The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Alabama page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Alabama

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		102.0
Current RPI:		102
Expected SOS:		46
Current SOS:		46
Current Record:		17-15
Expected Record:		17-15
Current Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC Record:		10-4
Expected OOC RPI:		86
Expected OOC SOS:		93

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-15		102.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Cornell (46.0)	Ivy	H	67-71	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Jackson St. (199.0)	SWAC	H	86-69	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Providence (141.0)	BE	H	84-75	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Baylor (8.0)	B12	N	79-76	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Florida St. (42.0)	ACC	N	51-60	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Michigan (132.0)	B10	N	68-66	W	100%	0.0
12-2	North Florida (236.0)	ASun	H	73-51	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Louisiana Monroe (273.0)	SB	H	74-46	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Purdue (16.0)	B10	H	65-73	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Samford (262.0)	SC	H	60-45	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Kansas St. (6.0)	B12	N	74-87	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	H	90-71	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	77-65	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	A	67-50	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	A	66-49	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	H	64-65	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	A	59-71	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Tennessee (13.0)	SEC	H	56-63	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Mississippi St. (55.0)	SEC	H	62-57	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	H	57-38	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	A	57-58	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Florida (56.0)	SEC	H	65-66	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	A	67-74	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	55-66	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	H	73-68	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	A	70-76	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Mississippi St. (55.0)	SEC	A	66-74	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	H	73-76	L	0%	0.0
3-3	South Carolina (93.0)	SEC	A	79-70	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	H	73-61	W	100%	0.0
3-11	South Carolina (93.0)	SEC	N	68-63	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	N	67-73	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Alabama's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Alabama's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Alabama.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama	SEC	26.14	26.14	47.92	47.92	-1.09	-1.09
Mississippi St.	SEC	3.81	3.81	68.75	68.75	1.43	1.43
Arkansas	SEC	3.76	3.76	43.33	43.33	-0.50	-0.50
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.76	3.76	37.93	37.93	-0.91	-0.91
Auburn	SEC	3.76	3.76	44.83	44.83	-0.39	-0.39
Mississippi	SEC	3.76	3.76	65.52	65.52	1.17	1.17
Kentucky	SEC	3.74	3.74	93.75	93.75	3.27	3.27
South Carolina	SEC	3.68	3.68	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
Tennessee	SEC	2.32	2.32	75.00	75.00	1.16	1.16
Florida	SEC	2.27	2.27	62.50	62.50	0.57	0.57
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.27	2.27	73.33	73.33	1.06	1.06
Georgia	SEC	2.22	2.22	43.33	43.33	-0.30	-0.30
Baylor	B12	1.74	1.74	80.00	80.00	1.04	1.04
Mercer	ASun	1.69	1.69	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Kansas St.	B12	1.66	1.66	77.42	77.42	0.91	0.91
Florida St.	ACC	1.66	1.66	70.00	70.00	0.66	0.66
Louisiana Monroe	SB	1.61	1.61	35.71	35.71	-0.46	-0.46
North Florida	ASun	1.61	1.61	41.38	41.38	-0.28	-0.28
Purdue	B10	1.61	1.61	83.87	83.87	1.09	1.09
Toledo	MAC	1.59	1.59	10.00	10.00	-1.27	-1.27
Cornell	Ivy	1.59	1.59	85.71	85.71	1.13	1.13
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.59	1.59	62.07	62.07	0.38	0.38
Providence	BE	1.59	1.59	40.00	40.00	-0.32	-0.32
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.59	1.59	29.03	29.03	-0.67	-0.67
Michigan	B10	1.59	1.59	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Samford	SC	1.56	1.56	29.63	29.63	-0.64	-0.64
Jacksonville	ASun	0.25	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.20	0.20	34.78	34.78	-0.06	-0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.20	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.20	0.20	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.20	0.20	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.20	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.17	94.12	94.12	0.15	0.15
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.15	0.15	18.52	18.52	-0.10	-0.10
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.15	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.15	79.41	79.41	0.09	0.09
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.15	31.25	31.25	-0.06	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	25.93	25.93	-0.06	-0.06
Troy	SB	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	6.45	6.45	-0.11	-0.11
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.12	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.12	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.12	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.12	0.12	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Louisville	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.11	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.09	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.08	0.08	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.07	0.07	7.41	7.41	-0.06	-0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.02	0.02	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.02	0.02	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.02	0.02	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama	SEC	26.14	26.14	47.92	47.92	-1.09	-1.09
Mississippi St.	SEC	3.81	3.81	68.75	68.75	1.43	1.43
Arkansas	SEC	3.76	3.76	43.33	43.33	-0.50	-0.50
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.76	3.76	37.93	37.93	-0.91	-0.91
Auburn	SEC	3.76	3.76	44.83	44.83	-0.39	-0.39
Mississippi	SEC	3.76	3.76	65.52	65.52	1.17	1.17
Kentucky	SEC	3.74	3.74	93.75	93.75	3.27	3.27
South Carolina	SEC	3.68	3.68	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
Tennessee	SEC	2.32	2.32	75.00	75.00	1.16	1.16
Florida	SEC	2.27	2.27	62.50	62.50	0.57	0.57
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.27	2.27	73.33	73.33	1.06	1.06
Georgia	SEC	2.22	2.22	43.33	43.33	-0.30	-0.30
Baylor	B12	1.74	1.74	80.00	80.00	1.04	1.04
Mercer	ASun	1.69	1.69	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Kansas St.	B12	1.66	1.66	77.42	77.42	0.91	0.91
Florida St.	ACC	1.66	1.66	70.00	70.00	0.66	0.66
Louisiana Monroe	SB	1.61	1.61	35.71	35.71	-0.46	-0.46
North Florida	ASun	1.61	1.61	41.38	41.38	-0.28	-0.28
Purdue	B10	1.61	1.61	83.87	83.87	1.09	1.09
Toledo	MAC	1.59	1.59	10.00	10.00	-1.27	-1.27
Cornell	Ivy	1.59	1.59	85.71	85.71	1.13	1.13
Jackson St.	SWAC	1.59	1.59	62.07	62.07	0.38	0.38
Providence	BE	1.59	1.59	40.00	40.00	-0.32	-0.32
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.59	1.59	29.03	29.03	-0.67	-0.67
Michigan	B10	1.59	1.59	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Samford	SC	1.56	1.56	29.63	29.63	-0.64	-0.64
Jacksonville	ASun	0.25	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.20	0.20	34.78	34.78	-0.06	-0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.20	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.20	0.20	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.20	0.20	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.20	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.17	94.12	94.12	0.15	0.15
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.15	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.15	0.15	18.52	18.52	-0.10	-0.10
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.15	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.15	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.15	79.41	79.41	0.09	0.09
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.15	31.25	31.25	-0.06	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.15	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	25.93	25.93	-0.06	-0.06
Troy	SB	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	6.45	6.45	-0.11	-0.11
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.13	0.13	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.12	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.12	0.12	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.12	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.12	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.12	0.12	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Louisville	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.11	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.10	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.09	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.08	0.08	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.07	0.07	7.41	7.41	-0.06	-0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Hartford	AE	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01