The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Nevada page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Nevada

Conference:		WAC
Expected RPI:		73.0
Current RPI:		73
Expected SOS:		75
Current SOS:		75
Current Record:		19-12
Expected Record:		19-12
Current Conf Record:		12-6
Expected Conf Record:		12-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-1
Current OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC RPI:		98
Expected OOC SOS:		47

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-12		73.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Nevada.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Montana St. (200.0)	BSky	H	75-61	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	A	75-88	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	H	112-99	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Virginia Commonwealth (66.0)	CAA	A	76-85	L	0%	0.0
11-29	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	A	73-80	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Pacific (128.0)	BW	A	58-61	L	0%	0.0
12-12	South Dakota St. (234.0)	Sum	H	92-72	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Eastern Washington (279.0)	BSky	H	73-70	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Wagner (332.0)	NEC	H	74-61	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Brigham Young (23.0)	MWC	N	104-110	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	N	99-68	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Portland (79.0)	WCC	H	78-69	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	A	71-77	L	0%	0.0
1-4	New Mexico St. (51.0)	WAC	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
1-9	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	H	96-67	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Utah St. (30.0)	WAC	H	72-79	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	H	76-68	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	A	88-82	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Fresno St. (190.0)	WAC	A	77-87	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Hawaii (253.0)	WAC	H	66-60	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Utah St. (30.0)	WAC	A	65-76	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	A	67-66	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Boise St. (203.0)	WAC	H	88-80	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Fresno St. (190.0)	WAC	H	74-70	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Missouri St. (90.0)	MVC	A	60-62	L	0%	0.0
2-25	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	A	83-79	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Hawaii (253.0)	WAC	A	63-74	L	0%	0.0
3-4	New Mexico St. (51.0)	WAC	H	100-92	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	H	79-68	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Idaho (173.0)	WAC	H	87-71	W	100%	0.0
3-12	New Mexico St. (51.0)	WAC	H	79-80	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Nevada's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Nevada's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Nevada.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Nevada	WAC	26.44	26.44	61.98	61.98	6.34	6.34
New Mexico St.	WAC	5.75	5.75	68.97	68.97	2.18	2.18
Idaho	WAC	5.69	5.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	4.27	4.27	77.42	77.42	2.34	2.34
Louisiana Tech	WAC	4.19	4.19	70.97	70.97	1.76	1.76
San Jose St.	WAC	4.19	4.19	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Boise St.	WAC	4.17	4.17	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Fresno St.	WAC	4.16	4.16	43.33	43.33	-0.55	-0.55
Hawaii	WAC	4.10	4.10	29.63	29.63	-1.67	-1.67
Brigham Young	MWC	1.90	1.90	84.38	84.38	1.31	1.31
Eastern Washington	BSky	1.86	1.86	25.93	25.93	-0.90	-0.90
Portland	WCC	1.81	1.81	67.86	67.86	0.65	0.65
Pacific	BW	1.79	1.79	63.33	63.33	0.48	0.48
Montana St.	BSky	1.78	1.78	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.74	1.74	74.19	74.19	0.84	0.84
Houston	CUSA	1.69	1.69	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
Tulsa	CUSA	1.66	1.66	68.75	68.75	0.62	0.62
Missouri St.	MVC	1.64	1.64	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
Wagner	NEC	1.64	1.64	16.67	16.67	-1.09	-1.09
North Carolina	ACC	1.61	1.61	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	1.61	1.61	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Seattle	ind	0.36	0.36	54.84	54.84	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.35	0.35	87.88	87.88	0.27	0.27
St. Mary's	WCC	0.34	0.34	83.33	83.33	0.23	0.23
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.32	0.32	81.25	81.25	0.20	0.20
Weber St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.26	0.26	24.14	24.14	-0.13	-0.13
Utah	MWC	0.26	0.26	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.24	0.24	18.52	18.52	-0.15	-0.15
Santa Clara	WCC	0.24	0.24	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.24	0.24	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Portland St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	25.00	25.00	-0.11	-0.11
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.23	0.23	76.67	76.67	0.12	0.12
Montana	BSky	0.22	0.22	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.08
UC Irvine	BW	0.22	0.22	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.21	0.21	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.21	0.21	20.69	20.69	-0.12	-0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Texas Christian	MWC	0.20	0.20	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.19	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.19	0.19	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.12
