The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Stanford page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Stanford

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		174.3
Current RPI:		157
Expected SOS:		93
Current SOS:		83
Current Record:		10-13
Expected Record:		13-17
Current Conf Record:		4-7
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-1
Current OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		189
Expected OOC SOS:		165

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-13	95.7	0.12%
16-14	115.0	2.16%
15-15	135.3	8.95%
14-16	155.5	21.00%
13-17	173.7	29.53%
12-18	190.9	24.78%
11-19	208.1	11.59%
10-20	224.5	1.86%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stanford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	San Diego (226.5)	WCC	A	64-77	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Cal Poly (272.6)	BW	H	70-53	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Oral Roberts (122.6)	Sum	H	81-83	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Florida A&M (329.6)	MEAC	H	99-69	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Virginia (91.1)	ACC	N	57-52	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Kentucky (5.9)	SEC	N	65-73	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Portland St. (210.0)	BSky	H	83-64	W	100%	0.0
12-13	UC Davis (285.6)	BW	H	85-69	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	H	70-71	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Northwestern (89.5)	B10	A	62-70	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Texas Tech (54.7)	B12	A	87-100	L	0%	0.0
12-29	James Madison (252.8)	CAA	H	80-76	W	100%	0.0
1-2	California (24.0)	P10	A	66-92	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Southern California (80.3)	P10	H	54-53	W	100%	0.0
1-9	UCLA (144.8)	P10	H	70-59	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Washington (50.5)	P10	A	61-94	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Washington St. (111.1)	P10	A	73-77	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Oregon St. (204.2)	P10	H	59-35	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Oregon (153.5)	P10	H	84-69	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Arizona (81.8)	P10	A	68-76	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Arizona St. (70.9)	P10	A	70-88	L	0%	0.0
2-4	UCLA (144.8)	P10	A	73-77	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Southern California (80.3)	P10	A	49-54	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Washington St. (111.1)	P10	H	0-0		61%	2.9
2-13	Washington (50.5)	P10	H	0-0		34%	-4.5
2-18	Oregon (153.5)	P10	A	0-0		39%	-3.1
2-20	Oregon St. (204.2)	P10	A	0-0		48%	-0.7
2-25	Arizona St. (70.9)	P10	H	0-0		33%	-4.8
2-27	Arizona (81.8)	P10	H	0-0		52%	0.5
3-6	California (24.0)	P10	H	0-0		26%	-7.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Stanford's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Stanford's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Stanford.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stanford	P10	26.30	26.34	39.51	37.70	-5.52	-6.48
Southern California	P10	4.82	4.22	61.90	60.33	1.15	0.87
UCLA	P10	4.82	4.22	47.62	43.37	-0.23	-0.56
Washington	P10	2.84	4.28	68.18	67.87	1.03	1.53
California	P10	2.84	4.22	63.64	67.10	0.77	1.44
Washington St.	P10	2.84	4.28	61.90	57.96	0.68	0.68
Oregon	P10	2.75	4.25	57.14	50.09	0.39	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	2.75	4.23	65.22	66.65	0.84	1.41
Arizona	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	52.18	0.00	0.18
Oregon St.	P10	2.75	4.25	47.62	41.27	-0.13	-0.74
Texas Tech	B12	2.37	1.83	66.67	57.91	0.79	0.29
Cal Poly	BW	2.33	1.76	38.10	37.34	-0.56	-0.44
UC Davis	BW	2.32	1.78	36.84	34.44	-0.61	-0.55
Portland St.	BSky	2.32	1.81	40.00	41.10	-0.46	-0.32
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.28	1.72	52.17	57.11	0.10	0.25
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.27	1.72	68.18	62.29	0.83	0.42
San Diego	WCC	2.27	1.75	30.43	31.04	-0.89	-0.66
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.26	1.72	19.05	21.80	-1.40	-0.97
Virginia	ACC	2.22	1.69	70.00	59.33	0.89	0.32
James Madison	CAA	2.17	1.67	43.48	39.89	-0.28	-0.34
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.67	95.45	88.31	1.98	1.28
Northwestern	B10	2.17	1.67	68.18	66.86	0.79	0.56
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.30	0.20	30.43	29.01	-0.12	-0.08
Seattle	ind	0.30	0.29	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.29	0.23	68.18	68.11	0.11	0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.23	86.96	84.64	0.21	0.16
Portland	WCC	0.29	0.25	61.90	65.68	0.07	0.08
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.25	0.23	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.25	0.20	42.86	45.64	-0.04	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.24	0.20	33.33	36.46	-0.08	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.17	22.73	21.40	-0.13	-0.10
Pepperdine	WCC	0.24	0.17	27.27	25.31	-0.11	-0.08
San Francisco	WCC	0.23	0.20	31.82	32.31	-0.08	-0.07
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.20	0.17	45.00	48.64	-0.02	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.14	59.09	52.86	0.04	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.20	0.14	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.11	72.73	68.10	0.09	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.17	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.09
Missouri	B12	0.19	0.14	73.91	70.59	0.09	0.06
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.19	0.11	15.79	22.91	-0.13	-0.06
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.17	95.83	93.08	0.18	0.14
Texas	B12	0.19	0.17	79.17	77.01	0.11	0.09
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.19	0.17	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.19	0.20	59.09	51.14	0.03	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.19	0.14	87.50	83.52	0.14	0.09
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.15	0.14	27.78	28.62	-0.07	-0.06
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.15	0.12	18.18	19.17	-0.10	-0.07
