-2	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	73-51	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	H	74-46	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Purdue (14.9)	B10	H	65-73	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Samford (257.2)	SC	H	60-45	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	N	74-87	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	H	90-71	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	H	77-65	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	67-50	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	66-49	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	H	64-65	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	59-71	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	H	56-63	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	H	62-57	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	H	57-38	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	A	57-58	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Florida (50.5)	SEC	H	65-66	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	A	0-0		12%	-12.8
2-13	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	H	0-0		79%	8.9
2-20	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	0-0		44%	-1.7
2-24	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	A	0-0		24%	-7.7
2-27	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	H	0-0		48%	-0.5
3-3	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	0-0		36%	-3.8
3-6	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	H	0-0		81%	9.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Alabama's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Alabama's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Alabama.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama	SEC	26.22	26.12	48.57	48.66	-0.75	-0.70
Louisiana St.	SEC	4.64	3.97	42.86	37.90	-0.66	-0.96
Tennessee	SEC	2.51	2.25	80.95	74.82	1.56	1.12
Auburn	SEC	2.51	3.97	42.86	41.40	-0.36	-0.68
Florida	SEC	2.51	2.25	72.73	66.65	1.14	0.75
Mississippi	SEC	2.51	3.97	72.73	72.28	1.14	1.77
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.51	3.94	72.73	70.57	1.14	1.62
Arkansas	SEC	2.46	3.97	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.19
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.46	2.27	75.00	72.24	1.23	1.01
Mercer	ASun	2.37	1.81	45.00	44.04	-0.24	-0.22
Baylor	B12	2.32	1.81	80.00	75.33	1.39	0.91
Florida St.	ACC	2.32	1.78	72.73	68.44	1.06	0.66
Kansas St.	B12	2.27	1.75	80.95	78.87	1.41	1.01
Purdue	B10	2.27	1.72	85.71	81.17	1.62	1.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.27	1.72	38.10	37.57	-0.54	-0.43
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.23	1.70	50.00	51.13	0.00	0.04
North Florida	ASun	2.23	1.73	45.45	46.93	-0.20	-0.11
Providence	BE	2.23	1.70	54.55	48.23	0.20	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.23	1.70	20.83	24.84	-1.30	-0.85
Toledo	MAC	2.23	1.70	9.09	10.44	-1.82	-1.34
Michigan	B10	2.22	1.69	47.62	45.57	-0.11	-0.15
Cornell	Ivy	2.22	1.69	85.00	85.06	1.55	1.19
Samford	SC	2.17	1.67	30.00	32.23	-0.87	-0.59
South Carolina	SEC	0.39	2.25	59.09	54.09	0.07	0.18
Kentucky	SEC	0.34	2.22	95.65	88.69	0.31	1.72
Georgia	SEC	0.29	2.22	47.62	45.05	-0.01	-0.22
Kansas	B12	0.25	0.17	95.65	91.32	0.23	0.14
Stetson	ASun	0.25	0.17	14.29	15.65	-0.18	-0.12
Western Kentucky	SB	0.24	0.20	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.24	0.20	56.52	59.89	0.03	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.24	0.14	69.57	67.93	0.09	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.24	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.07	0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.14	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.13
Lipscomb	ASun	0.20	0.15	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.20	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.11	0.07
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.22	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.05
DePaul	BE	0.20	0.14	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.20	0.20	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.14	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.20	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.06
Troy	SB	0.20	0.14	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	39.42	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.09	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.19	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.19	0.20	28.57	36.52	-0.08	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.14	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.14	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.15	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.12	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.04
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.08
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.09	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.12	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.15	0.11	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.15	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.08
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.15	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.15	0.08	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.16	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.07
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.15	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.07
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.15	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.15	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.09
Vermont	AE	0.15	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.05	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.14	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.14	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.14	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.06
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.14	0.12	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.17	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.09
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.14	0.11	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.13	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.12	-0.07
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.10	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.04
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.14	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.09	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.06
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.08	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.12	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.11	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.14	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.08
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.12	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.06
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.07