Wyoming	MWC	0.18	0.18	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.18	0.18	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.17	0.17	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.17	0.17	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.16	0.16	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.15	0.15	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.15	0.15	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.14	0.14	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.13	0.13	67.86	67.86	0.05	0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Marshall	CUSA	0.12	0.12	68.97	68.97	0.05	0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.11	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.11	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	25.93	25.93	-0.05	-0.05
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.10	18.18	18.18	-0.06	-0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.02	0.02	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Nevada	WAC	26.44	26.44	61.98	61.98	6.34	6.34
New Mexico St.	WAC	5.75	5.75	68.97	68.97	2.18	2.18
Idaho	WAC	5.69	5.69	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	4.27	4.27	77.42	77.42	2.34	2.34
Louisiana Tech	WAC	4.19	4.19	70.97	70.97	1.76	1.76
San Jose St.	WAC	4.19	4.19	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Boise St.	WAC	4.17	4.17	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Fresno St.	WAC	4.16	4.16	43.33	43.33	-0.55	-0.55
Hawaii	WAC	4.10	4.10	29.63	29.63	-1.67	-1.67
Brigham Young	MWC	1.90	1.90	84.38	84.38	1.31	1.31
Eastern Washington	BSky	1.86	1.86	25.93	25.93	-0.90	-0.90
Portland	WCC	1.81	1.81	67.86	67.86	0.65	0.65
Pacific	BW	1.79	1.79	63.33	63.33	0.48	0.48
Montana St.	BSky	1.78	1.78	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.74	1.74	74.19	74.19	0.84	0.84
Houston	CUSA	1.69	1.69	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
Tulsa	CUSA	1.66	1.66	68.75	68.75	0.62	0.62
Missouri St.	MVC	1.64	1.64	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
Wagner	NEC	1.64	1.64	16.67	16.67	-1.09	-1.09
North Carolina	ACC	1.61	1.61	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	1.61	1.61	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Seattle	ind	0.36	0.36	54.84	54.84	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.35	0.35	87.88	87.88	0.27	0.27
St. Mary's	WCC	0.34	0.34	83.33	83.33	0.23	0.23
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.32	0.32	81.25	81.25	0.20	0.20
Weber St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.26	0.26	24.14	24.14	-0.13	-0.13
Utah	MWC	0.26	0.26	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.24	0.24	18.52	18.52	-0.15	-0.15
Santa Clara	WCC	0.24	0.24	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.24	0.24	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Portland St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	36.67	36.67	-0.06	-0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.23	0.23	25.00	25.00	-0.11	-0.11
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.23	0.23	76.67	76.67	0.12	0.12
Montana	BSky	0.22	0.22	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.08
UC Irvine	BW	0.22	0.22	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.21	0.21	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.21	0.21	20.69	20.69	-0.12	-0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Texas Christian	MWC	0.20	0.20	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.19	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.19	0.19	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.12
Wyoming	MWC	0.18	0.18	27.59	27.59	-0.08	-0.08
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.18	0.18	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.17	0.17	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.17	0.17	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.16	0.16	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.15	0.15	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.15	0.15	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.14	0.14	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.13	0.13	67.86	67.86	0.05	0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.13	0.13	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Marshall	CUSA	0.12	0.12	68.97	68.97	0.05	0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.12	0.12	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.11	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
UC Riverside	BW	0.11	0.11	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	25.93	25.93	-0.05	-0.05
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.10	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.10	18.18	18.18	-0.06	-0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.09	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.02	0.02	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Nevada	WAC	26.44	26.44	61.98	61.98	6.34	6.34
Utah St.	WAC	4.27	4.27	77.42	77.42	2.34	2.34
New Mexico St.	WAC	5.75	5.75	68.97	68.97	2.18	2.18
Louisiana Tech	WAC	4.19	4.19	70.97	70.97	1.76	1.76
Brigham Young	MWC	1.90	1.90	84.38	84.38	1.31	1.31
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.74	1.74	74.19	74.19	0.84	0.84
Portland	WCC	1.81	1.81	67.86	67.86	0.65	0.65
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Tulsa	CUSA	1.66	1.66	68.75	68.75	0.62	0.62
Pacific	BW	1.79	1.79	63.33	63.33	0.48	0.48
Missouri St.	MVC	1.64	1.64	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
New Mexico	MWC	0.35	0.35	87.88	87.88	0.27	0.27
St. Mary's	WCC	0.34	0.34	83.33	83.33	0.23	0.23
Houston	CUSA	1.69	1.69	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.32	0.32	81.25	81.25	0.20	0.20
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.23	0.23	76.67	76.67	0.12	0.12
San Diego St.	MWC	0.20	0.20	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Montana	BSky	0.22	0.22	68.97	68.97	0.08	0.08
Weber St.	BSky	0.26	0.26	64.29	64.29	0.08	0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.15	0.15	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.13	0.13	67.86	67.86	0.05	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.12	0.12	68.97	68.97	0.05	0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Washington	P10	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04