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.17	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.14	47.62	48.66	-0.01	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.15	0.11	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.15	0.09	76.19	71.16	0.08	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.15	0.17	68.18	70.36	0.05	0.07
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.08	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.15	0.08	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.17	21.74	24.91	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.14	0.17	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.14	56.52	50.43	0.02	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.17	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.17	72.73	66.84	0.07	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.14	78.26	78.94	0.08	0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.14	36.36	47.14	-0.04	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.04
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.08	84.00	84.05	0.10	0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Notre Dame	BE	0.14	0.08	70.83	63.36	0.06	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.42	0.05	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.08	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.14	0.11	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.11	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.11	75.00	73.71	0.07	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.14	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.57	-0.03	-0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.12	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.09	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.12	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.83	-0.08	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.08	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.06	29.17	31.02	-0.04	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.55	0.06	0.07
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.05	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.05	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.08	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.08
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.05	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.08	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.05	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.11	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.11	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.05	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.08
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.05	70.59	73.00	0.04	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.95	0.05	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.05	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.05	26.09	26.14	-0.04	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.11	30.00	31.80	-0.04	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.69	0.03	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.05	0.01	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.23	-0.01	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.03	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	29.17	29.51	-0.02	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.08	82.61	82.34	0.03	0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.90	-0.04	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.01	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.00	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.00	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.05	33.33	30.81	-0.00	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.06	71.43	67.91	0.00	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.05	77.27	77.14	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stanford	P10	26.30	26.34	39.51	37.70	-5.52	-6.48
Washington	P10	2.84	4.28	68.18	67.87	1.03	1.53
Washington St.	P10	2.84	4.28	61.90	57.96	0.68	0.68
Oregon	P10	2.75	4.25	57.14	50.09	0.39	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	2.75	4.25	47.62	41.27	-0.13	-0.74
Arizona St.	P10	2.75	4.23	65.22	66.65	0.84	1.41
Southern California	P10	4.82	4.22	61.90	60.33	1.15	0.87
UCLA	P10	4.82	4.22	47.62	43.37	-0.23	-0.56
Arizona	P10	2.75	4.22	50.00	52.18	0.00	0.18
California	P10	2.84	4.22	63.64	67.10	0.77	1.44
Texas Tech	B12	2.37	1.83	66.67	57.91	0.79	0.29
Portland St.	BSky	2.32	1.81	40.00	41.10	-0.46	-0.32
UC Davis	BW	2.32	1.78	36.84	34.44	-0.61	-0.55
Cal Poly	BW	2.33	1.76	38.10	37.34	-0.56	-0.44
San Diego	WCC	2.27	1.75	30.43	31.04	-0.89	-0.66
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.28	1.72	52.17	57.11	0.10	0.25
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.26	1.72	19.05	21.80	-1.40	-0.97
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.27	1.72	68.18	62.29	0.83	0.42
Virginia	ACC	2.22	1.69	70.00	59.33	0.89	0.32
James Madison	CAA	2.17	1.67	43.48	39.89	-0.28	-0.34
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.67	95.45	88.31	1.98	1.28
Northwestern	B10	2.17	1.67	68.18	66.86	0.79	0.56
Seattle	ind	0.30	0.29	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.29	0.25	61.90	65.68	0.07	0.08
Pacific	BW	0.29	0.23	68.18	68.11	0.11	0.08
St. Mary's	WCC	0.29	0.23	86.96	84.64	0.21	0.16
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.25	0.23	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
UC Riverside	BW	0.24	0.20	33.33	36.46	-0.08	-0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.30	0.20	30.43	29.01	-0.12	-0.08
Long Beach St.	BW	0.25	0.20	42.86	45.64	-0.04	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.23	0.20	31.82	32.31	-0.08	-0.07
Oklahoma	B12	0.19	0.20	59.09	51.14	0.03	0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.20	0.17	45.00	48.64	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.17	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.24	0.17	27.27	25.31	-0.11	-0.08
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.17	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.09
Montana	BSky	0.15	0.17	68.18	70.36	0.05	0.07