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.11	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.05	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.11	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.11	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.08	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.06	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.12	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.08	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.00	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.00	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.00	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama	SEC	26.22	26.12	48.57	48.66	-0.75	-0.70
Arkansas	SEC	2.46	3.97	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.19
Louisiana St.	SEC	4.64	3.97	42.86	37.90	-0.66	-0.96
Mississippi	SEC	2.51	3.97	72.73	72.28	1.14	1.77
Auburn	SEC	2.51	3.97	42.86	41.40	-0.36	-0.68
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.51	3.94	72.73	70.57	1.14	1.62
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.46	2.27	75.00	72.24	1.23	1.01
Florida	SEC	2.51	2.25	72.73	66.65	1.14	0.75
South Carolina	SEC	0.39	2.25	59.09	54.09	0.07	0.18
Tennessee	SEC	2.51	2.25	80.95	74.82	1.56	1.12
Kentucky	SEC	0.34	2.22	95.65	88.69	0.31	1.72
Georgia	SEC	0.29	2.22	47.62	45.05	-0.01	-0.22
Mercer	ASun	2.37	1.81	45.00	44.04	-0.24	-0.22
Baylor	B12	2.32	1.81	80.00	75.33	1.39	0.91
Florida St.	ACC	2.32	1.78	72.73	68.44	1.06	0.66
Kansas St.	B12	2.27	1.75	80.95	78.87	1.41	1.01
North Florida	ASun	2.23	1.73	45.45	46.93	-0.20	-0.11
Purdue	B10	2.27	1.72	85.71	81.17	1.62	1.07
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.27	1.72	38.10	37.57	-0.54	-0.43
Providence	BE	2.23	1.70	54.55	48.23	0.20	-0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	2.23	1.70	50.00	51.13	0.00	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.23	1.70	20.83	24.84	-1.30	-0.85
Toledo	MAC	2.23	1.70	9.09	10.44	-1.82	-1.34
Cornell	Ivy	2.22	1.69	85.00	85.06	1.55	1.19
Michigan	B10	2.22	1.69	47.62	45.57	-0.11	-0.15
Samford	SC	2.17	1.67	30.00	32.23	-0.87	-0.59
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.22	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.24	0.20	56.52	59.89	0.03	0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.20	0.20	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.24	0.20	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.19	0.20	28.57	36.52	-0.08	-0.05
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.20	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.25	0.17	14.29	15.65	-0.18	-0.12
Kansas	B12	0.25	0.17	95.65	91.32	0.23	0.14
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.17	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.09
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.16	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.07
Lipscomb	ASun	0.20	0.15	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Troy	SB	0.20	0.14	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.14	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.19	0.14	43.48	39.42	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.20	0.14	0.00	5.15	-0.20	-0.13
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.14	26.32	31.51	-0.09	-0.05
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.14	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.14	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.08
Northwestern	B10	0.24	0.14	69.57	67.93	0.09	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.24	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.07	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.14	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.07
Centenary	Sum	0.14	0.14	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.15	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.08
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.05
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.14	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.06
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.14	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.19	0.14	60.87	56.49	0.04	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.20	0.14	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.14	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.19	0.14	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.12	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.12	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.14	0.12	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.12	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.12	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.12	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.15	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.07
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.11	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.15	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.20	0.11	78.26	78.92	0.11	0.07
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.14	0.11	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.15	0.11	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.15	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.09
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.11	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.07
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.11	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.11	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.11	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.11	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.05
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.09	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.15	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.15	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.00	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.15	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.15	-0.08
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.09	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.05
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.04
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.10	0.09	36.36	38.12	-0.03	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.15	0.08	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.15	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.03	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.08	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.15	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.05	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.08	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.08	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.08	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.13	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.12	-0.07
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.10	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.10	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.05	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.06	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.04	0.05	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00