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.17	22.73	21.40	-0.13	-0.10
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.17	21.74	24.91	-0.08	-0.08
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.19	0.17	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.14	0.17	42.86	40.57	-0.02	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.17	95.83	93.08	0.18	0.14
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.17	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Texas	B12	0.19	0.17	79.17	77.01	0.11	0.09
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.17	72.73	66.84	0.07	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.05	0.07
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.14	47.62	48.66	-0.01	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.15	0.14	27.78	28.62	-0.07	-0.06
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.14	59.09	52.86	0.04	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.20	0.14	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.19	0.14	87.50	83.52	0.14	0.09
Missouri	B12	0.19	0.14	73.91	70.59	0.09	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.14	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.14	0.14	78.26	78.94	0.08	0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.14	56.52	50.43	0.02	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.14	36.36	47.14	-0.04	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.15	0.12	18.18	19.17	-0.10	-0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.10	0.12	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.12	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.11	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.08
Fresno St.	WAC	0.15	0.11	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.11	72.73	68.10	0.09	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.29	-0.02	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.55	0.06	0.07
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.14	0.11	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.19	0.11	15.79	22.91	-0.13	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.11	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.42	0.05	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.11	75.00	73.71	0.07	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.11	81.82	75.63	0.06	0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.11	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.11	30.00	31.80	-0.04	-0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.09	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.09	35.00	30.57	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.09	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.15	0.09	76.19	71.16	0.08	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.15	0.08	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.15	0.08	53.85	51.13	0.01	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.08	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.08	50.00	60.47	0.00	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.08	82.61	82.34	0.03	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.05	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.08	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.08	84.00	84.05	0.10	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	86.96	85.51	0.07	0.06
Notre Dame	BE	0.14	0.08	70.83	63.36	0.06	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.08	40.91	34.85	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.05	0.01	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.06	71.43	67.91	0.00	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.06	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.05	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.42	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.06	29.17	31.02	-0.04	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.05	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.05	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.83	-0.08	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.01	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.95	0.05	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.59	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.09	0.05	70.59	73.00	0.04	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.05	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.05	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.05	33.33	30.81	-0.00	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.05	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.09	0.05	26.09	26.14	-0.04	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.05	77.27	77.14	0.00	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.69	0.03	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.00	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.00	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.54	-0.03	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.68	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.11	-0.03	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.03	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.05	0.02	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.68	0.03	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.23	-0.01	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	29.17	29.51	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.90	-0.04	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.04	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.79	0.03	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.67	95.45	88.31	1.98	1.28
Southern California	P10	4.82	4.22	61.90	60.33	1.15	0.87
Washington	P10	2.84	4.28	68.18	67.87	1.03	1.53
Virginia	ACC	2.22	1.69	70.00	59.33	0.89	0.32
Arizona St.	P10	2.75	4.23	65.22	66.65	0.84	1.41
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.27	1.72	68.18	62.29	0.83	0.42
Northwestern	B10	2.17	1.67	68.18	66.86	0.79	0.56
Texas Tech	B12	2.37	1.83	66.67	57.91	0.79	0.29
California	P10	2.84	4.22	63.64	67.10	0.77	1.44
Washington St.	P10	2.84	4.28	61.90	57.96	0.68	0.68
Oregon	P10	2.75	4.25	57.14	50.09	0.39	0.01